ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI)

CA0115321089 - Common Stock

18.33  +0.22 (+1.21%)

After market: 18.33 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

7

Taking everything into account, AGI scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! This makes AGI very considerable for growth investing!



8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AGI had a positive operating cash flow.

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.61%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.95%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.15% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.72%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 71.79% of its industry peers.
AGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.43%. This is below the industry average of 8.89%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.72%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.43%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.61%
ROE 6.95%
ROIC 6.72%
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)5.43%
ROIC(5y)4.93%

1.3 Margins

AGI's Profit Margin of 19.89% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 91.03% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 34.13%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a better Gross Margin (45.64%) than 85.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.13%
PM (TTM) 19.89%
GM 45.64%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.95 indicates that AGI is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AGI (2.95) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.45. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.45 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.45 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 82.05% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.90% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 1.45
Altman-Z 2.95
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC9.79%

2.3 Liquidity

AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI's Current ratio of 1.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 70.51% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio of 0.97. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 71.79% of its industry peers.
AGI does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.97

9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.00%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 60.35% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 22.50%.
AGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%35.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.5%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%40.87%

3.2 Future

AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 34.70% yearly.
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 20.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y34.7%
Revenue Next Year34.02%
Revenue Next 2Y27.04%
Revenue Next 3Y20.25%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 26.96, AGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.90% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.73, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.23 indicates a correct valuation of AGI.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.83), we can say AGI is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.96
Fwd PE 15.23

4.2 Price Multiples

AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 37.68
EV/EBITDA 12.18

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 35.43% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.45
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.52%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.13.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.34, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 34.89%, which is quite nice.
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7

5.3 Sustainability

14.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP14.19%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%

ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A

NYSE:AGI (12/20/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 18.33 0 (0%)

18.33

+0.22 (+1.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Inst Owners69.5%
Inst Owner Change11.54%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.70B
Analysts80
Price Target24.57 (34.04%)
Short Float %0.57%
Short Ratio1.04
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.52%
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
DP14.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-Date12-05 2024-12-05 (0.025)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)26.73%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.61%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.93%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)4.1%
PT rev (3m)17.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.21%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.54%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 26.96
Fwd PE 15.23
P/S 6.28
P/FCF 37.68
P/OCF 12.99
P/B 2.2
P/tB 2.2
EV/EBITDA 12.18
EPS(TTM)0.68
EY3.71%
EPS(NY)1.2
Fwd EY6.57%
FCF(TTM)0.49
FCFY2.65%
OCF(TTM)1.41
OCFY7.7%
SpS2.92
BVpS8.35
TBVpS8.35
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.45
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.61%
ROE 6.95%
ROCE 8.51%
ROIC 6.72%
ROICexc 7.18%
ROICexgc 7.18%
OM 34.13%
PM (TTM) 19.89%
GM 45.64%
FCFM 16.68%
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)5.43%
ROIC(5y)4.93%
ROICexc(3y)5.76%
ROICexc(5y)5.25%
ROICexgc(3y)5.76%
ROICexgc(5y)5.25%
ROCE(3y)6.88%
ROCE(5y)6.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y44.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y44.94%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 1.45
Debt/EBITDA 0.44
Cap/Depr 184.43%
Cap/Sales 31.7%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 94.28%
Profit Quality 83.84%
Current Ratio 1.62
Quick Ratio 0.97
Altman-Z 2.95
F-Score3
WACC9.79%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)193.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)38.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%35.71%
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y50.7%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y34.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)22.5%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%40.87%
Revenue Next Year34.02%
Revenue Next 2Y27.04%
Revenue Next 3Y20.25%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
EBIT growth 1Y35.9%
EBIT growth 3Y10.76%
EBIT growth 5Y50.35%
EBIT Next Year131.2%
EBIT Next 3Y49.14%
EBIT Next 5Y40.88%
FCF growth 1Y421.38%
FCF growth 3Y22.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y108.58%
OCF growth 3Y8.66%
OCF growth 5Y17.19%