AVANGRID INC (AGR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AGR - US05351W1036 - Common Stock
36.02 USD
+0.29 (+0.81%)
35.86 USD
-0.16 (-0.44%)
Taking everything into account, AGR scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGR was compared to 46 industry peers in the Electric Utilities industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGR while its profitability can be described as average. AGR has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. Finally AGR also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGR was profitable.
In the past year AGR had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGR always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AGR has a Return On Assets (2.40%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGR has a Return On Equity of 5.68%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGR underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 2.48%, AGR is doing worse than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGR is below the industry average of 5.00%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.86%) for AGR is below the current ROIC(2.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.4% | ||
| ROE | 5.68% | ||
| ROIC | 2.48% |
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
1.3 Margins
AGR has a Profit Margin (12.89%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGR has remained more or less at the same level.
AGR's Operating Margin of 15.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGR is outperformed by 75.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGR has declined.
AGR's Gross Margin of 74.78% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGR outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGR has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.89% | ||
| GM | 74.78% |
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGR is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGR remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, AGR has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AGR is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.56, we must say that AGR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGR has a Altman-Z score of 0.56. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGR underperforms 82.22% of its industry peers.
AGR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.66. This is a neutral value indicating AGR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.66, AGR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.39
WACC6.31%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AGR may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGR has a Current ratio of 0.51. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGR underperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
AGR has a Quick Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AGR is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, AGR is doing worse than 84.44% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 91.39% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGR shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -1.02% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.35% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.11% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.93% on average over the next years.
AGR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 12.46, the valuation of AGR can be described as correct.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AGR.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.89, AGR is valued rather cheaply.
AGR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.71.
AGR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.59, AGR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.71 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.89%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.77, AGR pays a better dividend. On top of this AGR pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.44, AGR pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.89% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGR has a limited annual growth rate of 0.26%.
AGR has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AGR did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGR pays out 60.70% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP60.7%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
36.02
+0.29 (+0.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryElectric Utilities
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners12.36%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.05%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap13.94B
Revenue(TTM)8.71B
Net Income(TTM)1.12B
Analysts47.14
Price Target37.94 (5.33%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.89% |
Yearly Dividend1.76
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.26%
DP60.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)46.91%
Min EPS beat(2)28.8%
Max EPS beat(2)65.02%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)31.76%
Min EPS beat(4)5.73%
Max EPS beat(4)65.02%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)4.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)7.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)9.56%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.77%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.77%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.39%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.33%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.51%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.95%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 12.46 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.71 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12.65 | ||
| P/B | 0.71 | ||
| P/tB | 0.85 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.35 |
EPS(TTM)2.89
EY8.02%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-6.84
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.85
OCFY7.91%
SpS22.5
BVpS51.06
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.4% | ||
| ROE | 5.68% | ||
| ROCE | 3.31% | ||
| ROIC | 2.48% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.49% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.71% | ||
| OM | 15.07% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.89% | ||
| GM | 74.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.91%
ROA(5y)1.84%
ROE(3y)4.08%
ROE(5y)4.09%
ROIC(3y)1.86%
ROIC(5y)2.01%
ROICexc(3y)1.89%
ROICexc(5y)2.05%
ROICexgc(3y)2.08%
ROICexgc(5y)2.28%
ROCE(3y)2.4%
ROCE(5y)2.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.42%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-3.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.41%
OM growth 3Y-6.63%
OM growth 5Y-8.53%
PM growth 3Y0.96%
PM growth 5Y0.86%
GM growth 3Y-3.27%
GM growth 5Y-1.02%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.66 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.15 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 305.96% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 43.06% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.23 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 43.44% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.44 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.56 |
F-Score6
WACC6.31%
ROIC/WACC0.39
Cap/Depr(3y)260.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)271.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)36.74%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.5%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)91.39%
EPS 3Y1.14%
EPS 5Y-1.02%
EPS Q2Q%103.7%
EPS Next Y11.56%
EPS Next 2Y8.25%
EPS Next 3Y6.59%
EPS Next 5Y5.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.55%
Revenue growth 5Y5.11%
Sales Q2Q%5.52%
Revenue Next Year1.07%
Revenue Next 2Y2.2%
Revenue Next 3Y1.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.85%
EBIT growth 1Y88.24%
EBIT growth 3Y2.29%
EBIT growth 5Y-3.85%
EBIT Next Year129.76%
EBIT Next 3Y39.02%
EBIT Next 5Y24.63%
FCF growth 1Y-69.83%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-24.57%
OCF growth 3Y-10.64%
OCF growth 5Y-12.39%
AVANGRID INC / AGR FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AVANGRID INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to AGR.
What is the valuation status of AVANGRID INC (AGR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AVANGRID INC (AGR). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AGR stock?
AVANGRID INC (AGR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for AVANGRID INC (AGR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is expected to grow by 11.56% in the next year.
Is the dividend of AVANGRID INC sustainable?
The dividend rating of AVANGRID INC (AGR) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 60.7%.