AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AGR • US05351W1036

36.02 USD
+0.29 (+0.81%)
At close: Dec 20, 2024
35.86 USD
-0.16 (-0.44%)
After Hours: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, AGR scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGR was compared to 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGR while its profitability can be described as average. While showing a medium growth rate, AGR is valued expensive at the moment. AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGR was profitable.
  • AGR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • AGR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.40%, AGR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 5.68%, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.48%, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 82.22% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AGR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.86%. This is below the industry average of 4.58%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.86%) for AGR is below the current ROIC(2.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROIC 2.48%
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
AGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4

1.3 Margins

  • AGR has a Profit Margin (12.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGR's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AGR has a Operating Margin of 15.07%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGR underperforms 75.56% of its industry peers.
  • AGR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGR's Gross Margin of 74.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGR outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
AGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGR has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGR remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGR Yearly Shares OutstandingAGR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AGR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGR has a worse Altman-Z score (0.56) than 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • AGR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.66, AGR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.56
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
AGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGR has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AGR (0.51) is worse than 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • AGR has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, AGR is doing worse than 84.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
AGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • AGR shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 91.39%, which is quite impressive.
  • AGR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.02% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.35% in the last year.
  • AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.93% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.85% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B
AGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46 indicates a correct valuation of AGR.
  • AGR's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • AGR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.06, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.71, which indicates a correct valuation of AGR.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AGR.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.86, AGR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
AGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.35
AGR Per share dataAGR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, AGR is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.92, AGR pays a better dividend. On top of this AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
  • AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • As AGR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
AGR Yearly Dividends per shareAGR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 60.70% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of AGR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
AGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B
AGR Dividend Payout.AGR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AVANGRID INC

NYSE:AGR (12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 35.86 -0.16 (-0.44%)

36.02

+0.29 (+0.81%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)10-22
Earnings (Next)02-19
Inst Owners12.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Revenue(TTM)8.71B
Net Income(TTM)1.12B
Analysts47.14
Price Target37.94 (5.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
DP60.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.91%
Min EPS beat(2)28.8%
Max EPS beat(2)65.02%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)31.76%
Min EPS beat(4)5.73%
Max EPS beat(4)65.02%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.77%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.33%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.51%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
P/S 1.6
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 12.65
P/B 0.71
P/tB 0.85
EV/EBITDA 10.35
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-6.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.91%
SpS22.5
BVpS51.06
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROCE 3.31%
ROIC 2.48%
ROICexc 2.49%
ROICexgc 2.71%
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.89%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)2.08%
ROICexgc(5y)2.28%
ROCE(3y)2.4%
ROCE(5y)2.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.42%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.41%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 5.15
Cap/Depr 305.96%
Cap/Sales 43.06%
Interest Coverage 3.23
Cash Conversion 43.44%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 0.56
F-Score6
WACC6.31%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)260.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)271.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)36.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y88.24%
EBIT growth 3Y2.29%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.85%
EBIT Next Year129.76%
EBIT Next 3Y39.02%
EBIT Next 5Y24.63%
FCF growth 1Y-69.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.57%
OCF growth 3Y-10.64%
OCF growth 5Y-12.39%

AVANGRID INC / AGR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVANGRID INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGR.


Can you provide the valuation status for AVANGRID INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVANGRID INC (AGR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AGR stock?

AVANGRID INC (AGR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of AVANGRID INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 12.46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.71.


How financially healthy is AVANGRID INC?

The financial health rating of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 1 / 10.