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AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGR - US05351W1036 - Common Stock

36.02 USD
+0.29 (+0.81%)
Last: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
35.86 USD
-0.16 (-0.44%)
After Hours: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AGR. AGR was compared to 48 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGR while its profitability can be described as average. AGR is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. Finally AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGR was profitable.
In the past year AGR had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years AGR has been profitable.
AGR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

AGR has a Return On Assets (2.40%) which is in line with its industry peers.
AGR has a worse Return On Equity (5.68%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
AGR's Return On Invested Capital of 2.48% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 82.22% of its industry peers.
AGR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.86%. This is below the industry average of 4.95%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.86%) for AGR is below the current ROIC(2.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROIC 2.48%
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
AGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of AGR (12.89%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGR has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Operating Margin value of 15.07%, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 75.56% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 74.78%, AGR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
AGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
AGR has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGR has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGR Yearly Shares OutstandingAGR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

AGR has an Altman-Z score of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGR has a Altman-Z score of 0.56. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGR underperforms 82.22% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
AGR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) than 64.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.56
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
AGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

AGR has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, AGR is doing worse than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGR's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 84.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
AGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 91.39% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.02% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.35% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AGR will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.93% on average per year.
AGR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B
AGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AGR is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGR is on the same level as its industry peers.
AGR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.49.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.71, the valuation of AGR can be described as correct.
AGR's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
AGR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
AGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AGR.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.35
AGR Per share dataAGR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, AGR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.42. AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
AGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
AGR Yearly Dividends per shareAGR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

AGR pays out 60.70% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
AGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B
AGR Dividend Payout.AGR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AVANGRID INC

NYSE:AGR (12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.86 -0.16 (-0.44%)

36.02

+0.29 (+0.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)10-22 2024-10-22/amc
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst Owners12.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Revenue(TTM)8.71B
Net Income(TTM)1.12B
Analysts47.14
Price Target37.94 (5.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
DP60.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.91%
Min EPS beat(2)28.8%
Max EPS beat(2)65.02%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)31.76%
Min EPS beat(4)5.73%
Max EPS beat(4)65.02%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.77%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.33%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.51%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
P/S 1.6
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 12.65
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 10.35
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-6.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.91%
SpS22.5
BVpS51.06
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROCE 3.31%
ROIC 2.48%
ROICexc 2.49%
ROICexgc 2.71%
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.89%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)2.08%
ROICexgc(5y)2.28%
ROCE(3y)2.4%
ROCE(5y)2.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.42%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.41%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.15
Cap/Depr 305.96%
Cap/Sales 43.06%
Interest Coverage 3.23
Cash Conversion 43.44%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 0.56
F-Score6
WACC6.31%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)260.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)271.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)36.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y88.24%
EBIT growth 3Y2.29%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.85%
EBIT Next Year129.76%
EBIT Next 3Y39.02%
EBIT Next 5Y24.63%
FCF growth 1Y-69.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.57%
OCF growth 3Y-10.64%
OCF growth 5Y-12.39%

AVANGRID INC / AGR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVANGRID INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGR.


What is the valuation status of AVANGRID INC (AGR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVANGRID INC (AGR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AGR stock?

AVANGRID INC (AGR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for AVANGRID INC (AGR) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is expected to grow by 11.56% in the next year.


Is the dividend of AVANGRID INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 60.7%.