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AFLAC INC (AFL.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:AFL - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US0010551028 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

94.38  -1.22 (-1.28%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, AFL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AFL was compared to 34 industry peers in the Insurance industry. AFL scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. AFL has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AFL had positive earnings in the past year.
AFL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years AFL has always been profitable.
AFL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AFL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAFL.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.63%, AFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 20.86%, AFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.24% of the companies in the same industry.
AFL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.91%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AFL outperforms 91.18% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AFL is in line with the industry average of 2.22%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.91%) for AFL is above the 3 year average (3.95%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.63%
ROE 20.86%
ROIC 4.91%
ROA(3y)3.83%
ROA(5y)3.43%
ROE(3y)20.97%
ROE(5y)18.03%
ROIC(3y)3.95%
ROIC(5y)3.48%
AFL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAFL.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 28.76%, AFL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.12% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AFL has grown nicely.
AFL has a better Operating Margin (34.94%) than 94.12% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AFL has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 34.94%
PM (TTM) 28.76%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y11.49%
OM growth 5Y10.66%
PM growth 3Y13.73%
PM growth 5Y14.22%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AFL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAFL.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AFL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AFL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AFL has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for AFL is higher compared to a year ago.
AFL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAFL.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
AFL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAFL.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of AFL is 2.74, which is a good value as it means it would take AFL, 2.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AFL's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.74 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AFL outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28 indicates that AFL is not too dependend on debt financing.
AFL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.28) than 76.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.6
WACC8.17%
AFL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAFL.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
AFL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAFL.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.34% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AFL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 10.21% on average per year.
AFL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 1.21%.
AFL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.34%
EPS 3Y6.78%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%25.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.07%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.26%
Sales Q2Q%43.05%

3.2 Future

AFL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.65% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AFL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.28% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-5.07%
EPS Next 2Y0.34%
EPS Next 3Y1.53%
EPS Next 5Y3.65%
Revenue Next Year4.47%
Revenue Next 2Y2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y1.09%
Revenue Next 5Y2.28%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AFL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAFL.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B 20B
AFL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAFL.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6 8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AFL is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.86.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AFL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.71% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.79. AFL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
AFL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.66.
AFL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather expensive when compared to the industry. AFL is more expensive than 82.35% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AFL to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.38), we can say AFL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.86
Fwd PE 15.66
AFL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAFL.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AFL is valued a bit cheaper than 73.53% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AFL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.65
EV/EBITDA 8.11
AFL.DE Per share dataAFL.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AFL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.46
EPS Next 2Y0.34%
EPS Next 3Y1.53%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AFL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.13%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.70, AFL is paying slightly less dividend.
AFL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.47.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of AFL grows each year by 13.11%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.11%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
AFL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAFL.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

AFL pays out 19.97% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of AFL is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP19.97%
EPS Next 2Y0.34%
EPS Next 3Y1.53%
AFL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAFL.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B
AFL.DE Dividend Payout.AFL.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AFL.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AFLAC INC

FRA:AFL (4/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

94.38

-1.22 (-1.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2025-04-30/amc
Inst Owners59.77%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.79%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap51.51B
Analysts66
Price Target93.87 (-0.54%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.13%
Yearly Dividend1.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.11%
DP19.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)11.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.02%
Max EPS beat(2)26.91%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)10.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.02%
Max EPS beat(4)26.91%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.6%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)7.69%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)9.72%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.77%
Min Revenue beat(2)-34%
Max Revenue beat(2)28.46%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-34%
Max Revenue beat(4)28.46%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)6.31%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.28%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.7%
PT rev (1m)-4.7%
PT rev (3m)-5.89%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.55%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.53%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.7%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.4%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.86
Fwd PE 15.66
P/S 3.1
P/FCF 21.65
P/OCF 21.65
P/B 2.25
P/tB 2.25
EV/EBITDA 8.11
EPS(TTM)6.35
EY6.73%
EPS(NY)6.03
Fwd EY6.38%
FCF(TTM)4.36
FCFY4.62%
OCF(TTM)4.36
OCFY4.62%
SpS30.48
BVpS42.03
TBVpS42.03
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.46
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.63%
ROE 20.86%
ROCE 5.66%
ROIC 4.91%
ROICexc 5.18%
ROICexgc 5.31%
OM 34.94%
PM (TTM) 28.76%
GM N/A
FCFM 14.3%
ROA(3y)3.83%
ROA(5y)3.43%
ROE(3y)20.97%
ROE(5y)18.03%
ROIC(3y)3.95%
ROIC(5y)3.48%
ROICexc(3y)4.12%
ROICexc(5y)3.62%
ROICexgc(3y)4.23%
ROICexgc(5y)3.71%
ROCE(3y)4.56%
ROCE(5y)4.02%
ROICexcg growth 3Y16.53%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.62%
ROICexc growth 3Y16.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.6%
OM growth 3Y11.49%
OM growth 5Y10.66%
PM growth 3Y13.73%
PM growth 5Y14.22%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.28
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 0.98
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 36.74
Cash Conversion 36.27%
Profit Quality 49.73%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC8.17%
ROIC/WACC0.6
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)70.18%
Profit Quality(5y)90.4%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.34%
EPS 3Y6.78%
EPS 5Y10.21%
EPS Q2Q%25.6%
EPS Next Y-5.07%
EPS Next 2Y0.34%
EPS Next 3Y1.53%
EPS Next 5Y3.65%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.21%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.07%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.26%
Sales Q2Q%43.05%
Revenue Next Year4.47%
Revenue Next 2Y2.99%
Revenue Next 3Y1.09%
Revenue Next 5Y2.28%
EBIT growth 1Y21.18%
EBIT growth 3Y5.83%
EBIT growth 5Y7.05%
EBIT Next Year86.7%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-15.14%
FCF growth 3Y-18.77%
FCF growth 5Y-13.08%
OCF growth 1Y-15.14%
OCF growth 3Y-18.77%
OCF growth 5Y-13.08%