11.38 USD
-0.03 (-0.26%)
11.395 USD
+0.01 (+0.13%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AGNC. AGNC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGNC was profitable.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AGNC has a better Return On Assets (0.63%) than 72.06% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.00%, AGNC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.62%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNC has a Profit Margin of 18.05%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.01%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
The Gross Margin of AGNC (25.11%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AGNC's Altman-Z score of -1.03 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 94.12% of its industry peers.
AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 157.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGNC has a Debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AGNC outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
AGNC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 8.30. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGNC underperforms 72.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
AGNC has a Current Ratio of 0.02. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.02, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 88.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNC's Quick ratio of 0.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -28.04% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGNC shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -7.48% in the last year.
AGNC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
3.2 Future
AGNC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -6.06% yearly.
AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 204.03% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.39, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.25. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.04, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
83.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.04 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGNC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AGNC may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.03%, AGNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGNC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 10.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
AGNC pays out 221.40% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
11.38
-0.03 (-0.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.98%
Inst Owner Change0.81%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap12.21B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-8.52%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.04 | ||
| P/S | 3.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.21 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.21 | ||
| P/B | 1.07 | ||
| P/tB | 1.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY13.53%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY14.2%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY4.95%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY4.95%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.63% | ||
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% | ||
| FCFM | 15.87% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.