ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
15.66 CAD
+0.16 (+1.03%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ADN. ADN was compared to 11 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. While ADN has a great profitability rating, there are quite some concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year ADN was profitable.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ADN has always been profitable.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ADN has a better Return On Assets (2.36%) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 4.19%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.63%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.69%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.51%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.03%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of ADN (15.01%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ADN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 30.11%, ADN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ADN is destroying value.
ADN has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for ADN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.13, we must say that ADN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ADN has a Altman-Z score of 1.13. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADN outperforms 45.45% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN is 32.89, which is on the high side as it means it would take ADN, 32.89 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ADN (32.89) is better than 63.64% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.33, ADN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.73% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.21%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ADN has a Current ratio of 0.96. This is amonst the worse of the industry: ADN underperforms 81.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ADN's Quick ratio of 0.88 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ADN outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -48.15% in the last year.
ADN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -9.80% yearly.
The Revenue for ADN has decreased by -28.86% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, ADN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.05% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.83% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ADN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.64, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ADN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a rather cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 81.82% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.49. ADN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.95 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ADN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADN is cheaper than 63.64% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.69, ADN is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.95 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADN is on the same level as its industry peers.
63.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 85.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.52 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ADN has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ADN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.48%, which is a nice return.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.13. ADN pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.31.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.48% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
ADN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
73.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ADN has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (12/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
15.66
+0.16 (+1.03%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners8.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap286.42M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (15.64%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.48% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)-8.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.64 | ||
| Fwd PE | 20.95 | ||
| P/S | 3.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 85.07 | ||
| P/OCF | 40.98 | ||
| P/B | 0.85 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.52 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.36%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY4.77%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.18%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.44%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score3
WACC6.21%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-37.55%
EBIT Next 3Y3.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.