ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:ADN - CA0042721005 - Common Stock
16.14 CAD
+0.24 (+1.51%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to ADN. ADN was compared to 12 industry peers in the Paper & Forest Products industry. ADN has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. ADN has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ADN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ADN had a positive cash flow from operations.
ADN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
ADN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of ADN (2.36%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of ADN (4.19%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
ADN's Return On Invested Capital of 1.63% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. ADN outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ADN is in line with the industry average of 4.04%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of ADN (16.03%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ADN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
ADN has a better Operating Margin (15.01%) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
ADN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 30.11%, ADN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% |
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ADN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ADN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ADN has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ADN is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.14, we must say that ADN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ADN has a Altman-Z score (1.14) which is in line with its industry peers.
ADN has a debt to FCF ratio of 32.89. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as ADN would need 32.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 32.89, ADN is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.33% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that ADN is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.33, ADN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.14 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC6.27%
2.3 Liquidity
ADN has a Current Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that ADN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of ADN (0.96) is worse than 83.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.88 indicates that ADN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
ADN has a Quick ratio of 0.88. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADN outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for ADN have decreased strongly by -48.15% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -9.80% on average over the past years.
ADN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -28.86%.
ADN shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.83% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, ADN will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -3.68% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.21, the valuation of ADN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ADN to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.19), we can say ADN is valued slightly cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.59, the valuation of ADN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ADN is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
ADN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.59 |
4.2 Price Multiples
ADN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as ADN.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 87.67 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.82 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
ADN has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as ADN's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.65% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.30%, ADN is a good candidate for dividend investing.
ADN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 2.56. ADN pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, ADN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.3% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ADN decreases each year by -10.56%.
ADN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of ADN decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
73.33% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADN. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
ADN's earnings and Dividend Rate are declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP73.33%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
TSX:ADN (1/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
16.14
+0.24 (+1.51%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryPaper & Forest Products
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners8.29%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap295.20M
Revenue(TTM)85.21M
Net Income(TTM)14.13M
Analysts76.67
Price Target18.11 (12.21%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 7.3% |
Yearly Dividend0.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)-10.56%
DP73.33%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.32%
Min EPS beat(2)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(2)29.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)36.33%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.59%
Max EPS beat(4)164.03%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)101.8%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)176.18%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)130.41%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.76%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-7.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-31.34%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.76%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.15%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.65%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-8.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-37.57%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-14.33%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.21 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.59 | ||
| P/S | 3.35 | ||
| P/FCF | 87.67 | ||
| P/OCF | 42.23 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 27.82 |
EPS(TTM)0.84
EY5.2%
EPS(NY)0.75
Fwd EY4.63%
FCF(TTM)0.18
FCFY1.14%
OCF(TTM)0.38
OCFY2.37%
SpS4.82
BVpS18.41
TBVpS18.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number18.65
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.36% | ||
| ROE | 4.19% | ||
| ROCE | 2.27% | ||
| ROIC | 1.63% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.65% | ||
| OM | 15.01% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 16.03% | ||
| GM | 30.11% | ||
| FCFM | 3.82% |
ROA(3y)5.08%
ROA(5y)4.63%
ROE(3y)9.11%
ROE(5y)8.26%
ROIC(3y)2.69%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)2.73%
ROICexc(5y)2.88%
ROICexgc(3y)2.76%
ROICexgc(5y)2.92%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)3.95%
ROICexgc growth 3Y0.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-5.14%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.47%
ROICexc growth 5Y-5.06%
OM growth 3Y-3.67%
OM growth 5Y-1.71%
PM growth 3Y-1.44%
PM growth 5Y1.58%
GM growth 3Y0.77%
GM growth 5Y0.08%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.33 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 32.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 7.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 328.17% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 48.76% | ||
| Profit Quality | 23.84% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.96 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.14 |
F-Score3
WACC6.27%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)780.67%
Cap/Depr(5y)518.79%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.37%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)61.15%
Profit Quality(5y)72.04%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-48.15%
EPS 3Y4.63%
EPS 5Y-9.8%
EPS Q2Q%23.08%
EPS Next Y-52.71%
EPS Next 2Y-22.98%
EPS Next 3Y-10.65%
EPS Next 5Y-4.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-28.86%
Revenue growth 3Y6.68%
Revenue growth 5Y3.05%
Sales Q2Q%-11.33%
Revenue Next Year-28.61%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.74%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-48.28%
EBIT growth 3Y2.77%
EBIT growth 5Y1.28%
EBIT Next Year-37.55%
EBIT Next 3Y3.4%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-70.57%
FCF growth 3Y13.98%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-41.26%
OCF growth 3Y28.01%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP / ADN.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADN.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for ACADIAN TIMBER CORP?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 19.21 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.88.
What is the financial health of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) stock?
The financial health rating of ACADIAN TIMBER CORP (ADN.CA) is 2 / 10.