ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

8.43 USD
-0.28 (-3.21%)
At close: Feb 5, 2026
8.55 USD
+0.12 (+1.42%)
Pre-Market: 2/6/2026, 5:13:04 AM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AGRO scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGRO was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. AGRO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGRO was profitable.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AGRO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.64%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AGRO (1.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGRO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (0.13%) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO has a Profit Margin (1.69%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 0.41%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of AGRO (17.72%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • AGRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGRO has a Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGRO underperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AGRO's Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 50.57% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AGRO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.00) than 71.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.17
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.09%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • AGRO's Current ratio of 2.80 is amongst the best of the industry. AGRO outperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a better Quick ratio (1.56) than 78.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.45% on average over the past years.
  • AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.49%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.85% on average per year.
  • AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.73 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGRO.
  • AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.67, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.73, which indicates a very decent valuation of AGRO.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued cheaper than 87.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 27.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.73
Fwd PE 10.73
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGRO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.87
EV/EBITDA 6.53
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.98%.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.33. AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (2/5/2026, 8:08:44 PM)

Premarket: 8.55 +0.12 (+1.42%)

8.43

-0.28 (-3.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap843.76M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.46 (24.08%)
Short Float %4.78%
Short Ratio1.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)2.5%
PT rev (3m)-5.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)106.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)166.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-9.22%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.73
Fwd PE 10.73
P/S 0.61
P/FCF 15.87
P/OCF 2.79
P/B 0.61
P/tB 0.63
EV/EBITDA 6.53
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.34%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY9.32%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.3%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY35.81%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.17
F-Score5
WACC4.09%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -79.25% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.