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ALAN ALLMAN ASSOCIATES (AAA.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:AAA - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0000062465 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

5.45  -0.1 (-1.8%)

Fundamental Rating

2

AAA gets a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 30 industry peers in the Professional Services industry. AAA may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. While showing a medium growth rate, AAA is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

AAA had positive earnings in the past year.
AAA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
AAA had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Of the past 5 years AAA 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
AAA.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFAAA.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of AAA (0.60%) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
AAA has a worse Return On Equity (3.47%) than 74.07% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 4.31%, AAA is not doing good in the industry: 74.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
AAA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.75%. This is significantly below the industry average of 11.50%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.6%
ROE 3.47%
ROIC 4.31%
ROA(3y)2.51%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)15.29%
ROE(5y)3.65%
ROIC(3y)4.75%
ROIC(5y)5.06%
AAA.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICAAA.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 400

1.3 Margins

AAA has a worse Profit Margin (0.62%) than 74.07% of its industry peers.
AAA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 5.38%, AAA is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.15% of the companies in the same industry.
AAA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of AAA (56.32%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
AAA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.38%
PM (TTM) 0.62%
GM 56.32%
OM growth 3Y2.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y6.88%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.35%
GM growth 5YN/A
AAA.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsAAA.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

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0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

AAA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
AAA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for AAA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
AAA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
AAA.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingAAA.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
AAA.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsAAA.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

AAA has an Altman-Z score of 1.71. This is a bad value and indicates that AAA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of AAA (1.71) is worse than 77.78% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of AAA is 12.05, which is on the high side as it means it would take AAA, 12.05 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
AAA has a Debt to FCF ratio of 12.05. This is in the lower half of the industry: AAA underperforms 74.07% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.97 is on the high side and indicates that AAA has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of AAA (2.97) is worse than 92.59% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.97
Debt/FCF 12.05
Altman-Z 1.71
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC5.45%
AAA.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFAAA.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.79 indicates that AAA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAA has a worse Current ratio (0.79) than 77.78% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.78 indicates that AAA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
AAA's Quick ratio of 0.78 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. AAA is outperformed by 70.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.78
AAA.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesAAA.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for AAA have decreased strongly by -72.43% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 46.43% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, AAA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.26% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, AAA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 37.58% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-72.43%
EPS 3Y46.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-70.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.26%
Revenue growth 3Y37.58%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.69%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, AAA will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.72% on average per year.
AAA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.57% yearly.
EPS Next Y-9.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.02%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year0.19%
Revenue Next 2Y3.65%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
AAA.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesAAA.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 100M 200M 300M 400M
AAA.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesAAA.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

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2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 109.00, AAA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, AAA is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.78% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.47. AAA is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.86 indicates a correct valuation of AAA.
AAA's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. AAA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 109
Fwd PE 16.86
AAA.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsAAA.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

AAA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of AAA is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.81
EV/EBITDA 11.4
AAA.PA Per share dataAAA.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 -4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

AAA's earnings are expected to grow with 13.72% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y12.02%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

AAA has a yearly dividend return of 0.78%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.85, AAA is paying slightly less dividend.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, AAA's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.78%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
AAA.PA Yearly Dividends per shareAAA.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08

5.3 Sustainability

AAA has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-0.34%
EPS Next 2Y12.02%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
AAA.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendAAA.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10M -10M 20M

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ALAN ALLMAN ASSOCIATES

EPA:AAA (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

5.45

-0.1 (-1.8%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryProfessional Services
Earnings (Last)N/A N/A
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners88.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap249.39M
Analysts47.5
Price Target5.3 (-2.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.78%
Yearly Dividend0.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-0.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-10.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-22.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 109
Fwd PE 16.86
P/S 0.66
P/FCF 14.81
P/OCF 10.72
P/B 3.72
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.4
EPS(TTM)0.05
EY0.92%
EPS(NY)0.32
Fwd EY5.93%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY6.75%
OCF(TTM)0.51
OCFY9.33%
SpS8.22
BVpS1.46
TBVpS-4.07
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.6%
ROE 3.47%
ROCE 8.08%
ROIC 4.31%
ROICexc 4.51%
ROICexgc 47.29%
OM 5.38%
PM (TTM) 0.62%
GM 56.32%
FCFM 4.48%
ROA(3y)2.51%
ROA(5y)-1.68%
ROE(3y)15.29%
ROE(5y)3.65%
ROIC(3y)4.75%
ROIC(5y)5.06%
ROICexc(3y)4.82%
ROICexc(5y)5.12%
ROICexgc(3y)33.21%
ROICexgc(5y)25.55%
ROCE(3y)8.69%
ROCE(5y)11.16%
ROICexcg growth 3Y34.79%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-4.73%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y2.11%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y6.88%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.35%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.97
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.97
Debt/FCF 12.05
Debt/EBITDA 5.73
Cap/Depr 44.33%
Cap/Sales 1.71%
Interest Coverage 2.45
Cash Conversion 66.99%
Profit Quality 723.37%
Current Ratio 0.79
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 1.71
F-Score6
WACC5.45%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)50.74%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)1.49%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)293.98%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-72.43%
EPS 3Y46.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-70.73%
EPS Next Y-9.8%
EPS Next 2Y12.02%
EPS Next 3Y13.72%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.26%
Revenue growth 3Y37.58%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%5.69%
Revenue Next Year0.19%
Revenue Next 2Y3.65%
Revenue Next 3Y5.57%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y10.17%
EBIT growth 3Y40.48%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year70.55%
EBIT Next 3Y32.04%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-17.45%
FCF growth 3Y26.67%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-16.38%
OCF growth 3Y25.13%
OCF growth 5YN/A