11.4005 USD
-0.01 (-0.08%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AGNC. AGNC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. While AGNC is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. AGNC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGNC was profitable.
AGNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 0.63%, AGNC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.06% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a better Return On Equity (6.00%) than 85.29% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Return On Invested Capital of 0.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNC's Profit Margin of 18.05% is amongst the best of the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AGNC has a Operating Margin of 22.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
AGNC has a Gross Margin (25.11%) which is in line with its industry peers.
AGNC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for AGNC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGNC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -1.03. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -1.03, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 94.12% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 157.31. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AGNC would need 157.31 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 157.31, AGNC is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.53% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AGNC's Debt to Equity ratio of 8.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 72.06% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.02, AGNC is doing worse than 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AGNC (0.02) is worse than 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AGNC have decreased strongly by -28.04% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% on average per year.
AGNC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.48%.
AGNC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.06% on average per year.
AGNC is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 204.03% yearly.
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AGNC is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.40.
AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGNC is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.19, AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.06 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNC indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGNC is cheaper than 85.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGNC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.92), we can say AGNC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AGNC.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AGNC may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 9.03%, AGNC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 10.90, AGNC is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.92, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of AGNC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
NASDAQ:AGNC (1/12/2026, 10:53:10 AM)
11.4005
-0.01 (-0.08%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.98%
Inst Owner Change0.81%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap12.23B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-8.69%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 9.03% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.4 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.06 | ||
| P/S | 3.21 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.25 | ||
| P/OCF | 20.25 | ||
| P/B | 1.07 | ||
| P/tB | 1.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY13.51%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY14.17%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY4.94%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY4.94%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.63% | ||
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% | ||
| FCFM | 15.87% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.03 |
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.