ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
14.05 CAD
-0.08 (-0.57%)
Taking everything into account, ADN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ADN was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. ADN has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ADN was profitable.
In the past year ADN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ADN has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ADN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 2.36%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of ADN (4.19%) is better than 91.67% of its industry peers.
ADN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.63%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADN is in line with the industry average of 4.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ADN (16.03%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
ADN has a Operating Margin of 15.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADN has declined.
ADN's Gross Margin of 30.11% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ADN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
ADN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.06, we must say that ADN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ADN has a Altman-Z score of 1.06. This is in the lower half of the industry: ADN underperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN is 32.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take ADN, 32.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ADN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 32.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADN outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ADN (0.33) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.06 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC6.14%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ADN (0.96) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of ADN (0.88) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -56.45% in the last year.
ADN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.80% yearly.
The Revenue for ADN has decreased by -26.79% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.05% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.45%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%-67.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.79%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-58.42%
3.2 Future
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.83% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-24.25%
EPS Next 2Y-7.6%
EPS Next 3Y-10.98%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-16.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
ADN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.35.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ADN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.03, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.06, the valuation of ADN can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ADN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: ADN is more expensive than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ADN.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 75.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.4 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ADN has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.98% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-7.6%
EPS Next 3Y-10.98%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ADN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.14%, which is a nice return.
In the last 3 months the price of ADN has falen by -21.29%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.36, ADN pays a better dividend. On top of this ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, ADN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.14% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
ADN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
73.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ADN has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-7.6%
EPS Next 3Y-10.98%
TSX:ADN (11/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
14.05
-0.08 (-0.57%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners9.24%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap254.59M
Revenue(TTM)88.15M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target19.89 (41.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8.14% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-63.64%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-37.53%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.77%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.35 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.06 | ||
| P/S | 2.89 | ||
| P/FCF | 75.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 36.42 | ||
| P/B | 0.76 | ||
| P/tB | 0.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 25.4 |
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY5.77%
EPS(NY)1.08
Fwd EY7.66%
FCF(TTM)0.19
FCFY1.32%
OCF(TTM)0.39
OCFY2.75%
SpS4.86
BVpS18.59
TBVpS18.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.4
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.06 |
F-Score3
WACC6.14%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-56.45%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%-67.39%
EPS Next Y-24.25%
EPS Next 2Y-7.6%
EPS Next 3Y-10.98%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-26.79%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-58.42%
Revenue Next Year-16.66%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.99%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-10.76%
EBIT Next 3Y3.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 1 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.