Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AAIC - US0413562051 - REIT
4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
AAIC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AAIC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. AAIC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AAIC was profitable.
AAIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
1.2 Ratios
AAIC's Return On Assets of -0.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 65.63% of its industry peers.
AAIC's Return On Equity of -1.08% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
AAIC's Return On Invested Capital of 0.19% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AAIC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAIC has a worse Operating Margin (4.02%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAIC has declined.
AAIC's Gross Margin of 36.78% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAIC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% |
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AAIC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, AAIC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.28, we must say that AAIC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AAIC has a Altman-Z score of -3.28. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AAIC underperforms 98.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that AAIC has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.01, AAIC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.38% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
AAIC has a Current Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
AAIC has a Current ratio (0.36) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.36, AAIC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.81% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
AAIC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 17.39%, which is quite good.
AAIC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -33.34% yearly.
AAIC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.04%.
Measured over the past years, AAIC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -16.37% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
3.2 Future
AAIC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.19% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.81% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
AAIC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.93.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of AAIC is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AAIC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.92), we can say AAIC is valued slightly cheaper.
AAIC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.57.
70.31% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than AAIC, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.57, AAIC is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AAIC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
A cheap valuation may be justified as AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AAIC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
4.84
+0.07 (+1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap137.07M
Revenue(TTM)52.20M
Net Income(TTM)-2.30M
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.61 (15.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
DP-86.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)21.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)20.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)114.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)234.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)82.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)234.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)85.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)80.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)39.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.63 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.64 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY5.58%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.43
OCFYN/A
SpS1.84
BVpS7.52
TBVpS7.52
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROCE | 0.67% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.2% | ||
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.72%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-78.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.12%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-258.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.
What is the valuation status for AAIC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?
Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 17.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?
The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.