AES CORP (AES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AES • US00130H1059
Current stock price
14.5 USD
+0.05 (+0.35%)
At close:
14.48 USD
-0.02 (-0.14%)
After Hours:
This AES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AES Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AES had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AES had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years AES reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- In the past 5 years AES always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of AES (1.74%) is better than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- AES's Return On Equity of 22.15% is amongst the best of the industry. AES outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- AES has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.50%. This is in the better half of the industry: AES outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- AES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.27%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.44%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.74% | ||
| ROE | 22.15% | ||
| ROIC | 3.5% |
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.27%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of AES (7.36%) is better than 65.00% of its industry peers.
- AES's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.70%, AES is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AES's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AES's Gross Margin of 18.40% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AES is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
- AES's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.36% | ||
| GM | 18.4% |
OM growth 3Y-5.78%
OM growth 5Y-10.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
2. AES Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AES has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AES remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
- AES has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AES has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.46, we must say that AES is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AES's Altman-Z score of 0.46 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AES outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59 is on the high side and indicates that AES has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of AES (6.59) is worse than 90.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC5.99%
2.3 Liquidity
- AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- AES has a Current ratio of 0.77. This is in the lower half of the industry: AES underperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that AES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- AES has a Quick ratio (0.69) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. AES Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.02% over the past year.
- AES shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.23% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.37% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, AES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.68% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.94% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.91%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y1.83%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. AES Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.81, the valuation of AES can be described as very cheap.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AES indicates a rather cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AES's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.47.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.19, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AES.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AES indicates a rather cheap valuation: AES is cheaper than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AES's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.62.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.19 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 70.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AES, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.39 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AES does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y4.91%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
5. AES Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.86%, AES is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- AES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.22. AES pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- AES's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.86% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
- AES has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- AES has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
5.3 Sustainability
- AES pays out 55.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- AES's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.91%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
AES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.5
+0.05 (+0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners88.03%
Inst Owner Change0.96%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change10.64%
Market Cap10.34B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts67.5
Price Target15.34 (5.79%)
Short Float %3.46%
Short Ratio1.74
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.86% |
Yearly Dividend0.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years13
Ex-Date05-01 2026-05-01 (0.17595)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)-2.61%
PT rev (3m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.69%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.81 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.19 | ||
| P/S | 0.85 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 2.36 | ||
| P/B | 2.54 | ||
| P/tB | 6.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.39 |
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY14.69%
EPS(NY)2.34
Fwd EY16.17%
FCF(TTM)-2.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.15
OCFY42.41%
SpS17.16
BVpS5.7
TBVpS2.36
PEG (NY)2.94
PEG (5Y)0.74
Graham Number16.5249 (13.96%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.74% | ||
| ROE | 22.15% | ||
| ROCE | 4.44% | ||
| ROIC | 3.5% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.86% | ||
| OM | 15.7% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.36% | ||
| GM | 18.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.27%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
ROICexc(3y)4.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.64%
ROICexgc(3y)4.79%
ROICexgc(5y)6.12%
ROCE(3y)5.4%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.17%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y-13.07%
OM growth 3Y-5.78%
OM growth 5Y-10.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.93 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 406.93% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 48.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.59 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 129.85% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
F-Score4
WACC5.99%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.91%
EPS Next 3Y4.08%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y1.83%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-5.56%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.74%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.73%
EBIT Next Year70.38%
EBIT Next 3Y24.13%
EBIT Next 5Y16.94%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%
AES CORP / AES Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (AES) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AES.
Can you provide the valuation status for AES CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (AES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AES CORP (AES) stock?
AES CORP (AES) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AES stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AES CORP (AES) is 6.81 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.54.
How financially healthy is AES CORP?
The financial health rating of AES CORP (AES) is 1 / 10.