ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:ABR - US0389231087 - REIT
7.97 USD
+0.04 (+0.5%)
7.9772 USD
+0.01 (+0.09%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to ABR. ABR was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. ABR has an average financial health and profitability rating. ABR is cheap, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. This makes ABR very considerable for value investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
ABR had positive earnings in the past year.
ABR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years ABR has always been profitable.
ABR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 1.10%, ABR belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.29% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of ABR (5.09%) is better than 69.12% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of ABR (1.05%) is better than 82.35% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for ABR is in line with the industry average of 1.28%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.1% | ||
| ROE | 5.09% | ||
| ROIC | 1.05% |
ROA(3y)1.81%
ROA(5y)1.93%
ROE(3y)9.22%
ROE(5y)10.59%
ROIC(3y)1.81%
ROIC(5y)1.96%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.41%, ABR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ABR has declined.
ABR has a Operating Margin of 14.95%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: ABR outperforms 55.88% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of ABR has declined.
ABR's Gross Margin of 42.98% is amongst the best of the industry. ABR outperforms 83.82% of its industry peers.
ABR's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 14.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.41% | ||
| GM | 42.98% |
OM growth 3Y-25.42%
OM growth 5Y-8.42%
PM growth 3Y-26.69%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-15.96%
GM growth 5Y-7.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), ABR is destroying value.
ABR has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, ABR has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for ABR has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.25, we must say that ABR is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
ABR's Altman-Z score of 0.25 is amongst the best of the industry. ABR outperforms 82.35% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of ABR is 25.46, which is on the high side as it means it would take ABR, 25.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
ABR's Debt to FCF ratio of 25.46 is amongst the best of the industry. ABR outperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.47 is on the high side and indicates that ABR has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of ABR (3.47) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 25.46 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.25 |
ROIC/WACC0.15
WACC6.87%
2.3 Liquidity
ABR has a Current Ratio of 83.21. This indicates that ABR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 83.21, ABR belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
ABR has a Quick Ratio of 83.21. This indicates that ABR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
ABR has a Quick ratio of 83.21. This is amongst the best in the industry. ABR outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 83.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 83.21 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
ABR shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -31.18%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.79% on average over the past years.
Looking at the last year, ABR shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -18.60% in the last year.
ABR shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 21.64% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.18%
EPS 3Y-8.31%
EPS 5Y6.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.6%
Revenue growth 3Y21.31%
Revenue growth 5Y21.64%
Sales Q2Q%-56.91%
3.2 Future
ABR is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -12.39% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, ABR will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -10.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-41.9%
EPS Next 2Y-28.33%
EPS Next 3Y-12.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-28.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.29%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.18%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 6.23, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of ABR.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, ABR is valued cheaper than 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
ABR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.87, the valuation of ABR can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, ABR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.24% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ABR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.46), we can say ABR is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.87 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, ABR is valued cheaper than 83.82% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of ABR indicates a rather cheap valuation: ABR is cheaper than 98.53% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 3.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 57.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of ABR may justify a higher PE ratio.
ABR's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.39% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
EPS Next 2Y-28.33%
EPS Next 3Y-12.39%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
ABR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 16.77%, which is a nice return.
The stock price of ABR dropped by -33.86% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
ABR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 10.99. ABR pays more dividend than 97.06% of the companies in the same industry.
ABR's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.00.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.77% |
5.2 History
The dividend of ABR is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 12.05%!
ABR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.05%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
ABR pays out 225.84% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of ABR has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP225.84%
EPS Next 2Y-28.33%
EPS Next 3Y-12.39%
7.97
+0.04 (+0.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners58.56%
Inst Owner Change-29.29%
Ins Owners2.19%
Ins Owner Change-2.49%
Market Cap1.56B
Revenue(TTM)1.23B
Net Income(TTM)152.68M
Analysts47.27
Price Target10.07 (26.35%)
Short Float %24.5%
Short Ratio14.19
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 16.77% |
Yearly Dividend2.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)12.05%
DP225.84%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)28.13%
Min EPS beat(2)8.8%
Max EPS beat(2)47.46%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)17.55%
Min EPS beat(4)2.68%
Max EPS beat(4)47.46%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)14.5%
EPS beat(12)12
Avg EPS beat(12)20.35%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)17.89%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-30.35%
Min Revenue beat(2)-49.05%
Max Revenue beat(2)-11.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-16.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-49.05%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.76%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)26.28%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)70.48%
PT rev (1m)-8.14%
PT rev (3m)-16.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-27.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.63%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.58%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-7.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.02%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-12.9%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.23 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.87 | ||
| P/S | 1.27 | ||
| P/FCF | 3.82 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.58 | ||
| P/B | 0.52 | ||
| P/tB | 0.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 57.24 |
EPS(TTM)1.28
EY16.06%
EPS(NY)0.9
Fwd EY11.28%
FCF(TTM)2.09
FCFY26.18%
OCF(TTM)2.23
OCFY27.95%
SpS6.29
BVpS15.32
TBVpS14.87
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.92
Graham Number21
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.1% | ||
| ROE | 5.09% | ||
| ROCE | 1.32% | ||
| ROIC | 1.05% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.08% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.12% | ||
| OM | 14.95% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.41% | ||
| GM | 42.98% | ||
| FCFM | 33.19% |
ROA(3y)1.81%
ROA(5y)1.93%
ROE(3y)9.22%
ROE(5y)10.59%
ROIC(3y)1.81%
ROIC(5y)1.96%
ROICexc(3y)1.9%
ROICexc(5y)2.04%
ROICexgc(3y)1.97%
ROICexgc(5y)2.12%
ROCE(3y)2.29%
ROCE(5y)2.48%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.22%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.77%
OM growth 3Y-25.42%
OM growth 5Y-8.42%
PM growth 3Y-26.69%
PM growth 5Y-7.09%
GM growth 3Y-15.96%
GM growth 5Y-7.73%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 25.46 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 51.6 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 157.77% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.25% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.27 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 216.42% | ||
| Profit Quality | 267.41% | ||
| Current Ratio | 83.21 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 83.21 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.25 |
F-Score4
WACC6.87%
ROIC/WACC0.15
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)220.9%
Profit Quality(5y)152.96%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-31.18%
EPS 3Y-8.31%
EPS 5Y6.79%
EPS Q2Q%-18.6%
EPS Next Y-41.9%
EPS Next 2Y-28.33%
EPS Next 3Y-12.39%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-18.6%
Revenue growth 3Y21.31%
Revenue growth 5Y21.64%
Sales Q2Q%-56.91%
Revenue Next Year-28.97%
Revenue Next 2Y-13.29%
Revenue Next 3Y-10.18%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-43.38%
EBIT growth 3Y-9.53%
EBIT growth 5Y11.4%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-8.66%
FCF growth 3Y28.32%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-2.46%
OCF growth 3Y28.64%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC / ABR FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ABR.
What is the valuation status of ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) stock?
ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) is expected to decline by -41.9% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for ABR stock?
The dividend rating of ARBOR REALTY TRUST INC (ABR) is 6 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 225.84%.