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REPSOL SA (1REP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1REP - Euronext Milan - ES0173516115 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

11.86  -0.66 (-5.23%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall 1REP gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated 1REP against 62 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the profitability and financial health of 1REP have multiple concerns. 1REP has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1REP had positive earnings in the past year.
1REP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years 1REP 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years 1REP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1REP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1REP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B 8B

1.2 Ratios

1REP has a Return On Assets of 2.68%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
1REP has a Return On Equity of 6.40%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 74.60% of its industry peers.
1REP's Return On Invested Capital of 4.54% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1REP is outperformed by 71.43% of its industry peers.
1REP had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.89%. This is below the industry average of 11.89%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (4.54%) for 1REP is well below the 3 year average (8.89%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that 1REP had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.68%
ROE 6.4%
ROIC 4.54%
ROA(3y)4.91%
ROA(5y)2.45%
ROE(3y)11.61%
ROE(5y)5.85%
ROIC(3y)8.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1REP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1REP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 2.97%, 1REP is doing worse than 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
1REP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1REP has a Operating Margin of 5.06%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 76.19% of its industry peers.
1REP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
1REP has a Gross Margin of 24.51%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1REP underperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
1REP's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 5.06%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 24.51%
OM growth 3Y-24.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.14%
PM growth 3Y-15.4%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
1REP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1REP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1REP is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1REP has less shares outstanding
1REP has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1REP is higher compared to a year ago.
1REP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1REP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
1REP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1REP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

1REP has an Altman-Z score of 1.42. This is a bad value and indicates that 1REP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
1REP has a Altman-Z score (1.42) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1REP is 51.58, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1REP, 51.58 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 51.58, 1REP is not doing good in the industry: 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1REP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.36, 1REP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 51.58
Altman-Z 1.42
ROIC/WACC0.76
WACC5.99%
1REP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1REP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.36 indicates that 1REP should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of 1REP (1.36) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1REP has a Quick Ratio of 1.36. This is a bad value and indicates that 1REP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of 1REP (0.96) is worse than 63.49% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 0.96
1REP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1REP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1REP shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -25.51%.
1REP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 21.64% yearly.
Looking at the last year, 1REP shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.10% in the last year.
1REP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 2.98% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.51%
EPS 3Y21.64%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-25.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y2.98%
Sales Q2Q%-6.95%

3.2 Future

1REP is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.25% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1REP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.07% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-20.05%
EPS Next 2Y-4.82%
EPS Next 3Y-1.03%
EPS Next 5Y11.25%
Revenue Next Year-1.73%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1REP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1REP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
1REP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1REP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4 5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 4.09, the valuation of 1REP can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1REP indicates a rather cheap valuation: 1REP is cheaper than 80.95% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.35, 1REP is valued rather cheaply.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.12, the valuation of 1REP can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1REP is valued cheaper than 87.30% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.10, 1REP is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.09
Fwd PE 5.12
1REP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1REP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

1REP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1REP is cheaper than 65.08% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1REP is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 68.25% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 57.19
EV/EBITDA 2.7
1REP.MI Per share data1REP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.82%
EPS Next 3Y-1.03%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.68%, 1REP is a good candidate for dividend investing.
1REP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 60.92.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, 1REP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.68%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of 1REP grows each year by 32.62%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

1REP pays out 67.98% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1REP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP67.98%
EPS Next 2Y-4.82%
EPS Next 3Y-1.03%
1REP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1REP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B
1REP.MI Dividend Payout.1REP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1REP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

REPSOL SA

BIT:1REP (3/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

11.86

-0.66 (-5.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-07 2025-04-07/bmo
Inst Owners33.43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.12%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap13.73B
Analysts72.5
Price Target14.59 (23.02%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.68%
Yearly Dividend0.97
Dividend Growth(5Y)32.62%
DP67.98%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)28.74%
Min EPS beat(2)-7.85%
Max EPS beat(2)65.32%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)24.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-7.85%
Max EPS beat(4)65.32%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)22.62%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)16.04%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-7.98%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-6.36%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-12.69%
Min Revenue beat(4)-18.76%
Max Revenue beat(4)-6.36%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.48%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.35%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-9.2%
PT rev (1m)-0.12%
PT rev (3m)0.32%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.54%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.06%
Revenue NY rev (1m)3.38%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.09
Fwd PE 5.12
P/S 0.24
P/FCF 57.19
P/OCF 2.76
P/B 0.52
P/tB 0.59
EV/EBITDA 2.7
EPS(TTM)2.9
EY24.45%
EPS(NY)2.32
Fwd EY19.53%
FCF(TTM)0.21
FCFY1.75%
OCF(TTM)4.29
OCFY36.17%
SpS49.35
BVpS22.89
TBVpS20.19
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.68%
ROE 6.4%
ROCE 6.08%
ROIC 4.54%
ROICexc 5.31%
ROICexgc 5.75%
OM 5.06%
PM (TTM) 2.97%
GM 24.51%
FCFM 0.42%
ROA(3y)4.91%
ROA(5y)2.45%
ROE(3y)11.61%
ROE(5y)5.85%
ROIC(3y)8.89%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.06%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)11.91%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-29.75%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y-28.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.93%
OM growth 3Y-24.67%
OM growth 5Y-0.14%
PM growth 3Y-15.4%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.26%
GM growth 5Y0.75%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.36
Debt/FCF 51.58
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 159.95%
Cap/Sales 8.27%
Interest Coverage 7.2
Cash Conversion 84.97%
Profit Quality 14.15%
Current Ratio 1.36
Quick Ratio 0.96
Altman-Z 1.42
F-Score4
WACC5.99%
ROIC/WACC0.76
Cap/Depr(3y)161.65%
Cap/Depr(5y)133.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.95%
Profit Quality(3y)62.72%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.51%
EPS 3Y21.64%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-25.74%
EPS Next Y-20.05%
EPS Next 2Y-4.82%
EPS Next 3Y-1.03%
EPS Next 5Y11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.1%
Revenue growth 3Y4.72%
Revenue growth 5Y2.98%
Sales Q2Q%-6.95%
Revenue Next Year-1.73%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y0.07%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-37.2%
EBIT growth 3Y-21.11%
EBIT growth 5Y2.83%
EBIT Next Year57.39%
EBIT Next 3Y18.25%
EBIT Next 5Y8.24%
FCF growth 1Y-89.2%
FCF growth 3Y-55.78%
FCF growth 5Y-31.76%
OCF growth 1Y-23.74%
OCF growth 3Y2.01%
OCF growth 5Y0.47%