AES CORP (AES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AES • US00130H1059

Current stock price

14.1 USD
-0.05 (-0.35%)
At close:
14.1297 USD
+0.03 (+0.21%)
Pre-Market:

This AES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AES had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AES had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AES reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AES had a positive operating cash flow.
AES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.74%, AES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 22.15%, AES belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.53%. This is in the better half of the industry: AES outperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • AES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.28%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.59%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROIC 3.53%
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
AES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AES (7.36%) is better than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • AES's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AES has a Operating Margin of 15.79%. This is in the better half of the industry: AES outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AES has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of AES (18.40%) is worse than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AES has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
AES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

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1

2. AES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AES is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AES has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, AES has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for AES has been reduced compared to a year ago.
AES Yearly Shares OutstandingAES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
AES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • AES has an Altman-Z score of 0.46. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AES has a Altman-Z score of 0.46. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AES outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
  • AES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 6.59, AES is not doing good in the industry: 89.47% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.46
ROIC/WACC0.58
WACC6.05%
AES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.77, AES is doing worse than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that AES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AES has a Quick ratio of 0.69. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AES outperforms 47.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
AES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AES shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, AES shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.23% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, AES shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, AES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • AES is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.68% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.94% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
AES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
AES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

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5

4. AES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.62, the valuation of AES can be described as very cheap.
  • AES's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AES is cheaper than 94.74% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • AES is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.01.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AES is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.42, AES is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.62
Fwd PE 6.01
AES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 68.42% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AES, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.28
AES Per share dataAES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AES does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)0.72
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. AES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.98%, AES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.36, AES pays a better dividend. On top of this AES pays more dividend than 94.74% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
  • AES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AES has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
AES Yearly Dividends per shareAES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 55.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AES. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • AES's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
AES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
AES Dividend Payout.AES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AES CORP

NYSE:AES (3/20/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 14.1297 +0.03 (+0.21%)

14.1

-0.05 (-0.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)03-31
Inst Owners88.19%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change10.64%
Market Cap10.05B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts73.68
Price Target15.75 (11.7%)
Short Float %2.54%
Short Ratio1.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.98%
Yearly Dividend0.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date05-01
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)1.8%
PT rev (3m)0.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.62
Fwd PE 6.01
P/S 0.82
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.29
P/B 2.47
P/tB 5.98
EV/EBITDA 11.28
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY15.11%
EPS(NY)2.35
Fwd EY16.64%
FCF(TTM)-2.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.15
OCFY43.64%
SpS17.17
BVpS5.7
TBVpS2.36
PEG (NY)2.86
PEG (5Y)0.72
Graham Number16.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROCE 4.46%
ROIC 3.53%
ROICexc 3.66%
ROICexgc 3.88%
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
ROICexc(3y)4.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.65%
ROICexgc(3y)4.8%
ROICexgc(5y)6.12%
ROCE(3y)5.41%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.96%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.9
Cap/Depr 406.93%
Cap/Sales 48.47%
Interest Coverage 1.6
Cash Conversion 129.39%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.46
F-Score4
WACC6.05%
ROIC/WACC0.58
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.61%
EBIT Next Year72.01%
EBIT Next 3Y25.11%
EBIT Next 5Y16.94%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%

AES CORP / AES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (AES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AES.


What is the valuation status for AES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (AES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AES stock?

AES CORP (AES) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of AES CORP (AES) stock?

The financial health rating of AES CORP (AES) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of AES CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of AES CORP (AES) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 55.67%.