ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:ADN • CA0042721005
16.84 CAD
-0.24 (-1.41%)
Last: Mar 9, 2026, 07:00 PM
This ADN.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Overall ADN gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated ADN against 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. While ADN has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. ADN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. ADN.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year ADN was profitable.
- In the past year ADN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years ADN has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years ADN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.73%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- ADN has a better Return On Equity (13.61%) than 91.67% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.55%, ADN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADN is in line with the industry average of 4.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.73% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROIC | 1.55% |
ROA(3y)5.5%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)9.75%
ROE(5y)9.47%
ROIC(3y)2.39%
ROIC(5y)2.53%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 56.32%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
- ADN has a Operating Margin of 15.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- ADN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- ADN's Gross Margin of 30.50% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 56.32% | ||
| GM | 30.5% |
OM growth 3Y-8.18%
OM growth 5Y-7.7%
PM growth 3Y12.81%
PM growth 5Y18.32%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
2. ADN.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- ADN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, ADN has more shares outstanding
- ADN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for ADN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.19, we must say that ADN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of ADN (1.19) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- ADN has a debt to FCF ratio of 30.60. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ADN would need 30.60 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- ADN has a Debt to FCF ratio of 30.60. This is in the better half of the industry: ADN outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- ADN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.31, ADN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.6 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.19 |
ROIC/WACC0.24
WACC6.58%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.87 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of ADN (0.87) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
- ADN has a Quick Ratio of 0.87. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- ADN's Quick ratio of 0.71 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ADN is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 |
3. ADN.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- ADN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 114.29%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 14.53% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -25.16%.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.91% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)114.29%
EPS 3Y8.57%
EPS 5Y14.53%
EPS Q2Q%581.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.16%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.32%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.91%
Sales Q2Q%8.77%
3.2 Future
- ADN is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -27.39% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, ADN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.73% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-73.63%
EPS Next 2Y-40.86%
EPS Next 3Y-27.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year25.15%
Revenue Next 2Y10.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. ADN.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.24, the valuation of ADN can be described as very cheap.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a rather cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- ADN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.25.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.65, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ADN.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.39. ADN is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.65 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ADN.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ADN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 85.13 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.23 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of ADN may justify a higher PE ratio.
- ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -27.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.43
EPS Next 2Y-40.86%
EPS Next 3Y-27.39%
5. ADN.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.79%, ADN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.49. ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ADN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.79% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -13.05%.
- ADN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-13.05%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- ADN pays out 21.16% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- ADN's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP21.16%
EPS Next 2Y-40.86%
EPS Next 3Y-27.39%
ADN.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:ADN (3/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
16.84
-0.24 (-1.41%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2026-05-05
Inst Owners7.41%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap308.00M
Revenue(TTM)86.96M
Net Income(TTM)48.97M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (7.54%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.79% |
Yearly Dividend0.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)-13.05%
DP21.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)2098.02%
Min EPS beat(2)-20.79%
Max EPS beat(2)4216.83%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1046.35%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)4216.83%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)550.27%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)441.66%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)396.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)6.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)25.91%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.75%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)25.91%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.46%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.73%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.39%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.73%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.73%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.24 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.65 | ||
| P/S | 3.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 85.13 | ||
| P/OCF | 45.14 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.23 |
EPS(TTM)2.7
EY16.03%
EPS(NY)0.71
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)0.2
FCFY1.17%
OCF(TTM)0.37
OCFY2.22%
SpS4.75
BVpS19.67
TBVpS19.33
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.43
Graham Number34.57
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.73% | ||
| ROE | 13.61% | ||
| ROCE | 2.17% | ||
| ROIC | 1.55% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.56% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.58% | ||
| OM | 15.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 56.32% | ||
| GM | 30.5% | ||
| FCFM | 4.16% |
ROA(3y)5.5%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)9.75%
ROE(5y)9.47%
ROIC(3y)2.39%
ROIC(5y)2.53%
ROICexc(3y)2.42%
ROICexc(5y)2.57%
ROICexgc(3y)2.45%
ROICexgc(5y)2.6%
ROCE(3y)3.35%
ROCE(5y)3.55%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-13.79%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-12.49%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.45%
OM growth 3Y-8.18%
OM growth 5Y-7.7%
PM growth 3Y12.81%
PM growth 5Y18.32%
GM growth 3Y0.01%
GM growth 5Y-1.61%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.31 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 30.6 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.24 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 170.3% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.69% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.25 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 44.89% | ||
| Profit Quality | 7.39% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.87 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.71 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.19 |
F-Score4
WACC6.58%
ROIC/WACC0.24
Cap/Depr(3y)790.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)527.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.83%
Profit Quality(3y)49.66%
Profit Quality(5y)55.17%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)114.29%
EPS 3Y8.57%
EPS 5Y14.53%
EPS Q2Q%581.25%
EPS Next Y-73.63%
EPS Next 2Y-40.86%
EPS Next 3Y-27.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-25.16%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.32%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.91%
Sales Q2Q%8.77%
Revenue Next Year25.15%
Revenue Next 2Y10.73%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.72%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.39%
EBIT growth 5Y-8.53%
EBIT Next Year105.76%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-84.63%
FCF growth 3Y-37.56%
FCF growth 5Y-29.15%
OCF growth 1Y-79.96%
OCF growth 3Y-23.5%
OCF growth 5Y-19.84%
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ADN.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 6.24 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.86.
What is the financial health of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 3 / 10.