ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGRO - LU0584671464 - Common Stock
8.18 USD
-0.25 (-2.97%)
8.18 USD
0 (0%)
AGRO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. The financial health of AGRO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years AGRO has been profitable.
- AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AGRO's Return On Assets of 0.64% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.71%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.13%, AGRO is doing worse than 64.37% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.02%. This is significantly below the industry average of 27.80%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
1.3 Margins
- AGRO has a Profit Margin of 1.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
- AGRO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 17.72%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.13% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% |
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGRO is destroying value.
- AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
- AGRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.17. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AGRO's Altman-Z score of 1.17 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO is outperformed by 70.11% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO (30.19) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AGRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AGRO (1.00) is worse than 71.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC3.98%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of AGRO (2.80) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.56 indicates that AGRO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.56, AGRO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
- AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
3.2 Future
- AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.85% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -4.01% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AGRO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.18.
- AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
- AGRO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 10.42, which indicates a very decent valuation of AGRO.
- 85.06% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGRO to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.26), we can say AGRO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGRO is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.76% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGRO indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGRO is cheaper than 72.41% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.53 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.42%, AGRO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.43, AGRO pays a better dividend. On top of this AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
5.2 History
- AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
8.18
-0.25 (-2.97%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11/amc
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap818.74M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.2 (24.69%)
Short Float %6.71%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-5.66%
PT rev (3m)-9.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)29.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)29.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.42 | ||
| P/S | 0.59 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.71 | ||
| P/B | 0.6 | ||
| P/tB | 0.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.53 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.5%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY9.6%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.49%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY36.91%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROCE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.15% | ||
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% | ||
| FCFM | 3.84% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.91 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 227.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score5
WACC3.98%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%
ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.
Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?
ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -89.93% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.