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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.89559 PERP (AGNCM) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AGNCM - Nasdaq - US00123Q6098 - Currency: USD

25.23  -0.09 (-0.36%)

After market: 25.13 -0.1 (-0.4%)

Fundamental Rating

2

AGNCM gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNCM while its profitability can be described as average. AGNCM has a expensive valuation and it also scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AGNCM was profitable.
In the past year AGNCM has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNCM reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNCM reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
AGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AGNCM (1.15%) is better than 71.88% of its industry peers.
AGNCM's Return On Equity of 10.63% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNCM outperforms 85.94% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.02%, AGNCM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROIC 1.02%
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

AGNCM's Profit Margin of 24.93% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNCM outperforms 81.25% of its industry peers.
AGNCM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of AGNCM (28.02%) is better than 81.25% of its industry peers.
AGNCM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 30.60%, AGNCM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNCM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
AGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100 200

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AGNCM has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
AGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
AGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

AGNCM has an Altman-Z score of -0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AGNCM (-0.91) is worse than 85.94% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.19 is on the high side and indicates that AGNCM has dependencies on debt financing.
AGNCM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 8.19. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCM underperforms 82.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.91
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

AGNCM has a Current Ratio of 0.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGNCM's Current ratio of 0.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCM is outperformed by 90.63% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.03 indicates that AGNCM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNCM's Quick ratio of 0.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNCM is outperformed by 90.63% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
AGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

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2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AGNCM have decreased strongly by -27.10% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCM will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.39% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 391.93% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B 2B
AGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1 2 3

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.21 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCM.
AGNCM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCM to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.28), we can say AGNCM is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.37 indicates a correct valuation of AGNCM.
AGNCM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 91.29, AGNCM is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.21
Fwd PE 14.37
AGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCM Per share dataAGNCM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGNCM's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AGNCM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 14.71%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 13.38, AGNCM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
AGNCM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%

5.2 History

The dividend of AGNCM decreases each year by -5.50%.
AGNCM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
AGNCM has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
AGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

113.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGNCM's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP113.55%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B
AGNCM Dividend Payout.AGNCM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.89559 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCM (1/29/2025, 8:02:54 PM)

After market: 25.13 -0.1 (-0.4%)

25.23

-0.09 (-0.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.45%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap22.34B
Analysts78.1
Price Target27.08 (7.33%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio1.63
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 14.71%
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.5%
DP113.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.82%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.69%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.3%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)6.74%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.75%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-119.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(2)-105.73%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-113.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-133.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)-105.73%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-73.13%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-114.54%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-77.01%
PT rev (1m)0.5%
PT rev (3m)11.87%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)54.85%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.21
Fwd PE 14.37
P/S 5.43
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 2.31
P/tB 2.45
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.91
EY7.57%
EPS(NY)1.76
Fwd EY6.96%
FCF(TTM)-0.03
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.03
OCFYN/A
SpS4.65
BVpS10.9
TBVpS10.31
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.15%
ROE 10.63%
ROCE 11.37%
ROIC 1.02%
ROICexc 1.03%
ROICexgc 1.04%
OM 28.02%
PM (TTM) 24.93%
GM 30.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-0.5%
ROA(5y)-0.28%
ROE(3y)-3.25%
ROE(5y)-1.47%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y13.34%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-7.87%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-28.26%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y-9.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.05
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.19
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.03
Quick Ratio 0.03
Altman-Z -0.91
F-Score6
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.1%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-38.33%
EPS Next Y-8.05%
EPS Next 2Y-7.39%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%542.31%
Revenue Next Year1501.03%
Revenue Next 2Y391.93%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y279.28%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y3.74%
EBIT Next Year10.73%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-101.85%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-101.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A