ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ADM • US0394831020

Current stock price

70.87 USD
-1.25 (-1.73%)
At close:
70.48 USD
-0.39 (-0.55%)
Pre-Market:

This ADM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. ADM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ADM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ADM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ADM has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ADM had a positive operating cash flow.
ADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • ADM has a Return On Assets (2.06%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ADM has a Return On Equity of 4.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 51.72% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.48%, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ADM is in line with the industry average of 7.17%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROIC 3.48%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ADM (1.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • ADM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ADM has a Operating Margin (1.77%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ADM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • ADM has a worse Gross Margin (6.27%) than 74.71% of its industry peers.
  • ADM's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
ADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. ADM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ADM is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ADM has more shares outstanding
  • ADM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for ADM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
ADM Yearly Shares OutstandingADM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • ADM has an Altman-Z score of 3.06. This indicates that ADM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 3.06, ADM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ADM is 2.00, which is a good value as it means it would take ADM, 2.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • ADM's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.00 is amongst the best of the industry. ADM outperforms 83.91% of its industry peers.
  • ADM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, ADM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.62% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Altman-Z 3.06
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC8.14%
ADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ADM has a Current Ratio of 1.37. This is a normal value and indicates that ADM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.37, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a Quick Ratio of 1.37. This is a bad value and indicates that ADM is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ADM has a Quick ratio of 0.83. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
ADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ADM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.54%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.97% on average over the past years.
  • ADM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.15%.
  • ADM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%

3.2 Future

  • ADM is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.23% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ADM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
ADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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4

4. ADM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • ADM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.72.
  • ADM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.79. ADM is around the same levels.
  • ADM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.82.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADM indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ADM is cheaper than 60.92% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • ADM is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.80, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.72
Fwd PE 17.82
ADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as ADM.
  • 88.51% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.11
EV/EBITDA 15.6
ADM Per share dataADM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. ADM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.87%, ADM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.46.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, ADM pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.87%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of ADM grows each year by 7.23%, which is quite nice.
  • ADM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • ADM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ADM Yearly Dividends per shareADM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 91.56% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • ADM's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP91.56%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
ADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B
ADM Dividend Payout.ADM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ADM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

NYSE:ADM (3/18/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 70.48 -0.39 (-0.55%)

70.87

-1.25 (-1.73%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners88%
Inst Owner Change2.54%
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner Change6.5%
Market Cap34.10B
Revenue(TTM)80.27B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts53
Price Target62.08 (-12.4%)
Short Float %2.7%
Short Ratio3.39
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.87%
Yearly Dividend2.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
DP91.56%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-17
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.52%
Min EPS beat(2)6.8%
Max EPS beat(2)8.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.39%
Max EPS beat(4)11.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.54%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.13%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.57%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)5.1%
PT rev (3m)5.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.94%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.79%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.83%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.72
Fwd PE 17.82
P/S 0.42
P/FCF 8.11
P/OCF 6.26
P/B 1.5
P/tB 2.13
EV/EBITDA 15.6
EPS(TTM)3.42
EY4.83%
EPS(NY)3.98
Fwd EY5.61%
FCF(TTM)8.74
FCFY12.33%
OCF(TTM)11.33
OCFY15.99%
SpS166.81
BVpS47.24
TBVpS33.23
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number60.29
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROCE 4.33%
ROIC 3.48%
ROICexc 3.59%
ROICexgc 4.53%
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
FCFM 5.24%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)7.06%
ROICexgc(3y)7.48%
ROICexgc(5y)8.73%
ROCE(3y)7.28%
ROCE(5y)8.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.03%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 105.67%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 209.29%
Profit Quality 389.98%
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 3.06
F-Score4
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)127.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)181.1%
Profit Quality(5y)158.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.21%
EBIT Next Year183.98%
EBIT Next 3Y43.29%
EBIT Next 5Y25.55%
FCF growth 1Y242.62%
FCF growth 3Y24.87%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y95.41%
OCF growth 3Y16.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO / ADM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ADM.


What is the valuation status for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is expected to grow by 16.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADM stock?

The dividend rating of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 91.56%.