AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AGNCM • US00123Q6098

Current stock price

24.85 USD
+0.02 (+0.08%)
Last:

This AGNCM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. AGNCM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AGNCM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AGNCM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • AGNCM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years AGNCM 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNCM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.31%, AGNCM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 12.18%, AGNCM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNCM's Return On Invested Capital of 1.16% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNCM outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGNCM is in line with the industry average of 1.29%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.16%) for AGNCM is above the 3 year average (0.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 12.18%
ROIC 1.16%
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNCM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • AGNCM has a Profit Margin of 32.49%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNCM outperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNCM has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 35.95%, AGNCM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNCM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGNCM has a Gross Margin (38.69%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • AGNCM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 35.95%
PM (TTM) 32.49%
GM 38.69%
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
AGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNCM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200

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0

2. AGNCM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for AGNCM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGNCM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • AGNCM has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNCM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNCM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.92, we must say that AGNCM is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AGNCM (-0.92) is worse than 86.76% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM has a debt to FCF ratio of 155.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNCM would need 155.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNCM (155.89) is worse than 61.76% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.21. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AGNCM has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (8.21) than 73.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.21
Debt/FCF 155.89
Altman-Z -0.92
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNCM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNCM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AGNCM has a worse Current ratio (0.01) than 92.65% of its industry peers.
  • AGNCM has a Quick Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNCM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AGNCM has a Quick ratio of 0.01. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNCM underperforms 92.65% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
AGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNCM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. AGNCM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGNCM have decreased strongly by -15.25% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for AGNCM have been decreasing by -10.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • AGNCM shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 18.98%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 56.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.91% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AGNCM will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 22.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
AGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1B 2B 3B 4B
AGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNCM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

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3

4. AGNCM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.57, the valuation of AGNCM can be described as correct.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AGNCM.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNCM to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.15), we can say AGNCM is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.26, AGNCM is valued correctly.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as AGNCM.
  • AGNCM is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.57
Fwd PE 16.26
AGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNCM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AGNCM's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 42.75
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNCM Per share dataAGNCM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AGNCM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • AGNCM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. AGNCM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AGNCM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.97%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.49, AGNCM has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • AGNCM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.97%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGNCM decreases each year by -2.31%.
  • AGNCM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareAGNCM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 106.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNCM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of AGNCM has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP106.1%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
AGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNCM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B
AGNCM Dividend Payout.AGNCM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNCM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AGNCM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP

NASDAQ:AGNCM (4/28/2026, 10:30:41 AM)

24.85

+0.02 (+0.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)04-20
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners39.4%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap27.91B
Revenue(TTM)4.64B
Net Income(TTM)1.51B
Analysts73
Price Target26.4 (6.24%)
Short Float %0%
Short Ratio0.56
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 12.97%
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
DP106.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-01
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-51.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-46.3%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-46.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-75.85%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-80.39%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-96.1%
PT rev (1m)1.58%
PT rev (3m)17.1%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.44%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.57
Fwd PE 16.26
P/S 6.01
P/FCF 42.75
P/OCF 42.75
P/B 2.25
P/tB 2.35
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.5
EY6.04%
EPS(NY)1.53
Fwd EY6.15%
FCF(TTM)0.58
FCFY2.34%
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY2.34%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.03
TBVpS10.57
PEG (NY)5.97
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.297 (-22.35%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.31%
ROE 12.18%
ROCE 13.41%
ROIC 1.16%
ROICexc 1.16%
ROICexgc 1.17%
OM 35.95%
PM (TTM) 32.49%
GM 38.69%
FCFM 14.06%
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)0.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)0.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.21
Debt/FCF 155.89
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.6
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 43.27%
Current Ratio 0.01
Quick Ratio 0.01
Altman-Z -0.92
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y93.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y659.3%
FCF growth 3Y-13.62%
FCF growth 5Y-17.87%
OCF growth 1Y659.3%
OCF growth 3Y-13.62%
OCF growth 5Y-17.87%

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP / AGNCM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNCM.


What is the valuation status for AGNCM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


How profitable is AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) stock?

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for AGNCM stock?

The financial health rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) is 0 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AGNCM stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP - AGNC 8.26671 PERP (AGNCM) is expected to grow by 2.77% in the next year.