AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AGNC • US00123Q1040
Current stock price
10.97 USD
-0.11 (-0.99%)
At close:
11.0135 USD
+0.04 (+0.4%)
After Hours:
This AGNC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AGNC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AGNC was profitable.
- In the past year AGNC had a positive cash flow from operations.
- AGNC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AGNC has a Return On Assets of 1.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 85.29% of its industry peers.
- AGNC has a better Return On Equity (12.18%) than 97.06% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.16%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGNC is in line with the industry average of 1.29%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (1.16%) for AGNC is above the 3 year average (0.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 12.18% | ||
| ROIC | 1.16% |
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 32.49%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 35.95%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of AGNC (38.69%) is better than 61.76% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 35.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.49% | ||
| GM | 38.69% |
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. AGNC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
- AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.01, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.01, AGNC is doing worse than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC is 155.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGNC, 155.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- AGNC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 155.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 41.18% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.21 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
- AGNC has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (8.21) than 70.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 155.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.01 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.01 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AGNC has a worse Current ratio (0.01) than 89.71% of its industry peers.
- AGNC has a Quick Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AGNC has a Quick ratio of 0.01. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNC underperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 |
3. AGNC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -15.25% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.92% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, AGNC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 18.98% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 56.11% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.91% on average over the next years.
- AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 22.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. AGNC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.31, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.18, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
- AGNC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.68, AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of AGNC may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
5. AGNC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.00%, which is a nice return.
- AGNC's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 12.48.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -2.31%.
- AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- 106.10% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of AGNC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP106.1%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
AGNC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
10.97
-0.11 (-0.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Industry Strength40.37
Industry Growth81.99
Earnings (Last)04-20 2026-04-20/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.4%
Inst Owner Change-1.12%
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner Change8.47%
Market Cap12.32B
Revenue(TTM)4.64B
Net Income(TTM)1.51B
Analysts73
Price Target11.73 (6.93%)
Short Float %8.11%
Short Ratio4.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
DP106.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-30 2026-04-30 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-51.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-46.3%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-46.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-75.85%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-80.39%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-96.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.13%
PT rev (3m)10.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.31 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.18 | ||
| P/S | 2.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 18.87 | ||
| P/B | 0.99 | ||
| P/tB | 1.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.5
EY13.67%
EPS(NY)1.53
Fwd EY13.94%
FCF(TTM)0.58
FCFY5.3%
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY5.3%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.03
TBVpS10.57
PEG (NY)2.64
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.297 (75.91%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 12.18% | ||
| ROCE | 13.41% | ||
| ROIC | 1.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.17% | ||
| OM | 35.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.49% | ||
| GM | 38.69% | ||
| FCFM | 14.06% |
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)0.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)0.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 155.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.01 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y93.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y659.3%
FCF growth 3Y-13.62%
FCF growth 5Y-17.87%
OCF growth 1Y659.3%
OCF growth 3Y-13.62%
OCF growth 5Y-17.87%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 7.31 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.99.
What is the financial health of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
The financial health rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 0 / 10.