ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

8.92 USD
-0.28 (-3.04%)
At close: Feb 23, 2026
8.92 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/23/2026, 4:45:11 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AGRO. AGRO was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. AGRO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGRO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AGRO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AGRO (0.64%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGRO's Return On Equity of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 47.73% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AGRO (0.13%) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.02%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.12%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO's Profit Margin of 1.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 51.14% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 0.41%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGRO has a Gross Margin of 17.72%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 48.86% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AGRO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.29. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGRO has a worse Altman-Z score (1.29) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AGRO's Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 51.14% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 70.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.29
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.68%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AGRO (1.56) is better than 78.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the past year.
  • AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.85% on average over the next years.
  • AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.20% yearly.
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.62%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.82, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AGRO.
  • AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.99. AGRO is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • AGRO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.36.
  • 82.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 28.02. AGRO is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.82
Fwd PE 11.36
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.73
EV/EBITDA 8.17
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.04%, which is a nice return.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.27. AGRO pays more dividend than 82.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, AGRO pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.04%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (2/23/2026, 4:45:11 PM)

After market: 8.92 0 (0%)

8.92

-0.28 (-3.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change14.96%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.26B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts49.09
Price Target10.46 (17.26%)
Short Float %2.63%
Short Ratio0.99
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.04%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-4.21%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)166.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.82
Fwd PE 11.36
P/S 0.91
P/FCF 23.73
P/OCF 4.18
P/B 0.92
P/tB 0.94
EV/EBITDA 8.17
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.04%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY8.8%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY4.21%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY23.94%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.29
F-Score5
WACC4.68%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.62%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -79.25% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.