ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGRO - LU0584671464 - Common Stock
8.61 USD
+0.43 (+5.26%)
Taking everything into account, AGRO scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGRO was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While AGRO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- AGRO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AGRO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years AGRO has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years AGRO had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AGRO has a Return On Assets (0.64%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Return On Equity of AGRO (1.71%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.13%, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 64.37% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.79%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
1.3 Margins
- With a Profit Margin value of 1.69%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
- With a Operating Margin value of 0.41%, AGRO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
- AGRO has a Gross Margin (17.72%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% |
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- AGRO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for AGRO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of AGRO (1.17) is worse than 70.11% of its industry peers.
- AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- AGRO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 50.57% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AGRO (1.00) is worse than 71.26% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.04%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of AGRO (2.80) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is in the better half of the industry: AGRO outperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- AGRO shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -84.64%.
- Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the last year.
- AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGRO will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.85% on average per year.
- AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.01% yearly.
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.13, the valuation of AGRO can be described as rather expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AGRO.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.96 indicates a reasonable valuation of AGRO.
- AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.29.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.96 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGRO indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGRO is cheaper than 81.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AGRO's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGRO is cheaper than 72.41% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.15%, which is a nice return.
- AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.28. AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.84, AGRO pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
5.2 History
- AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
NYSE:AGRO (1/20/2026, 3:45:38 PM)
8.61
+0.43 (+5.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11/amc
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change-0.63%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap861.77M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.46 (21.49%)
Short Float %4.77%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.3%
PT rev (3m)-7.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)29.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)29.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.13 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.96 | ||
| P/S | 0.62 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.85 | ||
| P/B | 0.63 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.44 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.23%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY9.12%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.17%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY35.06%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROCE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.15% | ||
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% | ||
| FCFM | 3.84% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.91 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 227.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score5
WACC4.04%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%
ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.
Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?
ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -89.93% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.