AAON INC (AAON) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:AAON • US0003602069

Current stock price

99.59 USD
+0.88 (+0.89%)
At close:
99.59 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This AAON fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. AAON Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year AAON was profitable.
  • AAON had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years AAON has always been profitable.
  • AAON had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
AAON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M 200M -200M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.38%, AAON is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.02%, AAON is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAON has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAON outperforms 51.22% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for AAON is above the industry average of 11.84%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (16.66%) for AAON is well above the current ROIC(8.91%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.38%
ROE 12.02%
ROIC 8.91%
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
AAON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

  • AAON has a Profit Margin (7.46%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAON has declined.
  • With a Operating Margin value of 10.14%, AAON perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAON's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 26.75%, AAON is not doing good in the industry: 65.85% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAON has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 10.14%
PM (TTM) 7.46%
GM 26.75%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
AAON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

5

2. AAON Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so AAON is still creating some value.
  • AAON has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for AAON has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • AAON has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAON Yearly Shares OutstandingAAON Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M
AAON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • AAON has an Altman-Z score of 8.39. This indicates that AAON is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 8.39, AAON belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAON has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • AAON has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.45) than 60.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 8.39
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC10.28%
AAON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

2.3 Liquidity

  • AAON has a Current Ratio of 2.63. This indicates that AAON is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • AAON has a Current ratio of 2.63. This is in the better half of the industry: AAON outperforms 73.17% of its industry peers.
  • AAON has a Quick Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that AAON is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of AAON (1.84) is better than 78.05% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.63
Quick Ratio 1.84
AAON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. AAON Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for AAON have decreased strongly by -32.84% in the last year.
  • AAON shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.66% yearly.
  • AAON shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 20.11%.
  • AAON shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 22.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%

3.2 Future

  • AAON is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 35.64% yearly.
  • AAON is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y49.61%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
EPS Next 5Y35.64%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
AAON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B
AAON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1 2 3 4

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1

4. AAON Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • AAON is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 73.77.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAON is valued a bit more expensive than 78.05% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AAON to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.42), we can say AAON is valued expensively.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 49.31, which means the current valuation is very expensive for AAON.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAON is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 75.61% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAON to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.29), we can say AAON is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.77
Fwd PE 49.31
AAON Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAON Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, AAON is valued expensively inside the industry as 80.49% of the companies are valued cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 37.99
AAON Per share dataAAON EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as AAON's earnings are expected to grow with 27.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.49
PEG (5Y)9.63
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. AAON Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.41%, AAON is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • AAON's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 0.71.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.41, AAON pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.41%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of AAON is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.56%!
  • AAON has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • AAON has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
AAON Yearly Dividends per shareAAON Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 0 0 0 0

5.3 Sustainability

  • AAON pays out 30.30% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of AAON is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP30.3%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
AAON Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAAON Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M -100M -200M
AAON Dividend Payout.AAON Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.AAON Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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AAON Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

AAON INC

NASDAQ:AAON (4/24/2026, 8:19:45 PM)

After market: 99.59 0 (0%)

99.59

+0.88 (+0.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)03-02
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst Owners92.62%
Inst Owner Change-0.6%
Ins Owners0.82%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap8.15B
Revenue(TTM)1.44B
Net Income(TTM)107.59M
Analysts86.15
Price Target120.16 (20.65%)
Short Float %10.79%
Short Ratio8.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.41%
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
DP30.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-18
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.99%
Min EPS beat(2)-14.75%
Max EPS beat(2)12.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)4.29%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.77%
Max EPS beat(4)53.89%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.96%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.11%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.96%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)11.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.99%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.2%
PT rev (1m)2.26%
PT rev (3m)2.26%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-35.3%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.98%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.77
Fwd PE 49.31
P/S 5.65
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 15263
P/B 9.11
P/tB 11.18
EV/EBITDA 37.99
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY1.36%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY2.03%
FCF(TTM)-2.5
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0.01%
SpS17.62
BVpS10.94
TBVpS8.91
PEG (NY)1.49
PEG (5Y)9.63
Graham Number18.2257 (-81.7%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.38%
ROE 12.02%
ROCE 10.79%
ROIC 8.91%
ROICexc 8.91%
ROICexgc 10.15%
OM 10.14%
PM (TTM) 7.46%
GM 26.75%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
ROICexc(3y)16.67%
ROICexc(5y)15.2%
ROICexgc(3y)19.97%
ROICexgc(5y)18.87%
ROCE(3y)20.18%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.84%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.45
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.81
Cap/Depr 258.73%
Cap/Sales 14.21%
Interest Coverage 8.81
Cash Conversion 0.24%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.63
Quick Ratio 1.84
Altman-Z 8.39
F-Score3
WACC10.28%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)278.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
EPS Next Y49.61%
EPS Next 2Y50.93%
EPS Next 3Y27.68%
EPS Next 5Y35.64%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
Revenue Next Year23.55%
Revenue Next 2Y18.52%
Revenue Next 3Y15.33%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.01%
EBIT growth 3Y4.87%
EBIT growth 5Y8.94%
EBIT Next Year119.83%
EBIT Next 3Y53.49%
EBIT Next 5Y43.55%
FCF growth 1Y-891.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-99.72%
OCF growth 3Y-79.42%
OCF growth 5Y-66.62%

AAON INC / AAON Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AAON INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AAON.


What is the valuation status of AAON INC (AAON) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AAON INC (AAON). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of AAON stock?

AAON INC (AAON) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


How financially healthy is AAON INC?

The financial health rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for AAON INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of AAON INC (AAON) is expected to grow by 49.61% in the next year.