10.72 USD
-0.1 (-0.92%)
10.74 USD
+0.02 (+0.19%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to AGNC. AGNC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AGNC has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. AGNC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGNC had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AGNC had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years AGNC reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AGNC 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AGNC's Return On Assets of 0.63% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 72.06% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 6.00%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC's Return On Invested Capital of 0.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC outperforms 64.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AGNC has a Profit Margin of 18.05%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGNC outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
AGNC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.01%, AGNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
AGNC's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 25.11%, AGNC is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.06% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGNC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% |
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGNC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGNC has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AGNC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGNC has an Altman-Z score of -1.04. This is a bad value and indicates that AGNC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -1.04, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 95.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC is 157.31, which is on the high side as it means it would take AGNC, 157.31 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGNC (157.31) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.30. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 8.30, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 72.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.04 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.02, AGNC is not doing good in the industry: 88.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.02 indicates that AGNC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AGNC's Quick ratio of 0.02 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGNC is outperformed by 88.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGNC shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -28.04%.
AGNC shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.52% yearly.
AGNC shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -7.48%.
Measured over the past years, AGNC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.98% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -6.06% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGNC will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 204.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.96, the valuation of AGNC can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AGNC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.51.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.63 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AGNC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGNC is valued cheaper than 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.13. AGNC is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGNC's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.04 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGNC has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGNC's earnings are expected to decrease with -6.06% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 13.28%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 10.99, AGNC pays a better dividend. On top of this AGNC pays more dividend than 80.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, AGNC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.28% |
5.2 History
The dividend of AGNC decreases each year by -5.92%.
AGNC has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGNC has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
221.40% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
AGNC's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP221.4%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
10.72
-0.1 (-0.92%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.87%
Inst Owner Change-16.66%
Ins Owners0.34%
Ins Owner Change-4.79%
Market Cap11.50B
Revenue(TTM)3.81B
Net Income(TTM)687.00M
Analysts77
Price Target10.41 (-2.89%)
Short Float %5.51%
Short Ratio2.87
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 13.28% |
Yearly Dividend1.56
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.92%
DP221.4%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.21%
Max EPS beat(2)-9.32%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-14.53%
Max EPS beat(4)7.47%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.1%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.33%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-57.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)-56.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-53.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-58.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)-47.42%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-83.53%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-66.63%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-99.31%
PT rev (1m)0.45%
PT rev (3m)4.52%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.25%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)20.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.96 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.63 | ||
| P/S | 3.02 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.04 | ||
| P/OCF | 19.04 | ||
| P/B | 1 | ||
| P/tB | 1.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)1.54
EY14.37%
EPS(NY)1.62
Fwd EY15.07%
FCF(TTM)0.56
FCFY5.25%
OCF(TTM)0.56
OCFY5.25%
SpS3.55
BVpS10.67
TBVpS10.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number19.23
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.63% | ||
| ROE | 6% | ||
| ROCE | 7.23% | ||
| ROIC | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.62% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.63% | ||
| OM | 22.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.05% | ||
| GM | 25.11% | ||
| FCFM | 15.87% |
ROA(3y)-0.54%
ROA(5y)-0.22%
ROE(3y)-2.86%
ROE(5y)-1.11%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-4.26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y9.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y9.52%
OM growth 3Y-35.43%
OM growth 5Y-1.27%
PM growth 3Y-35.92%
PM growth 5Y-2.73%
GM growth 3Y-35.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.15%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 8.3 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 157.31 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | 87.92% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.02 | ||
| Altman-Z | -1.04 |
F-Score3
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-28.04%
EPS 3Y-14.16%
EPS 5Y-2.52%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-18.31%
EPS Next 2Y-8.02%
EPS Next 3Y-6.06%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-7.48%
Revenue growth 3Y62.37%
Revenue growth 5Y5.98%
Sales Q2Q%331.25%
Revenue Next Year1514.86%
Revenue Next 2Y416.91%
Revenue Next 3Y204.03%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-27.32%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y4.64%
EBIT Next Year33.61%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y8528.57%
FCF growth 3Y-61.78%
FCF growth 5Y-40.77%
OCF growth 1Y8528.57%
OCF growth 3Y-61.78%
OCF growth 5Y-40.77%
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP / AGNC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AGNC.
What is the valuation status for AGNC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of AGNC stock?
AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AGNC INVESTMENT CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is expected to decline by -18.31% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AGNC stock?
The dividend rating of AGNC INVESTMENT CORP (AGNC) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 221.4%.