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PLAYAGS INC (AGS) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AGS - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US72814N1046 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

12.08  0 (0%)

After market: 12.08 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

AGS gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. AGS has an average financial health and profitability rating. AGS has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGS was profitable.
In the past year AGS had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years AGS reported 4 times negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years AGS had a positive operating cash flow.
AGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGS Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

AGS has a Return On Assets (1.66%) which is in line with its industry peers.
AGS's Return On Equity of 15.61% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGS outperforms 74.05% of its industry peers.
AGS's Return On Invested Capital of 11.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGS outperforms 75.57% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGS is significantly below the industry average of 10.79%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.36%) for AGS is above the 3 year average (4.94%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.66%
ROE 15.61%
ROIC 11.36%
ROA(3y)-1.4%
ROA(5y)-3.45%
ROE(3y)-23.31%
ROE(5y)-47.5%
ROIC(3y)4.94%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGS Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

AGS has a Profit Margin (2.29%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGS has a Operating Margin of 18.32%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGS outperforms 72.52% of its industry peers.
AGS's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 70.19%, AGS belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.97% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGS has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.32%
PM (TTM) 2.29%
GM 70.19%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.1%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
AGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGS Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGS is creating some value.
AGS has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGS has more shares outstanding
AGS has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGS Yearly Shares OutstandingAGS Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M
AGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGS Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that AGS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.14, AGS is not doing good in the industry: 63.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGS is 15.35, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGS, 15.35 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGS has a Debt to FCF ratio (15.35) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 7.49. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 7.49, AGS is doing worse than 64.12% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.49
Debt/FCF 15.35
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC10.63%
AGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGS Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.35 indicates that AGS has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.35, AGS belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.42% of the companies in the same industry.
AGS has a Quick Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that AGS is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AGS's Quick ratio of 2.64 is amongst the best of the industry. AGS outperforms 93.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.35
Quick Ratio 2.64
AGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGS Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 142.86%, which is quite impressive.
AGS shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 40.07%.
Measured over the past years, AGS shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 4.56% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)142.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)40.07%
Revenue growth 3Y28.76%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 340.16% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.59% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3226.23%
EPS Next 2Y754.14%
EPS Next 3Y340.16%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year10.25%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y6.59%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGS Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M
AGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGS Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -1 -2

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6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 71.06, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AGS.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGS is valued a bit more expensive than 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.63, AGS is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.56, the valuation of AGS can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGS is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGS to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say AGS is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 71.06
Fwd PE 16.56
AGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGS Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGS indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGS is cheaper than 91.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGS is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.02% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.15
EV/EBITDA 5.88
AGS Per share dataAGS EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGS has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGS's earnings are expected to grow with 340.16% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y754.14%
EPS Next 3Y340.16%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGS does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PLAYAGS INC

NYSE:AGS (2/21/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 12.08 0 (0%)

12.08

0 (0%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/amc
Earnings (Next)03-03 2025-03-03/amc
Inst Owners83.61%
Inst Owner Change-90.72%
Ins Owners3.75%
Ins Owner Change0.19%
Market Cap494.43M
Analysts46.67
Price Target12.92 (6.95%)
Short Float %1.73%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-71.56%
Min EPS beat(2)-91.02%
Max EPS beat(2)-52.09%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)30.53%
Min EPS beat(4)-100%
Max EPS beat(4)365.23%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)111.18%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)87.35%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)72.69%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.19%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.7%
Max Revenue beat(4)8.61%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.66%
Revenue beat(12)12
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.14%
Revenue beat(16)15
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.17%
PT rev (1m)0.33%
PT rev (3m)0.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.51%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 71.06
Fwd PE 16.56
P/S 1.03
P/FCF 14.15
P/OCF 4.65
P/B 6.98
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.88
EPS(TTM)0.17
EY1.41%
EPS(NY)0.73
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)0.85
FCFY7.07%
OCF(TTM)2.6
OCFY21.52%
SpS11.78
BVpS1.73
TBVpS-7.95
PEG (NY)0.02
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.66%
ROE 15.61%
ROCE 14.38%
ROIC 11.36%
ROICexc 12.25%
ROICexgc 40.29%
OM 18.32%
PM (TTM) 2.29%
GM 70.19%
FCFM 7.25%
ROA(3y)-1.4%
ROA(5y)-3.45%
ROE(3y)-23.31%
ROE(5y)-47.5%
ROIC(3y)4.94%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)5.4%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)19.94%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.25%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y7.84%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y13.17%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y7.1%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.19%
GM growth 5Y-0.47%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.73
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.49
Debt/FCF 15.35
Debt/EBITDA 3.16
Cap/Depr 89.88%
Cap/Sales 14.82%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 63.4%
Profit Quality 316.15%
Current Ratio 3.35
Quick Ratio 2.64
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score8
WACC10.63%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)80.62%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.24%
Cap/Sales(3y)19.86%
Cap/Sales(5y)20.86%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)142.86%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%N/A
EPS Next Y3226.23%
EPS Next 2Y754.14%
EPS Next 3Y340.16%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)40.07%
Revenue growth 3Y28.76%
Revenue growth 5Y4.56%
Sales Q2Q%10.96%
Revenue Next Year10.25%
Revenue Next 2Y7.32%
Revenue Next 3Y6.59%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y59.09%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y11.99%
EBIT Next Year198.76%
EBIT Next 3Y48.76%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y203.41%
FCF growth 3Y275.1%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y38.69%
OCF growth 3Y33.57%
OCF growth 5Y13.63%