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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 10.1219 PERP (AGNCO) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCO - Nasdaq - US00123Q8078 - Currency: USD

25.71  +0.03 (+0.12%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AGNCO gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGNCO against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNCO has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNCO is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGNCO was profitable.
In the past year AGNCO has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNCO reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCO reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AGNCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCO Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

AGNCO has a better Return On Assets (1.15%) than 78.13% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 10.63%, AGNCO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCO has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNCO outperforms 71.88% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROIC 1.02%
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCO Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 24.93%, AGNCO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.81% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCO has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 28.02%, AGNCO is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.69% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNCO has remained more or less at the same level.
AGNCO's Gross Margin of 30.60% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCO outperforms 53.13% of its industry peers.
AGNCO's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
AGNCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCO Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The number of shares outstanding for AGNCO has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGNCO has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGNCO is higher compared to a year ago.
AGNCO Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCO Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
AGNCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCO Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.90, we must say that AGNCO is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGNCO has a Altman-Z score of -0.90. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCO underperforms 82.81% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCO has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 8.19, AGNCO is doing worse than 84.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCO Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

AGNCO has a Current Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.03, AGNCO is not doing good in the industry: 92.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGNCO has a Quick Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCO has a Quick ratio of 0.03. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCO underperforms 92.19% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
AGNCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCO Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AGNCO have decreased strongly by -27.10% in the last year.
AGNCO shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
The Revenue has grown by 53.82% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
AGNCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -7.54% on average over the next years.
AGNCO is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 194.42% yearly.
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AGNCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCO Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B
AGNCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCO Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 13.46, which indicates a correct valuation of AGNCO.
AGNCO's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.75), we can say AGNCO is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.71, AGNCO is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNCO is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.63% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.44, AGNCO is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.46
Fwd PE 15.71
AGNCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCO Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCO Per share dataAGNCO EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNCO's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.54% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.82%, AGNCO is a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGNCO's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 12.95.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, AGNCO pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.82%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCO decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCO has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCO has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
AGNCO Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCO Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

113.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCO. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGNCO's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
AGNCO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCO Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B
AGNCO Dividend Payout.AGNCO Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCO Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 10.1219 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCO (3/4/2025, 3:30:00 PM)

25.71

+0.03 (+0.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2025-04-21/amc
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.07B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.19 (5.76%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.38
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.82%
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-3.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)31.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.46
Fwd PE 15.71
P/S 5.61
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.39
P/tB 2.53
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.43%
EPS(NY)1.64
Fwd EY6.36%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.59
BVpS10.76
TBVpS10.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROCE 11.37%
ROIC 1.02%
ROICexc 1.03%
ROICexgc 1.04%
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
Altman-Z -0.9
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-442.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-442.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A