ALAMOS GOLD INC-CLASS A (AGI.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AGI - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA0115321089 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
AGI gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 808 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. AGI has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AGI is growing strongly while it also seems undervalued. This is an interesting combination These ratings could make AGI a good candidate for value and growth investing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AGI had positive earnings in the past year.
AGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AGI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years AGI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.80%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.11% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a better Return On Equity (7.15%) than 89.85% of its industry peers.
AGI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.70% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 92.08% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AGI is significantly below the industry average of 12.36%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.70%) for AGI is above the 3 year average (5.13%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 18.36%, AGI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.68% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI's Operating Margin of 36.95% is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 96.16% of its industry peers.
AGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AGI has a Gross Margin of 44.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AGI outperforms 94.80% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AGI has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% |
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AGI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AGI has an Altman-Z score of 4.31. This indicates that AGI is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 4.31, AGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.60% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.42. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.42 years to pay back of all of its debts.
AGI's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.42 is amongst the best of the industry. AGI outperforms 93.69% of its industry peers.
AGI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AGI's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AGI is outperformed by 60.89% of its industry peers.
Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for AGI, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.31 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.83%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.49 indicates that AGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AGI (1.49) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.49. This is a bad value and indicates that AGI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AGI has a Quick ratio (0.94) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The current and quick ratio evaluation for AGI is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.85% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AGI shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 29.78% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AGI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 33.63%.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 27.76% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
Based on estimates for the next years, AGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 16.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 32.74, the valuation of AGI can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AGI is valued cheaper than 88.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.28, AGI is valued a bit more expensive.
AGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.06.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AGI is valued cheaper than 88.74% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say AGI is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AGI is valued cheaper than 90.84% of the companies in the same industry.
AGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AGI is cheaper than 90.72% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 56.79 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
AGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AGI's earnings are expected to grow with 27.61% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AGI has a yearly dividend return of 0.38%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.51, AGI pays a better dividend. On top of this AGI pays more dividend than 94.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, AGI's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of AGI grows each year by 16.57%, which is quite nice.
AGI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
AGI has not decreased its dividend in the past 5 years, so it has a somewhat stable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
5.3 Sustainability
14.02% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AGI. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AGI is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP14.02%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
TSX:AGI (7/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
36.67
+0.45 (+1.24%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners75.22%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap15.42B
Analysts81.67
Price Target49.12 (33.95%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.38% |
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.57%
DP14.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years8
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(2)10.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-28.66%
Max EPS beat(4)26.73%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.64%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)4.46%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-0.77%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.78%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-12.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)16.93%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.07%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.17%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.31%
PT rev (1m)7%
PT rev (3m)21.27%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.8%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.89%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.4%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 18.06 | ||
| P/S | 8.06 | ||
| P/FCF | 56.79 | ||
| P/OCF | 17.89 | ||
| P/B | 3.14 | ||
| P/tB | 3.14 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.23 |
EPS(TTM)1.12
EY3.05%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY5.54%
FCF(TTM)0.65
FCFY1.76%
OCF(TTM)2.05
OCFY5.59%
SpS4.55
BVpS11.67
TBVpS11.67
PEG (NY)0.62
PEG (5Y)1.1
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.8% | ||
| ROE | 7.15% | ||
| ROCE | 10.46% | ||
| ROIC | 6.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.16% | ||
| OM | 36.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 18.36% | ||
| GM | 44.9% | ||
| FCFM | 14.19% |
ROA(3y)3.86%
ROA(5y)2.74%
ROE(3y)5.49%
ROE(5y)3.82%
ROIC(3y)5.13%
ROIC(5y)4.82%
ROICexc(3y)5.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.15%
ROICexgc(3y)5.47%
ROICexgc(5y)5.15%
ROCE(3y)8.01%
ROCE(5y)7.53%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexcg growth 5Y21.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y14.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y21.93%
OM growth 3Y8.87%
OM growth 5Y15.23%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y8.45%
GM growth 3Y-7.51%
GM growth 5Y-1.55%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.07 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.42 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.36 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 196.91% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.86% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.62% | ||
| Profit Quality | 77.31% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.94 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.31 |
F-Score3
WACC7.83%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)185.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)193.27%
Cap/Sales(3y)34.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)37.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.85%
EPS 3Y24.47%
EPS 5Y29.78%
EPS Q2Q%7.69%
EPS Next Y52.75%
EPS Next 2Y35.52%
EPS Next 3Y27.61%
EPS Next 5Y27.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)33.63%
Revenue growth 3Y17.82%
Revenue growth 5Y14.54%
Sales Q2Q%19.96%
Revenue Next Year28.94%
Revenue Next 2Y19.49%
Revenue Next 3Y14.27%
Revenue Next 5Y16.68%
EBIT growth 1Y59.66%
EBIT growth 3Y28.27%
EBIT growth 5Y31.99%
EBIT Next Year111.46%
EBIT Next 3Y37.88%
EBIT Next 5Y31.61%
FCF growth 1Y451.25%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y82.44%
OCF growth 3Y22.86%
OCF growth 5Y20.48%