ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AGI - CA0115321089 - Common Stock
31.85 USD
+0.12 (+0.38%)
32.3 USD
+0.45 (+1.41%)
Overall AGI gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated AGI against 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While AGI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is not overvalued while it is showing excellent growth. This is an interesting combination. With these ratings, AGI could be worth investigating further for growth investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.26%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.29% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a Return On Equity of 9.24%. This is in the better half of the industry: AGI outperforms 75.48% of its industry peers.
AGI's Return On Invested Capital of 7.50% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AGI outperforms 72.90% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 12.30%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.13%) for AGI is below the current ROIC(7.50%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
AGI has a better Profit Margin (22.99%) than 89.03% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
AGI has a Operating Margin of 39.49%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 91.61% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Gross Margin of 46.89%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 83.87% of its industry peers.
AGI's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AGI has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AGI is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 5.06 indicates that AGI is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of AGI (5.06) is better than 64.52% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.59, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.59 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI (1.59) is better than 84.52% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.07, AGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.92
WACC8.15%
2.3 Liquidity
AGI has a Current Ratio of 1.49. This is a normal value and indicates that AGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGI (1.49) is worse than 71.61% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.00 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 1.00, AGI is not doing good in the industry: 69.03% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AGI does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 46.03% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 34.51%.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 27.48% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 17.53% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y77.93%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
EPS Next 5Y27.48%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 34.62 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AGI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 68.39% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.57, AGI is valued a bit more expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.61, the valuation of AGI can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.09.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.61 |
4.2 Price Multiples
AGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.58% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 75.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.27 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 33.00% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.26%, AGI is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
AGI's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.41.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.26, AGI pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.26% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
10.76% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
AGI's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP10.76%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
31.85
+0.12 (+0.38%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.34%
Inst Owner Change0.12%
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.40B
Revenue(TTM)1.51B
Net Income(TTM)346.70M
Analysts82.86
Price Target38.64 (21.32%)
Short Float %1.65%
Short Ratio1.82
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.26% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP10.76%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-11.52%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)5.61%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.86%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)10.01%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.54%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)0.39%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-8.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.83%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.25%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.26%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.92%
PT rev (1m)2.2%
PT rev (3m)5.79%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)16.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)7.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.61 | ||
| P/S | 8.88 | ||
| P/FCF | 75.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.04 | ||
| P/B | 3.57 | ||
| P/tB | 3.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 16.27 |
EPS(TTM)0.92
EY2.89%
EPS(NY)1.92
Fwd EY6.02%
FCF(TTM)0.42
FCFY1.32%
OCF(TTM)1.51
OCFY4.75%
SpS3.58
BVpS8.92
TBVpS8.92
PEG (NY)0.44
PEG (5Y)1.16
Graham Number13.59
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.26% | ||
| ROE | 9.24% | ||
| ROCE | 11.71% | ||
| ROIC | 7.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.1% | ||
| OM | 39.49% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 22.99% | ||
| GM | 46.89% | ||
| FCFM | 11.72% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexgc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexgc growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.27
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.59 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.33 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 209.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.08% | ||
| Profit Quality | 50.97% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1 | ||
| Altman-Z | 5.06 |
F-Score6
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.92
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)46.03%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%41.67%
EPS Next Y77.93%
EPS Next 2Y53.88%
EPS Next 3Y33%
EPS Next 5Y27.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)34.51%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%31.75%
Revenue Next Year38.07%
Revenue Next 2Y26.47%
Revenue Next 3Y17.2%
Revenue Next 5Y17.53%
EBIT growth 1Y58.93%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year130.73%
EBIT Next 3Y43.63%
EBIT Next 5Y34.54%
FCF growth 1Y94.18%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y54.41%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%