AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:AEC1 • US0258161092

Current stock price

259.95 EUR
-3.2 (-1.22%)
Last:

This AEC1.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. AEC1.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AEC1 was profitable.
  • AEC1 had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • AEC1 had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • AEC1 had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AEC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAEC1.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

  • AEC1's Return On Assets of 3.57% is amongst the best of the industry. AEC1 outperforms 88.89% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 31.97%, AEC1 belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 3.79%, AEC1 is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AEC1 is in line with the industry average of 5.50%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.79%) for AEC1 is above the 3 year average (3.68%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROIC 3.79%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
AEC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAEC1.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of AEC1 (13.65%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • AEC1's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of AEC1 (17.56%) is better than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AEC1 has grown nicely.
  • AEC1 has a Gross Margin (60.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AEC1 has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.56%
PM (TTM) 13.65%
GM 60.91%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
AEC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAEC1.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60

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3

2. AEC1.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • AEC1 has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AEC1 has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AEC1 has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • AEC1 has about the same debt/assets ratio as last year.
AEC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingAEC1.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
AEC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAEC1.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100B 200B 300B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.76, we must say that AEC1 is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • AEC1 has a better Altman-Z score (0.76) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of AEC1 is 13.14, which is on the high side as it means it would take AEC1, 13.14 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • AEC1 has a Debt to FCF ratio of 13.14. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AEC1 outperforms 55.56% of its industry peers.
  • AEC1 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.28. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 6.28, AEC1 is not doing good in the industry: 88.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Altman-Z 0.76
ROIC/WACC0.59
WACC6.47%
AEC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAEC1.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.65 indicates that AEC1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AEC1 has a Current ratio (0.65) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that AEC1 may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.65, AEC1 perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
AEC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAEC1.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50B 100B 150B

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6

3. AEC1.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 15.28% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, AEC1 shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 32.56% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.60% in the past year.
  • AEC1 shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 15.25% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.6%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, AEC1 will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.95% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AEC1 will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.21%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AEC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAEC1.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
AEC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAEC1.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5 10 15 20 25

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4

4. AEC1.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.38, the valuation of AEC1 can be described as rather expensive.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AEC1 is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.96. AEC1 is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.81, the valuation of AEC1 can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AEC1 is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.04. AEC1 is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.38
Fwd PE 16.81
AEC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAEC1.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AEC1, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • AEC1's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.8
EV/EBITDA 13.95
AEC1.DE Per share dataAEC1.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • AEC1's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • AEC1 has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • AEC1's earnings are expected to grow with 14.39% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)0.6
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%

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5

5. AEC1.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • AEC1 has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.26%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.66, AEC1 pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, AEC1 is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of AEC1 grows each year by 12.38%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years6
AEC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareAEC1.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 21.22% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AEC1. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • AEC1's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP21.22%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
AEC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAEC1.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B
AEC1.DE Dividend Payout.AEC1.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AEC1.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AEC1.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO

FRA:AEC1 (3/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

259.95

-3.2 (-1.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryConsumer Finance
Earnings (Last)01-30
Earnings (Next)04-24
Inst Owners64.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.09%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap178.48B
Revenue(TTM)78.41B
Net Income(TTM)10.70B
Analysts70.29
Price Target328.04 (26.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.26%
Yearly Dividend2.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.38%
DP21.22%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(2)2.58%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.32%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.23%
Max EPS beat(4)4.09%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)3.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.71%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)2.65%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.2%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.09%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.81%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.76%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.17%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.41%
PT rev (1m)1.62%
PT rev (3m)6.88%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.31%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.34%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.76%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.38
Fwd PE 16.81
P/S 2.61
P/FCF 12.8
P/OCF 11.12
P/B 6.12
P/tB 6.12
EV/EBITDA 13.95
EPS(TTM)13.41
EY5.16%
EPS(NY)15.46
Fwd EY5.95%
FCF(TTM)20.31
FCFY7.81%
OCF(TTM)23.39
OCFY9%
SpS99.52
BVpS42.48
TBVpS42.48
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)0.6
Graham Number113.22
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.57%
ROE 31.97%
ROCE 10.47%
ROIC 3.79%
ROICexc 4.54%
ROICexgc 5.05%
OM 17.56%
PM (TTM) 13.65%
GM 60.91%
FCFM 20.41%
ROA(3y)3.47%
ROA(5y)3.57%
ROE(3y)31.47%
ROE(5y)32.01%
ROIC(3y)3.68%
ROIC(5y)3.82%
ROICexc(3y)4.43%
ROICexc(5y)4.52%
ROICexgc(3y)4.73%
ROICexgc(5y)4.86%
ROCE(3y)10.22%
ROCE(5y)10.27%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.16%
ROICexgc growth 5Y14.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y2.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.17%
OM growth 3Y-0.05%
OM growth 5Y9.58%
PM growth 3Y1.18%
PM growth 5Y11.63%
GM growth 3Y-1.59%
GM growth 5Y-2.62%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.28
Debt/FCF 13.14
Debt/EBITDA 13.52
Cap/Depr 136.47%
Cap/Sales 3.09%
Interest Coverage 1.72
Cash Conversion 118.53%
Profit Quality 149.55%
Current Ratio 0.65
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 0.76
F-Score6
WACC6.47%
ROIC/WACC0.59
Cap/Depr(3y)115.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)110.14%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.7%
Cap/Sales(5y)3%
Profit Quality(3y)158.99%
Profit Quality(5y)180.43%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.28%
EPS 3Y16.08%
EPS 5Y32.56%
EPS Q2Q%16.12%
EPS Next Y15.31%
EPS Next 2Y14.88%
EPS Next 3Y14.39%
EPS Next 5Y12.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.6%
Revenue growth 3Y11.76%
Revenue growth 5Y15.25%
Sales Q2Q%10.48%
Revenue Next Year9.61%
Revenue Next 2Y9.21%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.1%
EBIT growth 1Y11.18%
EBIT growth 3Y11.71%
EBIT growth 5Y26.29%
EBIT Next Year-4.41%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y31.83%
FCF growth 3Y-5.93%
FCF growth 5Y31.22%
OCF growth 1Y31.16%
OCF growth 3Y-4.38%
OCF growth 5Y26.94%

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO / AEC1.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for AEC1 stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AEC1.DE.


Can you provide the valuation status for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for AMERICAN EXPRESS CO?

AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) stock?

The financial health rating of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) is 3 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) stock?

The dividend rating of AMERICAN EXPRESS CO (AEC1.DE) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 21.22%.