AES CORP (AES) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:AES • US00130H1059
Current stock price
14.3 USD
+0.1 (+0.7%)
At close:
14.25 USD
-0.05 (-0.35%)
After Hours:
This AES fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AES Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AES had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year AES had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years AES reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years AES had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AES has a Return On Assets of 1.74%. This is in the better half of the industry: AES outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- AES's Return On Equity of 22.15% is amongst the best of the industry. AES outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of AES (3.53%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
- AES had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.28%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.59%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.74% | ||
| ROE | 22.15% | ||
| ROIC | 3.53% |
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
1.3 Margins
- AES has a Profit Margin of 7.36%. This is in the better half of the industry: AES outperforms 65.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AES has grown nicely.
- AES has a better Operating Margin (15.79%) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AES has declined.
- AES has a worse Gross Margin (18.40%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AES has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.79% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.36% | ||
| GM | 18.4% |
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
2. AES Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AES has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AES has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
- Compared to 5 years ago, AES has more shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, AES has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.46, we must say that AES is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- AES has a Altman-Z score (0.46) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AES has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.59. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- AES has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (6.59) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.22%
2.3 Liquidity
- AES has a Current Ratio of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AES is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.77, AES is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.69 indicates that AES may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of AES (0.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 |
3. AES Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AES shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 21.02%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, AES shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.23% on average per year.
- AES shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.37%.
- Measured over the past years, AES shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
3.2 Future
- AES is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 5.68% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, AES will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. AES Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- AES is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.71.
- 95.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AES, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- AES's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.60.
- AES is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.09.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AES is valued cheaper than 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.84, AES is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AES is valued a bit cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.3 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)2.9
PEG (5Y)0.73
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
5. AES Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AES has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.03%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.32, AES pays a better dividend. On top of this AES pays more dividend than 95.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.88, AES pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.03% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AES has a limited annual growth rate of 4.19%.
- AES has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- AES has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- AES pays out 55.67% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- AES's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP55.67%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
AES Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.3
+0.1 (+0.7%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorUtilities
GICS IndustryGroupUtilities
GICS IndustryIndependent Power and Renewable Electricity Producers
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/amc
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners88.19%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners0.53%
Ins Owner Change10.64%
Market Cap10.19B
Revenue(TTM)12.23B
Net Income(TTM)900.00M
Analysts73.68
Price Target15.34 (7.27%)
Short Float %2.72%
Short Ratio1.34
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.03% |
Yearly Dividend0.7
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.19%
DP55.67%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date05-01 2026-05-01 (0.17595)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.06%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.24%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.74%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.89%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.8%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.1%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.32%
PT rev (1m)-2.61%
PT rev (3m)-1.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.35%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.76%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.36%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.07%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.36%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.83 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 2.32 | ||
| P/B | 2.51 | ||
| P/tB | 6.06 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.3 |
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY14.9%
EPS(NY)2.35
Fwd EY16.41%
FCF(TTM)-2.17
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)6.15
OCFY43.03%
SpS17.17
BVpS5.7
TBVpS2.36
PEG (NY)2.9
PEG (5Y)0.73
Graham Number16.53
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.74% | ||
| ROE | 22.15% | ||
| ROCE | 4.46% | ||
| ROIC | 3.53% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.66% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.88% | ||
| OM | 15.79% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.36% | ||
| GM | 18.4% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.95%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)26.08%
ROE(5y)8.24%
ROIC(3y)4.28%
ROIC(5y)5.37%
ROICexc(3y)4.47%
ROICexc(5y)5.65%
ROICexgc(3y)4.8%
ROICexgc(5y)6.12%
ROCE(3y)5.41%
ROCE(5y)6.8%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-16.99%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-13.16%
ROICexc growth 3Y-16.49%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.96%
OM growth 3Y-5.58%
OM growth 5Y-9.97%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y72.9%
GM growth 3Y-3.05%
GM growth 5Y-7.97%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 6.59 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 406.93% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 48.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.6 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 129.39% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.46 |
F-Score4
WACC6.22%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)558.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)461.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)56.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)44.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.02%
EPS 3Y11.42%
EPS 5Y9.23%
EPS Q2Q%-41.02%
EPS Next Y2.32%
EPS Next 2Y4.96%
EPS Next 3Y3.94%
EPS Next 5Y5.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.37%
Revenue growth 3Y3.29%
Revenue growth 5Y3.8%
Sales Q2Q%4.69%
Revenue Next Year-2.6%
Revenue Next 2Y0.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.18%
Revenue Next 5Y8.94%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.97%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.55%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.61%
EBIT Next Year72.01%
EBIT Next 3Y25.11%
EBIT Next 5Y16.94%
FCF growth 1Y66.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y53.91%
OCF growth 3Y17.01%
OCF growth 5Y10.58%
AES CORP / AES Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of AES CORP (AES) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AES.
Can you provide the valuation status for AES CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AES CORP (AES). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is AES CORP (AES) stock?
AES CORP (AES) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AES stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AES CORP (AES) is 6.71 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.51.
How financially healthy is AES CORP?
The financial health rating of AES CORP (AES) is 1 / 10.