AAON INC (AAON) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AAON • US0003602069
Current stock price
93.98 USD
+2.5 (+2.73%)
At close:
94.0295 USD
+0.05 (+0.05%)
After Hours:
This AAON fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AAON Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year AAON was profitable.
- AAON had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years AAON has always been profitable.
- AAON had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- AAON has a Return On Assets (6.38%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- With a Return On Equity value of 12.02%, AAON perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.52% of the companies in the same industry.
- AAON has a Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAON is above the industry average of 11.89%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) for AAON is well below the 3 year average (16.66%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AAON had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of AAON (7.46%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAON has declined.
- AAON has a Operating Margin of 10.14%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAON outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
- AAON's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AAON has a Gross Margin of 26.75%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAON underperforms 64.29% of its industry peers.
- AAON's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% |
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
2. AAON Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- AAON has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, AAON has more shares outstanding
- AAON has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- AAON has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 7.89 indicates that AAON is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- AAON has a Altman-Z score of 7.89. This is amongst the best in the industry. AAON outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- AAON has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- AAON has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.45) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.89 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC10.22%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates that AAON has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- AAON has a better Current ratio (2.63) than 73.81% of its industry peers.
- AAON has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AAON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of AAON (1.84) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. AAON Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AAON shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.84%.
- AAON shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.66% yearly.
- The Revenue has grown by 20.11% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.89% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AAON will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.17% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 16.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y49.61%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
4. AAON Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 69.61, the valuation of AAON can be described as expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAON is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 76.19% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.87, AAON is valued quite expensively.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 46.53, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AAON.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAON indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AAON is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.51. AAON is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 69.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- AAON's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AAON is more expensive than 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 35.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- AAON's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- AAON's earnings are expected to grow with 27.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.4
PEG (5Y)9.09
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
5. AAON Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- AAON has a yearly dividend return of 0.44%, which is pretty low.
- AAON's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 0.72.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, AAON's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of AAON grows each year by 9.56%, which is quite nice.
- AAON has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of AAON decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 30.30% of the earnings are spent on dividend by AAON. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- AAON's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP30.3%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
AAON Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
93.98
+2.5 (+2.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners92.62%
Inst Owner Change0.22%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap7.69B
Revenue(TTM)1.44B
Net Income(TTM)107.59M
Analysts86.15
Price Target120.16 (27.86%)
Short Float %10.79%
Short Ratio8.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.44% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
DP30.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-18 2026-03-18 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)4.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.77%
Max EPS beat(4)53.89%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.11%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.96%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)11.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.99%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.2%
PT rev (1m)2.26%
PT rev (3m)4.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.85%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.98%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.98%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 69.61 | ||
| Fwd PE | 46.53 | ||
| P/S | 5.33 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 14403.22 | ||
| P/B | 8.59 | ||
| P/tB | 10.55 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 35.05 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY1.44%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY2.15%
FCF(TTM)-2.5
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0.01%
SpS17.62
BVpS10.94
TBVpS8.91
PEG (NY)1.4
PEG (5Y)9.09
Graham Number18.2257 (-80.61%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.15% | ||
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
ROICexc(3y)16.67%
ROICexc(5y)15.2%
ROICexgc(3y)19.97%
ROICexgc(5y)18.87%
ROCE(3y)20.18%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.84%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 258.73% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 0.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.89 |
F-Score3
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)278.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
EPS Next Y49.61%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.01%
EBIT growth 3Y4.87%
EBIT growth 5Y8.94%
EBIT Next Year119.83%
EBIT Next 3Y53.49%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-891.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-99.72%
OCF growth 3Y-79.42%
OCF growth 5Y-66.62%
AAON INC / AAON Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AAON INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AAON.
What is the valuation status of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AAON INC (AAON). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of AAON stock?
AAON INC (AAON) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
How financially healthy is AAON INC?
The financial health rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for AAON INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AAON INC (AAON) is expected to grow by 49.61% in the next year.