AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP (AGNCP) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:AGNCP - Nasdaq - US00123Q2030 - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AGNCP scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGNCP was compared to 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNCP has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNCP is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGNCP was profitable.
AGNCP had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCP reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCP reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.15%, AGNCP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP has a Return On Equity of 10.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNCP outperforms 85.94% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.02%, AGNCP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.63% | ||
| ROIC | 1.02% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNCP has a better Profit Margin (24.93%) than 85.94% of its industry peers.
AGNCP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGNCP has a better Operating Margin (28.02%) than 82.81% of its industry peers.
AGNCP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.60%, AGNCP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 28.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.93% | ||
| GM | 30.6% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNCP has more shares outstanding
AGNCP has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGNCP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.91, we must say that AGNCP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGNCP (-0.91) is worse than 85.94% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCP has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 8.19, AGNCP is doing worse than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.03, AGNCP is not doing good in the industry: 89.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNCP has a worse Quick ratio (0.03) than 89.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGNCP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.10%.
Measured over the past years, AGNCP shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGNCP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 53.82%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.98% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
3.2 Future
AGNCP is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -7.54% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCP will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 194.42% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.19 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNCP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.94% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AGNCP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.75.
AGNCP is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.40.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AGNCP.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.44, AGNCP is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.4 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNCP's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.82%, AGNCP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.95, AGNCP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNCP's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.82% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNCP decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCP has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCP has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
113.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCP has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8 PERP
NASDAQ:AGNCP (3/3/2025, 8:11:18 PM)
25.2
-0.04 (-0.16%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.61B
Analysts78.1
Price Target26.65 (5.75%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.43
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.82% |
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-3.93%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)31.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.19 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.4 | ||
| P/S | 5.5 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 2.34 | ||
| P/tB | 2.48 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.58%
EPS(NY)1.64
Fwd EY6.49%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.59
BVpS10.76
TBVpS10.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.63% | ||
| ROCE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 1.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.04% | ||
| OM | 28.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.93% | ||
| GM | 30.6% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.91 |
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-442.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-442.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A