ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:AGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years AGI 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.61%, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.22% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a Return On Equity of 6.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 70.63% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.72%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 72.73% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is below the industry average of 8.84%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.72%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.43%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 6.95% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% |
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)5.43%
ROIC(5y)4.93%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 19.89%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.21% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 34.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI's Gross Margin of 45.64% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 34.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.89% | ||
| GM | 45.64% |
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 3.65. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AGI (3.65) is better than 61.54% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.45, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.45) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.08 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 62.24% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC9.37%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.62. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI's Current ratio of 1.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 69.93% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.62. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.97, AGI is not doing good in the industry: 71.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 52.83% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 60.35% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 24.61%.
The Revenue has been growing by 9.44% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.83%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%108.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%47.6%
3.2 Future
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.20% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 20.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y58%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue Next Year32.75%
Revenue Next 2Y29.89%
Revenue Next 3Y20.41%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.01 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 62.94% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.63), we can say AGI is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.15, the valuation of AGI can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 62.24% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.68), we can say AGI is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.15 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AGI is on the same level as its industry peers.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 65.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.49 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 35.43% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)0.46
EPS Next 2Y58%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.41%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.16, AGI has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.41, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.29.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 34.89%, which is quite nice.
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
As AGI did not decrease their dividend in the past 5 years, we can say the dividend looks stable.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
14.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP14.19%
EPS Next 2Y58%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
22.69
-0.58 (-2.49%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner Change3.97%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap9.54B
Analysts82.86
Price Target25.21 (11.11%)
Short Float %0.68%
Short Ratio1.26
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
DP14.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)26.73%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.61%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.93%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.14%
PT rev (3m)6.81%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.94%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.15 | ||
| P/S | 7.78 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.09 | ||
| P/B | 2.72 | ||
| P/tB | 2.72 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.49 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY3.57%
EPS(NY)1.32
Fwd EY5.83%
FCF(TTM)0.49
FCFY2.14%
OCF(TTM)1.41
OCFY6.22%
SpS2.92
BVpS8.34
TBVpS8.34
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)0.46
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 6.95% | ||
| ROCE | 8.51% | ||
| ROIC | 6.72% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.18% | ||
| OM | 34.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.89% | ||
| GM | 45.64% | ||
| FCFM | 16.68% |
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)5.43%
ROIC(5y)4.93%
ROICexc(3y)5.76%
ROICexc(5y)5.25%
ROICexgc(3y)5.76%
ROICexgc(5y)5.25%
ROCE(3y)6.88%
ROCE(5y)6.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y44.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y44.94%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
F-Score3
WACC9.37%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)193.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)38.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.83%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%108.33%
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y58%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%47.6%
Revenue Next Year32.75%
Revenue Next 2Y29.89%
Revenue Next 3Y20.41%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
EBIT growth 1Y35.9%
EBIT growth 3Y10.76%
EBIT growth 5Y50.35%
EBIT Next Year131.2%
EBIT Next 3Y49.14%
EBIT Next 5Y39.69%
FCF growth 1Y421.38%
FCF growth 3Y22.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y108.58%
OCF growth 3Y8.66%
OCF growth 5Y17.19%