AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 9.67459 PERP (AGNCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:AGNCN - Nasdaq - US00123Q5009 - Currency: USD
Overall AGNCN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AGNCN against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. While AGNCN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AGNCN is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGNCN was profitable.
In the past year AGNCN has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNCN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCN reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
AGNCN has a Return On Assets of 1.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNCN outperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
AGNCN has a Return On Equity of 10.63%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNCN outperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
AGNCN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.02%) than 70.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.63% | ||
| ROIC | 1.02% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNCN has a better Profit Margin (24.93%) than 81.25% of its industry peers.
AGNCN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 28.02%, AGNCN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.13% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCN's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
AGNCN has a Gross Margin of 30.60%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNCN outperforms 51.56% of its industry peers.
AGNCN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 28.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.93% | ||
| GM | 30.6% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The number of shares outstanding for AGNCN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGNCN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGNCN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.90, we must say that AGNCN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGNCN's Altman-Z score of -0.90 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCN is outperformed by 81.25% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCN has dependencies on debt financing.
AGNCN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 8.19. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCN underperforms 85.94% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.9 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGNCN (0.03) is worse than 93.75% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNCN's Quick ratio of 0.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCN is outperformed by 93.75% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNCN have decreased strongly by -27.10% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGNCN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
AGNCN shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 53.82%.
AGNCN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCN will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.54% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 194.42% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.60 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCN is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCN to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.75), we can say AGNCN is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.87, which indicates a correct valuation of AGNCN.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNCN is valued a bit more expensive than 67.19% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNCN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.44, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGNCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.54% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.82%, AGNCN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.95, AGNCN pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNCN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.30.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.82% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNCN decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCN has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
5.3 Sustainability
AGNCN pays out 113.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCN has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 9.67459 PERP
NASDAQ:AGNCN (3/3/2025, 8:11:18 PM)
After market: 25.97 0 (0%)25.97
+0.17 (+0.66%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners41.92%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.48%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap23.31B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.83 (7.16%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.52
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.82% |
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.83%
EPS NY rev (3m)-7.24%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NY rev (1m)31%
Revenue NY rev (3m)31.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.6 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.87 | ||
| P/S | 5.66 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 2.41 | ||
| P/tB | 2.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.35%
EPS(NY)1.64
Fwd EY6.3%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.59
BVpS10.76
TBVpS10.17
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.15% | ||
| ROE | 10.63% | ||
| ROCE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 1.02% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.03% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.04% | ||
| OM | 28.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 24.93% | ||
| GM | 30.6% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexcg growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.19 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | N/A | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | -0.9 |
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-14.33%
EPS Next 2Y-8.73%
EPS Next 3Y-7.54%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.82%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1997.32%
Revenue Next 2Y336.49%
Revenue Next 3Y194.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-442.86%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-442.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A