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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC (AESI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:AESI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US6420451089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

14.13  +0.47 (+3.44%)

After market: 14.13 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

5

AESI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 62 industry peers in the Energy Equipment & Services industry. While AESI belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. AESI is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AESI had positive earnings in the past year.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AESI reported negative net income in multiple years.
AESI had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
AESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAESI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AESI (8.36%) is better than 69.35% of its industry peers.
AESI's Return On Equity of 12.15% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AESI outperforms 62.90% of its industry peers.
AESI has a Return On Invested Capital of 17.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 95.16% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AESI is significantly above the industry average of 8.16%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (17.92%) for AESI is above the 3 year average (17.66%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROIC 17.92%
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAESI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

AESI has a better Profit Margin (17.17%) than 93.55% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 43.18%, AESI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
AESI has a better Gross Margin (51.11%) than 90.32% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AESI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
AESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAESI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AESI is creating value.
There is no outstanding debt for AESI. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
AESI Yearly Shares OutstandingAESI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
AESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAESI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

AESI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AESI (0.20) is better than 67.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.96
WACC9.12%
AESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAESI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

AESI has a Current Ratio of 3.44. This indicates that AESI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AESI (3.44) is better than 85.48% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 3.04 indicates that AESI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
AESI has a Quick ratio of 3.04. This is amongst the best in the industry. AESI outperforms 90.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
AESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAESI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AESI have decreased strongly by -59.24% in the last year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 36.99% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.43% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y95.32%
EPS Next 2Y64.61%
EPS Next 3Y42.88%
EPS Next 5Y36.99%
Revenue Next Year19.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.82%
Revenue Next 3Y9.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.43%

3.3 Evolution

AESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAESI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B
AESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAESI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

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5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 22.08 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AESI.
66.13% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AESI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.29, AESI is valued a bit cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.30 indicates a reasonable valuation of AESI.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AESI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.08, AESI is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.08
Fwd PE 11.3
AESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAESI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as AESI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.57
AESI Per share dataAESI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of AESI may justify a higher PE ratio.
AESI's earnings are expected to grow with 42.88% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y64.61%
EPS Next 3Y42.88%

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5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AESI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.44%, which is a nice return.
The stock price of AESI dropped by -41.61% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.40, AESI pays a better dividend. On top of this AESI pays more dividend than 95.16% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.57, AESI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.44%

5.2 History

AESI has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AESI Yearly Dividends per shareAESI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2023 2024 2025 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

AESI pays out 58.96% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP58.96%
EPS Next 2Y64.61%
EPS Next 3Y42.88%
AESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAESI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M 150M 200M
AESI Dividend Payout.AESI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AESI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ATLAS ENERGY SOLUTIONS INC

NYSE:AESI (4/17/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 14.13 0 (0%)

14.13

+0.47 (+3.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryEnergy Equipment & Services
Earnings (Last)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners62.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners17.77%
Ins Owner Change1.1%
Market Cap1.75B
Analysts75.29
Price Target23.35 (65.25%)
Short Float %18.91%
Short Ratio9.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.44%
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP58.96%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-21 2025-02-21 (0.25)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-30.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-35.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-24.47%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-39%
Min EPS beat(4)-95.63%
Max EPS beat(4)0.04%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.6%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)2.02%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.95%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-7.42%
PT rev (3m)-2.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.37%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.08
Fwd PE 11.3
P/S 2.84
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.84
P/B 2.01
P/tB 2.01
EV/EBITDA 5.57
EPS(TTM)0.64
EY4.53%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY8.85%
FCF(TTM)-0.54
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.42
OCFY17.12%
SpS4.97
BVpS7.02
TBVpS7.02
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.36%
ROE 12.15%
ROCE 22.68%
ROIC 17.92%
ROICexc 21.84%
ROICexgc 21.84%
OM 43.18%
PM (TTM) 17.17%
GM 51.11%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)12.68%
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)18.61%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)17.66%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.48%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)20.48%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)22.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y1617.28%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y1162.25%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y47.59%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.56
Cap/Depr 877.86%
Cap/Sales 59.53%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 97.48%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.44
Quick Ratio 3.04
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC9.12%
ROIC/WACC1.96
Cap/Depr(3y)423.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)29.77%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-59.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-63.89%
EPS Next Y95.32%
EPS Next 2Y64.61%
EPS Next 3Y42.88%
EPS Next 5Y36.99%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%92.25%
Revenue Next Year19.7%
Revenue Next 2Y12.82%
Revenue Next 3Y9.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.43%
EBIT growth 1Y14.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2127.15%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-0.73%
EBIT Next 3Y19.06%
EBIT Next 5Y13.38%
FCF growth 1Y-157.09%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y45.15%
OCF growth 3Y188.25%
OCF growth 5YN/A