AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AGNCM • US00123Q6098

Current stock price

24.61 USD
-0.09 (-0.34%)
Last:

This AGNCM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. AGNCM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGNCM was profitable.
  • AGNCM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AGNCM 4 years were profitable.
  • Of the past 5 years AGNCM 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.31%, AGNCM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 12.18%, AGNCM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNCM has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.16%) than 82.35% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 0.70%. This is in line with the industry average of 1.30%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.16%) for AGNCM is above the 3 year average (0.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 12.18%
ROIC 1.16%
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AGNCM (32.49%) is better than 86.76% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGNCM's Operating Margin of 35.95% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNCM outperforms 86.76% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNCM has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.69%, AGNCM is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.82% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 35.95%
PM (TTM) 32.49%
GM 38.69%
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
AGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200

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0

2. AGNCM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AGNCM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AGNCM has more shares outstanding
  • AGNCM has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.92, we must say that AGNCM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AGNCM has a worse Altman-Z score (-0.92) than 86.76% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM has a debt to FCF ratio of 155.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNCM would need 155.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNCM (155.89) is worse than 63.24% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AGNCM has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (8.21) than 73.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.21
Debt/FCF 155.89
Altman-Z -0.92
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AGNCM has a Current Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.01, AGNCM is not doing good in the industry: 92.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • AGNCM has a Quick Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.01, AGNCM is not doing good in the industry: 92.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
AGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. AGNCM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGNCM have decreased strongly by -20.42% in the last year.
  • AGNCM shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.92% yearly.
  • AGNCM shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 18.98%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 56.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.42%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-5.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%79.13%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCM will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.91% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 27.10% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y1.16%
EPS Next 2Y0.35%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year60.72%
Revenue Next 2Y27.1%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B 4B
AGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

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3

4. AGNCM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AGNCM is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.19.
  • AGNCM's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • AGNCM is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.00 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCM.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AGNCM.
  • AGNCM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.19
Fwd PE 16
AGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGNCM's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 42.33
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCM Per share dataAGNCM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of AGNCM may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)13.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.35%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AGNCM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGNCM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.99%, which is a nice return.
  • AGNCM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 11.98.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, AGNCM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.99%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGNCM decreases each year by -2.31%.
  • AGNCM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • As AGNCM did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
AGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 106.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AGNCM's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP106.1%
EPS Next 2Y0.35%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
AGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B
AGNCM Dividend Payout.AGNCM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGNCM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCM (3/26/2026, 8:03:45 PM)

24.61

-0.09 (-0.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-26
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners39.96%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.35%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap27.64B
Revenue(TTM)4.64B
Net Income(TTM)1.51B
Analysts73
Price Target26.59 (8.05%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.56
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 13.99%
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
DP106.1%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years5
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-51.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-46.3%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-46.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-75.85%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-80.39%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-96.1%
PT rev (1m)-0.53%
PT rev (3m)9.9%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.73%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.13%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.19
Fwd PE 16
P/S 5.95
P/FCF 42.33
P/OCF 42.33
P/B 2.23
P/tB 2.33
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.52
EY6.18%
EPS(NY)1.54
Fwd EY6.25%
FCF(TTM)0.58
FCFY2.36%
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY2.36%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.03
TBVpS10.57
PEG (NY)13.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.43
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 12.18%
ROCE 13.41%
ROIC 1.16%
ROICexc 1.16%
ROICexgc 1.17%
OM 35.95%
PM (TTM) 32.49%
GM 38.69%
FCFM 14.06%
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)0.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)0.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.21
Debt/FCF 155.89
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.6
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 43.27%
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
Altman-Z -0.92
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.42%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-5.41%
EPS Next Y1.16%
EPS Next 2Y0.35%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%79.13%
Revenue Next Year60.72%
Revenue Next 2Y27.1%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y93.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y659.3%
FCF growth 3Y-13.62%
FCF growth 5Y-17.87%
OCF growth 1Y659.3%
OCF growth 3Y-13.62%
OCF growth 5Y-17.87%

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP / AGNCM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNCM.


What is the valuation status for AGNCM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AGNCM stock?

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP?

The financial health rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) is 0 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) stock?

The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.2658 PERP (AGNCM) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 106.1%.