ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

Current stock price

14.05 USD
+0.2 (+1.44%)
At close:
14.02 USD
-0.03 (-0.21%)
After Hours:

This AGRO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AGRO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had negative earnings in the past year.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AGRO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AGRO (0.64%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Equity of AGRO (1.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGRO has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.14%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGRO underperforms 62.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.14%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO has a Profit Margin (1.69%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin of 17.72% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 49.43% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20 25

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4

2. AGRO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • There is no outstanding debt for AGRO. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.47, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AGRO (1.47) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 30.19, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGRO has a Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGRO underperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.47
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC7.41%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGRO has a Current Ratio of 2.80. This indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.56 indicates that AGRO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGRO outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AGRO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -101.43% in the last year.
  • Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 64.62%.
  • AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.70% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 174.77% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

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4

4. AGRO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGRO reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
  • AGRO is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.46.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGRO to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say AGRO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.46
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGRO is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 37.38
EV/EBITDA 10.52
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGRO's earnings are expected to grow with 174.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AGRO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.65%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.47, AGRO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.65%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGRO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (3/27/2026, 6:40:00 PM)

After market: 14.02 -0.03 (-0.21%)

14.05

+0.2 (+1.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners13.93%
Inst Owner Change14.56%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner Change-4.53%
Market Cap1.99B
Revenue(TTM)2.45B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts53.33
Price Target10.86 (-22.7%)
Short Float %3.27%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.65%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.83%
PT rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)8.66%
EPS NY rev (3m)45.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)11.56%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 16.46
P/S 1.44
P/FCF 37.38
P/OCF 6.58
P/B 1.45
P/tB 1.49
EV/EBITDA 10.52
EPS(TTM)-0.17
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY6.07%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.68%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY15.2%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.14%
ROICexc 0.16%
ROICexgc 0.16%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.83%
GM growth 5Y-7.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.47
F-Score5
WACC7.41%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)91.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.32%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-101.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.62%
Revenue growth 3Y2.66%
Revenue growth 5Y11.7%
Sales Q2Q%11.15%
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year337.04%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-33.97%
FCF growth 3Y-32.91%
FCF growth 5Y-12.02%
OCF growth 1Y-11.8%
OCF growth 3Y-5.88%
OCF growth 5Y3.71%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to grow by 602% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.