AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AER • NL0000687663

Current stock price

140.94 USD
-1.27 (-0.89%)
At close:
140.94 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AER fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. AER Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AER had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AER had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years AER 4 years were profitable.
  • AER had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAER Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • AER has a better Return On Assets (5.23%) than 65.22% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of AER (20.47%) is better than 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of AER (5.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AER is below the industry average of 9.22%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.03%) for AER is above the 3 year average (4.64%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.23%
ROE 20.47%
ROIC 5.03%
ROA(3y)4.19%
ROA(5y)2.57%
ROE(3y)17.2%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)4.3%
AER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAER Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 48.73%, AER belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AER has a better Operating Margin (50.10%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AER has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 91.59%, AER belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AER's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 50.1%
PM (TTM) 48.73%
GM 91.59%
OM growth 3Y2.34%
OM growth 5Y-0.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
AER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAER Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60 80

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2

2. AER Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AER is destroying value.
  • AER has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AER has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AER has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AER Yearly Shares OutstandingAER Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
AER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAER Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.89, we must say that AER is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.89, AER is doing worse than 84.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.38 is on the high side and indicates that AER has dependencies on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.38, AER is not doing good in the industry: 80.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.38
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.89
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC6.33%
AER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAER Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.19 indicates that AER should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of AER (1.19) is worse than 78.26% of its industry peers.
  • AER has a Quick Ratio of 1.17. This is a normal value and indicates that AER is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AER has a Quick ratio of 1.17. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AER outperforms 47.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.17
AER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAER Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. AER Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • AER shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.83%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, AER shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 19.23% on average per year.
  • AER shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.79%.
  • AER shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.81% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.83%
EPS 3Y19.23%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y4.3%
Revenue growth 5Y11.81%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.45% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AER will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.09% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y3.67%
EPS Next 3Y4.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAER Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2B 4B 6B 8B
AER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAER Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 5 10 15

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5

4. AER Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 8.30 indicates a reasonable valuation of AER.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AER is valued cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AER is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.64, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • AER is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.59.
  • AER's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AER is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AER to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say AER is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.3
Fwd PE 8.59
AER Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAER Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AER's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AER is cheaper than 78.26% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.1
AER Per share dataAER EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of AER may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)8.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y3.67%
EPS Next 3Y4.45%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AER Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.94%, AER is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AER's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 0.80.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, AER's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.94%

5.2 History

  • AER has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AER Yearly Dividends per shareAER Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 5.13% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AER. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP5.13%
EPS Next 2Y3.67%
EPS Next 3Y4.45%
AER Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAER Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B
AER Dividend Payout.AER Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AER Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AER Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AERCAP HOLDINGS NV

NYSE:AER (5/1/2026, 8:08:38 PM)

After market: 140.94 0 (0%)

140.94

-1.27 (-0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryTrading Companies & Distributors
Industry Strength61.49
Industry Growth50.67
Earnings (Last)04-29
Earnings (Next)07-28
Inst Owners94.62%
Inst Owner Change-0.49%
Ins Owners4.09%
Ins Owner Change0.55%
Market Cap23.52B
Revenue(TTM)7.70B
Net Income(TTM)3.75B
Analysts80
Price Target166.77 (18.33%)
Short Float %1.2%
Short Ratio1.4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.94%
Yearly Dividend1.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP5.13%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-25
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.97%
Min EPS beat(2)10.26%
Max EPS beat(2)59.68%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)26.41%
Min EPS beat(4)3.01%
Max EPS beat(4)59.68%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)24.15%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)27.59%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)31.86%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)10.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)5.81%
Max Revenue beat(2)15.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.51%
Max Revenue beat(4)15.54%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.36%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.76%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.25%
PT rev (1m)0.23%
PT rev (3m)7.33%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.91%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.98%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.91%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.16%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.83%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.3
Fwd PE 8.59
P/S 3.06
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.36
P/B 1.28
P/tB 1.42
EV/EBITDA 10.1
EPS(TTM)16.98
EY12.05%
EPS(NY)16.41
Fwd EY11.64%
FCF(TTM)-4.08
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)32.32
OCFY22.93%
SpS46.12
BVpS109.8
TBVpS99.04
PEG (NY)8.44
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number204.814 (45.32%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.23%
ROE 20.47%
ROCE 5.85%
ROIC 5.03%
ROICexc 5.14%
ROICexgc 5.3%
OM 50.1%
PM (TTM) 48.73%
GM 91.59%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)4.19%
ROA(5y)2.57%
ROE(3y)17.2%
ROE(5y)10.62%
ROIC(3y)4.64%
ROIC(5y)4.3%
ROICexc(3y)4.74%
ROICexc(5y)4.4%
ROICexgc(3y)4.93%
ROICexgc(5y)4.63%
ROCE(3y)5.4%
ROCE(5y)5%
ROICexgc growth 3Y5.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y0.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y6.34%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.18%
OM growth 3Y2.34%
OM growth 5Y-0.33%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.39%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.38
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 6.7
Cap/Depr 229.46%
Cap/Sales 78.92%
Interest Coverage 2.02
Cash Conversion 82.92%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.19
Quick Ratio 1.17
Altman-Z 0.89
F-Score9
WACC6.33%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)245.72%
Cap/Depr(5y)200.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)85.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)69.76%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.83%
EPS 3Y19.23%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46.47%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y3.67%
EPS Next 3Y4.45%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.79%
Revenue growth 3Y4.3%
Revenue growth 5Y11.81%
Sales Q2Q%7.93%
Revenue Next Year-1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.09%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y11.26%
EBIT growth 3Y6.73%
EBIT growth 5Y11.45%
EBIT Next Year45.09%
EBIT Next 3Y13.07%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y42.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-0.8%
OCF growth 3Y1.41%
OCF growth 5Y20.41%

AERCAP HOLDINGS NV / AER Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AER stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AER.


What is the valuation status for AER stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AER stock?

AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) stock?

The financial health rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 2 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) stock?

The dividend rating of AERCAP HOLDINGS NV (AER) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 5.13%.