AUTODESK INC (ADSK) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ADSK • US0527691069

Current stock price

238.08 USD
+0.21 (+0.09%)
At close:
238.08 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This ADSK fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. ADSK Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ADSK was profitable.
  • In the past year ADSK had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ADSK has always been profitable.
  • ADSK had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ADSK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADSK Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 9.02%, ADSK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.45% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADSK has a better Return On Equity (36.91%) than 93.45% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 20.27%, ADSK belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADSK is significantly above the industry average of 10.99%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (20.27%) for ADSK is above the 3 year average (17.89%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.02%
ROE 36.91%
ROIC 20.27%
ROA(3y)9.47%
ROA(5y)8.58%
ROE(3y)42.73%
ROE(5y)51.72%
ROIC(3y)17.89%
ROIC(5y)15.49%
ADSK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADSK Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 100 -100 200

1.3 Margins

  • ADSK has a better Profit Margin (15.60%) than 82.55% of its industry peers.
  • ADSK's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ADSK has a better Operating Margin (24.90%) than 90.55% of its industry peers.
  • ADSK's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of ADSK (90.98%) is better than 98.18% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADSK has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.9%
PM (TTM) 15.6%
GM 90.98%
OM growth 3Y8.01%
OM growth 5Y8.45%
PM growth 3Y-1.74%
PM growth 5Y-13.32%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
ADSK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADSK Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 20 -20 40 60 80

7

2. ADSK Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ADSK has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • ADSK has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ADSK has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for ADSK has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ADSK Yearly Shares OutstandingADSK Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 50M 100M 150M 200M
ADSK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADSK Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 4.01 indicates that ADSK is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ADSK's Altman-Z score of 4.01 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ADSK outperforms 73.45% of its industry peers.
  • ADSK has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.05. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.05 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ADSK has a better Debt to FCF ratio (1.05) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82 indicates that ADSK is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • ADSK has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.82. This is in the lower half of the industry: ADSK underperforms 72.00% of its industry peers.
  • Although ADSK's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF 1.05
Altman-Z 4.01
ROIC/WACC1.85
WACC10.93%
ADSK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADSK Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ADSK has a Current Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that ADSK is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ADSK has a Current ratio of 0.85. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ADSK underperforms 83.27% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that ADSK may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.85, ADSK is doing worse than 82.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The current and quick ratio evaluation for ADSK is rather negative, while it does have excellent solvency and profitability. These ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
ADSK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADSK Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

7

3. ADSK Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADSK shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 23.00%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, ADSK shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 20.83% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.53% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 13.71% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)23%
EPS 3Y16.24%
EPS 5Y20.83%
EPS Q2Q%24.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.53%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y13.71%
Sales Q2Q%19.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 15.83% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • ADSK is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.54% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.04%
EPS Next 2Y16.14%
EPS Next 3Y16.81%
EPS Next 5Y15.83%
Revenue Next Year13.75%
Revenue Next 2Y12.05%
Revenue Next 3Y11.46%
Revenue Next 5Y10.54%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
ADSK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADSK Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B
ADSK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADSK Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 5 10 15 20 25

5

4. ADSK Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ADSK is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 22.83.
  • ADSK's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADSK is cheaper than 64.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.17. ADSK is around the same levels.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.34, the valuation of ADSK can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ADSK is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.05, ADSK is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.83
Fwd PE 19.34
ADSK Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADSK Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADSK indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADSK is cheaper than 70.55% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 70.18% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADSK, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.14
EV/EBITDA 25.02
ADSK Per share dataADSK EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ADSK's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • ADSK has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • ADSK's earnings are expected to grow with 16.81% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)1.1
EPS Next 2Y16.14%
EPS Next 3Y16.81%

0

5. ADSK Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for ADSK!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

ADSK Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AUTODESK INC

NASDAQ:ADSK (4/2/2026, 8:07:03 PM)

After market: 238.08 0 (0%)

238.08

+0.21 (+0.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)02-26
Earnings (Next)05-20
Inst Owners95.25%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.18%
Ins Owner Change-2.71%
Market Cap50.23B
Revenue(TTM)7.21B
Net Income(TTM)1.12B
Analysts83.59
Price Target338.77 (42.29%)
Short Float %2.67%
Short Ratio2.37
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.25%
Min EPS beat(2)4.8%
Max EPS beat(2)5.71%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4.98%
Min EPS beat(4)4.58%
Max EPS beat(4)5.71%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.3%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.98%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)3.36%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.45%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.54%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.19%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.54%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.43%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.41%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.58%
PT rev (1m)-5.7%
PT rev (3m)-10.7%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.23%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)1.58%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 22.83
Fwd PE 19.34
P/S 6.97
P/FCF 21.14
P/OCF 20.49
P/B 16.5
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 25.02
EPS(TTM)10.43
EY4.38%
EPS(NY)12.31
Fwd EY5.17%
FCF(TTM)11.26
FCFY4.73%
OCF(TTM)11.62
OCFY4.88%
SpS34.15
BVpS14.43
TBVpS-8.14
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)1.1
Graham Number58.2
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.02%
ROE 36.91%
ROCE 26.94%
ROIC 20.27%
ROICexc 33.23%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 24.9%
PM (TTM) 15.6%
GM 90.98%
FCFM 32.97%
ROA(3y)9.47%
ROA(5y)8.58%
ROE(3y)42.73%
ROE(5y)51.72%
ROIC(3y)17.89%
ROIC(5y)15.49%
ROICexc(3y)28.65%
ROICexc(5y)24.89%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)23.77%
ROCE(5y)20.59%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y14.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.76%
OM growth 3Y8.01%
OM growth 5Y8.45%
PM growth 3Y-1.74%
PM growth 5Y-13.32%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.03%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.58
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.82
Debt/FCF 1.05
Debt/EBITDA 1.25
Cap/Depr 38.97%
Cap/Sales 1.05%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 123.28%
Profit Quality 211.39%
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z 4.01
F-Score7
WACC10.93%
ROIC/WACC1.85
Cap/Depr(3y)46.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)43.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.25%
Profit Quality(3y)161.64%
Profit Quality(5y)205.14%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)23%
EPS 3Y16.24%
EPS 5Y20.83%
EPS Q2Q%24.45%
EPS Next Y18.04%
EPS Next 2Y16.14%
EPS Next 3Y16.81%
EPS Next 5Y15.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.53%
Revenue growth 3Y12.92%
Revenue growth 5Y13.71%
Sales Q2Q%19.4%
Revenue Next Year13.75%
Revenue Next 2Y12.05%
Revenue Next 3Y11.46%
Revenue Next 5Y10.54%
EBIT growth 1Y31.04%
EBIT growth 3Y21.96%
EBIT growth 5Y23.32%
EBIT Next Year24.36%
EBIT Next 3Y17.67%
EBIT Next 5Y10.43%
FCF growth 1Y57.87%
FCF growth 3Y5.47%
FCF growth 5Y12.12%
OCF growth 1Y52.58%
OCF growth 3Y5.79%
OCF growth 5Y11.28%

AUTODESK INC / ADSK Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADSK stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to ADSK.


What is the valuation status for ADSK stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to AUTODESK INC (ADSK). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of ADSK stock?

AUTODESK INC (ADSK) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the valuation of AUTODESK INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for AUTODESK INC (ADSK) is 22.83 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 16.5.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AUTODESK INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AUTODESK INC (ADSK) is expected to grow by 18.04% in the next year.