AES CORP (AES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AES • US00130H1059

Current stock price

14.19 USD
-0.03 (-0.21%)
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14.19 USD
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This AES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AES Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AES was profitable.
  • AES had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AES reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AES had a positive operating cash flow.
AES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAES Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • AES has a better Return On Assets (1.74%) than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • AES has a better Return On Equity (22.15%) than 95.00% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.53%, AES is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AES is in line with the industry average of 4.08%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROIC 3.53%
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
AES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAES Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 -40

1.3 Margins

  • AES's Profit Margin of 7.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AES outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AES has grown nicely.
  • AES's Operating Margin of 15.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AES outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AES has declined.
  • AES's Gross Margin of 18.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AES is outperformed by 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AES has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
AES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAES Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

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1

2. AES Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AES is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AES has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • AES has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AES has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AES Yearly Shares OutstandingAES Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
AES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAES Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.46, we must say that AES is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.46, AES is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AES has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (6.59) than 90.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.46
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.18%
AES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAES Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.77, AES is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AES has a Quick Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.69, AES is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
AES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAES Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AES Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AES shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.02%, which is quite impressive.
  • AES shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.23% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.80% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.68% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AES will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.69%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y1.88%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAES Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B
AES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAES Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

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5

4. AES Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.66, the valuation of AES can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AES indicates a rather cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AES is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.05, the valuation of AES can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AES indicates a rather cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • AES's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.66
Fwd PE 6.05
AES Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAES Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AES indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.29
AES Per share dataAES EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)0.72
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

8

5. AES Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.95%, AES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.42, AES pays a better dividend. On top of this AES pays more dividend than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, AES pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.95%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
  • AES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • AES has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
AES Yearly Dividends per shareAES Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6

5.3 Sustainability

  • 55.67% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AES. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • AES's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
AES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAES Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -2B -4B
AES Dividend Payout.AES Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AES Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AES CORP

NYSE:AES (3/13/2026, 8:08:55 PM)

After market: 14.19 0 (0%)

14.19

-0.03 (-0.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)03-31
Inst Owners88.19%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change10.64%
Market Cap10.10B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts73.68
Price Target15.75 (10.99%)
Short Float %2.77%
Short Ratio1.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.95%
Yearly Dividend0.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date05-01
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)1.8%
PT rev (3m)0.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.66
Fwd PE 6.05
P/S 0.83
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 2.3
P/B 2.49
P/tB 6.01
EV/EBITDA 11.29
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY15.01%
EPS(NY)2.35
Fwd EY16.54%
FCF(TTM)-2.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.16
OCFY43.39%
SpS17.18
BVpS5.71
TBVpS2.36
PEG (NY)2.88
PEG (5Y)0.72
Graham Number16.54
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.74%
ROE 22.15%
ROCE 4.46%
ROIC 3.53%
ROICexc 3.66%
ROICexgc 3.88%
OM 15.79%
PM (TTM) 7.36%
GM 18.4%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
ROICexc(3y)4.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.65%
ROICexgc(3y)4.8%
ROICexgc(5y)6.12%
ROCE(3y)5.41%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.96%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 7.9
Cap/Depr 406.93%
Cap/Sales 48.47%
Interest Coverage 1.6
Cash Conversion 129.39%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.77
Quick Ratio 0.69
Altman-Z 0.46
F-Score4
WACC6.18%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.69%
Revenue Next 2Y0.66%
Revenue Next 3Y1.88%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.61%
EBIT Next Year71.93%
EBIT Next 3Y25.09%
EBIT Next 5Y16.92%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%

AES CORP / AES Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (AES) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AES.


What is the valuation status for AES stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (AES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AES stock?

AES CORP (AES) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of AES CORP (AES) stock?

The financial health rating of AES CORP (AES) is 1 / 10.


Is the dividend of AES CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of AES CORP (AES) is 8 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 55.67%.