ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGRO - LU0584671464 - Common Stock
8.8891 USD
+0.3 (+3.48%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AGRO. AGRO was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While AGRO seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. AGRO is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AGRO was profitable.
- AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years AGRO has been profitable.
- AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AGRO has a Return On Assets of 0.64%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 44.83% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 1.71%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of AGRO (0.13%) is worse than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 27.79%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
1.3 Margins
- AGRO has a Profit Margin of 1.69%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGRO outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGRO has declined.
- AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AGRO has a Gross Margin (17.72%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% |
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGRO is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for AGRO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for AGRO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.18, we must say that AGRO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AGRO's Altman-Z score of 1.18 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO is outperformed by 70.11% of its industry peers.
- AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- AGRO has a Debt to FCF ratio (30.19) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00 is on the high side and indicates that AGRO has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.00, AGRO is doing worse than 71.26% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.18 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC4.12%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.80 indicates that AGRO has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- AGRO has a better Current ratio (2.80) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AGRO has a Quick ratio of 1.56. This is in the better half of the industry: AGRO outperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% on average per year.
- AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.49%.
- AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
3.2 Future
- AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.85% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AGRO is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.75.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGRO is on the same level as its industry peers.
- AGRO is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.32, the valuation of AGRO can be described as reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGRO is valued cheaper than 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.94, AGRO is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.32 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 82.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.41% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 16.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.59 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.15%, AGRO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.28. AGRO pays more dividend than 80.46% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGRO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.83.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
5.2 History
- AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 149.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGRO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
NYSE:AGRO (1/21/2026, 10:11:04 AM)
8.8891
+0.3 (+3.48%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)11-11 2025-11-11/amc
Earnings (Next)03-11 2026-03-11/amc
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change-0.63%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap889.71M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.46 (17.67%)
Short Float %4.77%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.15% |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.3%
PT rev (3m)-7.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)29.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)29.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.32 | ||
| P/S | 0.64 | ||
| P/FCF | 16.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.94 | ||
| P/B | 0.65 | ||
| P/tB | 0.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.59 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY8.84%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY5.98%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY33.96%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROCE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.15% | ||
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% | ||
| FCFM | 3.84% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.91 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 227.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.18 |
F-Score5
WACC4.12%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.77%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%
ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.
Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?
ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -89.93% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.