ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:ADM • US0394831020

67.22 USD
-0.77 (-1.13%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
67.22 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 8:07:29 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This ADM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ADM. ADM was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. ADM has an average financial health and profitability rating. ADM is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. ADM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • ADM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year ADM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years ADM has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ADM had a positive operating cash flow.
ADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.11%, ADM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.36% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM has a Return On Equity of 4.74%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ADM outperforms 53.41% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 3.38%, ADM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 54.55% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for ADM is significantly below the industry average of 28.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.11%
ROE 4.74%
ROIC 3.38%
ROA(3y)4.29%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.82%
ROIC(5y)6.83%
ADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of ADM (1.34%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADM has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of ADM (1.77%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADM has declined.
  • ADM's Gross Margin of 6.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ADM is outperformed by 75.00% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
ADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

6

2. ADM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so ADM is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ADM has more shares outstanding
  • ADM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • ADM has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
ADM Yearly Shares OutstandingADM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • ADM has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.00. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ADM would need 2.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ADM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADM outperforms 84.09% of its industry peers.
  • ADM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.37. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • ADM has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.37) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.37
Debt/FCF 2
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.44
WACC7.68%
ADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 11.20 indicates that ADM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of ADM (11.20) is better than 97.73% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 11.20 indicates that ADM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 11.20, ADM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 11.2
Quick Ratio 11.2
ADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ADM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.54%.
  • Measured over the past years, ADM shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -0.97% on average per year.
  • ADM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.15%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.23% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, ADM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.79% on average per year.
EPS Next Y25.3%
EPS Next 2Y18.08%
EPS Next 3Y11.71%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.24%
Revenue Next 2Y1.25%
Revenue Next 3Y0.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
ADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. ADM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.65 indicates a rather expensive valuation of ADM.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ADM is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 60.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.03, ADM is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.69, ADM is valued correctly.
  • ADM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ADM is cheaper than 69.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADM to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.11), we can say ADM is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.65
Fwd PE 15.69
ADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • ADM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 90.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.68
EV/EBITDA 15.05
ADM Per share dataADM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ADM's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y18.08%
EPS Next 3Y11.71%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. ADM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ADM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.09%.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.23.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.09%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ADM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.21%!
  • ADM has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • ADM has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.21%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
ADM Yearly Dividends per shareADM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 91.56% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ADM. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of ADM is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP91.56%
EPS Next 2Y18.08%
EPS Next 3Y11.71%
ADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B
ADM Dividend Payout.ADM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ADM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

NYSE:ADM (3/4/2026, 8:07:29 PM)

After market: 67.22 0 (0%)

67.22

-0.77 (-1.13%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners86.87%
Inst Owner Change2.54%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change7.32%
Market Cap32.30B
Revenue(TTM)80.27B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts53
Price Target62.08 (-7.65%)
Short Float %2.78%
Short Ratio3.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.09%
Yearly Dividend2.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.21%
DP91.56%
Div Incr Years34
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-Date02-17
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.52%
Min EPS beat(2)6.8%
Max EPS beat(2)8.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.39%
Max EPS beat(4)11.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.54%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.13%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.57%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)5.75%
PT rev (3m)5.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.63%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.18%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-4.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.65
Fwd PE 15.69
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 7.68
P/OCF 5.93
P/B 1.42
P/tB 2.02
EV/EBITDA 15.05
EPS(TTM)3.42
EY5.09%
EPS(NY)4.29
Fwd EY6.38%
FCF(TTM)8.75
FCFY13.01%
OCF(TTM)11.34
OCFY16.88%
SpS167.03
BVpS47.32
TBVpS33.29
PEG (NY)0.78
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number60.34
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.11%
ROE 4.74%
ROCE 4.21%
ROIC 3.38%
ROICexc 3.48%
ROICexgc 4.36%
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
FCFM 5.24%
ROA(3y)4.29%
ROA(5y)4.99%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.82%
ROIC(5y)6.83%
ROICexc(3y)6.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.04%
ROICexgc(3y)7.43%
ROICexgc(5y)8.7%
ROCE(3y)7.23%
ROCE(5y)8.48%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.95%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.77%
ROICexc growth 3Y-29.36%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.62%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover2.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.37
Debt/FCF 2
Debt/EBITDA 3.23
Cap/Depr 105.67%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 209.29%
Profit Quality 389.98%
Current Ratio 11.2
Quick Ratio 11.2
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.44
Cap/Depr(3y)127.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)181.1%
Profit Quality(5y)158.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
EPS Next Y25.3%
EPS Next 2Y18.08%
EPS Next 3Y11.71%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%
Revenue Next Year0.24%
Revenue Next 2Y1.25%
Revenue Next 3Y0.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.21%
EBIT Next Year183.98%
EBIT Next 3Y43.29%
EBIT Next 5Y25.55%
FCF growth 1Y242.62%
FCF growth 3Y24.87%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y95.41%
OCF growth 3Y16.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO / ADM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to ADM.


What is the valuation status for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is expected to grow by 25.3% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADM stock?

The dividend rating of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 91.56%.