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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 9.67459 PERP (AGNCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCN - Nasdaq - US00123Q5009 - Currency: USD

25.81  -0.02 (-0.08%)

After market: 25.76 -0.05 (-0.19%)

Fundamental Rating

2

AGNCN gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNCN while its profitability can be described as average. AGNCN is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGNCN was profitable.
AGNCN had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCN reported negative net income in multiple years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCN reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AGNCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AGNCN (1.15%) is better than 68.75% of its industry peers.
AGNCN has a better Return On Equity (10.63%) than 82.81% of its industry peers.
AGNCN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.02%) than 70.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROIC 1.02%
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 24.93%, AGNCN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.13% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCN has declined.
AGNCN has a Operating Margin of 28.02%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNCN outperforms 78.13% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNCN has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.60%, AGNCN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.88% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCN has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
AGNCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 200

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGNCN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
AGNCN Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
AGNCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.90, we must say that AGNCN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -0.90, AGNCN is not doing good in the industry: 81.25% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCN has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AGNCN (8.19) is worse than 85.94% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.9
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.03, AGNCN is not doing good in the industry: 93.75% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGNCN has a Quick Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCN's Quick ratio of 0.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCN is outperformed by 93.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
AGNCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGNCN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.10%.
Measured over the past years, AGNCN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -7.39% on average over the next years.
AGNCN is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 391.93% yearly.
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGNCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B 2B
AGNCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.51, AGNCN is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCN is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCN to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.28), we can say AGNCN is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 14.70, which indicates a correct valuation of AGNCN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNCN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AGNCN is more expensive than 60.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 91.29. AGNCN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.51
Fwd PE 14.7
AGNCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCN Per share dataAGNCN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.39% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGNCN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.71%, which is a nice return.
AGNCN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 13.38.
AGNCN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCN decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCN has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
As AGNCN did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
AGNCN Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

AGNCN pays out 113.55% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNCN has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNCN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B
AGNCN Dividend Payout.AGNCN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 9.67459 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCN (1/29/2025, 8:02:54 PM)

After market: 25.76 -0.05 (-0.19%)

25.81

-0.02 (-0.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.86B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.83 (7.83%)
Short Float %0.01%
Short Ratio1.73
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)2.05%
PT rev (3m)11.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)54.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.51
Fwd PE 14.7
P/S 5.55
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.37
P/tB 2.5
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.4%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY6.8%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.65
BVpS10.9
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROCE 11.37%
ROIC 1.02%
ROICexc 1.03%
ROICexgc 1.04%
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.34%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
Altman-Z -0.9
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y3.74%
EBIT Next Year10.73%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-101.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-101.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A