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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC (AESI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AESI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6420451089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

18.02  -1.36 (-7.02%)

After market: 18.02 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Overall AESI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated AESI against 59 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. While AESI belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AESI has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AESI was profitable.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years AESI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

AESI has a Return On Assets of 8.36%. This is in the better half of the industry: AESI outperforms 70.69% of its industry peers.
AESI's Return On Equity of 12.15% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AESI outperforms 60.34% of its industry peers.
AESI's Return On Invested Capital of 17.92% is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 96.55% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AESI is significantly above the industry average of 8.11%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.66%) for AESI is below the current ROIC(17.92%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROIC 17.92%
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of AESI (17.17%) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
AESI's Operating Margin of 43.18% is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
AESI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
AESI has a Gross Margin of 51.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 91.38% of its industry peers.
AESI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
AESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AESI is creating value.
There is no outstanding debt for AESI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AESI Yearly Shares OutstandingAESI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

AESI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AESI has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.20) than 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC2.02
WACC8.87%
AESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.44 indicates that AESI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AESI (3.44) is better than 84.48% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.04 indicates that AESI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AESI's Quick ratio of 3.04 is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 91.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
AESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AESI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -59.24%.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 91.51% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AESI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.35% yearly.
EPS Next Y162.88%
EPS Next 2Y91.51%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y13.35%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

AESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 28.16 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AESI.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AESI is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.34% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AESI to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.98), we can say AESI is valued inline with the index average.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.71 indicates a reasonable valuation of AESI.
AESI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AESI is cheaper than 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
AESI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.66, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.16
Fwd PE 10.71
AESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

AESI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AESI is more expensive than 67.24% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.57
AESI Per share dataAESI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AESI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AESI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AESI's earnings are expected to grow with 91.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y91.51%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.16%, AESI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.68, AESI pays a better dividend. On top of this AESI pays more dividend than 93.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, AESI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.16%

5.2 History

AESI has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AESI Yearly Dividends per shareAESI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

58.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AESI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP58.96%
EPS Next 2Y91.51%
EPS Next 3YN/A
AESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M
AESI Dividend Payout.AESI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AESI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC

NYSE:AESI (3/3/2025, 4:20:03 PM)

After market: 18.02 0 (0%)

18.02

-1.36 (-7.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners62.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners17.77%
Ins Owner Change0.16%
Market Cap2.19B
Analysts75.29
Price Target25.76 (42.95%)
Short Float %18.94%
Short Ratio10.63
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.16%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP58.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-21 2025-02-21 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-39%
Min EPS beat(4)-95.63%
Max EPS beat(4)0.04%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)6.32%
PT rev (3m)8.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.16
Fwd PE 10.71
P/S 3.57
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 7.34
P/B 2.53
P/tB 2.53
EV/EBITDA 7.57
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY3.55%
EPS(NY)1.68
Fwd EY9.34%
FCF(TTM)-0.55
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.46
OCFY13.63%
SpS5.04
BVpS7.13
TBVpS7.13
PEG (NY)0.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROCE 22.68%
ROIC 17.92%
ROICexc 21.84%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.48%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)22.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.56
Cap/Depr 877.86%
Cap/Sales 59.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.87%
ROIC/WACC2.02
Cap/Depr(3y)423.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)29.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
EPS Next Y162.88%
EPS Next 2Y91.51%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%
Revenue Next Year19.52%
Revenue Next 2Y13.35%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2127.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.73%
EBIT Next 3Y21.29%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-157.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y188.25%
OCF growth 5YN/A