ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

Current stock price

13.21 USD
+0.02 (+0.15%)
Last:

This AGRO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AGRO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years AGRO 4 years were profitable.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.64%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 1.71%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.14%, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 62.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.14%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO has a Profit Margin (1.69%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGRO has a Operating Margin of 0.41%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 43.68% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Gross Margin (17.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20 25

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4

2. AGRO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGRO is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for AGRO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.44, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 40.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AGRO has a Debt to FCF ratio (30.19) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGRO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.00) than 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.44
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC7.41%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a Current ratio of 2.80. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGRO outperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGRO outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AGRO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AGRO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -101.43%.
  • AGRO shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 64.62%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 11.70% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 174.77% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.47% on average per year.
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

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4

4. AGRO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGRO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.48, the valuation of AGRO can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.70.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 15.48
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGRO.
  • AGRO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 35.15
EV/EBITDA 10.19
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AGRO's earnings are expected to grow with 174.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AGRO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.48%, AGRO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.48.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.48%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGRO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (3/24/2026, 11:05:53 AM)

13.21

+0.02 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners13.93%
Inst Owner Change14.56%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change-4.53%
Market Cap1.87B
Revenue(TTM)2.45B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts53.33
Price Target10.86 (-17.79%)
Short Float %3.27%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.48%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.83%
PT rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)45.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 15.48
P/S 1.35
P/FCF 35.15
P/OCF 6.18
P/B 1.36
P/tB 1.4
EV/EBITDA 10.19
EPS(TTM)-0.17
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY6.46%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.85%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY16.17%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.14%
ROICexc 0.16%
ROICexgc 0.16%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.44
F-Score5
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)91.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year337.04%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-33.97%
FCF growth 3Y-32.91%
FCF growth 5Y-12.02%
OCF growth 1Y-11.8%
OCF growth 3Y-5.88%
OCF growth 5Y3.71%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to grow by 602% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.