ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Overall AGI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated AGI against 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings would make AGI suitable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AGI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
AGI's Return On Assets of 4.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 74.19% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Return On Equity of 7.15%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 72.90% of its industry peers.
AGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) than 70.97% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 11.61%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.36%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.74% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of AGI (36.95%) is better than 91.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AGI (44.90%) is better than 85.16% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AGI is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.20. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI's Altman-Z score of 4.20 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 69.03% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.42, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.42 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI (1.42) is better than 86.45% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AGI (0.07) is better than 63.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.2 |
ROIC/WACC0.77
WACC8.65%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGI (1.49) is worse than 71.61% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio of 0.94. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 71.61% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 51.85%, which is quite impressive.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 29.78% yearly.
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 33.63%.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.76% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.83, AGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
64.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AGI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, AGI is valued at the same level.
AGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.55.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.76. AGI is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.55 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 65.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 55.16 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.6
PEG (5Y)1.07
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.37%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.37, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 14.02% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
26.1
-1.62 (-5.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.98B
Analysts83.08
Price Target35.82 (37.24%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio2.55
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.37% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)7.73%
PT rev (3m)25.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.47%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)8.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 31.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.55 | ||
| P/S | 7.83 | ||
| P/FCF | 55.16 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.37 | ||
| P/B | 3.05 | ||
| P/tB | 3.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.79 |
EPS(TTM)0.82
EY3.14%
EPS(NY)1.49
Fwd EY5.7%
FCF(TTM)0.47
FCFY1.81%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY5.76%
SpS3.33
BVpS8.55
TBVpS8.55
PEG (NY)0.6
PEG (5Y)1.07
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.2 |
F-Score3
WACC8.65%
ROIC/WACC0.77
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.61%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%