AES CORP (AES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AES • US00130H1059

Current stock price

14.3 USD
+0.1 (+0.7%)
At close:
14.25 USD
-0.05 (-0.35%)
After Hours:

This AES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AES had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years AES reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years AES always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 1.74%, AES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES's Return On Equity of 22.15% is amongst the best of the industry. AES outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AES (3.53%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AES is in line with the industry average of 3.59%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROIC 3.53%
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
AES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.36%, AES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AES has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.79%, AES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 18.40%, AES is doing worse than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
AES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1

2. AES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AES has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AES has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AES has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AES has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AES Yearly Shares OutstandingAES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
AES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.46, we must say that AES is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AES has a Altman-Z score of 0.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AES outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59 is on the high side and indicates that AES has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 6.59, AES is not doing good in the industry: 85.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.46
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.24%
AES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AES has a Current ratio of 0.77. This is in the lower half of the industry: AES underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • AES has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AES has a Quick ratio (0.69) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
AES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

5

3. AES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AES shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.23% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.68% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AES will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
AES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

5

4. AES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.71 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AES.
  • 95.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AES, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.60, AES is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.09, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AES.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AES indicates a rather cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.84, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.71
Fwd PE 6.09
AES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AES, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.32
AES Per share dataAES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AES does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.9
PEG (5Y)0.73
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%

8

5. AES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.03%, AES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.32. AES pays more dividend than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, AES pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.03%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
  • AES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • AES has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
AES Yearly Dividends per shareAES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

  • AES pays out 55.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • AES's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
AES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
AES Dividend Payout.AES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AES CORP

NYSE:AES (4/2/2026, 8:07:08 PM)

After market: 14.25 -0.05 (-0.35%)

14.3

+0.1 (+0.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners88.19%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change10.64%
Market Cap10.19B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts73.68
Price Target15.34 (7.27%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio1.34
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.03%
Yearly Dividend0.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date05-01
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)-2.61%
PT rev (3m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.71
Fwd PE 6.09
P/S 0.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.32
P/B 2.51
P/tB 6.06
EV/EBITDA 11.32
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY14.9%
EPS(NY)2.35
Fwd EY16.41%
FCF(TTM)-2.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.15
OCFY43.03%
SpS17.17
BVpS5.7
TBVpS2.36
PEG (NY)2.9
PEG (5Y)0.73
Graham Number16.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROCE 4.46%
ROIC 3.53%
ROICexc 3.66%
ROICexgc 3.88%
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
ROICexc(3y)4.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.65%
ROICexgc(3y)4.8%
ROICexgc(5y)6.12%
ROCE(3y)5.41%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.96%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.9
Cap/Depr 406.93%
Cap/Sales 48.47%
Interest Coverage 1.6
Cash Conversion 129.39%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.46
F-Score4
WACC6.24%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.61%
EBIT Next Year72.01%
EBIT Next 3Y25.11%
EBIT Next 5Y16.94%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%

AES CORP / AES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (AES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AES.


Can you provide the valuation status for AES CORP?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (AES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is AES CORP (AES) stock?

AES CORP (AES) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AES stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AES CORP (AES) is 6.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.51.


How financially healthy is AES CORP?

The financial health rating of AES CORP (AES) is 1 / 10.