ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

10.82 USD
+0.22 (+2.08%)
At close: Mar 13, 2026
10.9899 USD
+0.17 (+1.57%)
After Hours: 3/13/2026, 8:09:09 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This AGRO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AGRO scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGRO was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. The financial health of AGRO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. AGRO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AGRO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.64%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 1.71%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AGRO (0.13%) is worse than 61.36% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 7.13%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • AGRO's Profit Margin of 1.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 51.14% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • AGRO's Operating Margin of 0.41% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 44.32% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 17.72%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

More info and screens

ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. AGRO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
  • AGRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.35, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGRO has a worse Altman-Z score (1.35) than 64.77% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 30.19, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.00, AGRO is doing worse than 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.35
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.98%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.56 indicates that AGRO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is in the better half of the industry: AGRO outperforms 79.55% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

More info and screens

WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. AGRO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AGRO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -84.64%.
  • AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% yearly.
  • AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.49%.
  • AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

  • AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -5.40% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.99% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-90.24%
EPS Next 2Y-12.49%
EPS Next 3Y-5.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.37%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

More info and screens

Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. AGRO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 24.04, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AGRO.
  • AGRO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • AGRO is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.68, the valuation of AGRO can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than 79.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGRO to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say AGRO is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.04
Fwd PE 12.68
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 64.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.79
EV/EBITDA 8.88
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AGRO's earnings are expected to decrease with -5.40% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-12.49%
EPS Next 3Y-5.4%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AGRO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.61%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.31, AGRO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.61%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-12.49%
EPS Next 3Y-5.4%
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

AGRO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (3/13/2026, 8:09:09 PM)

After market: 10.9899 +0.17 (+1.57%)

10.82

+0.22 (+2.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11
Earnings (Next)03-16
Inst Owners13.93%
Inst Owner Change14.56%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.53B
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts53.33
Price Target10.86 (0.37%)
Short Float %3.04%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.61%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.83%
PT rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-52.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)25.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.04
Fwd PE 12.68
P/S 1.11
P/FCF 28.79
P/OCF 5.07
P/B 1.12
P/tB 1.15
EV/EBITDA 8.88
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY4.16%
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY7.89%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY3.47%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY19.74%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number9.91
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.35
F-Score5
WACC4.98%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-90.24%
EPS Next 2Y-12.49%
EPS Next 3Y-5.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.37%
Revenue Next 2Y1.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year25.16%
EBIT Next 3Y18.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -90.24% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.