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AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AGR - US05351W1036 - Common Stock

36.02 USD
+0.29 (+0.81%)
Last: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
35.86 USD
-0.16 (-0.44%)
After Hours: 12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AGR gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGR against 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. AGR has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGR is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate. AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGR was profitable.
  • AGR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AGR had a positive operating cash flow.
AGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • AGR's Return On Assets of 2.40% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGR outperforms 44.44% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 5.68%, AGR is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AGR (2.48%) is worse than 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGR is below the industry average of 4.58%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (1.86%) for AGR is below the current ROIC(2.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.4%
ROE 5.68%
ROIC 2.48%
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
AGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1 2 3 4

1.3 Margins

  • AGR has a Profit Margin (12.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGR's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • AGR's Operating Margin of 15.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 75.56% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGR has declined.
  • AGR has a better Gross Margin (74.78%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
  • AGR's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.07%
PM (TTM) 12.89%
GM 74.78%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
AGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGR has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AGR Yearly Shares OutstandingAGR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
AGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

  • AGR has an Altman-Z score of 0.56. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGR's Altman-Z score of 0.56 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 82.22% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66 indicates that AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • AGR has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.66) than 64.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.66
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.56
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
AGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AGR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.51, AGR is doing worse than 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGR has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGR's Quick ratio of 0.44 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 84.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.44
AGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 91.39% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -1.02% on average over the past years.
  • AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.35%.
  • AGR shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.93% on average over the next years.
  • AGR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B
AGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46, the valuation of AGR can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGR is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGR to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.21), we can say AGR is valued rather cheaply.
  • AGR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.71.
  • AGR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • AGR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.46
Fwd PE 14.71
AGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.35
AGR Per share dataAGR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • AGR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.90, AGR pays a better dividend. On top of this AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AGR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.89%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
  • AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • AGR has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
AGR Yearly Dividends per shareAGR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 60.70% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGR. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AGR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
AGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M -1B -1.5B -2B
AGR Dividend Payout.AGR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AVANGRID INC / AGR FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVANGRID INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGR.


Can you provide the valuation status for AVANGRID INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVANGRID INC (AGR). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AGR stock?

AVANGRID INC (AGR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of AVANGRID INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 12.46 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.71.


How financially healthy is AVANGRID INC?

The financial health rating of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 1 / 10.