AAON INC (AAON) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:AAON • US0003602069
Current stock price
80.01 USD
-0.04 (-0.05%)
At close:
80.01 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This AAON fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. AAON Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- AAON had positive earnings in the past year.
- AAON had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years AAON has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years AAON had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- AAON has a better Return On Assets (6.38%) than 61.90% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Equity value of 12.02%, AAON is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- AAON has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.91%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAON outperforms 52.38% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for AAON is above the industry average of 11.92%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (8.91%) for AAON is well below the 3 year average (16.66%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that AAON had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 7.46%, AAON is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAON has declined.
- AAON has a Operating Margin (10.14%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- AAON's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- AAON's Gross Margin of 26.75% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAON is outperformed by 61.90% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAON has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% |
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
2. AAON Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), AAON is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for AAON has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- AAON has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- AAON has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- AAON has an Altman-Z score of 7.17. This indicates that AAON is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
- AAON has a Altman-Z score of 7.17. This is amongst the best in the industry. AAON outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.45 indicates that AAON is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.45, AAON is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.90% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC10.06%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.63 indicates that AAON has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- AAON's Current ratio of 2.63 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. AAON outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 1.84 indicates that AAON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.84, AAON is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 |
3. AAON Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- AAON shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -32.84%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.66% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has grown by 20.11% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
- The Revenue has been growing by 22.89% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, AAON will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 36.17% on average per year.
- AAON is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 16.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue Next Year12.34%
Revenue Next 2Y13.7%
Revenue Next 3Y16.19%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. AAON Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 59.27, AAON can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AAON indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: AAON is more expensive than 76.19% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- AAON is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 39.37, the valuation of AAON can be described as expensive.
- AAON's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AAON is more expensive than 73.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.28. AAON is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.27 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 78.57% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AAON, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 30.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- AAON's earnings are expected to grow with 42.38% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)7.74
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
5. AAON Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.46%, AAON is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.75, AAON has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- With a Dividend Yield of 0.46, AAON pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of AAON is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.56%!
- AAON has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
- AAON pays out 30.30% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- AAON's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP30.3%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
AAON Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
80.01
-0.04 (-0.05%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)03-02 2026-03-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28
Inst Owners92.23%
Inst Owner Change3.77%
Ins Owners0.74%
Ins Owner Change0.91%
Market Cap6.53B
Revenue(TTM)1.44B
Net Income(TTM)107.59M
Analysts86.15
Price Target117.5 (46.86%)
Short Float %11.69%
Short Ratio8.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% |
Yearly Dividend0.4
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.56%
DP30.3%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-18 2026-03-18 (0.1)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.12%
Max EPS beat(2)12.77%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)5.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.77%
Max EPS beat(4)53.89%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.51%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)5.42%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)6.18%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)11.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)11.69%
Max Revenue beat(2)11.86%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)6.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6%
Max Revenue beat(4)11.86%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.99%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.31%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)2.67%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-35.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-33.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)4.74%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.74%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 59.27 | ||
| Fwd PE | 39.37 | ||
| P/S | 4.53 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 12230.75 | ||
| P/B | 7.3 | ||
| P/tB | 8.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 30.83 |
EPS(TTM)1.35
EY1.69%
EPS(NY)2.03
Fwd EY2.54%
FCF(TTM)-2.5
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.01
OCFY0.01%
SpS17.67
BVpS10.96
TBVpS8.93
PEG (NY)1.17
PEG (5Y)7.74
Graham Number18.25
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.38% | ||
| ROE | 12.02% | ||
| ROCE | 10.79% | ||
| ROIC | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.15% | ||
| OM | 10.14% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.46% | ||
| GM | 26.75% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.2%
ROA(5y)12.19%
ROE(3y)18.87%
ROE(5y)17.43%
ROIC(3y)16.66%
ROIC(5y)15.16%
ROICexc(3y)16.67%
ROICexc(5y)15.2%
ROICexgc(3y)19.97%
ROICexgc(5y)18.87%
ROCE(3y)20.18%
ROCE(5y)18.36%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-20.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y-17.38%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.84%
OM growth 3Y-10.75%
OM growth 5Y-11.35%
PM growth 3Y-12.91%
PM growth 5Y-13.44%
GM growth 3Y0.02%
GM growth 5Y-2.45%
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0.86
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.45 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 258.73% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.21% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.81 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 0.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.63 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.84 | ||
| Altman-Z | 7.17 |
F-Score3
WACC10.06%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)278.04%
Cap/Depr(5y)234.16%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.55%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-32.84%
EPS 3Y3.06%
EPS 5Y7.66%
EPS Q2Q%30%
EPS Next Y50.52%
EPS Next 2Y53.84%
EPS Next 3Y42.38%
EPS Next 5Y36.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)20.11%
Revenue growth 3Y17.51%
Revenue growth 5Y22.89%
Sales Q2Q%42.49%
Revenue Next Year12.34%
Revenue Next 2Y13.7%
Revenue Next 3Y16.19%
Revenue Next 5Y16.38%
EBIT growth 1Y-30.01%
EBIT growth 3Y4.87%
EBIT growth 5Y8.94%
EBIT Next Year110.28%
EBIT Next 3Y51.7%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-891.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-99.72%
OCF growth 3Y-79.42%
OCF growth 5Y-66.62%
AAON INC / AAON Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for AAON INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to AAON.
What is the valuation status of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to AAON INC (AAON). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for AAON INC?
AAON INC (AAON) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for AAON stock?
The financial health rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of AAON INC (AAON) stock?
The dividend rating of AAON INC (AAON) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 30.3%.