ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
16.1 CAD
+0.16 (+1%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ADN. ADN was compared to 11 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. ADN scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ADN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ADN had a positive cash flow from operations.
ADN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years ADN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 2.36%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN has a Return On Equity of 4.19%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.63%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADN is in line with the industry average of 4.51%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
ADN's Profit Margin of 16.03% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.01%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ADN's Gross Margin of 30.11% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
ADN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ADN is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, ADN has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, ADN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ADN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ADN has an Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.13, ADN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ADN would need 32.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
ADN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 32.89. This is in the better half of the industry: ADN outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that ADN is not too dependend on debt financing.
ADN has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 72.73% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.24%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ADN (0.96) is worse than 81.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.88, ADN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.64% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -48.15% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ADN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -9.80% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -28.86% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.05% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.83% on average over the next years.
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.17, the valuation of ADN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.82% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ADN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.54, the valuation of ADN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ADN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADN to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.78), we can say ADN is valued inline with the index average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.54 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ADN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.64% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 87.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.63 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of ADN may justify a higher PE ratio.
ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.48%, ADN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.13. ADN pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, ADN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.48% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
73.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
ADN's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (12/12/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
16.1
+0.16 (+1%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners8.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap294.47M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (12.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.48% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)-8.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.17 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.54 | ||
| P/S | 3.34 | ||
| P/FCF | 87.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 42.13 | ||
| P/B | 0.87 | ||
| P/tB | 0.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.63 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.22%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY4.64%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.14%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.37%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score3
WACC6.24%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-37.55%
EBIT Next 3Y3.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.