ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ADM • US0394831020

Current stock price

67.11 USD
-1.73 (-2.51%)
Last:

This ADM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. ADM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ADM was profitable.
  • In the past year ADM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ADM has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ADM had a positive operating cash flow.
ADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • ADM has a Return On Assets (2.06%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ADM's Return On Equity of 4.74% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ADM outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
  • ADM has a Return On Invested Capital (3.48%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • ADM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.85%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROIC 3.48%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • ADM's Profit Margin of 1.34% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ADM outperforms 48.28% of its industry peers.
  • ADM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of ADM (1.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADM has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 6.27%, ADM is not doing good in the industry: 72.41% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
ADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. ADM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ADM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for ADM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, ADM has less shares outstanding
  • ADM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ADM Yearly Shares OutstandingADM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.04 indicates that ADM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ADM has a better Altman-Z score (3.04) than 70.11% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of ADM is 2.00, which is a good value as it means it would take ADM, 2.00 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.00, ADM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 85.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • ADM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.33) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Altman-Z 3.04
ROIC/WACC0.42
WACC8.2%
ADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • ADM has a Current Ratio of 1.37. This is a normal value and indicates that ADM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ADM has a Current ratio of 1.37. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 42.53% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that ADM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.83, ADM is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
ADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ADM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.54%.
  • ADM shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -0.97% yearly.
  • ADM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.15%.
  • ADM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, ADM will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 3.23% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ADM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.87%
EPS Next 2Y19.79%
EPS Next 3Y15.14%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.62%
Revenue Next 2Y1.67%
Revenue Next 3Y0.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
ADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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5

4. ADM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.62, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of ADM.
  • ADM's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • ADM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.33.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.84, which indicates a correct valuation of ADM.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ADM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.16. ADM is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.62
Fwd PE 15.84
ADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ADM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ADM indicates a rather cheap valuation: ADM is cheaper than 88.51% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.69
EV/EBITDA 15.24
ADM Per share dataADM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ADM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ADM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.14% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.79%
EPS Next 3Y15.14%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. ADM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.96%, ADM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.19, ADM pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.96%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ADM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.23%!
  • ADM has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • ADM has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ADM Yearly Dividends per shareADM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • ADM pays out 91.56% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • ADM's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP91.56%
EPS Next 2Y19.79%
EPS Next 3Y15.14%
ADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B
ADM Dividend Payout.ADM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ADM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

NYSE:ADM (4/15/2026, 3:27:06 PM)

67.11

-1.73 (-2.51%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners88.08%
Inst Owner Change0.04%
Ins Owners0.7%
Ins Owner Change4.57%
Market Cap32.34B
Revenue(TTM)80.27B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts53
Price Target65.86 (-1.86%)
Short Float %2.73%
Short Ratio3.23
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.96%
Yearly Dividend2.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
DP91.56%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-17
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.52%
Min EPS beat(2)6.8%
Max EPS beat(2)8.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.39%
Max EPS beat(4)11.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.54%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.13%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.57%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)6.08%
PT rev (3m)13.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-6.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-25.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.53%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-3.34%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.62
Fwd PE 15.84
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 7.69
P/OCF 5.93
P/B 1.42
P/tB 2.02
EV/EBITDA 15.24
EPS(TTM)3.42
EY5.1%
EPS(NY)4.24
Fwd EY6.31%
FCF(TTM)8.72
FCFY13%
OCF(TTM)11.31
OCFY16.86%
SpS166.57
BVpS47.17
TBVpS33.18
PEG (NY)0.82
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number60.2496 (-10.22%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROCE 4.33%
ROIC 3.48%
ROICexc 3.59%
ROICexgc 4.53%
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
FCFM 5.24%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)7.06%
ROICexgc(3y)7.48%
ROICexgc(5y)8.73%
ROCE(3y)7.28%
ROCE(5y)8.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.03%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 105.67%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 209.29%
Profit Quality 389.98%
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 3.04
F-Score4
WACC8.2%
ROIC/WACC0.42
Cap/Depr(3y)127.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)181.1%
Profit Quality(5y)158.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
EPS Next Y23.87%
EPS Next 2Y19.79%
EPS Next 3Y15.14%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%
Revenue Next Year0.62%
Revenue Next 2Y1.67%
Revenue Next 3Y0.78%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.21%
EBIT Next Year187.32%
EBIT Next 3Y45.57%
EBIT Next 5Y25.55%
FCF growth 1Y242.62%
FCF growth 3Y24.87%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y95.41%
OCF growth 3Y16.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO / ADM Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ADM.


Can you provide the valuation status for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) stock?

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is 19.62 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.42.


What is the financial health of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) stock?

The financial health rating of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is 6 / 10.