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ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD (ACGL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:ACGL - Nasdaq - BMG0450A1053 - Common Stock

94.88  -0.63 (-0.66%)

After market: 94.88 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

ACGL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 143 industry peers in the Insurance industry. ACGL has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. ACGL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

ACGL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year ACGL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years ACGL has always been profitable.
ACGL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
ACGL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFACGL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 7.70%, ACGL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.49% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 25.46%, ACGL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.52% of the companies in the same industry.
ACGL has a Return On Invested Capital of 4.61%. This is in the better half of the industry: ACGL outperforms 76.60% of its industry peers.
ACGL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.48%. This is in line with the industry average of 4.61%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.48%) for ACGL is below the current ROIC(4.61%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.7%
ROE 25.46%
ROIC 4.61%
ROA(3y)5.04%
ROA(5y)4.49%
ROE(3y)16.86%
ROE(5y)14.97%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.47%
ACGL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICACGL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

With an excellent Profit Margin value of 35.09%, ACGL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.04% of the companies in the same industry.
ACGL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 26.27%, ACGL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.23% of the companies in the same industry.
ACGL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 26.27%
PM (TTM) 35.09%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y6.85%
OM growth 5Y8.62%
PM growth 3Y26.86%
PM growth 5Y20.34%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
ACGL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsACGL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ACGL is destroying value.
ACGL has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
ACGL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, ACGL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ACGL Yearly Shares OutstandingACGL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
ACGL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsACGL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of ACGL is 0.41, which is an excellent value as it means it would take ACGL, only 0.41 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.41, ACGL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.52% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 indicates that ACGL is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.12, ACGL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.31% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.41
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.52
WACC8.85%
ACGL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFACGL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
ACGL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesACGL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.28% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, ACGL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 30.84% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, ACGL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 30.27%.
The Revenue has been growing by 19.58% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.28%
EPS 3Y84.29%
EPS 5Y30.84%
EPS Q2Q%-13.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.27%
Revenue growth 3Y16.5%
Revenue growth 5Y19.58%
Sales Q2Q%20.63%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, ACGL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.38% on average per year.
ACGL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 13.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.33%
EPS Next 2Y4.25%
EPS Next 3Y5.38%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year21.57%
Revenue Next 2Y16.96%
Revenue Next 3Y13.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
ACGL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesACGL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 5B 10B 15B
ACGL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesACGL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.99, the valuation of ACGL can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ACGL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.96% of the companies are valued more expensively.
ACGL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.29.
ACGL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.33.
ACGL's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.44. ACGL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.99
Fwd PE 10.33
ACGL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsACGL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

ACGL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ACGL is cheaper than 63.83% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ACGL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: ACGL is cheaper than 68.79% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.32
EV/EBITDA 8.49
ACGL Per share dataACGL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
The excellent profitability rating of ACGL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.36
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y4.25%
EPS Next 3Y5.38%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

ACGL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.24%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.99, ACGL pays a better dividend. On top of this ACGL pays more dividend than 88.65% of the companies listed in the same industry.
ACGL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.24%

5.2 History

The dividend of ACGL has a limited annual growth rate of 0.55%.
ACGL does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.55%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ACGL Yearly Dividends per shareACGL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2024 1 2 3 4

5.3 Sustainability

0.71% of the earnings are spent on dividend by ACGL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
ACGL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP0.71%
EPS Next 2Y4.25%
EPS Next 3Y5.38%
ACGL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendACGL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
ACGL Dividend Payout.ACGL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.ACGL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD

NASDAQ:ACGL (1/21/2025, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 94.88 0 (0%)

94.88

-0.63 (-0.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)02-10 2025-02-10/amc
Inst Owners89.4%
Inst Owner Change-0.23%
Ins Owners3.04%
Ins Owner Change5.17%
Market Cap35.70B
Analysts80.87
Price Target123.49 (30.15%)
Short Float %1.65%
Short Ratio3.03
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 5.24%
Yearly Dividend0.11
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.55%
DP0.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)6.87%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.36%
Max EPS beat(2)14.1%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)12.16%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.36%
Max EPS beat(4)20.43%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)22.8%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)24.34%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)30.27%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.09%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.66%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.09%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.53%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.19%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.41%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.93%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)4.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.05%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.32%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.09%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.99
Fwd PE 10.33
P/S 2.21
P/FCF 5.32
P/OCF 5.28
P/B 1.6
P/tB 1.72
EV/EBITDA 8.49
EPS(TTM)9.5
EY10.01%
EPS(NY)9.18
Fwd EY9.68%
FCF(TTM)17.84
FCFY18.8%
OCF(TTM)17.98
OCFY18.95%
SpS42.95
BVpS59.2
TBVpS55.25
PEG (NY)1.36
PEG (5Y)0.32
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.7%
ROE 25.46%
ROCE 5.84%
ROIC 4.61%
ROICexc 4.68%
ROICexgc 6.31%
OM 26.27%
PM (TTM) 35.09%
GM N/A
FCFM 41.53%
ROA(3y)5.04%
ROA(5y)4.49%
ROE(3y)16.86%
ROE(5y)14.97%
ROIC(3y)3.48%
ROIC(5y)3.47%
ROICexc(3y)3.54%
ROICexc(5y)3.54%
ROICexgc(3y)4.69%
ROICexgc(5y)4.63%
ROCE(3y)4.4%
ROCE(5y)4.4%
ROICexcg growth 3Y14.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y16.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y15.11%
OM growth 3Y6.85%
OM growth 5Y8.62%
PM growth 3Y26.86%
PM growth 5Y20.34%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.22
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.41
Debt/EBITDA 0.62
Cap/Depr 33.13%
Cap/Sales 0.33%
Interest Coverage 33.43
Cash Conversion 153.54%
Profit Quality 118.36%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score8
WACC8.85%
ROIC/WACC0.52
Cap/Depr(3y)51.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)51.43%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.48%
Profit Quality(3y)184.4%
Profit Quality(5y)177.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.28%
EPS 3Y84.29%
EPS 5Y30.84%
EPS Q2Q%-13.85%
EPS Next Y7.33%
EPS Next 2Y4.25%
EPS Next 3Y5.38%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.27%
Revenue growth 3Y16.5%
Revenue growth 5Y19.58%
Sales Q2Q%20.63%
Revenue Next Year21.57%
Revenue Next 2Y16.96%
Revenue Next 3Y13.38%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y42.88%
EBIT growth 3Y24.49%
EBIT growth 5Y29.89%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y87.05%
FCF growth 3Y26.02%
FCF growth 5Y30.08%
OCF growth 1Y86.17%
OCF growth 3Y25.82%
OCF growth 5Y29.82%