ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AAV - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA00791P1071 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to AAV. AAV was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AAV while its profitability can be described as average. AAV has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AAV has reported negative net income.
AAV had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AAV had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
AAV had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a Return On Assets value of -1.03%, AAV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.10% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -1.90%, AAV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.57% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV has a Return On Invested Capital (1.57%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAV is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
The 3 year average ROIC (7.48%) for AAV is well above the current ROIC(1.57%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.03% | ||
| ROE | -1.9% | ||
| ROIC | 1.57% |
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
1.3 Margins
AAV's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAV's Operating Margin of 11.37% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV outperforms 53.81% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAV has declined.
AAV has a better Gross Margin (75.60%) than 92.38% of its industry peers.
AAV's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.6% |
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), AAV is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, AAV has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, AAV has less shares outstanding
AAV has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
AAV has an Altman-Z score of 0.77. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AAV has a Altman-Z score (0.77) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50 indicates that AAV is not too dependend on debt financing.
AAV has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.50. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAV outperforms 47.14% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.19
WACC8.14%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AAV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAV has a worse Current ratio (0.51) than 75.24% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AAV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.51, AAV is doing worse than 74.29% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for AAV have decreased strongly by -130.00% in the last year.
The earnings per share for AAV have been decreasing by -60.25% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 12.70% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 15.00% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 121.81% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
AAV is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.28% yearly.
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for AAV. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.81, the valuation of AAV can be described as very cheap.
AAV's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AAV is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
AAV is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.90, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.81 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AAV is valued a bit cheaper than 61.43% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.91 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
AAV's earnings are expected to grow with 147.44% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AAV does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX:AAV (7/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
11.44
-0.03 (-0.26%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.91B
Analysts76
Price Target13.52 (18.18%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-32.49%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-466.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-32.49%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-235.24%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-149.47%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-47.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.47%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.8%
PT rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-33.33%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-22.22%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)14.18%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.83%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.81 | ||
| P/S | 3.35 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.96 | ||
| P/B | 1.19 | ||
| P/tB | 1.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.91 |
EPS(TTM)-0.18
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.46
Fwd EY12.8%
FCF(TTM)-0.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.64
OCFY14.37%
SpS3.42
BVpS9.6
TBVpS9.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -1.03% | ||
| ROE | -1.9% | ||
| ROCE | 2.46% | ||
| ROIC | 1.57% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.6% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.6% | ||
| OM | 11.37% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 75.6% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.63%
ROICexc(5y)6.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.64%
ROICexgc(5y)6.24%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-54.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.3%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.27%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.5 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.82 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 155.95% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 59.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.51 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
F-Score2
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.19
Cap/Depr(3y)174.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)48.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-47.98%
EBIT growth 5Y10.11%
EBIT Next Year1571.64%
EBIT Next 3Y183.5%
EBIT Next 5Y128.43%
FCF growth 1Y-130.24%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.89%
OCF growth 3Y-0.85%
OCF growth 5Y6.86%