11.97 USD
-0.05 (-0.42%)
12.0097 USD
+0.04 (+0.33%)
AGNC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AGNC was profitable.
- AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- AGNC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In multiple years AGNC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AGNC has a better Return On Assets (0.63%) than 72.06% of its industry peers.
- AGNC's Return On Equity of 6.00% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNC outperforms 85.29% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.62%, AGNC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 0.70%. This is in line with the industry average of 1.28%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 18.05%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNC has declined.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.01%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has declined.
- AGNC's Gross Margin of 25.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for AGNC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of -1.03, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 94.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC is 157.31, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGNC, 157.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 157.31, AGNC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 8.30, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 72.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AGNC has a Current ratio of 0.02. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNC underperforms 88.24% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AGNC's Quick ratio of 0.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- AGNC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.42%.
- Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.92% on average per year.
- The Revenue has grown by 18.98% in the past year. This is quite good.
- AGNC shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 56.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.42%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-5.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%79.13%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.05% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 29.60% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y6.31%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year57.74%
Revenue Next 2Y29.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AGNC is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.88.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.39. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.41, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
- 79.41% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.72. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 21.26 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.98%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 11.60, AGNC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- AGNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 11.98% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
- AGNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- AGNC pays out 221.40% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to grow by 6.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.