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SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - Euronext Milan - BIT:1SPOT - LU1778762911 - Common Stock

560.5 EUR
+12.8 (+2.34%)
Last: 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall 1SPOT gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated 1SPOT against 44 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. 1SPOT is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. While showing a medium growth rate, 1SPOT is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1SPOT was profitable.
In the past year 1SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years 1SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
1SPOT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

1SPOT has a Return On Assets of 9.56%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 89.13% of its industry peers.
1SPOT's Return On Equity of 18.06% is amongst the best of the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1SPOT (19.82%) is better than 91.30% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.56%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 19.82%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1SPOT (8.32%) is better than 73.91% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a better Operating Margin (11.68%) than 76.09% of its industry peers.
1SPOT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1SPOT has a Gross Margin of 31.75%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1SPOT underperforms 76.09% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1SPOT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.68%
PM (TTM) 8.32%
GM 31.75%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1SPOT is creating value.
1SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1SPOT has more shares outstanding
1SPOT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

1SPOT has an Altman-Z score of 12.03. This indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 12.03, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.48% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1SPOT is 0.75, which is an excellent value as it means it would take 1SPOT, only 0.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1SPOT (0.75) is better than 89.13% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of 1SPOT (0.06) is better than 84.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 12.03
ROIC/WACC2.65
WACC7.47%
1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

1SPOT has a Current Ratio of 1.61. This is a normal value and indicates that 1SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1SPOT has a Current ratio of 1.61. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.61 indicates that 1SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.61, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 1.61
1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 38.11% over the past year.
The Revenue has grown by 11.89% in the past year. This is quite good.
1SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1SPOT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.24% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1SPOT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.83%
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.24%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y12.76%
Revenue Next 3Y13.25%
Revenue Next 5Y12.31%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 10 20

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1SPOT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 98.51.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than 63.04% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.65. 1SPOT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 47.76 indicates a quite expensive valuation of 1SPOT.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1SPOT.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.45, 1SPOT is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 98.51
Fwd PE 47.76
1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1SPOT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 60.87% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1SPOT is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 39.36
EV/EBITDA 50.1
1SPOT.MI Per share data1SPOT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1SPOT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
1SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 41.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1SPOT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

BIT:1SPOT (11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

560.5

+12.8 (+2.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-04 2026-02-04/amc
Inst Owners70.11%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.2%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap114.74B
Revenue(TTM)16.90B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts78.3
Price Target661.54 (18.03%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(2)62.82%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-31.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(4)62.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.11%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)22.23%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)28.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.17%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)1.66%
PT rev (3m)1.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.79%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.47%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.97%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.33%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 98.51
Fwd PE 47.76
P/S 6.79
P/FCF 39.36
P/OCF 38.76
P/B 14.75
P/tB 17.21
EV/EBITDA 50.1
EPS(TTM)5.69
EY1.02%
EPS(NY)11.74
Fwd EY2.09%
FCF(TTM)14.24
FCFY2.54%
OCF(TTM)14.46
OCFY2.58%
SpS82.54
BVpS38
TBVpS32.57
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number69.75
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.56%
ROE 18.06%
ROCE 23.36%
ROIC 19.82%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 11.68%
PM (TTM) 8.32%
GM 31.75%
FCFM 17.25%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y291.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.75
Debt/EBITDA 0.21
Cap/Depr 42.06%
Cap/Sales 0.27%
Interest Coverage 50.62
Cash Conversion 142.24%
Profit Quality 207.47%
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 1.61
Altman-Z 12.03
F-Score6
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC2.65
Cap/Depr(3y)10.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)33.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
EPS Next Y-1.83%
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y12.76%
Revenue Next 3Y13.25%
Revenue Next 5Y12.31%
EBIT growth 1Y99.6%
EBIT growth 3Y143.94%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year63.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.76%
EBIT Next 5Y30.54%
FCF growth 1Y1335.96%
FCF growth 3Y102.27%
FCF growth 5Y39.14%
OCF growth 1Y1289.67%
OCF growth 3Y85.41%
OCF growth 5Y32.05%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / 1SPOT.MI FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 1SPOT.MI.


What is the valuation status of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1SPOT stock?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) is expected to decline by -1.83% in the next year.