Overall AGRO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGRO against 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. The financial health of AGRO is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.

Quickly go to:

1. Profitability

2. Health

3. Growth

4. Valuation

5. Dividend

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGRO was profitable.
AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGRO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.

1.2 Ratios

AGRO has a Return On Assets (0.64%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGRO's Return On Equity of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
AGRO has a worse Return On Invested Capital (0.13%) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.79%.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
ROA	0.64%
ROE	1.71%
ROIC	0.13%

ROA(3y)4.53%

ROA(5y)3.73%

ROE(3y)11.58%

ROE(5y)9.54%

ROIC(3y)2.02%

ROIC(5y)2.16%

1.3 Margins

AGRO's Profit Margin of 1.69% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
The Operating Margin of AGRO (0.41%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGRO has declined.
The Gross Margin of AGRO (17.72%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGRO has declined.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
OM	0.41%
PM (TTM)	1.69%
GM	17.72%

OM growth 3Y-13.04%

OM growth 5Y-6.66%

PM growth 3Y-19.23%

PM growth 5YN/A

GM growth 3Y-5.34%

GM growth 5Y-4.39%

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ROA

ROE

ROIC

Operating and Profit Margin

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGRO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AGRO has been reduced compared to a year ago.

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.18, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGRO has a Altman-Z score of 1.18. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGRO underperforms 71.26% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGRO is 30.19, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGRO, 30.19 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGRO has a Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 50.57% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.00, AGRO is doing worse than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Debt/Equity	1
Debt/FCF	30.19
Altman-Z	1.18

ROIC/WACC0.03

WACC4.16%

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AGRO's Current ratio of 2.80 is amongst the best of the industry. AGRO outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.56, AGRO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Current Ratio	2.8
Quick Ratio	1.56

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WACC

Debt/Equity

How to determine the health of a company

Altman-Z score

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -7.45% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 10.89% on average over the past years. This is quite good.

EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%

EPS 3Y-7.45%

EPS 5YN/A

EPS Q2Q%-7.14%

Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%

Revenue growth 3Y10.27%

Revenue growth 5Y10.89%

Sales Q2Q%-35.48%

3.2 Future

AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.85% yearly.
AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -4.01% yearly.

EPS Next Y-79.25%

EPS Next 2Y-16.05%

EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

EPS Next 5YN/A

Revenue Next Year-13.87%

Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%

Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%

Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.69, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AGRO.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGRO is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGRO to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.30), we can say AGRO is valued slightly cheaper.
AGRO is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.28.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued cheaper than 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, AGRO is valued rather cheaply.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
PE	19.69
Fwd PE	11.28

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGRO indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGRO is cheaper than 82.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
P/FCF	16.68
EV/EBITDA	6.66

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A

PEG (5Y)N/A

EPS Next 2Y-16.05%

EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.92%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.29, AGRO pays a better dividend. On top of this AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AGRO pays a better dividend.

		Industry Rank	Sector Rank
Dividend Yield	3.92%

5.2 History

AGRO has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A

Div Incr Years2

Div Non Decr Years2

5.3 Sustainability

AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.

DP149.55%

EPS Next 2Y-16.05%

EPS Next 3Y-0.85%

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ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.

Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.

Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?

ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.

What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -79.25% in the next year.

How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?

The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.