AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AGNC • US00123Q1040
Current stock price
11.08 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
At close:
11.1194 USD
+0.04 (+0.36%)
After Hours:
This AGNC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AGNC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AGNC had positive earnings in the past year.
- AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years were profitable.
- AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.31%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC has a Return On Equity of 12.18%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 97.06% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.16%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGNC is in line with the industry average of 1.29%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (1.16%) for AGNC is above the 3 year average (0.70%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 12.18% | ||
| ROIC | 1.16% |
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- AGNC's Profit Margin of 32.49% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNC outperforms 91.18% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNC has declined.
- The Operating Margin of AGNC (35.95%) is better than 89.71% of its industry peers.
- AGNC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.69%, AGNC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 35.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.49% | ||
| GM | 38.69% |
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. AGNC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The number of shares outstanding for AGNC has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for AGNC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.01, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AGNC's Altman-Z score of -1.01 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 91.18% of its industry peers.
- AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 155.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 155.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 155.89, AGNC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.21 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
- AGNC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 8.21. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGNC underperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 155.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.01 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
- AGNC has a Current Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AGNC has a Current ratio of 0.01. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AGNC underperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
- AGNC has a Quick Ratio of 0.01. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.01, AGNC is doing worse than 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 |
3. AGNC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -15.25% in the last year.
- AGNC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.92% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, AGNC shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 18.98% in the last year.
- AGNC shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 56.11% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%
3.2 Future
- AGNC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -0.91% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 22.57% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. AGNC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.39, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
- AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 86.76% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGNC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.91), we can say AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.25 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
- AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.99, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.25 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AGNC's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- AGNC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
5. AGNC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 12.97%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 12.49, AGNC has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- AGNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.97% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -2.31%.
- AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- AGNC pays out 106.10% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- AGNC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP106.1%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
AGNC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
11.08
-0.02 (-0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)04-20 2026-04-20/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners39.4%
Inst Owner Change-1.12%
Ins Owners0.41%
Ins Owner Change8.47%
Market Cap12.45B
Revenue(TTM)4.64B
Net Income(TTM)1.51B
Analysts73
Price Target11.73 (5.87%)
Short Float %8.11%
Short Ratio4.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 12.97% |
Yearly Dividend1.6
Dividend Growth(5Y)-2.31%
DP106.1%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date04-30 2026-04-30 (0.12)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-7.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.95%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.62%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-51.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-46.3%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.34%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-46.3%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-75.85%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-80.39%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-96.1%
PT rev (1m)-2.13%
PT rev (3m)10.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.7%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.59%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.18%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)6.24%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.25 | ||
| P/S | 2.68 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.06 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.06 | ||
| P/B | 1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.5
EY13.54%
EPS(NY)1.53
Fwd EY13.8%
FCF(TTM)0.58
FCFY5.25%
OCF(TTM)0.58
OCFY5.25%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.03
TBVpS10.57
PEG (NY)2.66
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.297 (74.16%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.31% | ||
| ROE | 12.18% | ||
| ROCE | 13.41% | ||
| ROIC | 1.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.17% | ||
| OM | 35.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.49% | ||
| GM | 38.69% | ||
| FCFM | 14.06% |
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)0.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)0.72%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.21 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 155.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 43.27% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.01 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.01 |
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.25%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-4.55%
EPS Next Y2.77%
EPS Next 2Y0.29%
EPS Next 3Y-0.91%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%100.63%
Revenue Next Year63.17%
Revenue Next 2Y28.48%
Revenue Next 3Y22.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y93.51%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year22.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y659.3%
FCF growth 3Y-13.62%
FCF growth 5Y-17.87%
OCF growth 1Y659.3%
OCF growth 3Y-13.62%
OCF growth 5Y-17.87%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 7.39 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.
What is the financial health of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) stock?
The financial health rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 0 / 10.