ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

9.32 USD
+0.44 (+4.95%)
At close: Mar 2, 2026
9.32 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

AGRO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While AGRO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years AGRO has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AGRO has a Return On Assets of 0.64%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 47.73% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a Return On Equity (1.71%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.13%, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AGRO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.02%. This is significantly below the industry average of 28.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO's Profit Margin of 1.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 51.14% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGRO has a Operating Margin of 0.41%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 44.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • AGRO has a Gross Margin of 17.72%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 48.86% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AGRO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.28. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGRO has a worse Altman-Z score (1.28) than 64.77% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 30.19, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • AGRO has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.00) than 70.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.28
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.75%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.56 indicates that AGRO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.56, AGRO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AGRO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -84.64%.
  • AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.85% on average per year.
  • AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -1.20% yearly.
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.62%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGRO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.71.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGRO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGRO is cheaper than 60.23% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.13.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.87 indicates a reasonable valuation of AGRO.
  • 84.09% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGRO to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.11), we can say AGRO is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.71
Fwd PE 11.87
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 71.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 24.8
EV/EBITDA 8.01
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.96%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.22. AGRO pays more dividend than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AGRO pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.96%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (3/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 9.32 0 (0%)

9.32

+0.44 (+4.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-16
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change15.21%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.32B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts49.09
Price Target10.86 (16.52%)
Short Float %2.63%
Short Ratio0.99
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.96%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.83%
PT rev (3m)-0.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)166.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.96%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.71
Fwd PE 11.87
P/S 0.95
P/FCF 24.8
P/OCF 4.36
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.99
EV/EBITDA 8.01
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY4.83%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY8.43%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY4.03%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY22.92%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.28
F-Score5
WACC4.75%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-79.25%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.62%
Revenue Next 2Y2.5%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.2%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year25.16%
EBIT Next 3Y18.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -79.25% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.