ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGRO - LU0584671464 - Common Stock
7.7 USD
-0.02 (-0.26%)
7.7 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, AGRO scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGRO was compared to 87 industry peers in the Food Products industry. AGRO scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. AGRO has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGRO was profitable.
AGRO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AGRO has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years AGRO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGRO (0.64%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGRO's Return On Equity of 1.71% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 45.98% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AGRO (0.13%) is worse than 63.22% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGRO is significantly below the industry average of 28.02%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.69%, AGRO is in line with its industry, outperforming 54.02% of the companies in the same industry.
AGRO's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGRO has a Operating Margin (0.41%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGRO's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGRO's Gross Margin of 17.72% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 48.28% of its industry peers.
AGRO's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% |
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGRO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGRO has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGRO has less shares outstanding
AGRO has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGRO has an Altman-Z score of 1.15. This is a bad value and indicates that AGRO is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGRO (1.15) is worse than 67.82% of its industry peers.
AGRO has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.19. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGRO would need 30.19 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGRO's Debt to FCF ratio of 30.19 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGRO outperforms 51.72% of its industry peers.
AGRO has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.00. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.00, AGRO is not doing good in the industry: 70.11% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.15 |
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC3.89%
2.3 Liquidity
AGRO has a Current Ratio of 2.80. This indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
AGRO has a Current ratio of 2.80. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGRO outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
AGRO has a Quick Ratio of 1.56. This is a normal value and indicates that AGRO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.56, AGRO is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.16% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGRO have decreased strongly by -84.64% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGRO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -7.45% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGRO shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.49% in the last year.
AGRO shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
3.2 Future
AGRO is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.85% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.01% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.11 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AGRO.
AGRO's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
AGRO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.92.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.80 indicates a reasonable valuation of AGRO.
88.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGRO, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AGRO's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.57.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGRO indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGRO is cheaper than 81.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGRO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.26% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGRO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.41%, which is a nice return.
AGRO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.40.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, AGRO pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.41% |
5.2 History
AGRO has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
AGRO pays out 149.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP149.55%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
7.7
-0.02 (-0.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners12.62%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap770.69M
Revenue(TTM)1.38B
Net Income(TTM)23.40M
Analysts48
Price Target10.2 (32.47%)
Short Float %6.71%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.41% |
Yearly Dividend0.34
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP149.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)86.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(2)324.84%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)32.12%
Min EPS beat(4)-152.79%
Max EPS beat(4)324.84%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-18.18%
Min Revenue beat(2)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-27.11%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.44%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.54%
PT rev (3m)-9.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)29.41%
EPS NY rev (3m)29.41%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-9.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-5.16%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.8 | ||
| P/S | 0.56 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 2.55 | ||
| P/B | 0.56 | ||
| P/tB | 0.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.27 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.84%
EPS(NY)0.79
Fwd EY10.2%
FCF(TTM)0.53
FCFY6.9%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY39.21%
SpS13.83
BVpS13.71
TBVpS13.35
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.78
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.64% | ||
| ROE | 1.71% | ||
| ROCE | 0.18% | ||
| ROIC | 0.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.15% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.15% | ||
| OM | 0.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.69% | ||
| GM | 17.72% | ||
| FCFM | 3.84% |
ROA(3y)4.53%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)11.58%
ROE(5y)9.54%
ROIC(3y)2.02%
ROIC(5y)2.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.33%
ROICexc(5y)2.54%
ROICexgc(3y)2.36%
ROICexgc(5y)2.57%
ROCE(3y)2.73%
ROCE(5y)2.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.11%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.51%
ROICexc growth 3Y-15.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.43%
OM growth 3Y-13.04%
OM growth 5Y-6.66%
PM growth 3Y-19.23%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-5.34%
GM growth 5Y-4.39%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.38
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.19 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.91 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 17.98% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.11 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 108.11% | ||
| Profit Quality | 227.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.8 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.56 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.15 |
F-Score5
WACC3.89%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)88.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)17.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)18.87%
Profit Quality(3y)94.78%
Profit Quality(5y)4082.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-84.64%
EPS 3Y-7.45%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-7.14%
EPS Next Y-89.93%
EPS Next 2Y-16.05%
EPS Next 3Y-0.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.49%
Revenue growth 3Y10.27%
Revenue growth 5Y10.89%
Sales Q2Q%-35.48%
Revenue Next Year-13.87%
Revenue Next 2Y-5.63%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.01%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-92.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.1%
EBIT growth 5Y3.51%
EBIT Next Year30%
EBIT Next 3Y16.93%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-79.36%
FCF growth 3Y-21.76%
FCF growth 5Y2.99%
OCF growth 1Y-38.46%
OCF growth 3Y-1.99%
OCF growth 5Y0.38%
ADECOAGRO SA / AGRO FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for AGRO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGRO.
Can you provide the valuation status for ADECOAGRO SA?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ADECOAGRO SA?
ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is expected to decline by -89.93% in the next year.
How sustainable is the dividend of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) stock?
The dividend rating of ADECOAGRO SA (AGRO) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 149.55%.