Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:AAIC - US0413562051 - REIT
4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
AAIC gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AAIC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AAIC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AAIC was profitable.
In the past year AAIC has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: AAIC reported negative net income in multiple years.
AAIC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
AAIC has a worse Return On Assets (-0.27%) than 65.63% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of AAIC (-1.08%) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
AAIC has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.19%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAIC underperforms 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAIC has declined.
AAIC's Operating Margin of 4.02% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 62.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAIC has declined.
AAIC has a Gross Margin of 36.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAIC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAIC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% |
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
AAIC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for AAIC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.28, we must say that AAIC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
AAIC has a Altman-Z score of -3.28. This is amonst the worse of the industry: AAIC underperforms 98.44% of its industry peers.
AAIC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
AAIC has a Debt to Equity ratio (3.01) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AAIC (0.36) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAIC has a Quick ratio (0.36) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.39% over the past year.
The earnings per share for AAIC have been decreasing by -33.34% on average. This is quite bad
AAIC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 17.04%.
The Revenue for AAIC have been decreasing by -16.37% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -4.19% on average over the next years.
AAIC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 17.93, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AAIC.
AAIC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AAIC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.13), we can say AAIC is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.57, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AAIC.
AAIC's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. AAIC is more expensive than 70.31% of the companies in the same industry.
AAIC is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AAIC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
4.84
+0.07 (+1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap137.07M
Revenue(TTM)52.20M
Net Income(TTM)-2300000
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.61 (15.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
DP-86.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)21.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)20.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)114.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)234.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)82.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)234.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)85.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)80.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)39.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.63 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.64 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY5.58%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.43
OCFYN/A
SpS1.84
BVpS7.52
TBVpS7.52
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROCE | 0.67% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.2% | ||
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.72%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-78.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.12%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-258.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.
What is the valuation status of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?
Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is expected to grow by 0.98% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?
The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.