ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
14.6 CAD
+0.05 (+0.34%)
ADN gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. ADN has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ADN was profitable.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ADN has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years ADN had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ADN (2.36%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 4.19%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 1.63%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.69%. This is in line with the industry average of 3.86%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
ADN's Profit Margin of 16.03% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of ADN (15.01%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ADN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
ADN has a Gross Margin of 30.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ADN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
ADN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ADN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
ADN has an Altman-Z score of 1.08. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.08, ADN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN is 32.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take ADN, 32.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN (32.89) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ADN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, ADN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.08 |
ROIC/WACC0.27
WACC6.13%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ADN has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ADN underperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
ADN has a Quick ratio (0.88) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -48.15% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -9.80% on average over the past years.
ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.86%.
ADN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, ADN will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -4.83% on average per year.
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.38 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ADN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADN is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.65), we can say ADN is valued slightly cheaper.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.53 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ADN.
ADN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADN is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 34.45.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, ADN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 79.31 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of ADN may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 8.00%, ADN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 6.31. ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.41, ADN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
73.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ADN has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (11/24/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
14.6
+0.05 (+0.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners9.24%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.65%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap267.03M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (24.04%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 8% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)-8.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-37.57%
EPS NY rev (3m)-43.81%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-14.33%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-26.65%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.38 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.53 | ||
| P/S | 3.03 | ||
| P/FCF | 79.31 | ||
| P/OCF | 38.2 | ||
| P/B | 0.79 | ||
| P/tB | 0.81 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 26.1 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.75%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY5.12%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.26%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.62%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.08 |
F-Score3
WACC6.13%
ROIC/WACC0.27
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-10.76%
EBIT Next 3Y3.92%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.