ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
Taking everything into account, AGI scores 8 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AGI was compared to 820 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. AGI is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. This is an interesting combination These ratings would make AGI suitable for value and growth and quality investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AGI was profitable.
In the past year AGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years AGI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of AGI (4.61%) is better than 90.95% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AGI (6.95%) is better than 91.08% of its industry peers.
AGI has a better Return On Invested Capital (4.58%) than 91.49% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 11.94%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.71%) for AGI is below the current ROIC(4.58%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 6.95% | ||
| ROIC | 4.58% |
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)3.71%
ROIC(5y)3.36%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of AGI (19.89%) is better than 96.22% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 34.13%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.03% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 45.64%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.59% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 34.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.89% | ||
| GM | 45.64% |
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AGI is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
AGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 3.65. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AGI has a better Altman-Z score (3.65) than 61.62% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AGI is 1.45, which is an excellent value as it means it would take AGI, only 1.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.45 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 93.78% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that AGI is not too dependend on debt financing.
AGI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.08. This is in the lower half of the industry: AGI underperforms 67.16% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for AGI, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC9.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.62 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.62, AGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.76% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.97 indicates that AGI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.97, AGI is not doing good in the industry: 60.81% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 52.83% over the past year.
AGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 60.35% yearly.
AGI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 24.61%.
AGI shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 9.44% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.83%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%108.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%47.6%
3.2 Future
AGI is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 33.20% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 20.15% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue Next Year33.24%
Revenue Next 2Y28.19%
Revenue Next 3Y21.46%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 28.10, AGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.63), we can say AGI is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.94, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AGI.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 89.05% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.59% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: AGI is cheaper than 91.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 46.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.47 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AGI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 35.43% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.41%, which is pretty low.
AGI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 7.55. AGI pays more dividend than 94.19% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 34.89%, which is quite nice.
AGI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
5.3 Sustainability
AGI pays out 14.19% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP14.19%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
TSX:AGI (2/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
32.32
-0.71 (-2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners73.01%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.59B
Analysts82.86
Price Target39.66 (22.71%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)34.89%
DP14.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.16%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(2)26.73%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)4.78%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.42%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.11%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.61%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)9.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)16.93%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)2.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.5%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.19%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.47%
PT rev (1m)0.04%
PT rev (3m)11.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.35%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.8%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.94%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28.1 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.94 | ||
| P/S | 7.8 | ||
| P/FCF | 46.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.12 | ||
| P/B | 2.73 | ||
| P/tB | 2.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.47 |
EPS(TTM)1.15
EY3.56%
EPS(NY)1.8
Fwd EY5.57%
FCF(TTM)0.69
FCFY2.14%
OCF(TTM)2
OCFY6.2%
SpS4.14
BVpS11.85
TBVpS11.85
PEG (NY)0.51
PEG (5Y)0.47
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.61% | ||
| ROE | 6.95% | ||
| ROCE | 8.51% | ||
| ROIC | 4.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.9% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.9% | ||
| OM | 34.13% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.89% | ||
| GM | 45.64% | ||
| FCFM | 16.68% |
ROA(3y)1.47%
ROA(5y)2.24%
ROE(3y)2.04%
ROE(5y)2.95%
ROIC(3y)3.71%
ROIC(5y)3.36%
ROICexc(3y)3.92%
ROICexc(5y)3.58%
ROICexgc(3y)3.92%
ROICexgc(5y)3.58%
ROCE(3y)6.88%
ROCE(5y)6.24%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y44.94%
ROICexc growth 3Y7.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y44.94%
OM growth 3Y-0.22%
OM growth 5Y37.38%
PM growth 3Y2.11%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y8.58%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.23
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.45 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.44 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 184.43% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 31.7% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 94.28% | ||
| Profit Quality | 83.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.62 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.97 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.65 |
F-Score3
WACC9.37%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)193.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)186.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)38.84%
Cap/Sales(5y)39.07%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)52.83%
EPS 3Y8.93%
EPS 5Y60.35%
EPS Q2Q%108.33%
EPS Next Y55.63%
EPS Next 2Y54.65%
EPS Next 3Y35.43%
EPS Next 5Y33.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)24.61%
Revenue growth 3Y11.01%
Revenue growth 5Y9.44%
Sales Q2Q%47.6%
Revenue Next Year33.24%
Revenue Next 2Y28.19%
Revenue Next 3Y21.46%
Revenue Next 5Y20.15%
EBIT growth 1Y35.9%
EBIT growth 3Y10.76%
EBIT growth 5Y50.35%
EBIT Next Year131.2%
EBIT Next 3Y49.14%
EBIT Next 5Y39.69%
FCF growth 1Y421.38%
FCF growth 3Y22.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y108.58%
OCF growth 3Y8.66%
OCF growth 5Y17.19%