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AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC (A1G.DE) Stock Fundamental Analysis

FRA:A1G - Deutsche Boerse Ag - US02376R1023 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

16.178  +0.07 (+0.46%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to A1G. A1G was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of A1G have multiple concerns. A1G is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year A1G was profitable.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: A1G reported negative net income in multiple years.
In multiple years A1G reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
A1G.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFA1G.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B -10B

1.2 Ratios

With a Return On Assets value of 1.37%, A1G is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A1G has a Return On Invested Capital (6.25%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for A1G is below the industry average of 7.77%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.25%) for A1G is above the 3 year average (5.50%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.37%
ROE N/A
ROIC 6.25%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)N/A
A1G.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICA1G.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

With a Profit Margin value of 1.56%, A1G is not doing good in the industry: 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of A1G has declined.
With a Operating Margin value of 5.95%, A1G perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of A1G has declined.
A1G has a Gross Margin of 63.55%. This is amongst the best in the industry. A1G outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
A1G's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.95%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 63.55%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.64%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
A1G.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsA1G.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so A1G is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for A1G has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for A1G has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
A1G has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
A1G.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingA1G.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
A1G.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsA1G.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

A1G has an Altman-Z score of 0.78. This is a bad value and indicates that A1G is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.78, A1G is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.78
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC7.25%
A1G.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFA1G.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.55 indicates that A1G may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.55, A1G is doing worse than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.44 indicates that A1G may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of A1G (0.44) is worse than 91.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.44
A1G.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesA1G.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

A1G shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.65%.
Measured over the past years, A1G shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.21% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.70% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, A1G shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.44% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%196.55%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.7%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%4.58%

3.2 Future

A1G is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 19.51% yearly.
A1G is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.74% yearly.
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y28.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.36%
EPS Next 5Y19.51%
Revenue Next Year4.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.89%
Revenue Next 3Y4.42%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
A1G.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesA1G.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
A1G.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesA1G.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 -5 -10 -15 -20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 8.74, which indicates a very decent valuation of A1G.
A1G's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.47, A1G is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.00, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of A1G.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of A1G is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. A1G is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.74
Fwd PE 7
A1G.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsA1G.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
A1G.DE Per share dataA1G.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A1G's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A1G's earnings are expected to grow with 25.36% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y28.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.36%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

A1G does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC

FRA:A1G (2/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

16.178

+0.07 (+0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-23 2025-01-23/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners62.65%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.22%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.63B
Analysts70.37
Price Target19.4 (19.92%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)61.38%
Min EPS beat(2)33.2%
Max EPS beat(2)89.57%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)27.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-15.81%
Max EPS beat(4)89.57%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)43.57%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)31.23%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)25.03%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.57%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.97%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.24%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.37%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.48%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.49%
PT rev (1m)11.37%
PT rev (3m)72.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2078.4%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-520.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)6.38%
EPS NY rev (3m)17.77%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.81%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.41%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.19%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.74
Fwd PE 7
P/S 0.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.85
EY11.44%
EPS(NY)2.31
Fwd EY14.28%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS79.82
BVpS-5.86
TBVpS-14.89
PEG (NY)0.35
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.37%
ROE N/A
ROCE 8.53%
ROIC 6.25%
ROICexc 7.67%
ROICexgc 9.58%
OM 5.95%
PM (TTM) 1.56%
GM 63.55%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)-2.89%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)5.5%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)6.78%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.36%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.5%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y1.34%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.99%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-15.78%
GM growth 3Y3.64%
GM growth 5Y0.67%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.88
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.55
Quick Ratio 0.44
Altman-Z 0.78
F-ScoreN/A
WACC7.25%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-17.21%
EPS Q2Q%196.55%
EPS Next Y24.99%
EPS Next 2Y28.02%
EPS Next 3Y25.36%
EPS Next 5Y19.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.7%
Revenue growth 3Y21.96%
Revenue growth 5Y3.44%
Sales Q2Q%4.58%
Revenue Next Year4.6%
Revenue Next 2Y4.89%
Revenue Next 3Y4.42%
Revenue Next 5Y3.74%
EBIT growth 1Y-19.66%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-2.75%
EBIT Next Year90.02%
EBIT Next 3Y37.45%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A