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NESTE OYJ (1NESTE.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1NESTE - Euronext Milan - FI0009013296 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

8.978  -0.65 (-6.71%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, 1NESTE scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1NESTE was compared to 62 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. 1NESTE may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. 1NESTE does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1NESTE had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year 1NESTE had a positive cash flow from operations.
1NESTE had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years 1NESTE always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1NESTE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1NESTE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -0.60%, 1NESTE is doing worse than 79.37% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1NESTE (-1.27%) is worse than 79.37% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 0.24%, 1NESTE is not doing good in the industry: 82.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1NESTE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.20%. This is below the industry average of 11.89%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (0.24%) for 1NESTE is well below the 3 year average (8.20%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that 1NESTE had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -1.27%
ROIC 0.24%
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)8.51%
ROE(3y)12.78%
ROE(5y)15.14%
ROIC(3y)8.2%
ROIC(5y)11.91%
1NESTE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1NESTE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

1NESTE has a worse Operating Margin (0.16%) than 82.54% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1NESTE has declined.
With a Gross Margin value of 10.89%, 1NESTE is not doing good in the industry: 79.37% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1NESTE has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 0.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 10.89%
OM growth 3Y-77.13%
OM growth 5Y-59.12%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.9%
GM growth 5Y-13.89%
1NESTE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1NESTE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15 20

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1NESTE is still creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1NESTE remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
1NESTE has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1NESTE has a worse debt to assets ratio.
1NESTE.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1NESTE.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M
1NESTE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1NESTE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.70 indicates that 1NESTE is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.70, 1NESTE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
1NESTE has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. This is a neutral value indicating 1NESTE is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.59, 1NESTE is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 2.7
ROIC/WACC0.03
WACC6.89%
1NESTE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1NESTE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

1NESTE has a Current Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that 1NESTE is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.73, 1NESTE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
1NESTE has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a bad value and indicates that 1NESTE is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.83, 1NESTE is not doing good in the industry: 76.19% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 0.83
1NESTE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1NESTE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1NESTE shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -106.69%.
The Revenue has decreased by -9.99% in the past year.
1NESTE shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.43% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-106.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-133.74%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.85%
Revenue growth 5Y5.43%
Sales Q2Q%-11.66%

3.2 Future

1NESTE is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 60.40% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1NESTE will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.47% on average per year.
EPS Next Y88.85%
EPS Next 2Y72.86%
EPS Next 3Y60.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.01%
Revenue Next 3Y7.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
1NESTE.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1NESTE.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
1NESTE.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1NESTE.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for 1NESTE. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.16, 1NESTE is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1NESTE is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. 1NESTE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 13.16
1NESTE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1NESTE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40 -60

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
1NESTE.MI Per share data1NESTE.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1NESTE's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
1NESTE's earnings are expected to grow with 60.40% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y72.86%
EPS Next 3Y60.4%

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3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1NESTE has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.20%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 60.92, 1NESTE is paying slightly less dividend.
1NESTE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.2%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1NESTE is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 9.58%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.58%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

1NESTE has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
1NESTE's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-980.85%
EPS Next 2Y72.86%
EPS Next 3Y60.4%
1NESTE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1NESTE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

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NESTE OYJ

BIT:1NESTE (3/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.978

-0.65 (-6.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-13 2025-02-13/amc
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29/amc
Inst Owners31.67%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.91B
Analysts73.75
Price Target15.61 (73.87%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.2%
Yearly Dividend1.2
Dividend Growth(5Y)9.58%
DP-980.85%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)7.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.78%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-11.13%
Max Revenue beat(4)32.74%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)3.4%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.53%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)5.85%
PT rev (1m)-17.91%
PT rev (3m)-22.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-23.82%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-71.29%
EPS NY rev (1m)-43.35%
EPS NY rev (3m)-43.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)24.64%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)5.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.19%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 13.16
P/S 0.33
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 5.84
P/B 0.93
P/tB 1.02
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.12
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.68
Fwd EY7.6%
FCF(TTM)-0.48
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.54
OCFY17.13%
SpS26.83
BVpS9.64
TBVpS8.76
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.6%
ROE -1.27%
ROCE 0.27%
ROIC 0.24%
ROICexc 0.26%
ROICexgc 0.28%
OM 0.16%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 10.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)7%
ROA(5y)8.51%
ROE(3y)12.78%
ROE(5y)15.14%
ROIC(3y)8.2%
ROIC(5y)11.91%
ROICexc(3y)9.29%
ROICexc(5y)14.27%
ROICexgc(3y)9.87%
ROICexgc(5y)15.16%
ROCE(3y)9.29%
ROCE(5y)13.33%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-78.15%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-61.85%
ROICexc growth 3Y-78.07%
ROICexc growth 5Y-62.14%
OM growth 3Y-77.13%
OM growth 5Y-59.12%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-21.9%
GM growth 5Y-13.89%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover1.32
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales 7.52%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.73
Quick Ratio 0.83
Altman-Z 2.7
F-Score2
WACC6.89%
ROIC/WACC0.03
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)6.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-106.69%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-133.74%
EPS Next Y88.85%
EPS Next 2Y72.86%
EPS Next 3Y60.4%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.85%
Revenue growth 5Y5.43%
Sales Q2Q%-11.66%
Revenue Next Year8.33%
Revenue Next 2Y6.01%
Revenue Next 3Y7.47%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-98.04%
EBIT growth 3Y-74.65%
EBIT growth 5Y-56.9%
EBIT Next Year441.21%
EBIT Next 3Y133.35%
EBIT Next 5Y67.66%
FCF growth 1Y-143.46%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.09%
OCF growth 3Y-15.97%
OCF growth 5Y-4.07%