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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP (AGNCP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCP - Nasdaq - US00123Q2030 - Currency: USD

24.7901  -0.08 (-0.32%)

Fundamental Rating

2

AGNCP gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNCP has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNCP is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGNCP had positive earnings in the past year.
AGNCP had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCP reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCP reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AGNCP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AGNCP (1.15%) is better than 73.44% of its industry peers.
AGNCP has a Return On Equity of 10.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNCP outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
AGNCP has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNCP outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROIC 1.02%
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 24.93%, AGNCP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 28.02%, AGNCP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGNCP has a Gross Margin of 30.60%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNCP outperforms 51.56% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
AGNCP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 200

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

There is no outstanding debt for AGNCP. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AGNCP Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
AGNCP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.91, we must say that AGNCP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGNCP has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.91) than 87.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCP has dependencies on debt financing.
AGNCP's Debt to Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCP is outperformed by 81.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.91
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

AGNCP has a Current Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCP has a Current ratio of 0.03. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCP underperforms 89.06% of its industry peers.
AGNCP has a Quick Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCP has a worse Quick ratio (0.03) than 89.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
AGNCP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AGNCP have decreased strongly by -27.10% in the last year.
AGNCP shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%

3.2 Future

AGNCP is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -7.39% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCP will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 391.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AGNCP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B 2B
AGNCP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 12.98 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCP.
AGNCP's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.28. AGNCP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.12, the valuation of AGNCP can be described as correct.
AGNCP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AGNCP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 91.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.98
Fwd PE 14.12
AGNCP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCP Per share dataAGNCP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGNCP's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.71%, AGNCP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 13.38, AGNCP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, AGNCP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCP decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCP has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
AGNCP Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCP Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

AGNCP pays out 113.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCP has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNCP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCP Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B
AGNCP Dividend Payout.AGNCP Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCP Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCP (1/29/2025, 8:02:54 PM)

24.7901

-0.08 (-0.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap21.96B
Analysts78.1
Price Target26.65 (7.5%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.75
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)2.58%
PT rev (3m)11.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)54.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.98
Fwd PE 14.12
P/S 5.34
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.27
P/tB 2.4
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.7%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY7.08%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.65
BVpS10.9
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROCE 11.37%
ROIC 1.02%
ROICexc 1.03%
ROICexgc 1.04%
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.34%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
Altman-Z -0.91
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y3.74%
EBIT Next Year10.73%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-101.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-101.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A