ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ADM • US0394831020

68.355 USD
+0.44 (+0.64%)
Last: Mar 10, 2026, 10:00 AM
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This ADM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

ADM gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. ADM has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. ADM is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. ADM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ADM was profitable.
  • In the past year ADM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ADM has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years ADM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
ADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.06%, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a Return On Equity of 4.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 52.27% of its industry peers.
  • ADM has a Return On Invested Capital (3.48%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADM is in line with the industry average of 7.13%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROIC 3.48%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.34%, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADM has declined.
  • ADM has a Operating Margin of 1.77%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 46.59% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADM has declined.
  • ADM has a worse Gross Margin (6.27%) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • ADM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
ADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

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6

2. ADM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ADM is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ADM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • ADM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ADM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ADM Yearly Shares OutstandingADM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.03 indicates that ADM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.03, ADM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.00. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ADM would need 2.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ADM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.00) than 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that ADM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of ADM (0.33) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Altman-Z 3.03
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC8.08%
ADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.37 indicates that ADM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 1.37, ADM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a Quick Ratio of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that ADM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.83, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.41% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
ADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ADM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for ADM have decreased strongly by -27.54% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, ADM shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.97% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, ADM shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.15% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.23% on average over the next years.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.79% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
ADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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4

4. ADM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.99, ADM is valued on the expensive side.
  • ADM's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.45. ADM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.19, the valuation of ADM can be described as rather expensive.
  • ADM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADM is cheaper than 64.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 24.65.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.99
Fwd PE 17.19
ADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ADM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ADM indicates a rather cheap valuation: ADM is cheaper than 90.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.82
EV/EBITDA 15.05
ADM Per share dataADM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ADM's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. ADM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ADM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.13%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.30, ADM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ADM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ADM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.23%!
  • ADM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • ADM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ADM Yearly Dividends per shareADM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • ADM pays out 91.56% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of ADM is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP91.56%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
ADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B
ADM Dividend Payout.ADM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ADM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

NYSE:ADM (3/10/2026, 10:00:10 AM)

68.355

+0.44 (+0.64%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners88%
Inst Owner Change2.54%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change7.45%
Market Cap32.89B
Revenue(TTM)80.27B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts53
Price Target62.08 (-9.18%)
Short Float %2.78%
Short Ratio3.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.13%
Yearly Dividend2.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
DP91.56%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-17
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.52%
Min EPS beat(2)6.8%
Max EPS beat(2)8.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.39%
Max EPS beat(4)11.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.54%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.13%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.57%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)5.1%
PT rev (3m)5.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.99
Fwd PE 17.19
P/S 0.41
P/FCF 7.82
P/OCF 6.03
P/B 1.45
P/tB 2.06
EV/EBITDA 15.05
EPS(TTM)3.42
EY5%
EPS(NY)3.98
Fwd EY5.82%
FCF(TTM)8.74
FCFY12.78%
OCF(TTM)11.33
OCFY16.58%
SpS166.81
BVpS47.24
TBVpS33.23
PEG (NY)1.23
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number60.29
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROCE 4.33%
ROIC 3.48%
ROICexc 3.59%
ROICexgc 4.53%
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
FCFM 5.24%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)7.06%
ROICexgc(3y)7.48%
ROICexgc(5y)8.73%
ROCE(3y)7.28%
ROCE(5y)8.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.03%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 105.67%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 209.29%
Profit Quality 389.98%
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 3.03
F-Score4
WACC8.08%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)127.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)181.1%
Profit Quality(5y)158.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.21%
EBIT Next Year183.98%
EBIT Next 3Y43.29%
EBIT Next 5Y25.55%
FCF growth 1Y242.62%
FCF growth 3Y24.87%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y95.41%
OCF growth 3Y16.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO / ADM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADM.


What is the valuation status for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is expected to grow by 16.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADM stock?

The dividend rating of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 91.56%.