ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:AAV • CA00791P1071

Current stock price

10.12 CAD
-0.21 (-2.03%)
Last:

This AAV.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AAV.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AAV had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year AAV had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years AAV has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years AAV always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
AAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of AAV (1.73%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 3.14%, AAV is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 2.09%, AAV perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAV is below the industry average of 6.97%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 3.14%
ROIC 2.09%
ROA(3y)2.29%
ROA(5y)8.56%
ROE(3y)3.66%
ROE(5y)12.18%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)6.16%
AAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAV.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

  • AAV has a Profit Margin of 8.21%. This is in the better half of the industry: AAV outperforms 62.56% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAV has declined.
  • AAV has a better Operating Margin (14.85%) than 60.59% of its industry peers.
  • AAV's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • AAV has a Gross Margin of 75.92%. This is amongst the best in the industry. AAV outperforms 92.61% of its industry peers.
  • AAV's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.85%
PM (TTM) 8.21%
GM 75.92%
OM growth 3Y-38.23%
OM growth 5Y27.59%
PM growth 3Y-40.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.37%
GM growth 5Y-1.75%
AAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAV.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. AAV.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAV is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AAV has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • AAV has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AAV has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAV.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M
AAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAV.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.73, we must say that AAV is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of AAV (0.73) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.52 indicates that AAV is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • AAV has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.52) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.73
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC6.61%
AAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAV.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • AAV has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AAV has a Current ratio of 0.39. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAV underperforms 76.35% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that AAV may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • AAV has a worse Quick ratio (0.39) than 73.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
AAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAV.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M

7

3. AAV.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 451.67% over the past year.
  • AAV shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -6.51% yearly.
  • AAV shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 29.78%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 22.45% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)451.67%
EPS 3Y-44.87%
EPS 5Y-6.51%
EPS Q2Q%195.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.78%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.04%
Revenue growth 5Y22.45%
Sales Q2Q%-10.78%

3.2 Future

  • AAV is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 61.17% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, AAV will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.44% on average per year.
EPS Next Y302.32%
EPS Next 2Y131%
EPS Next 3Y77.82%
EPS Next 5Y61.17%
Revenue Next Year28.49%
Revenue Next 2Y20.87%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAV.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 1 -1 2

6

4. AAV.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.06, which indicates a correct valuation of AAV.
  • AAV's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. AAV is cheaper than 69.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.64, AAV is valued a bit cheaper.
  • AAV is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.32.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAV is valued cheaply inside the industry as 94.09% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.36, AAV is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.06
Fwd PE 6.32
AAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAV.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • AAV's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. AAV is cheaper than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.12
AAV.CA Per share dataAAV.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • AAV's earnings are expected to grow with 77.82% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y131%
EPS Next 3Y77.82%

0

5. AAV.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AAV!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

AAV.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD

TSX:AAV (5/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

10.12

-0.21 (-2.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength86.61
Industry Growth44.78
Earnings (Last)04-30
Earnings (Next)08-04
Inst Owners40.84%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.93%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.70B
Revenue(TTM)645.83M
Net Income(TTM)53.05M
Analysts78.33
Price Target14.38 (42.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-89.76%
Min EPS beat(2)-100%
Max EPS beat(2)-79.52%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-40.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(4)189.96%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-228.7%
EPS beat(12)3
Avg EPS beat(12)-158.99%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-115.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-39.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-46.93%
Max Revenue beat(2)-31.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-22.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-46.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-16.23%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.8%
PT rev (3m)-5.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-4.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-9.09%
EPS NY rev (1m)-3.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.41%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.06
Fwd PE 6.32
P/S 2.63
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.75
P/B 1
P/tB 1.02
EV/EBITDA 7.12
EPS(TTM)0.63
EY6.23%
EPS(NY)1.6
Fwd EY15.82%
FCF(TTM)-0.2
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)2.13
OCFY21.06%
SpS3.85
BVpS10.08
TBVpS9.95
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number11.9564 (18.15%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.73%
ROE 3.14%
ROCE 3.57%
ROIC 2.09%
ROICexc 2.11%
ROICexgc 2.12%
OM 14.85%
PM (TTM) 8.21%
GM 75.92%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)2.29%
ROA(5y)8.56%
ROE(3y)3.66%
ROE(5y)12.18%
ROIC(3y)2.32%
ROIC(5y)6.16%
ROICexc(3y)2.34%
ROICexc(5y)6.27%
ROICexgc(3y)2.35%
ROICexgc(5y)6.28%
ROCE(3y)3.77%
ROCE(5y)9.68%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-49.95%
ROICexgc growth 5Y36.43%
ROICexc growth 3Y-50.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y36.22%
OM growth 3Y-38.23%
OM growth 5Y27.59%
PM growth 3Y-40.74%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.37%
GM growth 5Y-1.75%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.21
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.52
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.7
Cap/Depr 171.8%
Cap/Sales 60.66%
Interest Coverage 2.04
Cash Conversion 110.36%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.39
Quick Ratio 0.39
Altman-Z 0.73
F-Score8
WACC6.61%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)171.22%
Cap/Depr(5y)164.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)59.03%
Cap/Sales(5y)46.99%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)451.67%
EPS 3Y-44.87%
EPS 5Y-6.51%
EPS Q2Q%195.89%
EPS Next Y302.32%
EPS Next 2Y131%
EPS Next 3Y77.82%
EPS Next 5Y61.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)29.78%
Revenue growth 3Y-9.04%
Revenue growth 5Y22.45%
Sales Q2Q%-10.78%
Revenue Next Year28.49%
Revenue Next 2Y20.87%
Revenue Next 3Y1.44%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y213.48%
EBIT growth 3Y-43.81%
EBIT growth 5Y56.24%
EBIT Next Year285.64%
EBIT Next 3Y62.34%
EBIT Next 5Y44.59%
FCF growth 1Y59.91%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y64.34%
OCF growth 3Y-10.72%
OCF growth 5Y28.84%

ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD / AAV.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to AAV.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) stock?

ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD?

The financial health rating of ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) is 1 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for AAV stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ADVANTAGE ENERGY LTD (AAV.CA) is expected to grow by 302.32% in the next year.