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SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - BIT:1SPOT - LU1778762911 - Common Stock

560.5 EUR
+12.8 (+2.34%)
Last: 11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

1SPOT gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 43 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. 1SPOT is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. 1SPOT is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1SPOT was profitable.
In the past year 1SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
1SPOT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
1SPOT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

1SPOT's Return On Assets of 5.99% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 79.07% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.16%, 1SPOT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.09% of the companies in the same industry.
1SPOT's Return On Invested Capital of 21.90% is amongst the best of the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 93.02% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 12.16%
ROIC 21.9%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1SPOT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

1SPOT has a better Profit Margin (4.85%) than 67.44% of its industry peers.
The Operating Margin of 1SPOT (11.11%) is better than 69.77% of its industry peers.
1SPOT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 31.63%, 1SPOT is not doing good in the industry: 76.74% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1SPOT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.11%
PM (TTM) 4.85%
GM 31.63%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1SPOT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1SPOT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1SPOT has more shares outstanding
1SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
1SPOT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1SPOT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1SPOT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 11.72 indicates that 1SPOT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
1SPOT has a Altman-Z score of 11.72. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 95.35% of its industry peers.
1SPOT has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.84. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.84 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 0.84, 1SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
1SPOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.07. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
1SPOT's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.07 is amongst the best of the industry. 1SPOT outperforms 88.37% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.84
Altman-Z 11.72
ROIC/WACC2.93
WACC7.47%
1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1SPOT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.47 indicates that 1SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 1.47, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.40% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that 1SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 1.47, 1SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.40% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1SPOT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1SPOT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 28.67%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, 1SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.80% in the last year.
1SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-131.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.8%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%10.14%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.95% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
1SPOT is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 12.06% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.85%
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%
EPS Next 5Y28.95%
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y13.26%
Revenue Next 5Y12.06%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B
1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1SPOT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 10 20

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 145.21, the valuation of 1SPOT can be described as expensive.
1SPOT's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
1SPOT is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.83, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 47.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for 1SPOT.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1SPOT is on the same level as its industry peers.
1SPOT is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 32.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 145.21
Fwd PE 47.41
1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1SPOT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1SPOT indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 1SPOT is more expensive than 65.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1SPOT is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 40.69
EV/EBITDA 53.9
1SPOT.MI Per share data1SPOT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1SPOT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
1SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 41.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)37.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for 1SPOT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA

BIT:1SPOT (11/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

560.5

+12.8 (+2.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)07-29 2025-07-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Inst Owners70.11%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners16.2%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap114.74B
Revenue(TTM)16.61B
Net Income(TTM)806.00M
Analysts78.3
Price Target650.71 (16.09%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-87%
Min EPS beat(2)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(2)-52.29%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-51.11%
Min EPS beat(4)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(4)-13.1%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)48.3%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)15.65%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)16.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.16%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.2%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.7%
PT rev (1m)2.11%
PT rev (3m)9.59%
EPS NQ rev (1m)2.8%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.6%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-32.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-6.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.72%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 145.21
Fwd PE 47.41
P/S 6.91
P/FCF 40.69
P/OCF 40.32
P/B 17.31
P/tB 20.8
EV/EBITDA 53.9
EPS(TTM)3.86
EY0.69%
EPS(NY)11.82
Fwd EY2.11%
FCF(TTM)13.78
FCFY2.46%
OCF(TTM)13.9
OCFY2.48%
SpS81.15
BVpS32.37
TBVpS26.95
PEG (NY)37.71
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number53.02
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.99%
ROE 12.16%
ROCE 25.81%
ROIC 21.9%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM 11.11%
PM (TTM) 4.85%
GM 31.63%
FCFM 16.97%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y291.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.23
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.07
Debt/FCF 0.84
Debt/EBITDA 0.23
Cap/Depr 23.01%
Cap/Sales 0.16%
Interest Coverage 49.89
Cash Conversion 145.28%
Profit Quality 349.88%
Current Ratio 1.47
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 11.72
F-Score6
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC2.93
Cap/Depr(3y)10.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)33.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)28.67%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-131.58%
EPS Next Y3.85%
EPS Next 2Y46.49%
EPS Next 3Y41.5%
EPS Next 5Y28.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.8%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%10.14%
Revenue Next Year9.91%
Revenue Next 2Y12.78%
Revenue Next 3Y13.26%
Revenue Next 5Y12.06%
EBIT growth 1Y225.57%
EBIT growth 3Y143.94%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year63.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.76%
EBIT Next 5Y30.29%
FCF growth 1Y9971.43%
FCF growth 3Y102.27%
FCF growth 5Y39.14%
OCF growth 1Y6676.19%
OCF growth 3Y85.41%
OCF growth 5Y32.05%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / 1SPOT.MI FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to 1SPOT.MI.


What is the valuation status of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1SPOT stock?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (1SPOT.MI) is expected to grow by 3.85% in the next year.