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AIR FRANCE-KLM (AFR0.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AFR0 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - FR001400J770 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

11.085  -1.07 (-8.8%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AFR0. AFR0 was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. AFR0 may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AFR0 is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AFR0 had positive earnings in the past year.
AFR0 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AFR0 reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years AFR0 reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
AFR0.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAFR0.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B

1.2 Ratios

AFR0's Return On Assets of 0.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AFR0 is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.19%, AFR0 is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.18%
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.19%
ROA(3y)-2.38%
ROA(5y)-5.96%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AFR0.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAFR0.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 0.20%, AFR0 is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AFR0's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AFR0 has a worse Operating Margin (2.96%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AFR0 has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 45.94%, AFR0 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AFR0 has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.96%
PM (TTM) 0.2%
GM 45.94%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-0.65%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.29%
GM growth 3Y8.53%
GM growth 5Y-1.71%
AFR0.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAFR0.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AFR0 has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AFR0 has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
AFR0.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAFR0.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
AFR0.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAFR0.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

AFR0 has an Altman-Z score of 0.40. This is a bad value and indicates that AFR0 is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AFR0 has a Altman-Z score of 0.40. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AFR0 underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.4
ROIC/WACC0.69
WACC6.1%
AFR0.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAFR0.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

AFR0 has a Current Ratio of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that AFR0 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AFR0 has a Current ratio of 0.64. This is in the lower half of the industry: AFR0 underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.58 indicates that AFR0 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.58, AFR0 is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.58
AFR0.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAFR0.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AFR0 have decreased strongly by -65.46% in the last year.
AFR0 shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -20.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.89%
EPS Q2Q%93.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.15%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 37.69% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y158.21%
EPS Next 2Y69.7%
EPS Next 3Y55.77%
EPS Next 5Y37.69%
Revenue Next Year4.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.49%
Revenue Next 3Y3.55%
Revenue Next 5Y4.28%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AFR0.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAFR0.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
AFR0.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAFR0.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -20 -40 -60

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.81 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AFR0.
AFR0's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
AFR0's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.35.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 3.02 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AFR0.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AFR0 is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AFR0 to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say AFR0 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.81
Fwd PE 3.02
AFR0.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAFR0.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AFR0 is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.63
AFR0.DE Per share dataAFR0.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AFR0's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AFR0's earnings are expected to grow with 55.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y69.7%
EPS Next 3Y55.77%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AFR0 does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AIR FRANCE-KLM

FRA:AFR0 (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

11.085

-1.07 (-8.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30
Inst Owners8.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.91B
Analysts52.8
Price Target9.96 (-10.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.03%
DP1.59%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-42.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-71.16%
Max EPS beat(2)-13.15%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-32.85%
Min EPS beat(4)-91.85%
Max EPS beat(4)44.76%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)115.02%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.15%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.43%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.09%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.83%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.23%
PT rev (1m)-0.06%
PT rev (3m)-8.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.57%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.81
Fwd PE 3.02
P/S 0.09
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.29
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.63
EPS(TTM)1.42
EY12.81%
EPS(NY)3.67
Fwd EY33.13%
FCF(TTM)-7.4
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.59
OCFY77.52%
SpS117.93
BVpS-6.55
TBVpS-11.71
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.18%
ROE N/A
ROCE 4.89%
ROIC 4.19%
ROICexc 6.02%
ROICexgc 6.72%
OM 2.96%
PM (TTM) 0.2%
GM 45.94%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.38%
ROA(5y)-5.96%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.37%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y5.1%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-0.65%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.29%
GM growth 3Y8.53%
GM growth 5Y-1.71%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3.06
Cap/Depr 155.98%
Cap/Sales 13.56%
Interest Coverage 1.4
Cash Conversion 62.53%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 0.4
F-Score5
WACC6.1%
ROIC/WACC0.69
Cap/Depr(3y)119.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.83%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.82%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-65.46%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.89%
EPS Q2Q%93.05%
EPS Next Y158.21%
EPS Next 2Y69.7%
EPS Next 3Y55.77%
EPS Next 5Y37.69%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.15%
Revenue Next Year4.63%
Revenue Next 2Y4.49%
Revenue Next 3Y3.55%
Revenue Next 5Y4.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-48.71%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y2.07%
EBIT Next Year134.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.96%
EBIT Next 5Y26.16%
FCF growth 1Y-173.33%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-57.86%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-3.83%