Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:AAIC • US0413562051

4.84 USD
+0.07 (+1.47%)
At close: Dec 13, 2023
4.84 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 12/13/2023, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, AAIC scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. AAIC was compared to 70 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. AAIC has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. While showing a medium growth rate, AAIC is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • AAIC had positive earnings in the past year.
  • AAIC had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
AAIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAIC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50M -50M

1.2 Ratios

  • AAIC's Return On Assets of -0.27% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAIC is outperformed by 65.63% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -1.08%, AAIC is not doing good in the industry: 62.50% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 0.19%, AAIC is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.27%
ROE -1.08%
ROIC 0.19%
ROA(3y)-2.37%
ROA(5y)-1.82%
ROE(3y)-11.03%
ROE(5y)-12.68%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
AAIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAIC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of AAIC has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 4.02%, AAIC is doing worse than 62.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAIC's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • AAIC has a Gross Margin of 36.78%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAIC outperforms 57.81% of its industry peers.
  • AAIC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.02%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 36.78%
OM growth 3Y18.88%
OM growth 5Y-16.44%
PM growth 3Y-17.2%
PM growth 5Y-18.06%
GM growth 3Y36.91%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
AAIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAIC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -500 -1K

More info and screens

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The number of shares outstanding for AAIC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, AAIC has a worse debt to assets ratio.
AAIC Yearly Shares OutstandingAAIC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M
AAIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAIC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of -3.28, we must say that AAIC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -3.28, AAIC is doing worse than 98.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAIC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • AAIC has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.01. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: AAIC outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -3.28
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
AAIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAIC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that AAIC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.36, AAIC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • AAIC has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that AAIC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.36, AAIC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.36
AAIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAIC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1B 2B 3B

More info and screens

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 17.39% over the past year.
  • AAIC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -33.34% yearly.
  • The Revenue has grown by 17.04% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • AAIC shows a very negative growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -16.37% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)17.39%
EPS 3Y-30.92%
EPS 5Y-33.34%
EPS Q2Q%-36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.04%
Revenue growth 3Y-25.55%
Revenue growth 5Y-16.37%
Sales Q2Q%-64.33%

3.2 Future

  • AAIC is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -4.19% yearly.
  • AAIC is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.81% yearly.
EPS Next Y0.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-6.88%
Revenue Next 2Y6.81%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
AAIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAIC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M
AAIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAIC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1 2 3 4 5

More info and screens

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 17.93 indicates a rather expensive valuation of AAIC.
  • AAIC's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • AAIC's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.32.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.57, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of AAIC.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, AAIC is valued a bit more expensive than 70.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, AAIC is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.93
Fwd PE 17.57
AAIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAIC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
AAIC Per share dataAAIC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates AAIC does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • AAIC's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.19% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)18.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.19%
EPS Next 3YN/A

More info and screens

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for AAIC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

More info and screens

Arlington Asset Investment Corp / AAIC FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 2 / 10 to AAIC.


What is the valuation status for AAIC stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for Arlington Asset Investment Corp?

Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 17.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for AAIC stock?

The dividend rating of Arlington Asset Investment Corp (AAIC) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -86.96%.