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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (A1G.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:A1G - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US02376R1023 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

11.824  -0.94 (-7.34%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, A1G scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. A1G was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. A1G has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. A1G has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

A1G had positive earnings in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: A1G reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years A1G reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
A1G.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFA1G.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

A1G's Return On Assets of 1.37% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. A1G is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
A1G has a Return On Invested Capital (6.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
A1G had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 5.50%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.31%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.25%) for A1G is above the 3 year average (5.50%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.37%
ROE N/A
ROIC 6.25%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)N/A
A1G.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICA1G.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of A1G (1.56%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
A1G's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
A1G's Operating Margin of 5.95% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. A1G outperforms 58.33% of its industry peers.
A1G's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of A1G (63.55%) is better than 91.67% of its industry peers.
A1G's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.95%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 63.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.64%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
A1G.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsA1G.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

A1G has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, A1G has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, A1G has more shares outstanding
A1G has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
A1G.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingA1G.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
A1G.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsA1G.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.76, we must say that A1G is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
A1G's Altman-Z score of 0.76 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. A1G outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.76
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC6.67%
A1G.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFA1G.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that A1G may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.55, A1G is not doing good in the industry: 91.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that A1G may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.44, A1G is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.44
A1G.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesA1G.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

A1G shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.65%.
The earnings per share for A1G have been decreasing by -17.21% on average. This is quite bad
A1G shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.70%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.44% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%196.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.7%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%4.58%

3.2 Future

A1G is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.51% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, A1G will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.74% on average per year.
EPS Next Y27.01%
EPS Next 2Y28.34%
EPS Next 3Y25.68%
EPS Next 5Y19.51%
Revenue Next Year6.47%
Revenue Next 2Y5.69%
Revenue Next 3Y5.25%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
A1G.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesA1G.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
A1G.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesA1G.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.72 indicates a rather cheap valuation of A1G.
A1G's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. A1G is cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A1G is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.29, the valuation of A1G can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, A1G is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of A1G to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say A1G is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.72
Fwd PE 5.29
A1G.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsA1G.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
A1G.DE Per share dataA1G.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A1G's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A1G's earnings are expected to grow with 25.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.34%
EPS Next 3Y25.68%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for A1G!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

FRA:A1G (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

11.824

-0.94 (-7.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-23 2025-01-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-23 2025-04-23/bmo
Inst Owners68.64%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.18%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.78B
Analysts76.3
Price Target20.77 (75.66%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)61.38%
Min EPS beat(2)33.2%
Max EPS beat(2)89.57%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.81%
Max EPS beat(4)89.57%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)43.57%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)31.23%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)25.03%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.97%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.49%
PT rev (1m)7.06%
PT rev (3m)45.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2108.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.62%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.78%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.72
Fwd PE 5.29
P/S 0.16
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY14.88%
EPS(NY)2.23
Fwd EY18.9%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS75.93
BVpS-5.57
TBVpS-14.16
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.37%
ROE N/A
ROCE 8.53%
ROIC 6.25%
ROICexc 7.67%
ROICexgc 9.58%
OM 5.95%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 63.55%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.78%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.36%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.5%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.34%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.64%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 0.76
F-ScoreN/A
WACC6.67%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%196.55%
EPS Next Y27.01%
EPS Next 2Y28.34%
EPS Next 3Y25.68%
EPS Next 5Y19.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.7%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%4.58%
Revenue Next Year6.47%
Revenue Next 2Y5.69%
Revenue Next 3Y5.25%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.66%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.75%
EBIT Next Year96.9%
EBIT Next 3Y33.65%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A