ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

Current stock price

13.9 USD
-0.19 (-1.35%)
At close:
13.8 USD
-0.1 (-0.72%)
After Hours:

This AGRO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AGRO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGRO has reported negative net income.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AGRO 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AGRO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.64%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Return On Equity of 1.71%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 45.98% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 42.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.14%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.69%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.17% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 0.41%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Gross Margin (17.72%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20 25

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. AGRO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • AGRO has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.48. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.48, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 63.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AGRO's Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 43.68% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGRO's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO is outperformed by 67.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.48
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC7.41%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGRO has a Current Ratio of 2.80. This indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a better Current ratio (2.80) than 77.01% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.56 indicates that AGRO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AGRO (1.56) is better than 75.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. AGRO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -101.43% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 64.62%.
  • Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.70% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%

3.2 Future

  • AGRO is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 86.63% yearly.
  • AGRO is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 17.07% yearly.
EPS Next Y710%
EPS Next 2Y152.78%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year50.29%
Revenue Next 2Y20.42%
Revenue Next 3Y17.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 -0.5 1

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4

4. AGRO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGRO. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.40 indicates a correct valuation of AGRO.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than 73.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.36.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 13.4
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGRO is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 37.27
EV/EBITDA 10.7
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AGRO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AGRO's earnings are expected to grow with 86.63% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y152.78%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AGRO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.64%, AGRO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.23, AGRO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.64%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
  • AGRO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y152.78%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGRO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (5/1/2026, 8:08:53 PM)

After market: 13.8 -0.1 (-0.72%)

13.9

-0.19 (-1.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Industry StrengthN/A
Industry GrowthN/A
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners14.75%
Inst Owner Change2.2%
Ins Owners0.63%
Ins Owner Change-3.27%
Market Cap1.98B
Revenue(TTM)2.45B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts75.38
Price Target13.03 (-6.26%)
Short Float %3.15%
Short Ratio0.68
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.64%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)20%
PT rev (3m)24.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)21.51%
EPS NY rev (3m)32.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)25.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)34.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 13.4
P/S 1.43
P/FCF 37.27
P/OCF 6.56
P/B 1.44
P/tB 1.48
EV/EBITDA 10.7
EPS(TTM)-0.17
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.04
Fwd EY7.46%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY2.68%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY15.25%
SpS9.71
BVpS9.62
TBVpS9.37
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.14%
ROICexc 0.16%
ROICexgc 0.16%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.48
F-Score5
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)91.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
EPS Next Y710%
EPS Next 2Y152.78%
EPS Next 3Y86.63%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%
Revenue Next Year50.29%
Revenue Next 2Y20.42%
Revenue Next 3Y17.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year450.27%
EBIT Next 3Y51.63%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-33.97%
FCF growth 3Y-32.91%
FCF growth 5Y-12.02%
OCF growth 1Y-11.8%
OCF growth 3Y-5.88%
OCF growth 5Y3.71%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGRO.


What is the valuation status of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AGRO stock?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AGRO stock?

The financial health rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10.