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ADP (ADP.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - EPA:ADP - FR0010340141 - Common Stock

116.8 EUR
-1 (-0.85%)
Last: 10/17/2025, 10:57:27 AM
Fundamental Rating

4

Overall ADP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated ADP against 14 industry peers in the Transportation Infrastructure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ADP while its profitability can be described as average. ADP is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ADP was profitable.
ADP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: ADP reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years ADP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ADP.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADP.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B -1B 1.5B

1.2 Ratios

ADP's Return On Assets of 0.46% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ADP is outperformed by 78.57% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 2.29%, ADP is doing worse than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
ADP has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADP outperforms 42.86% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ADP is below the industry average of 8.27%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.46%
ROE 2.29%
ROIC 4.78%
ROA(3y)2.55%
ROA(5y)0%
ROE(3y)11.68%
ROE(5y)-0.81%
ROIC(3y)5.03%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ADP.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADP.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 1.45%, ADP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADP has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 17.92%, ADP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADP has remained more or less at the same level.
ADP has a Gross Margin of 85.41%. This is in the better half of the industry: ADP outperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
ADP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.92%
PM (TTM) 1.45%
GM 85.41%
OM growth 3Y141.84%
OM growth 5Y-0.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y-0.45%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
ADP.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADP.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ADP has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ADP has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, ADP has less shares outstanding
ADP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ADP.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingADP.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M
ADP.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADP.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.23, we must say that ADP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.23, ADP is doing worse than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
ADP has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.81. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ADP would need 17.81 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.81, ADP is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.32 is on the high side and indicates that ADP has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.32, ADP is not doing good in the industry: 71.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.32
Debt/FCF 17.81
Altman-Z 1.23
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC5.34%
ADP.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADP.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that ADP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ADP has a Current ratio (1.12) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.08 indicates that ADP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
ADP has a Quick ratio (1.08) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.12
Quick Ratio 1.08
ADP.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADP.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

ADP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -74.00%.
Measured over the past years, ADP shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -10.33% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 10.23% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, ADP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.55% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.33%
EPS Q2Q%-40.63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.23%
Revenue growth 3Y30.4%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ADP will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 22.47% on average per year.
ADP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y49.21%
EPS Next 2Y44.46%
EPS Next 3Y33.65%
EPS Next 5Y22.47%
Revenue Next Year10.1%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y6.16%
Revenue Next 5Y4.68%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
ADP.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADP.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B
ADP.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADP.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 5 -5 -10

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 57.82 indicates a quite expensive valuation of ADP.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADP is valued a bit more expensive than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ADP to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.29), we can say ADP is valued expensively.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.22, which indicates a correct valuation of ADP.
ADP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADP is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADP to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.85), we can say ADP is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.82
Fwd PE 16.22
ADP.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADP.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ADP is valued a bit more expensive than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
ADP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 20.83
EV/EBITDA 9.31
ADP.PA Per share dataADP.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ADP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ADP's earnings are expected to grow with 33.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.46%
EPS Next 3Y33.65%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ADP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.62%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.20, ADP has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
ADP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.62%

5.2 History

The dividend of ADP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.94%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.94%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
ADP.PA Yearly Dividends per shareADP.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2023 2024 2025 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

ADP pays out 318.28% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
ADP's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP318.28%
EPS Next 2Y44.46%
EPS Next 3Y33.65%
ADP.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADP.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M -1B
ADP.PA Dividend Payout.ADP.PA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADP.PA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ADP

EPA:ADP (10/17/2025, 10:57:27 AM)

116.8

-1 (-0.85%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryTransportation Infrastructure
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30/amc
Earnings (Next)10-23 2025-10-23
Inst Owners29.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap11.56B
Analysts73
Price Target125.57 (7.51%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.62%
Yearly Dividend3.82
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.94%
DP318.28%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)-16.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.54%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.82
Fwd PE 16.22
P/S 1.8
P/FCF 20.83
P/OCF 7
P/B 2.84
P/tB 22.14
EV/EBITDA 9.31
EPS(TTM)2.02
EY1.73%
EPS(NY)7.2
Fwd EY6.16%
FCF(TTM)5.61
FCFY4.8%
OCF(TTM)16.68
OCFY14.28%
SpS65.02
BVpS41.11
TBVpS5.27
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.46%
ROE 2.29%
ROCE 6.9%
ROIC 4.78%
ROICexc 5.33%
ROICexgc 6.99%
OM 17.92%
PM (TTM) 1.45%
GM 85.41%
FCFM 8.63%
ROA(3y)2.55%
ROA(5y)0%
ROE(3y)11.68%
ROE(5y)-0.81%
ROIC(3y)5.03%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)5.9%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)7.62%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.27%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y203.71%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.09%
ROICexc growth 3Y204.79%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.53%
OM growth 3Y141.84%
OM growth 5Y-0.19%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-14.99%
GM growth 3Y-0.45%
GM growth 5Y-0.89%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.32
Debt/FCF 17.81
Debt/EBITDA 4.45
Cap/Depr 112.64%
Cap/Sales 17.03%
Interest Coverage 3.91
Cash Conversion 77.66%
Profit Quality 596.77%
Current Ratio 1.12
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 1.23
F-Score6
WACC5.34%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)128.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)105.29%
Cap/Sales(3y)16.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.91%
Profit Quality(3y)128.36%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-10.33%
EPS Q2Q%-40.63%
EPS Next Y49.21%
EPS Next 2Y44.46%
EPS Next 3Y33.65%
EPS Next 5Y22.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.23%
Revenue growth 3Y30.4%
Revenue growth 5Y5.55%
Sales Q2Q%9.56%
Revenue Next Year10.1%
Revenue Next 2Y7.41%
Revenue Next 3Y6.16%
Revenue Next 5Y4.68%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.23%
EBIT growth 3Y215.37%
EBIT growth 5Y5.35%
EBIT Next Year96.67%
EBIT Next 3Y29.81%
EBIT Next 5Y18.73%
FCF growth 1Y-33.53%
FCF growth 3Y23.67%
FCF growth 5Y4.44%
OCF growth 1Y2.36%
OCF growth 3Y26.27%
OCF growth 5Y-0.38%