ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AGRO • LU0584671464

Current stock price

14.61 USD
+0.98 (+7.19%)
At close:
14.8348 USD
+0.22 (+1.54%)
After Hours:

This AGRO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AGRO Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGRO had negative earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • AGRO had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years AGRO 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGRO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • AGRO has a Return On Assets of 0.64%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 47.13% of its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Return On Equity of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 47.13% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.13%, AGRO is doing worse than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 7.17%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROIC 0.13%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
AGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGRO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AGRO (1.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
  • AGRO has a Gross Margin (17.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
AGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGRO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20 25

3

2. AGRO Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
  • AGRO has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
AGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGRO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
AGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGRO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.46. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.46, AGRO is doing worse than 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 30.19, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AGRO's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO is outperformed by 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Altman-Z 1.46
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC5.42%
AGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGRO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.80, AGRO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGRO has a better Quick ratio (1.56) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
AGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGRO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

3

3. AGRO Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

EPS 1Y (TTM)N/A
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.15%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 174.77% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

AGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 500M 1B 1.5B
AGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGRO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 -0.5 1

4

4. AGRO Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AGRO. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.12, AGRO is valued on the expensive side.
  • 65.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.72.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 17.12
AGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGRO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGRO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGRO is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 38.87
EV/EBITDA 10.41
AGRO Per share dataAGRO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AGRO's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGRO's earnings are expected to grow with 174.77% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. AGRO Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.81%.
  • AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.45.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, AGRO pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%

5.2 History

  • AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AGRO Yearly Dividends per shareAGRO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGRO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M
AGRO Dividend Payout.AGRO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGRO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGRO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADECOAGRO SA

NYSE:AGRO (3/19/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 14.8348 +0.22 (+1.54%)

14.61

+0.98 (+7.19%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)03-16
Earnings (Next)05-11
Inst Owners13.93%
Inst Owner Change14.56%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.07B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts53.33
Price Target10.86 (-25.67%)
Short Float %3.27%
Short Ratio1.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.81%
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.83%
PT rev (3m)0.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-52.94%
EPS NY rev (3m)25.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-8.7%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 17.12
P/S 1.49
P/FCF 38.87
P/OCF 6.84
P/B 1.51
P/tB 1.55
EV/EBITDA 10.41
EPS(TTM)-0.17
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.85
Fwd EY5.84%
FCF(TTM)0.38
FCFY2.57%
OCF(TTM)2.14
OCFY14.62%
SpS9.79
BVpS9.7
TBVpS9.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.64%
ROE 1.71%
ROCE 0.18%
ROIC 0.13%
ROICexc 0.15%
ROICexgc 0.15%
OM 0.41%
PM (TTM) 1.69%
GM 17.72%
FCFM 3.84%
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1
Debt/FCF 30.19
Debt/EBITDA 4.91
Cap/Depr 90.92%
Cap/Sales 17.98%
Interest Coverage 0.11
Cash Conversion 108.11%
Profit Quality 227.19%
Current Ratio 2.8
Quick Ratio 1.56
Altman-Z 1.46
F-Score5
WACC5.42%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)N/A
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-134.78%
EPS Next Y602%
EPS Next 2Y174.77%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.15%
Revenue Next Year19.77%
Revenue Next 2Y9.47%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year25.16%
EBIT Next 3Y18.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%

ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to grow by 602% in the next year.


How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.