ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
15.75 CAD
+0.26 (+1.68%)
Taking everything into account, ADN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. ADN was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. ADN scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ADN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ADN had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years ADN has been profitable.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
ADN has a better Return On Assets (2.36%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
ADN has a Return On Equity of 4.19%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.63%, ADN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 2.69%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
ADN's Profit Margin of 16.03% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADN has grown nicely.
ADN has a Operating Margin of 15.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADN has declined.
ADN's Gross Margin of 30.11% is amongst the best of the industry. ADN outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
ADN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ADN has more shares outstanding
ADN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.13, we must say that ADN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of ADN (1.13) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
ADN has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ADN would need 32.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 32.89, ADN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
ADN has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.25%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.96, ADN is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.88, ADN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -48.15% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, ADN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -9.80% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -28.86% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.05% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.83% on average over the next years.
ADN is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.75, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ADN.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.50), we can say ADN is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.07, ADN is valued on the expensive side.
ADN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADN is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.93, ADN is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.07 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ADN is valued a bit more expensive than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 85.56 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.63 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The excellent profitability rating of ADN may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.41%, ADN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.58. ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.87.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.41% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
ADN pays out 73.33% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
ADN's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (12/22/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
15.75
+0.26 (+1.68%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners8.5%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap288.07M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (14.98%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.41% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)-8.97%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.75 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.07 | ||
| P/S | 3.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 85.56 | ||
| P/OCF | 41.21 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.63 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.33%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY4.75%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.17%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.43%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.13 |
F-Score3
WACC6.25%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-37.55%
EBIT Next 3Y3.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
What is the valuation status for ADN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
How financially healthy is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 2 / 10.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADN stock?
The dividend rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 73.33%.