ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

8.57 USD
+0.14 (+1.66%)
At close: Feb 6, 2026
8.57 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/6/2026, 8:17:14 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

AGRO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While AGRO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGRO was profitable.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years AGRO has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AGRO's Return On Assets of 0.64% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 45.98% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.71%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (0.13%) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 1.69%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of AGRO (0.41%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin of 17.72% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 47.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGRO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
  • AGRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AGRO (1.17) is worse than 68.97% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 30.19, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGRO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGRO underperforms 71.26% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.17
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.11%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is in the better half of the industry: AGRO outperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
  • AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.85% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGRO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.04.
  • AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • AGRO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.91, the valuation of AGRO can be described as very reasonable.
  • AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 87.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.78, AGRO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.04
Fwd PE 10.91
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 82.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.13
EV/EBITDA 6.53
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.98%, AGRO has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.32, AGRO pays a better dividend. On top of this AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (2/6/2026, 8:17:14 PM)

After market: 8.57 0 (0%)

8.57

+0.14 (+1.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-11
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap857.77M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.46 (22.05%)
Short Float %4.78%
Short Ratio1.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)2.5%
PT rev (3m)-5.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)106.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)166.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-9.22%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.04
Fwd PE 10.91
P/S 0.62
P/FCF 16.13
P/OCF 2.84
P/B 0.63
P/tB 0.64
EV/EBITDA 6.53
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.25%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY9.16%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.2%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY35.23%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.17
F-Score5
WACC4.11%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -79.25% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.