ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
15.5 CAD
+0.2 (+1.31%)
ADN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. While ADN belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ADN was profitable.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ADN has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years ADN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.36%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Return On Equity of 4.19% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
ADN's Return On Invested Capital of 1.63% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ADN outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
ADN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.69%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ADN (16.03%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
ADN's Operating Margin of 15.01% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADN has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.11%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ADN is destroying value.
ADN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ADN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
ADN has an Altman-Z score of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
ADN has a Altman-Z score (1.12) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN is 32.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take ADN, 32.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 32.89, ADN is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that ADN is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, ADN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.12 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.19%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ADN has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ADN underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ADN has a Quick ratio (0.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ADN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -48.15%.
ADN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.80% yearly.
Looking at the last year, ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -28.86% in the last year.
ADN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.83% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -3.68% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.45 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ADN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.41. ADN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 20.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ADN.
66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
ADN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 35.40.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ADN.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ADN.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 84.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ADN has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ADN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.45%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.14, ADN pays a better dividend. On top of this ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.32.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.45% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
ADN pays out 73.33% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
ADN's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (12/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
15.5
+0.2 (+1.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners9.24%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap283.50M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (16.84%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.45% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)-8.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-37.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-14.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.45 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.74 | ||
| P/S | 3.22 | ||
| P/FCF | 84.2 | ||
| P/OCF | 40.56 | ||
| P/B | 0.84 | ||
| P/tB | 0.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.31 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.42%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY4.82%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.19%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.47%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.12 |
F-Score3
WACC6.19%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-10.76%
EBIT Next 3Y3.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.