AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:AEC1 • US0258161092

Current stock price

259.4 EUR
-2.75 (-1.05%)
Last:

This AEC1.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. AEC1.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AEC1 had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AEC1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AEC1 had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • AEC1 had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AEC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAEC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • AEC1 has a Return On Assets of 3.57%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AEC1 outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • AEC1 has a Return On Equity of 31.97%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AEC1 outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
  • AEC1's Return On Invested Capital of 3.79% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AEC1 outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AEC1 is in line with the industry average of 5.33%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (3.68%) for AEC1 is below the current ROIC(3.79%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROIC 3.79%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
AEC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAEC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • AEC1 has a Profit Margin of 13.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: AEC1 outperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AEC1 has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of AEC1 (17.73%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AEC1 has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 61.51%, AEC1 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEC1's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.73%
PM (TTM) 13.78%
GM 61.51%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
AEC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAEC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

3

2. AEC1.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AEC1 is destroying value.
  • AEC1 has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • AEC1 has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • AEC1 has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
AEC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAEC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
AEC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAEC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.75, we must say that AEC1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.75, AEC1 is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEC1 has a debt to FCF ratio of 13.14. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AEC1 would need 13.14 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • AEC1 has a Debt to FCF ratio (13.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • AEC1 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 6.28, AEC1 is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Altman-Z 0.75
ROIC/WACC0.57
WACC6.69%
AEC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAEC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.65 indicates that AEC1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.65, AEC1 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AEC1 has a Quick Ratio of 0.65. This is a bad value and indicates that AEC1 is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AEC1's Quick ratio of 0.65 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AEC1 outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
AEC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAEC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B

6

3. AEC1.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.28% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.56% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.57% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AEC1 shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.25% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%

3.2 Future

  • AEC1 is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.95% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.10% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.22%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AEC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAEC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
AEC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAEC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15 20 25

4

4. AEC1.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.43, the valuation of AEC1 can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as AEC1.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AEC1 to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.17), we can say AEC1 is valued slightly cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.85 indicates a correct valuation of AEC1.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AEC1 is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.00% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.05, AEC1 is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.43
Fwd PE 16.85
AEC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAEC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AEC1 indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: AEC1 is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, AEC1 is valued a bit more expensive than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.83
EV/EBITDA 13.81
AEC1.DE Per share dataAEC1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AEC1's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • AEC1 has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AEC1's earnings are expected to grow with 14.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%

4

5. AEC1.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AEC1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.30%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.24, AEC1 has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, AEC1 is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.3%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of AEC1 grows each year by 12.38%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years7
AEC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAEC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • AEC1 pays out 21.22% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • AEC1's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP21.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
AEC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAEC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B
AEC1.DE Dividend Payout.AEC1.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AEC1.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

AEC1.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO

FRA:AEC1 (4/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

259.4

-2.75 (-1.05%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryConsumer Finance
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners64.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap178.11B
Revenue(TTM)77.65B
Net Income(TTM)10.70B
Analysts70.86
Price Target328.04 (26.46%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.3%
Yearly Dividend2.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
DP21.22%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years7
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(2)2.58%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(4)4.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)2.65%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.17%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.41%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.68%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.47%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.29%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.43
Fwd PE 16.85
P/S 2.64
P/FCF 12.83
P/OCF 11.14
P/B 6.13
P/tB 6.13
EV/EBITDA 13.81
EPS(TTM)13.35
EY5.15%
EPS(NY)15.4
Fwd EY5.94%
FCF(TTM)20.22
FCFY7.8%
OCF(TTM)23.29
OCFY8.98%
SpS98.13
BVpS42.3
TBVpS42.3
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)0.6
Graham Number112.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROCE 10.47%
ROIC 3.79%
ROICexc 4.54%
ROICexgc 5.05%
OM 17.73%
PM (TTM) 13.78%
GM 61.51%
FCFM 20.61%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
ROICexc(3y)4.43%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.86%
ROCE(3y)10.22%
ROCE(5y)10.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.17%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Debt/EBITDA 13.52
Cap/Depr 136.47%
Cap/Sales 3.12%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 118.53%
Profit Quality 149.55%
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 0.75
F-Score6
WACC6.69%
ROIC/WACC0.57
Cap/Depr(3y)115.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.7%
Cap/Sales(5y)3%
Profit Quality(3y)158.99%
Profit Quality(5y)180.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.22%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%
EBIT growth 1Y11.18%
EBIT growth 3Y11.71%
EBIT growth 5Y26.29%
EBIT Next Year-4.41%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y31.83%
FCF growth 3Y-5.93%
FCF growth 5Y31.22%
OCF growth 1Y31.16%
OCF growth 3Y-4.38%
OCF growth 5Y26.94%

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO / AEC1.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AEC1 stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AEC1.DE.


What is the valuation status of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of AEC1 stock?

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for AEC1 stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) is 19.43 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 6.13.


What is the expected EPS growth for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) is expected to grow by 15.31% in the next year.