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ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS (AAWW) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:AAWW - Nasdaq - US0491642056 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

102.48  +0.02 (+0.02%)

After market: 102.51 +0.03 (+0.03%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, AAWW scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAWW was compared to 24 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AAWW while its profitability can be described as average. AAWW is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year AAWW was profitable.
AAWW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AAWW 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AAWW had a positive operating cash flow.
AAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAWW Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 5.31%, AAWW is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.25% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of AAWW (11.61%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AAWW's Return On Invested Capital of 7.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAWW outperforms 56.25% of its industry peers.
AAWW had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.75%. This is in line with the industry average of 11.37%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROIC 7.65%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAWW Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

AAWW has a Profit Margin of 7.82%. This is in the better half of the industry: AAWW outperforms 68.75% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAWW has declined.
The Operating Margin of AAWW (12.12%) is better than 75.00% of its industry peers.
AAWW's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 53.54%, AAWW belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
AAWW's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
AAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAWW Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 20 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AAWW has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAWW has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
AAWW has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingAAWW Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 5M 10M 15M 20M 25M
AAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAWW Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 1.96 indicates that AAWW is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.96, AAWW is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.61 indicates that AAWW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AAWW (0.61) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.96
ROIC/WACC1.17
WACC6.55%
AAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAWW Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.96 indicates that AAWW may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AAWW (0.96) is worse than 75.00% of its industry peers.
AAWW has a Quick Ratio of 0.96. This is a bad value and indicates that AAWW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.96, AAWW is doing worse than 68.75% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
AAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAWW Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AAWW have decreased strongly by -23.11% in the last year.
AAWW shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 23.38% yearly.
AAWW shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 12.86%.
Measured over the past years, AAWW shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 16.10% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%

3.2 Future

AAWW is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -30.91% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, AAWW will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -11.30% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
AAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAWW Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10 15

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.21, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of AAWW.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAWW is valued cheaper than 93.75% of the companies in the same industry.
AAWW is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.62, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.24 indicates a rather cheap valuation of AAWW.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than AAWW, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAWW to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.70), we can say AAWW is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
AAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAWW Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

AAWW's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AAWW is cheaper than 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 4.94
AAWW Per share dataAAWW EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as AAWW's earnings are expected to decrease with -30.91% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AAWW does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ATLAS AIR WORLDWIDE HOLDINGS

NASDAQ:AAWW (3/17/2023, 8:00:00 PM)

After market: 102.51 +0.03 (+0.03%)

102.48

+0.02 (+0.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)02-23 2023-02-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-03 2023-05-03/bmo
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.03%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.93B
Analysts75
Price Target100.47 (-1.96%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-20.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.53%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-7.66%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.03%
Max EPS beat(4)11.46%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.4%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(2)-7.12%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.67%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.33%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-32.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.88%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.21
Fwd PE 7.24
P/S 0.65
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 3.5
P/B 0.96
P/tB 0.98
EV/EBITDA 4.94
EPS(TTM)14.21
EY13.87%
EPS(NY)14.16
Fwd EY13.82%
FCF(TTM)-0.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)29.26
OCFY28.55%
SpS158.88
BVpS107.04
TBVpS104.98
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.31
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.31%
ROE 11.61%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 7.65%
ROICexc 8.88%
ROICexgc 8.99%
OM 12.12%
PM (TTM) 7.82%
GM 53.54%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)10.75%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.59%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y37.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.66%
ROICexc growth 3Y37.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y13%
OM growth 3Y21.14%
OM growth 5Y1.17%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-5.47%
GM growth 3Y0.55%
GM growth 5Y-0.48%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.68
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.61
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.54
Cap/Depr 238.97%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.96
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.96
F-Score6
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC1.17
Cap/Depr(3y)152.85%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.42%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-23.11%
EPS 3Y38.75%
EPS 5Y23.38%
EPS Q2Q%-26.67%
EPS Next Y-0.35%
EPS Next 2Y-30.91%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.86%
Revenue growth 3Y18.42%
Revenue growth 5Y16.1%
Sales Q2Q%3.82%
Revenue Next Year1.94%
Revenue Next 2Y-11.3%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-22.49%
EBIT growth 3Y43.45%
EBIT growth 5Y17.46%
EBIT Next Year65.86%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-102.01%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-9.24%
OCF growth 3Y40.77%
OCF growth 5Y20.36%