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ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR (ACH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:ACH - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US0222761092 - ADR - Currency: USD

9.04  -0.06 (-0.66%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall ACH gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated ACH against 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the profitability and financial health of ACH have multiple concerns. ACH has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year ACH was profitable.
ACH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFACH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 10B 20B

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.08%
ROE 9.9%
ROIC 6.96%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ACH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICACH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.95%
PM (TTM) 2.04%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ACH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsACH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 2 4 6 8

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2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

ACH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for ACH remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ACH has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ACH Yearly Shares OutstandingACH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 200M 400M 600M
ACH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsACH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50B 100B 150B 200B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.06 indicates that ACH is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
ACH has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99. This is a neutral value indicating ACH is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.06
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC7.35%
ACH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFACH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.07 indicates that ACH should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
A Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates that ACH may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.72
ACH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesACH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20B 40B 60B 80B

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 918.18% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ACH shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 64.61% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ACH shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 32.22%.
Measured over the past years, ACH shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.34% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)918.18%
EPS 3Y92.26%
EPS 5Y64.61%
EPS Q2Q%12.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y13.34%
Sales Q2Q%2.37%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ACH will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.60% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.33% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y18.39%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
EPS Next 5Y17.6%
Revenue Next Year14.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.19%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
ACH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesACH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100B 200B 300B
ACH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesACH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.78, the valuation of ACH can be described as very reasonable.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.62. ACH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.16 indicates a rather cheap valuation of ACH.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ACH to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.70), we can say ACH is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 7.16
ACH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsACH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
ACH Per share dataACH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

ACH's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as ACH's earnings are expected to grow with 17.60% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.14
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%

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1

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ACH has a yearly dividend return of 0.70%, which is pretty low.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.70, ACH pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%

5.2 History

ACH does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
ACH Yearly Dividends per shareACH Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.1

5.3 Sustainability

52.89% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ACH. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP52.89%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
ACH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendACH Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
ACH Dividend Payout.ACH Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ACH Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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ALUMINUM CORP OF CHINA-ADR

NYSE:ACH (9/1/2022, 8:04:00 PM)

9.04

-0.06 (-0.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)08-24 2022-08-24
Earnings (Next)10-24 2022-10-24
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.20B
Analysts76
Price Target12.39 (37.06%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%
Yearly Dividend0.03
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP52.89%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.78
Fwd PE 7.16
P/S 0.15
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.71
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.03
EY11.39%
EPS(NY)1.26
Fwd EY13.96%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS62.07
BVpS12.76
TBVpSN/A
PEG (NY)0.48
PEG (5Y)0.14
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.08%
ROE 9.9%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 6.96%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc 7.89%
OM 4.95%
PM (TTM) 2.04%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y0%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.51
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.07
Quick Ratio 0.72
Altman-Z 2.06
F-Score6
WACC7.35%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)918.18%
EPS 3Y92.26%
EPS 5Y64.61%
EPS Q2Q%12.59%
EPS Next Y18.39%
EPS Next 2Y10.48%
EPS Next 3Y17.6%
EPS Next 5Y17.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)32.22%
Revenue growth 3Y14.38%
Revenue growth 5Y13.34%
Sales Q2Q%2.37%
Revenue Next Year14.86%
Revenue Next 2Y7.33%
Revenue Next 3Y6.19%
Revenue Next 5Y4.33%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A