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AIR FRANCE-KLM (AFR0.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AFR0 - Deutsche Boerse Ag - FR001400J770 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

8.134  +0.28 (+3.62%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to AFR0. AFR0 was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of AFR0 have multiple concerns. AFR0 has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AFR0 had positive earnings in the past year.
AFR0 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AFR0 reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AFR0 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AFR0.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAFR0.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.59%, AFR0 is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.96%, AFR0 is doing worse than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.59%
ROE N/A
ROIC 4.96%
ROA(3y)-2.38%
ROA(5y)-5.96%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AFR0.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAFR0.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 100

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 0.68%, AFR0 is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AFR0 has grown nicely.
AFR0 has a worse Operating Margin (3.45%) than 91.67% of its industry peers.
AFR0's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AFR0 (46.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AFR0's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 0.68%
GM 46.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-0.65%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.29%
GM growth 3Y8.53%
GM growth 5Y-1.71%
AFR0.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAFR0.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AFR0 is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AFR0 has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AFR0 has more shares outstanding
AFR0 has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AFR0.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAFR0.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
AFR0.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAFR0.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

AFR0 has an Altman-Z score of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AFR0 is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AFR0 (0.36) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.36
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC5.64%
AFR0.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAFR0.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B -5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.67 indicates that AFR0 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.67, AFR0 is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
AFR0 has a Quick Ratio of 0.67. This is a bad value and indicates that AFR0 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AFR0's Quick ratio of 0.62 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AFR0 is outperformed by 83.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.62
AFR0.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAFR0.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AFR0 shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -83.89%.
AFR0 shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.36% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AFR0 shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.20% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.74% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-83.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.36%
EPS Q2Q%-26.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.2%
Revenue growth 3Y39.37%
Revenue growth 5Y2.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.7%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AFR0 will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.42% on average per year.
AFR0 is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y-54.13%
EPS Next 2Y-4.41%
EPS Next 3Y0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.42%
Revenue Next Year4.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y4.32%
Revenue Next 5Y3.96%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AFR0.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAFR0.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
AFR0.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAFR0.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 -20 -40 -60

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.75, the valuation of AFR0 can be described as very cheap.
91.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AFR0, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
AFR0 is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.16 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AFR0.
91.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AFR0, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 92.74, AFR0 is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.75
Fwd PE 2.16
AFR0.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAFR0.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AFR0, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.21
AFR0.DE Per share dataAFR0.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.41%
EPS Next 3Y0.09%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AFR0!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AIR FRANCE-KLM

FRA:AFR0 (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.134

+0.28 (+3.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)11-07 2024-11-07/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners8.78%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap2.14B
Analysts70.77
Price Target9.97 (22.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.03%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-81.51%
Min EPS beat(2)-91.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-71.16%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-28.54%
Min EPS beat(4)-91.85%
Max EPS beat(4)44.76%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)144.21%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.43%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.31%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.41%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.53%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.31%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.73%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.8%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.52%
PT rev (1m)-6.89%
PT rev (3m)-12.56%
EPS NQ rev (1m)24.34%
EPS NQ rev (3m)24.34%
EPS NY rev (1m)-26.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.75
Fwd PE 2.16
P/S 0.07
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.11
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.21
EPS(TTM)1.05
EY12.91%
EPS(NY)3.76
Fwd EY46.26%
FCF(TTM)-8.73
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.34
OCFY90.25%
SpS116.71
BVpS-8.75
TBVpS-13.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.59%
ROE N/A
ROCE 5.79%
ROIC 4.96%
ROICexc 7.66%
ROICexgc 8.65%
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 0.68%
GM 46.03%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-2.38%
ROA(5y)-5.96%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.37%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y5.1%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-0.65%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.29%
GM growth 3Y8.53%
GM growth 5Y-1.71%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 3
Cap/Depr 160.59%
Cap/Sales 13.77%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 52.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.67
Quick Ratio 0.62
Altman-Z 0.36
F-Score5
WACC5.64%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)119.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.83%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.82%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.96%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-83.89%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.36%
EPS Q2Q%-26.08%
EPS Next Y-54.13%
EPS Next 2Y-4.41%
EPS Next 3Y0.09%
EPS Next 5Y4.42%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.2%
Revenue growth 3Y39.37%
Revenue growth 5Y2.74%
Sales Q2Q%3.7%
Revenue Next Year4.27%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y4.32%
Revenue Next 5Y3.96%
EBIT growth 1Y-25.89%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y2.07%
EBIT Next Year134.9%
EBIT Next 3Y41.96%
EBIT Next 5Y26.16%
FCF growth 1Y-184.08%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-63.51%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-3.83%