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MORGAN STANLEY (1MS.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1MS - Euronext Milan - US6174464486 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

115.18  -1.36 (-1.17%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall 1MS gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated 1MS against 109 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. While 1MS is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. 1MS has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1MS was profitable.
In the past year 1MS has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years 1MS has been profitable.
In multiple years 1MS reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1MS.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1MS.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B -20B 40B

1.2 Ratios

1MS's Return On Assets of 1.05% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1MS outperforms 52.63% of its industry peers.
1MS's Return On Equity of 12.82% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1MS outperforms 70.18% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 1.35%, 1MS is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.51% of the companies in the same industry.
1MS had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 1.17%. This is significantly below the industry average of 8.40%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.17%) for 1MS is below the current ROIC(1.35%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.05%
ROE 12.82%
ROIC 1.35%
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)11.1%
ROIC(3y)1.17%
ROIC(5y)1.28%
1MS.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1MS.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

1MS has a Profit Margin (12.43%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1MS has declined.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 17.02%, 1MS is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
1MS's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1MS has a Gross Margin of 54.40%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1MS outperforms 70.18% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1MS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.02%
PM (TTM) 12.43%
GM 54.4%
OM growth 3Y-20.12%
OM growth 5Y-4.82%
PM growth 3Y-20.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.48%
GM growth 3Y-16.51%
GM growth 5Y-5.78%
1MS.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1MS.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The number of shares outstanding for 1MS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1MS has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, 1MS has a worse debt to assets ratio.
1MS.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1MS.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
1MS.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1MS.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B 800B 1T

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -0.12, we must say that 1MS is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
1MS has a Altman-Z score (-0.12) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.22 is on the high side and indicates that 1MS has dependencies on debt financing.
1MS's Debt to Equity ratio of 7.22 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1MS is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.12
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
1MS.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1MS.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100B 200B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.26 indicates that 1MS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1MS has a Current ratio (0.26) which is in line with its industry peers.
1MS has a Quick Ratio of 0.26. This is a bad value and indicates that 1MS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1MS has a Quick ratio of 0.26. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1MS outperforms 42.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.26
Quick Ratio 0.26
1MS.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1MS.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1MS shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 51.33%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.88% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 10.79% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.79% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.33%
EPS 3Y-0.38%
EPS 5Y8.88%
EPS Q2Q%28.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.79%
Revenue growth 3Y20.63%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%17.2%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1MS will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.26% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1MS will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.10% on average per year.
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y10.25%
EPS Next 5Y6.26%
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y6.52%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y3.1%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1MS.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1MS.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
1MS.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1MS.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5 10 15 20

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.34 indicates a correct valuation of 1MS.
1MS's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1MS is cheaper than 68.42% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.45, 1MS is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.60, the valuation of 1MS can be described as correct.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1MS indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1MS is cheaper than 73.68% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1MS to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.90), we can say 1MS is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 13.6
1MS.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1MS.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

1MS's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1MS is cheaper than 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 18.56
1MS.MI Per share data1MS.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.24
PEG (5Y)1.73
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y10.25%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.89%, 1MS has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.85, 1MS pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
1MS's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1MS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.94%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

1MS pays out 45.71% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of 1MS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.71%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y10.25%
1MS.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1MS.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B -20B
1MS.MI Dividend Payout.1MS.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1MS.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MORGAN STANLEY

BIT:1MS (6/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

115.18

-1.36 (-1.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)04-11 2025-04-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-16 2025-07-16/bmo
Inst Owners62.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap184.79B
Analysts72.9
Price Target115.33 (0.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.89%
Yearly Dividend3.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.94%
DP45.71%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)20.77%
Min EPS beat(2)14.48%
Max EPS beat(2)27.07%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.07%
Min EPS beat(4)7.49%
Max EPS beat(4)27.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)10.85%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.29%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.3%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.34%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.91%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.58%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.78%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)21.17%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)25.52%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)19.87%
PT rev (1m)3.06%
PT rev (3m)-11.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.07%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.91%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.25%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.82%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.82%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.34
Fwd PE 13.6
P/S 1.9
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 1.96
P/tB 2.5
EV/EBITDA 18.56
EPS(TTM)7.51
EY6.52%
EPS(NY)8.47
Fwd EY7.35%
FCF(TTM)-16.67
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-14.83
OCFYN/A
SpS60.55
BVpS58.72
TBVpS46.06
PEG (NY)1.24
PEG (5Y)1.73
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.05%
ROE 12.82%
ROCE 3.09%
ROIC 1.35%
ROICexc 1.48%
ROICexgc 1.55%
OM 17.02%
PM (TTM) 12.43%
GM 54.4%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)11.1%
ROIC(3y)1.17%
ROIC(5y)1.28%
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)1.45%
ROICexgc(3y)1.39%
ROICexgc(5y)1.52%
ROCE(3y)2.71%
ROCE(5y)2.94%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.85%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.26%
OM growth 3Y-20.12%
OM growth 5Y-4.82%
PM growth 3Y-20.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.48%
GM growth 3Y-16.51%
GM growth 5Y-5.78%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.08
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 7.22
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 32.42
Cap/Depr 66.5%
Cap/Sales 3.05%
Interest Coverage 0.4
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.26
Quick Ratio 0.26
Altman-Z -0.12
F-Score5
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)74.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)51.33%
EPS 3Y-0.38%
EPS 5Y8.88%
EPS Q2Q%28.71%
EPS Next Y12.41%
EPS Next 2Y9.97%
EPS Next 3Y10.25%
EPS Next 5Y6.26%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.79%
Revenue growth 3Y20.63%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%17.2%
Revenue Next Year9.06%
Revenue Next 2Y6.52%
Revenue Next 3Y5.46%
Revenue Next 5Y3.1%
EBIT growth 1Y43.88%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.64%
EBIT growth 5Y9.26%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-54.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-63.47%
OCF growth 3Y-65.77%
OCF growth 5Y-49.33%