ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:ADM • US0394831020

Current stock price

57.81 EUR
-1.84 (-3.08%)
Last:

This ADM.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

3

1. ADM.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ADM was profitable.
  • In the past year ADM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years ADM has been profitable.
  • ADM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ADM.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFADM.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B -6B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 2.06%, ADM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ADM's Return On Equity of 4.74% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ADM is outperformed by 61.90% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ADM (3.48%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ADM is in line with the industry average of 7.03%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROIC 3.48%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ADM.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICADM.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • ADM has a worse Profit Margin (1.34%) than 63.49% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ADM has declined.
  • ADM has a Operating Margin of 1.77%. This is in the lower half of the industry: ADM underperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ADM has declined.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 6.27%, ADM is not doing good in the industry: 90.48% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of ADM has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
ADM.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsADM.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2 4 6

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6

2. ADM.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ADM is destroying value.
  • ADM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • ADM has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • ADM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
ADM.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingADM.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
ADM.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsADM.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.02 indicates that ADM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of ADM (3.02) is better than 73.02% of its industry peers.
  • ADM has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.00. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as ADM would need 2.00 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • ADM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. ADM outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.33 indicates that ADM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.33, ADM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACC0.43
WACC8.16%
ADM.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFADM.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.37 indicates that ADM should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ADM has a Current ratio (1.37) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.83 indicates that ADM may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ADM has a Quick ratio (0.83) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
ADM.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesADM.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. ADM.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • ADM shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.54%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -0.97% on average over the past years.
  • ADM shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.15%.
  • ADM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 4.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%

3.2 Future

  • ADM is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.23% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.79% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
ADM.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesADM.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
ADM.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesADM.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6

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4

4. ADM.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.53, the valuation of ADM can be described as rather expensive.
  • 63.49% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than ADM, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. ADM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.80, the valuation of ADM can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ADM indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: ADM is more expensive than 60.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.42. ADM is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.53
Fwd PE 16.8
ADM.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsADM.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of ADM indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: ADM is more expensive than 63.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 88.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ADM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.65
EV/EBITDA 14.85
ADM.DE Per share dataADM.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. ADM.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • ADM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.03%.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.31.
  • ADM's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.03%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of ADM is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.23%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
ADM.DE Yearly Dividends per shareADM.DE Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • ADM pays out 91.56% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of ADM is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP91.56%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
ADM.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendADM.DE Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B
ADM.DE Dividend Payout.ADM.DE Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ADM.DE Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ADM.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO

FRA:ADM (3/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

57.81

-1.84 (-3.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners88%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.67%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap27.82B
Revenue(TTM)80.27B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts53
Price Target52.76 (-8.74%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.03%
Yearly Dividend1.78
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.23%
DP91.56%
Div Incr Years6
Div Non Decr Years6
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.52%
Min EPS beat(2)6.8%
Max EPS beat(2)8.23%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.37%
Min EPS beat(4)3.39%
Max EPS beat(4)11.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)0.54%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.18%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.73%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.66%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.32%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-6.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-13.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-6.13%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-5.57%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.26%
PT rev (1m)6.71%
PT rev (3m)3.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-7.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.79%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.15%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.71%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.53
Fwd PE 16.8
P/S 0.4
P/FCF 7.65
P/OCF 5.9
P/B 1.41
P/tB 2.01
EV/EBITDA 14.85
EPS(TTM)2.96
EY5.12%
EPS(NY)3.44
Fwd EY5.95%
FCF(TTM)7.56
FCFY13.08%
OCF(TTM)9.81
OCFY16.96%
SpS144.36
BVpS40.88
TBVpS28.75
PEG (NY)1.2
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number52.18
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 4.74%
ROCE 4.33%
ROIC 3.48%
ROICexc 3.59%
ROICexgc 4.53%
OM 1.77%
PM (TTM) 1.34%
GM 6.27%
FCFM 5.24%
ROA(3y)3.94%
ROA(5y)4.78%
ROE(3y)9.1%
ROE(5y)11.44%
ROIC(3y)5.85%
ROIC(5y)6.85%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)7.06%
ROICexgc(3y)7.48%
ROICexgc(5y)8.73%
ROCE(3y)7.28%
ROCE(5y)8.51%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-28.04%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-3.03%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.03%
OM growth 3Y-24.65%
OM growth 5Y-8.35%
PM growth 3Y-32.01%
PM growth 5Y-13.38%
GM growth 3Y-5.6%
GM growth 5Y-1.95%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.33
Debt/FCF 2
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 105.67%
Cap/Sales 1.55%
Interest Coverage 2.26
Cash Conversion 209.29%
Profit Quality 389.98%
Current Ratio 1.37
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score4
WACC8.16%
ROIC/WACC0.43
Cap/Depr(3y)127.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)125.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.53%
Profit Quality(3y)181.1%
Profit Quality(5y)158.67%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.54%
EPS 3Y-24.16%
EPS 5Y-0.97%
EPS Q2Q%-23.68%
EPS Next Y16.28%
EPS Next 2Y16.41%
EPS Next 3Y8.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.54%
Revenue growth 5Y4.52%
Sales Q2Q%-13.68%
Revenue Next Year0.09%
Revenue Next 2Y1.2%
Revenue Next 3Y0.32%
Revenue Next 5Y0.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-31.27%
EBIT growth 3Y-30.34%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.21%
EBIT Next Year183.98%
EBIT Next 3Y43.29%
EBIT Next 5Y25.55%
FCF growth 1Y242.62%
FCF growth 3Y24.87%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y95.41%
OCF growth 3Y16.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO / ADM.DE Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to ADM.DE.


What is the valuation status for ADM stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM.DE). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM.DE) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM.DE) is expected to grow by 16.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ADM stock?

The dividend rating of ARCHER-DANIELS-MIDLAND CO (ADM.DE) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 91.56%.