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UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INC (1UAL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1UAL - Euronext Milan - US9100471096 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

60.33  -43.45 (-41.87%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to 1UAL. 1UAL was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. While 1UAL is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. 1UAL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1UAL was profitable.
In multiple years 1UAL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In multiple years 1UAL reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1UAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1UAL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B -5B

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 4.25%, 1UAL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1UAL (24.84%) is better than 83.33% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1UAL (7.84%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
1UAL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.02%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.84%) for 1UAL is above the 3 year average (6.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.25%
ROE 24.84%
ROIC 7.84%
ROA(3y)3.01%
ROA(5y)-1.14%
ROE(3y)21.21%
ROE(5y)-18.81%
ROIC(3y)6.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1UAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1UAL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.52%, 1UAL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1UAL has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 9.13%, 1UAL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
1UAL's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1UAL's Gross Margin of 63.26% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1UAL outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
1UAL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.13%
PM (TTM) 5.52%
GM 63.26%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-4.52%
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
1UAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1UAL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1UAL is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1UAL has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for 1UAL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
1UAL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1UAL.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1UAL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
1UAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1UAL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.99 is on the high side and indicates that 1UAL has dependencies on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.99, 1UAL is in line with its industry, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC8.32%
1UAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1UAL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

1UAL has a Current Ratio of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that 1UAL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1UAL has a Current ratio (0.81) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that 1UAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.74, 1UAL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.74
1UAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1UAL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1UAL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 5.27%.
1UAL shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.65% yearly.
Looking at the last year, 1UAL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.23% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.70% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.65%
EPS Q2Q%63%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.23%
Revenue growth 3Y32.31%
Revenue growth 5Y5.7%
Sales Q2Q%7.85%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1UAL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 15.48% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.39% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y27.16%
EPS Next 2Y19.29%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.52%
Revenue Next 2Y7.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.45%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1UAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1UAL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
1UAL.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1UAL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 10 -10 -20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1UAL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.49.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1UAL is on the same level as its industry peers.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1UAL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.79), we can say 1UAL is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 5.10, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1UAL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1UAL is valued a bit cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1UAL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.49
Fwd PE 5.1
1UAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1UAL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
1UAL.MI Per share data1UAL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
1UAL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.48% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y19.29%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for 1UAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS INC

BIT:1UAL (4/16/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

60.33

-43.45 (-41.87%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-21 2025-01-21/amc
Earnings (Next)04-14 2025-04-14/amc
Inst Owners79.52%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap19.84B
Analysts84.44
Price Target127.92 (112.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)5.85%
Min EPS beat(2)4.11%
Max EPS beat(2)7.59%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)22.51%
Min EPS beat(4)4.11%
Max EPS beat(4)74.16%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)19.23%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)13.75%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.11%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.02%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.47%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.36%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.53%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.34%
PT rev (1m)54.99%
PT rev (3m)54.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)218.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)218.89%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)2.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.45%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.49
Fwd PE 5.1
P/S 0.4
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.78
P/tB 4.13
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)9.3
EY15.42%
EPS(NY)11.83
Fwd EY19.6%
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS152.52
BVpS33.88
TBVpS14.61
PEG (NY)0.24
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.25%
ROE 24.84%
ROCE 10.26%
ROIC 7.84%
ROICexc 10.97%
ROICexgc 13.68%
OM 9.13%
PM (TTM) 5.52%
GM 63.26%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)3.01%
ROA(5y)-1.14%
ROE(3y)21.21%
ROE(5y)-18.81%
ROIC(3y)6.63%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)9.5%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)8.68%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.15%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y0.65%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-2.78%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-4.52%
GM growth 3Y6.86%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.77
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.81
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z N/A
F-ScoreN/A
WACC8.32%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.27%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-2.65%
EPS Q2Q%63%
EPS Next Y27.16%
EPS Next 2Y19.29%
EPS Next 3Y15.48%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.23%
Revenue growth 3Y32.31%
Revenue growth 5Y5.7%
Sales Q2Q%7.85%
Revenue Next Year8.52%
Revenue Next 2Y7.54%
Revenue Next 3Y6.45%
Revenue Next 5Y3.39%
EBIT growth 1Y0.87%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y2.75%
EBIT Next Year83.98%
EBIT Next 3Y28.36%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1YN/A
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1YN/A
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A