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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC (AESI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AESI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6420451089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

25.02  +0.33 (+1.34%)

After market: 25.02 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall AESI gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated AESI against 58 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. While AESI has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AESI is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AESI had positive earnings in the past year.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.36%, AESI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.69% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.15%, AESI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.34% of the companies in the same industry.
AESI has a better Return On Invested Capital (17.92%) than 98.28% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AESI is significantly above the industry average of 8.33%.
The 3 year average ROIC (17.66%) for AESI is below the current ROIC(17.92%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROIC 17.92%
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

AESI has a Profit Margin of 17.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 89.66% of its industry peers.
AESI has a better Operating Margin (43.18%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AESI (51.11%) is better than 91.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
AESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AESI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AESI has more shares outstanding
AESI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AESI Yearly Shares OutstandingAESI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20 indicates that AESI is not too dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AESI (0.20) is better than 65.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC2.01
WACC8.9%
AESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.44 indicates that AESI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AESI's Current ratio of 3.44 is amongst the best of the industry. AESI outperforms 84.48% of its industry peers.
AESI has a Quick Ratio of 3.04. This indicates that AESI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of AESI (3.04) is better than 89.66% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
AESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

AESI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -60.91%.
AESI shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 27.19%.
Measured over the past years, AESI shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 76.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-92.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)27.19%
Revenue growth 3Y76.44%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%93.15%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AESI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 14.81% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AESI will show a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 27.26% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-59.37%
EPS Next 2Y12.01%
EPS Next 3Y14.81%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year71.88%
Revenue Next 2Y41.06%
Revenue Next 3Y27.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 28.76, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AESI.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AESI.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AESI to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.42), we can say AESI is valued inline with the index average.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.70 indicates a correct valuation of AESI.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AESI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AESI is cheaper than 62.07% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AESI to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.39), we can say AESI is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.76
Fwd PE 12.7
AESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AESI indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AESI is more expensive than 68.97% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 8.72
AESI Per share dataAESI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of AESI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AESI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.81% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.01%
EPS Next 3Y14.81%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AESI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.02%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.31, AESI pays a better dividend. On top of this AESI pays more dividend than 93.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
AESI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.02%

5.2 History

AESI does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AESI Yearly Dividends per shareAESI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

58.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AESI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP58.96%
EPS Next 2Y12.01%
EPS Next 3Y14.81%
AESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M
AESI Dividend Payout.AESI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AESI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC

NYSE:AESI (1/28/2025, 8:21:31 PM)

After market: 25.02 0 (0%)

25.02

+0.33 (+1.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)10-28 2024-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners53.81%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners19.68%
Ins Owner Change-0.56%
Market Cap2.75B
Analysts82.35
Price Target23.97 (-4.2%)
Short Float %22.91%
Short Ratio11.79
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.02%
Yearly Dividend0.79
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP58.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-39%
Min EPS beat(4)-95.63%
Max EPS beat(4)0.04%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.78%
PT rev (3m)-6.17%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-50.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 28.76
Fwd PE 12.7
P/S 4.48
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 9.19
P/B 3.17
P/tB 3.17
EV/EBITDA 8.72
EPS(TTM)0.87
EY3.48%
EPS(NY)1.97
Fwd EY7.87%
FCF(TTM)-0.6
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.72
OCFY10.88%
SpS5.59
BVpS7.9
TBVpS7.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROCE 22.68%
ROIC 17.92%
ROICexc 21.84%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.48%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)22.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.56
Cap/Depr 877.86%
Cap/Sales 59.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.9%
ROIC/WACC2.01
Cap/Depr(3y)423.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)29.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-60.91%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-92.16%
EPS Next Y-59.37%
EPS Next 2Y12.01%
EPS Next 3Y14.81%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)27.19%
Revenue growth 3Y76.44%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%93.15%
Revenue Next Year71.88%
Revenue Next 2Y41.06%
Revenue Next 3Y27.26%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y14.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2127.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-4.59%
EBIT Next 3Y18.66%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-157.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y188.25%
OCF growth 5YN/A