11.16 USD
+0.09 (+0.81%)
11.13 USD
-0.03 (-0.27%)
Taking everything into account, AGNC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGNC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGNC was profitable.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 0.63%, AGNC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.00%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.62%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNC has a Profit Margin of 18.05%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGNC's Operating Margin of 22.01% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.11%, AGNC is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.06% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AGNC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.03, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.03, AGNC is doing worse than 95.59% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 157.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGNC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 8.30, AGNC is doing worse than 72.06% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNC has a worse Current ratio (0.02) than 88.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.02, AGNC is doing worse than 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -28.04% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -7.48% in the past year.
AGNC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
3.2 Future
AGNC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -6.06% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 204.03% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.25, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNC indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGNC is cheaper than 86.76% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.17, AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.91 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
AGNC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.79), we can say AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.91 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGNC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.43%, AGNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 11.16, AGNC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.43% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
11.16
+0.09 (+0.81%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.98%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap11.97B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-6.72%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.43% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.25 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.91 | ||
| P/S | 3.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.82 | ||
| P/B | 1.05 | ||
| P/tB | 1.1 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY13.8%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY14.48%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY5.05%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY5.05%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.63% | ||
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% | ||
| FCFM | 15.87% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.