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Advantage Energy Ltd (AAV-DB.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:AAV-DB - Toronto Stock Exchange - - Currency: CAD

107  +0.87 (+0.82%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall AAV-DB gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated AAV-DB against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of AAV-DB while its profitability can be described as average. AAV-DB is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AAV-DB had negative earnings in the past year.
AAV-DB had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years AAV-DB 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years AAV-DB had a positive operating cash flow.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAV-DB.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M 400M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AAV-DB (-1.03%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AAV-DB's Return On Equity of -1.90% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAV-DB outperforms 48.10% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of AAV-DB (1.57%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAV-DB is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (1.57%) for AAV-DB is well below the 3 year average (7.48%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AAV-DB had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROIC 1.57%
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAV-DB.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 -20

1.3 Margins

AAV-DB's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 11.37%, AAV-DB is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAV-DB has declined.
The Gross Margin of AAV-DB (75.60%) is better than 91.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAV-DB has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAV-DB.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAV-DB is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV-DB has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AAV-DB has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AAV-DB is higher compared to a year ago.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAV-DB.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAV-DB.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

AAV-DB has an Altman-Z score of 7.84. This indicates that AAV-DB is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
AAV-DB's Altman-Z score of 7.84 is amongst the best of the industry. AAV-DB outperforms 89.05% of its industry peers.
AAV-DB has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.50. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AAV-DB (0.50) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 7.84
ROIC/WACC0.19
WACC8.08%
AAV-DB.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAV-DB.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

AAV-DB has a Current Ratio of 0.51. This is a bad value and indicates that AAV-DB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.51, AAV-DB is not doing good in the industry: 75.71% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.51 indicates that AAV-DB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAV-DB has a worse Quick ratio (0.51) than 74.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAV-DB.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AAV-DB have decreased strongly by -130.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AAV-DB shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -60.25% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, AAV-DB shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 12.70% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AAV-DB shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 15.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%

3.2 Future

AAV-DB is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 121.81% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
AAV-DB.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAV-DB.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
AAV-DB.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAV-DB.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 -1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

AAV-DB reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
AAV-DB is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 73.06.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
AAV-DB is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.90, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 73.06
AAV-DB.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAV-DB.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 -200 -400

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of AAV-DB is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 65.27
AAV-DB.CA Per share dataAAV-DB.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAV-DB's earnings are expected to grow with 147.44% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for AAV-DB!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

Advantage Energy Ltd

TSX:AAV-DB (7/2/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

107

+0.87 (+0.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-01 2025-05-01/amc
Earnings (Next)07-24 2025-07-24/amc
Inst Owners35.63%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap17.90B
Analysts76
Price Target142.3 (32.99%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-173.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-32.49%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-466.52%
Min EPS beat(4)-1486.14%
Max EPS beat(4)-32.49%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-235.24%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-149.47%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-47.69%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.79%
Min Revenue beat(2)-13.63%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.04%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.47%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)16.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-10.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.83%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 73.06
P/S 31.31
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 65.07
P/B 11.15
P/tB 11.18
EV/EBITDA 65.27
EPS(TTM)-0.18
EYN/A
EPS(NY)1.46
Fwd EY1.37%
FCF(TTM)-0.39
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.64
OCFY1.54%
SpS3.42
BVpS9.6
TBVpS9.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.03%
ROE -1.9%
ROCE 2.46%
ROIC 1.57%
ROICexc 1.6%
ROICexgc 1.6%
OM 11.37%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 75.6%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)6.81%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)9.84%
ROE(5y)6.09%
ROIC(3y)7.48%
ROIC(5y)6.12%
ROICexc(3y)7.63%
ROICexc(5y)6.23%
ROICexgc(3y)7.64%
ROICexgc(5y)6.24%
ROCE(3y)11.15%
ROCE(5y)9.11%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-54.34%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.3%
ROICexc growth 3Y-54.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.27%
OM growth 3Y-49.16%
OM growth 5Y-4.25%
PM growth 3Y-63.34%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-6.26%
GM growth 5Y-2.88%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.19
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.5
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.82
Cap/Depr 155.95%
Cap/Sales 59.63%
Interest Coverage 1.34
Cash Conversion 97%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.51
Quick Ratio 0.51
Altman-Z 7.84
F-Score2
WACC8.08%
ROIC/WACC0.19
Cap/Depr(3y)174.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)158.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)48.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)48.37%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-130%
EPS 3Y-60.25%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-221.43%
EPS Next Y671.74%
EPS Next 2Y235.64%
EPS Next 3Y147.44%
EPS Next 5Y121.81%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)12.7%
Revenue growth 3Y2.32%
Revenue growth 5Y15%
Sales Q2Q%63.2%
Revenue Next Year62.68%
Revenue Next 2Y34.08%
Revenue Next 3Y20.33%
Revenue Next 5Y6.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-46.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-47.98%
EBIT growth 5Y10.11%
EBIT Next Year1571.64%
EBIT Next 3Y183.5%
EBIT Next 5Y128.43%
FCF growth 1Y-130.24%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-44.89%
OCF growth 3Y-0.85%
OCF growth 5Y6.86%