12.17 USD
+0.37 (+3.14%)
12.2 USD
+0.03 (+0.25%)
AGNC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNC has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AGNC was profitable.
- In the past year AGNC had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AGNC reported negative net income in multiple years.
- In multiple years AGNC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 0.63%, AGNC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.06% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of AGNC (6.00%) is better than 85.29% of its industry peers.
- AGNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.62%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- AGNC has a better Profit Margin (18.05%) than 83.82% of its industry peers.
- AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AGNC has a Operating Margin of 22.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
- The Gross Margin of AGNC (25.11%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- AGNC has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.03, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AGNC has a Altman-Z score of -1.03. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNC underperforms 94.12% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC is 157.31, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGNC, 157.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- AGNC's Debt to FCF ratio of 157.31 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
- AGNC's Debt to Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 72.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- AGNC has a Current Ratio of 0.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AGNC has a Current ratio of 0.02. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNC underperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.02, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 88.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -20.42% in the last year.
- The earnings per share for AGNC have been decreasing by -10.92% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.42%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-5.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%79.13%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.05% on average per year.
- AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 29.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.31%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year57.74%
Revenue Next 2Y29.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.01, which indicates a very decent valuation of AGNC.
- AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.87. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.53, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued a bit cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.96, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.45%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 11.64, AGNC's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 86.76% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than AGNC!
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.45% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
- AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- AGNC pays out 221.40% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to grow by 6.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.