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PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A (1PTON.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1PTON - Euronext Milan - US70614W1009 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

9.473  +3.72 (+64.58%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to 1PTON. 1PTON was compared to 15 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. 1PTON may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. 1PTON is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1PTON has reported negative net income.
In the past year 1PTON had a positive cash flow from operations.
1PTON had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
1PTON had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1PTON.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1PTON.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -1B -2B

1.2 Ratios

1PTON has a worse Return On Assets (-18.25%) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1PTON.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1PTON.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 400 -400

1.3 Margins

1PTON has a Gross Margin (45.52%) which is in line with its industry peers.
1PTON's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for 1PTON so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
1PTON.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1PTON.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1PTON does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
1PTON has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1PTON has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
1PTON has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1PTON.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1PTON.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
1PTON.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1PTON.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -1.56, we must say that 1PTON is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of -1.56, 1PTON is doing worse than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1PTON is 182.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1PTON, 182.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1PTON's Debt to FCF ratio of 182.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1PTON outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Altman-Z -1.56
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.14%
1PTON.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1PTON.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B -2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.01 indicates that 1PTON has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
1PTON has a Current ratio of 2.01. This is in the better half of the industry: 1PTON outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.49 indicates that 1PTON should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
1PTON has a Quick ratio of 1.49. This is in the better half of the industry: 1PTON outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49
1PTON.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1PTON.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 58.82% over the past year.
The Revenue has decreased by -3.18% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1PTON shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 24.17% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1PTON will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 20.66% on average per year.
1PTON is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y63.54%
EPS Next 2Y31.25%
EPS Next 3Y20.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1PTON.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1PTON.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 1B 2B 3B 4B
1PTON.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1PTON.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 -2 -4 -6

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1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1PTON reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year 1PTON is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
1PTON.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1PTON.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 -10 20 -20

4.2 Price Multiples

1PTON's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 455.08
EV/EBITDA N/A
1PTON.MI Per share data1PTON.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 4 6

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as 1PTON's earnings are expected to grow with 20.66% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.25%
EPS Next 3Y20.66%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1PTON does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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PELOTON INTERACTIVE INC-A

BIT:1PTON (2/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.473

+3.72 (+64.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.57B
Analysts56.3
Price Target5.03 (-46.9%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)36.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(2)100%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)14.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-26.72%
Max EPS beat(4)100%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-18.85%
EPS beat(12)1
Avg EPS beat(12)-46.37%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-27.6%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.06%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.82%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.88%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.09%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.26%
PT rev (1m)-12.62%
PT rev (3m)-12.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)25.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.09%
EPS NY rev (3m)49.11%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.56%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-12.6%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.39
P/FCF 455.08
P/OCF 145.77
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.14
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.43
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.02
FCFY0.22%
OCF(TTM)0.06
OCFY0.69%
SpS6.83
BVpS-1.22
TBVpS-1.36
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -18.25%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 45.52%
FCFM 0.3%
ROA(3y)-47%
ROA(5y)-29.53%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.36%
GM growth 5Y1.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 182.88
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 16.93%
Cap/Sales 0.65%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.01
Quick Ratio 1.49
Altman-Z -1.56
F-Score5
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)106.87%
Cap/Depr(5y)220.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.36%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.58%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)58.82%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y63.54%
EPS Next 2Y31.25%
EPS Next 3Y20.66%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-12.43%
Revenue growth 5Y24.17%
Sales Q2Q%-1.6%
Revenue Next Year-8.32%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.76%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.56%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y60.66%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year144.57%
EBIT Next 3Y36.09%
EBIT Next 5Y20.97%
FCF growth 1Y100.42%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y101.54%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A