AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:AEL • US0256762065

Current stock price

56.47 USD
+0.31 (+0.55%)
At close:
56.47 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AEL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. AEL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AEL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AEL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years AEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAEL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B 2B 3B 4B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.21%, AEL is doing worse than 69.29% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEL's Return On Equity of 5.52% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AEL is outperformed by 61.43% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.21%
ROE 5.52%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.79%
ROA(5y)0.72%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)15.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAEL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • AEL has a Profit Margin (5.85%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AEL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AEL has a Operating Margin of 52.33%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AEL outperforms 97.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 52.33%
PM (TTM) 5.85%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-39.39%
PM growth 5Y-27.69%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
AEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAEL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 80

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4

2. AEL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AEL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AEL has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AEL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
AEL Yearly Shares OutstandingAEL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
AEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAEL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

  • AEL has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.22. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AEL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.22. This is amongst the best in the industry. AEL outperforms 93.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that AEL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • AEL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.29) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 0.22
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.32%
AEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAEL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
AEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAEL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 10M 20M 30M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. AEL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 89.20% over the past year.
  • AEL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.07% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 97.17% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)89.2%
EPS 3Y117.68%
EPS 5Y10.07%
EPS Q2Q%151.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)97.17%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y13%
Sales Q2Q%24.24%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -0.70% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.89% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
EPS Next 5Y-0.7%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y6.44%
Revenue Next 5Y6.89%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAEL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1B 2B 3B
AEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAEL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6

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6

4. AEL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.50 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AEL.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • AEL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.18, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.63, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AEL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AEL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AEL is cheaper than 69.29% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (37.96), we can say AEL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.5
Fwd PE 7.63
AEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAEL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AEL is valued cheaper than 91.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 1.15
EV/EBITDA -2.49
AEL Per share dataAEL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. AEL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.67%, AEL is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AEL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 2.44.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AEL's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AEL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.46%!
  • AEL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.46%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
AEL Yearly Dividends per shareAEL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 26.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AEL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP26.19%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
AEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAEL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B
AEL Dividend Payout.AEL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AEL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AEL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL

NYSE:AEL (5/2/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 56.47 0 (0%)

56.47

+0.31 (+0.55%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)05-01
Earnings (Next)08-05
Inst Owners14.71%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners18.55%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap4.48B
Revenue(TTM)2.85B
Net Income(TTM)166.79M
Analysts50
Price Target56.1 (-0.66%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.67%
Yearly Dividend0.53
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.46%
DP26.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)26.93%
Min EPS beat(2)12.78%
Max EPS beat(2)41.09%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)16.67%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.82%
Max EPS beat(4)41.09%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)17.33%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)15.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.13%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)17.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.41%
Max Revenue beat(2)40.46%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)22.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-15.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)69.59%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-7.11%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)23.56%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)19.8%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.95%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.5
Fwd PE 7.63
P/S 1.57
P/FCF 1.15
P/OCF 1.14
P/B 1.48
P/tB 1.48
EV/EBITDA -2.49
EPS(TTM)7.53
EY13.33%
EPS(NY)7.4
Fwd EY13.1%
FCF(TTM)48.99
FCFY86.75%
OCF(TTM)49.62
OCFY87.87%
SpS35.9
BVpS38.08
TBVpS38.08
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.74
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.21%
ROE 5.52%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 52.33%
PM (TTM) 5.85%
GM N/A
FCFM 136.45%
ROA(3y)0.79%
ROA(5y)0.72%
ROE(3y)20.81%
ROE(5y)15.57%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-39.39%
PM growth 5Y-27.69%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.04
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 0.22
Debt/EBITDA 0.49
Cap/Depr 17.37%
Cap/Sales 1.76%
Interest Coverage 29.82
Cash Conversion 221.32%
Profit Quality 2332.17%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)10.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)7.37%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.71%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.16%
Profit Quality(3y)1160.31%
Profit Quality(5y)1008.72%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)89.2%
EPS 3Y117.68%
EPS 5Y10.07%
EPS Q2Q%151.9%
EPS Next Y-1.74%
EPS Next 2Y-2.78%
EPS Next 3Y-1.38%
EPS Next 5Y-0.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)97.17%
Revenue growth 3Y5.51%
Revenue growth 5Y13%
Sales Q2Q%24.24%
Revenue Next Year5.25%
Revenue Next 2Y1.07%
Revenue Next 3Y6.44%
Revenue Next 5Y6.89%
EBIT growth 1Y2774.39%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.18%
FCF growth 3Y44.4%
FCF growth 5Y151.19%
OCF growth 1Y92.73%
OCF growth 3Y44.53%
OCF growth 5Y146.6%

AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL / AEL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AEL.


What is the valuation status for AEL stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL?

AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL) is expected to decline by -1.74% in the next year.


Is the dividend of AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL sustainable?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN EQUITY INVT LIFE HL (AEL) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 26.19%.