SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

FRA:639 • LU1778762911

477.55 EUR
+4.4 (+0.93%)
Last: Mar 6, 2026, 07:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership

This 639.DE fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall 639 gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated 639 against 49 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. 639 is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. 639 is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. 639.DE Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 639 had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year 639 had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: 639 reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years 639 always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
639.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF639.DE Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 14.73%, 639 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of 639 (26.56%) is better than 81.63% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 17.33%, 639 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.73%
ROE 26.56%
ROIC 17.33%
ROA(3y)5.95%
ROA(5y)2.35%
ROE(3y)8.69%
ROE(5y)1.31%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
639.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC639.DE Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

  • 639's Profit Margin of 12.87% is amongst the best of the industry. 639 outperforms 83.67% of its industry peers.
  • The Operating Margin of 639 (12.79%) is better than 75.51% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.98%, 639 is doing worse than 73.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 639 has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.79%
PM (TTM) 12.87%
GM 31.98%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.62%
GM growth 5Y4.57%
639.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins639.DE Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20

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8

2. 639.DE Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 639 is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 639 has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for 639 has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, 639 has an improved debt to assets ratio.
639.DE Yearly Shares Outstanding639.DE Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
639.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets639.DE Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • 639 has an Altman-Z score of 10.64. This indicates that 639 is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • 639 has a better Altman-Z score (10.64) than 93.88% of its industry peers.
  • 639 has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.68. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.68 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.68, 639 belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 639 has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.05. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • 639 has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.05) than 87.76% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.05
Debt/FCF 0.68
Altman-Z 10.64
ROIC/WACC2.29
WACC7.56%
639.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF639.DE Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.72 indicates that 639 should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.72, 639 belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 639 has a Quick Ratio of 1.72. This is a normal value and indicates that 639 is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.72, 639 belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.72
639.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites639.DE Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

6

3. 639.DE Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 51.72% over the past year.
  • The Revenue has grown by 9.65% in the past year. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 16.88% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%151.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.59%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.81%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 22.05% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • 639 is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.38% yearly.
EPS Next Y48.12%
EPS Next 2Y37.05%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
EPS Next 5Y22.05%
Revenue Next Year13.74%
Revenue Next 2Y13.77%
Revenue Next 3Y13.34%
Revenue Next 5Y12.38%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
639.DE Yearly Revenue VS Estimates639.DE Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
639.DE Yearly EPS VS Estimates639.DE Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 10 20 30

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3

4. 639.DE Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 57.12, the valuation of 639 can be described as expensive.
  • 63.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 639, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • 639 is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.56, 639 can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • 639's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • 639's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.57.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.12
Fwd PE 38.56
639.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings639.DE Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 639 indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 639 is more expensive than 61.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 639's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 34.23
EV/EBITDA 37.26
639.DE Per share data639.DE EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • 639's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • 639 has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as 639's earnings are expected to grow with 29.89% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y37.05%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. 639.DE Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for 639!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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639.DE Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

FRA:639 (3/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

477.55

+4.4 (+0.93%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)02-10
Earnings (Next)04-21
Inst Owners67.66%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.11%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap98.32B
Revenue(TTM)17.19B
Net Income(TTM)2.21B
Analysts80.85
Price Target571.18 (19.61%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)60.73%
Min EPS beat(2)58.63%
Max EPS beat(2)62.82%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(4)62.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.71%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)27.76%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)29%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.39%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.97%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.18%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.86%
PT rev (1m)-14.13%
PT rev (3m)-15.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9.75%
EPS NQ rev (3m)10.13%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.89%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.17%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.04%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 57.12
Fwd PE 38.56
P/S 5.72
P/FCF 34.23
P/OCF 33.52
P/B 11.8
P/tB 13.65
EV/EBITDA 37.26
EPS(TTM)8.36
EY1.75%
EPS(NY)12.38
Fwd EY2.59%
FCF(TTM)13.95
FCFY2.92%
OCF(TTM)14.25
OCFY2.98%
SpS83.47
BVpS40.45
TBVpS34.99
PEG (NY)1.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number87.23
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 14.73%
ROE 26.56%
ROCE 24.61%
ROIC 17.33%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 12.79%
PM (TTM) 12.87%
GM 31.98%
FCFM 16.71%
ROA(3y)5.95%
ROA(5y)2.35%
ROE(3y)8.69%
ROE(5y)1.31%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y8.62%
GM growth 5Y4.57%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.14
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.05
Debt/FCF 0.68
Debt/EBITDA 0.19
Cap/Depr 59.8%
Cap/Sales 0.35%
Interest Coverage 61.06
Cash Conversion 127.52%
Profit Quality 129.84%
Current Ratio 1.72
Quick Ratio 1.72
Altman-Z 10.64
F-Score7
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC2.29
Cap/Depr(3y)25.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)31.84%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.17%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.32%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.72%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%151.7%
EPS Next Y48.12%
EPS Next 2Y37.05%
EPS Next 3Y29.89%
EPS Next 5Y22.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.65%
Revenue growth 3Y13.59%
Revenue growth 5Y16.88%
Sales Q2Q%6.81%
Revenue Next Year13.74%
Revenue Next 2Y13.77%
Revenue Next 3Y13.34%
Revenue Next 5Y12.38%
EBIT growth 1Y61.03%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year50.34%
EBIT Next 3Y32.5%
EBIT Next 5Y20.9%
FCF growth 1Y25.74%
FCF growth 3Y415.22%
FCF growth 5Y73.82%
OCF growth 1Y27.47%
OCF growth 3Y299.5%
OCF growth 5Y62.48%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / 639.DE FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 639.DE.


Can you provide the valuation status for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What are the PE and PB ratios of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE) stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE) is 57.12 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.8.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (639.DE) is expected to grow by 48.12% in the next year.