AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • Nasdaq • NASDAQ:AGNC • US00123Q1040

11.4 USD
-0.57 (-4.76%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
11.39 USD
-0.01 (-0.09%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

AGNC gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AGNC while its profitability can be described as average. AGNC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AGNC was profitable.
  • AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years were profitable.
  • In multiple years AGNC reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AGNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAGNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • AGNC has a Return On Assets of 0.63%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGNC outperforms 72.06% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC has a better Return On Equity (6.00%) than 85.29% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC has a better Return On Invested Capital (0.62%) than 64.71% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGNC is in line with the industry average of 1.28%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.63%
ROE 6%
ROIC 0.62%
ROA(3y)0.73%
ROA(5y)0.13%
ROE(3y)6.68%
ROE(5y)1.98%
ROIC(3y)0.7%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AGNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAGNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 -5 10 -10 -15

1.3 Margins

  • AGNC has a better Profit Margin (18.05%) than 83.82% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGNC has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of AGNC (22.01%) is better than 83.82% of its industry peers.
  • AGNC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AGNC has a Gross Margin (25.11%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AGNC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.01%
PM (TTM) 18.05%
GM 25.11%
OM growth 3Y-47.06%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-50.24%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-44.58%
GM growth 5YN/A
AGNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAGNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100 200

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for AGNC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for AGNC is higher compared to a year ago.
AGNC Yearly Shares OutstandingAGNC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AGNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAGNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.03, we must say that AGNC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.03, AGNC is doing worse than 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 157.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 157.31, AGNC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the high side and indicates that AGNC has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of AGNC (8.30) is worse than 72.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.3
Debt/FCF 157.31
Altman-Z -1.03
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AGNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAGNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.02, AGNC is doing worse than 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.02, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 88.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.02
Quick Ratio 0.02
AGNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAGNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -20.42% in the last year.
  • AGNC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.92% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 18.98% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 56.11% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.42%
EPS 3Y-21.4%
EPS 5Y-10.92%
EPS Q2Q%-5.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)18.98%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y56.11%
Sales Q2Q%79.13%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 2.05% on average over the next years.
  • AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 29.60% yearly.
EPS Next Y6.31%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year57.74%
Revenue Next 2Y29.6%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
AGNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAGNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 1B 2B 3B 4B
AGNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAGNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.50, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
  • 83.82% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGNC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.30, AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.05, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued a bit cheaper than 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AGNC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.5
Fwd PE 7.05
AGNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAGNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.25
EV/EBITDA N/A
AGNC Per share dataAGNC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 11.98%, AGNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 11.37, AGNC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AGNC pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 11.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
  • AGNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
AGNC Yearly Dividends per shareAGNC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y2.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AGNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAGNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B
AGNC Dividend Payout.AGNC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AGNC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.


What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AGNC stock?

AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to grow by 6.31% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?

The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.