Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:AAIC - US0413562051 - REIT
4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to AAIC. AAIC was compared to 68 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AAIC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. AAIC is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year AAIC was profitable.
AAIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
1.2 Ratios
AAIC has a Return On Assets of -0.27%. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAIC underperforms 65.63% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.08%, AAIC is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Invested Capital of AAIC (0.19%) is worse than 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
AAIC's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
AAIC has a worse Operating Margin (4.02%) than 62.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of AAIC has declined.
The Gross Margin of AAIC (36.78%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of AAIC has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% |
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
Compared to 1 year ago, AAIC has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, AAIC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
AAIC has an Altman-Z score of -3.28. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
AAIC's Altman-Z score of -3.28 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 98.44% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01 is on the high side and indicates that AAIC has dependencies on debt financing.
AAIC's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.01 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of AAIC (0.36) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAIC has a Quick ratio (0.36) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.39% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, AAIC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -33.34% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 17.04% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue for AAIC have been decreasing by -16.37% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, AAIC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -4.19% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, AAIC will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.81% on average per year.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.93, the valuation of AAIC can be described as rather expensive.
AAIC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of AAIC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.60), we can say AAIC is valued slightly cheaper.
AAIC is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.57.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAIC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 70.31% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of AAIC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.23), we can say AAIC is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AAIC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
AAIC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
4.84
+0.07 (+1.47%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap137.07M
Revenue(TTM)52.20M
Net Income(TTM)-2.30M
Analysts77.78
Price Target5.61 (15.91%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0.09
Dividend Growth(5Y)-47.16%
DP-86.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.5%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.02%
Min EPS beat(4)-34.64%
Max EPS beat(4)16.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)10.25%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)21.86%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)20.88%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)114.9%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)234.03%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)82.39%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.22%
Max Revenue beat(4)234.03%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)85.94%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)80.72%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)39.2%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)18.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 | ||
| P/S | 2.63 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | 0.64 | ||
| P/tB | 0.64 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | N/A |
EPS(TTM)0.27
EY5.58%
EPS(NY)0.28
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-0.43
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.43
OCFYN/A
SpS1.84
BVpS7.52
TBVpS7.52
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -0.27% | ||
| ROE | -1.08% | ||
| ROCE | 0.67% | ||
| ROIC | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexc | 0.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 0.2% | ||
| OM | 4.02% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 36.78% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y41.72%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.71%
ROICexc growth 3Y41.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.79%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.01 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | N/A | ||
| Cap/Depr | N/A | ||
| Cap/Sales | N/A | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Altman-Z | -3.28 |
F-Score4
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-78.57%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.49%
EBIT growth 5Y-30.12%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-258.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-258.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.
What is the valuation status for AAIC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?
Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 17.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?
The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.