Advantage Energy Ltd (AAV-DB.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
TSX:AAV-DB - Toronto Stock Exchange - - Currency: CAD
Overall AAV-DB gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated AAV-DB against 219 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of AAV-DB get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. AAV-DB is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
AAV-DB had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year AAV-DB had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AAV-DB reported negative net income in multiple years.
In the past 5 years AAV-DB always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
AAV-DB has a Return On Assets (1.60%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 2.82%, AAV-DB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.08%, AAV-DB is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.32% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAV-DB is above the industry average of 7.60%.
The 3 year average ROIC (10.90%) for AAV-DB is well above the current ROIC(1.08%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.6% | ||
| ROE | 2.82% | ||
| ROIC | 1.08% |
ROA(3y)13.44%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)18.81%
ROE(5y)5.45%
ROIC(3y)10.9%
ROIC(5y)6.8%
1.3 Margins
With a decent Profit Margin value of 9.33%, AAV-DB is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.99% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAV-DB has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 8.05%, AAV-DB perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.58% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAV-DB has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of AAV-DB (76.46%) is better than 89.59% of its industry peers.
AAV-DB's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.33% | ||
| GM | 76.46% |
OM growth 3Y85.44%
OM growth 5Y49.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y32.21%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.79%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAV-DB is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV-DB has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
AAV-DB has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AAV-DB is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
AAV-DB has an Altman-Z score of 8.07. This indicates that AAV-DB is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AAV-DB has a better Altman-Z score (8.07) than 92.31% of its industry peers.
AAV-DB has a debt to FCF ratio of 40.55. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as AAV-DB would need 40.55 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AAV-DB (40.55) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AAV-DB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
AAV-DB has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.47) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 40.55 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.07 |
ROIC/WACC0.14
WACC7.9%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.75 indicates that AAV-DB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAV-DB has a Current ratio (0.75) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that AAV-DB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAV-DB has a Quick ratio (0.75) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AAV-DB shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -68.04%.
AAV-DB shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 66.51% yearly.
Looking at the last year, AAV-DB shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -14.12% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 17.78% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-68.04%
EPS 3Y15.07%
EPS 5Y66.51%
EPS Q2Q%-125%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.12%
Revenue growth 3Y29.49%
Revenue growth 5Y17.78%
Sales Q2Q%-9.2%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AAV-DB will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 9.64% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AAV-DB will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.89% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-73.17%
EPS Next 2Y32.55%
EPS Next 3Y40.74%
EPS Next 5Y9.64%
Revenue Next Year4.32%
Revenue Next 2Y26.64%
Revenue Next 3Y19.9%
Revenue Next 5Y5.89%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AAV-DB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 323.48.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
AAV-DB is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 89.18 indicates a quite expensive valuation of AAV-DB.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAV-DB to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say AAV-DB is valued expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 323.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 89.18 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as AAV-DB.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 888.9 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 75.84 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of AAV-DB may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAV-DB's earnings are expected to grow with 40.74% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.86
EPS Next 2Y32.55%
EPS Next 3Y40.74%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AAV-DB does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TSX:AAV-DB (3/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
100.28
-0.72 (-0.71%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners38.61%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.36%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap16.72B
Analysts77.14
Price Target144.55 (44.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.08
Dividend Growth(5Y)-43.68%
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-830.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(2)-174.26%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-398.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)42.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-206.71%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-55.49%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)33.11%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-12.37%
Min Revenue beat(2)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.03%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.03%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-12.05%
PT rev (3m)-9.01%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-16.07%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-26.09%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.81%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 323.48 | ||
| Fwd PE | 89.18 | ||
| P/S | 34.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 888.9 | ||
| P/OCF | 66.54 | ||
| P/B | 10.33 | ||
| P/tB | 10.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 75.84 |
EPS(TTM)0.31
EY0.31%
EPS(NY)1.12
Fwd EY1.12%
FCF(TTM)0.11
FCFY0.11%
OCF(TTM)1.51
OCFY1.5%
SpS2.93
BVpS9.71
TBVpS9.68
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.86
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.6% | ||
| ROE | 2.82% | ||
| ROCE | 1.48% | ||
| ROIC | 1.08% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.08% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.08% | ||
| OM | 8.05% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.33% | ||
| GM | 76.46% | ||
| FCFM | 3.85% |
ROA(3y)13.44%
ROA(5y)4.09%
ROE(3y)18.81%
ROE(5y)5.45%
ROIC(3y)10.9%
ROIC(5y)6.8%
ROICexc(3y)11.1%
ROICexc(5y)6.93%
ROICexgc(3y)11.12%
ROICexgc(5y)6.94%
ROCE(3y)14.52%
ROCE(5y)9.07%
ROICexcg growth 3Y110.8%
ROICexcg growth 5Y67.78%
ROICexc growth 3Y110.63%
ROICexc growth 5Y67.7%
OM growth 3Y85.44%
OM growth 5Y49.24%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y32.21%
GM growth 3Y-0.12%
GM growth 5Y-0.79%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.17
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.47 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 40.55 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.3 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 122.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 47.54% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 109.58% | ||
| Profit Quality | 41.23% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.07 |
F-Score3
WACC7.9%
ROIC/WACC0.14
Cap/Depr(3y)166.52%
Cap/Depr(5y)157.57%
Cap/Sales(3y)37.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.23%
Profit Quality(3y)45.86%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-68.04%
EPS 3Y15.07%
EPS 5Y66.51%
EPS Q2Q%-125%
EPS Next Y-73.17%
EPS Next 2Y32.55%
EPS Next 3Y40.74%
EPS Next 5Y9.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-14.12%
Revenue growth 3Y29.49%
Revenue growth 5Y17.78%
Sales Q2Q%-9.2%
Revenue Next Year4.32%
Revenue Next 2Y26.64%
Revenue Next 3Y19.9%
Revenue Next 5Y5.89%
EBIT growth 1Y-83.2%
EBIT growth 3Y140.13%
EBIT growth 5Y75.77%
EBIT Next Year114.77%
EBIT Next 3Y64.59%
EBIT Next 5Y23.83%
FCF growth 1Y-91.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-45.06%
OCF growth 3Y47.53%
OCF growth 5Y16.73%