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MORGAN STANLEY (1MS.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1MS - Euronext Milan - US6174464486 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

113.02  -0.52 (-0.46%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 1MS. 1MS was compared to 102 industry peers in the Capital Markets industry. 1MS has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. 1MS has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1MS had positive earnings in the past year.
1MS had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
1MS had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In multiple years 1MS reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
1MS.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1MS.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B -20B 40B

1.2 Ratios

1MS has a Return On Assets (1.05%) which is in line with its industry peers.
1MS has a Return On Equity of 12.25%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1MS outperforms 73.33% of its industry peers.
1MS has a Return On Invested Capital (1.34%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1MS is significantly below the industry average of 8.29%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.17%) for 1MS is below the current ROIC(1.34%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.05%
ROE 12.25%
ROIC 1.34%
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)11.1%
ROIC(3y)1.17%
ROIC(5y)1.28%
1MS.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1MS.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

1MS's Profit Margin of 11.93% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1MS outperforms 60.95% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1MS has declined.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.40%, 1MS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.71% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1MS has declined.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 53.71%, 1MS is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.38% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1MS has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.4%
PM (TTM) 11.93%
GM 53.71%
OM growth 3Y-20.12%
OM growth 5Y-4.82%
PM growth 3Y-20.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.48%
GM growth 3Y-16.51%
GM growth 5Y-5.78%
1MS.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1MS.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The number of shares outstanding for 1MS has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1MS has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for 1MS is higher compared to a year ago.
1MS.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1MS.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
1MS.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1MS.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B 800B 1T

2.2 Solvency

1MS has an Altman-Z score of -0.08. This is a bad value and indicates that 1MS is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
1MS has a Altman-Z score (-0.08) which is in line with its industry peers.
1MS has a Debt/Equity ratio of 6.99. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
1MS has a Debt to Equity ratio of 6.99. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1MS outperforms 40.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -0.08
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACCN/A
1MS.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1MS.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100B 200B

2.3 Liquidity

1MS has a Current Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that 1MS is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1MS has a Current ratio (0.30) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that 1MS may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1MS has a Quick ratio of 0.30. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1MS outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
1MS.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1MS.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200B 400B 600B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 49.53% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1MS shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 8.88% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, 1MS shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.53% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 14.79% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)49.53%
EPS 3Y-0.38%
EPS 5Y8.88%
EPS Q2Q%124.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.53%
Revenue growth 3Y20.63%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%25.8%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1MS will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.85% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.42% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.91%
EPS Next 2Y11.01%
EPS Next 3Y10.24%
EPS Next 5Y10.85%
Revenue Next Year10%
Revenue Next 2Y7.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1MS.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1MS.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
1MS.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1MS.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5 10 15 20

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.46, 1MS is valued correctly.
69.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1MS, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
1MS's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 29.35.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.81 indicates a correct valuation of 1MS.
72.38% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1MS, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
1MS is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.46
Fwd PE 13.81
1MS.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1MS.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1MS is valued a bit cheaper than 78.10% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 17.71
1MS.MI Per share data1MS.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1MS's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)1.74
EPS Next 2Y11.01%
EPS Next 3Y10.24%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1MS has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.10%.
1MS's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.34.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, 1MS pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.1%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1MS is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 18.94%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

1MS pays out 47.95% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of 1MS is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.95%
EPS Next 2Y11.01%
EPS Next 3Y10.24%
1MS.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1MS.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B -20B
1MS.MI Dividend Payout.1MS.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1MS.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

MORGAN STANLEY

BIT:1MS (3/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

113.02

-0.52 (-0.46%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryCapital Markets
Earnings (Last)01-16 2025-01-16/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-11 2025-04-11/bmo
Inst Owners62.19%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap182.29B
Analysts72.9
Price Target134.99 (19.44%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.1%
Yearly Dividend3.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)18.94%
DP47.95%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)21.16%
Min EPS beat(2)15.26%
Max EPS beat(2)27.07%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.98%
Min EPS beat(4)7.49%
Max EPS beat(4)27.07%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)9.28%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.46%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)7.97%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)3.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)4.78%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)3.09%
Min Revenue beat(4)1.95%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.78%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)28.27%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)25.5%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)20.32%
PT rev (1m)3.46%
PT rev (3m)15.14%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
EPS NQ rev (3m)7.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)9.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)5.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.46
Fwd PE 13.81
P/S 1.84
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 145.31
P/B 1.89
P/tB 2.43
EV/EBITDA 17.71
EPS(TTM)7.31
EY6.47%
EPS(NY)8.18
Fwd EY7.24%
FCF(TTM)-1.2
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.78
OCFY0.69%
SpS61.27
BVpS59.68
TBVpS46.46
PEG (NY)1.3
PEG (5Y)1.74
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.05%
ROE 12.25%
ROCE 3.05%
ROIC 1.34%
ROICexc 1.5%
ROICexgc 1.58%
OM 16.4%
PM (TTM) 11.93%
GM 53.71%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.97%
ROE(3y)10.46%
ROE(5y)11.1%
ROIC(3y)1.17%
ROIC(5y)1.28%
ROICexc(3y)1.31%
ROICexc(5y)1.45%
ROICexgc(3y)1.39%
ROICexgc(5y)1.52%
ROCE(3y)2.71%
ROCE(5y)2.94%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-6.85%
ROICexcg growth 5Y1.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.8%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.26%
OM growth 3Y-20.12%
OM growth 5Y-4.82%
PM growth 3Y-20.6%
PM growth 5Y-5.48%
GM growth 3Y-16.51%
GM growth 5Y-5.78%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 6.99
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 32.08
Cap/Depr 67.08%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 0.38
Cash Conversion 5.98%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z -0.08
F-Score7
WACCN/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)74.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)63.46%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.81%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.59%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)49.53%
EPS 3Y-0.38%
EPS 5Y8.88%
EPS Q2Q%124.24%
EPS Next Y11.91%
EPS Next 2Y11.01%
EPS Next 3Y10.24%
EPS Next 5Y10.85%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.53%
Revenue growth 3Y20.63%
Revenue growth 5Y14.79%
Sales Q2Q%25.8%
Revenue Next Year10%
Revenue Next 2Y7.88%
Revenue Next 3Y6.42%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y41.98%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.64%
EBIT growth 5Y9.26%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y94.32%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y104.06%
OCF growth 3Y-65.77%
OCF growth 5Y-49.33%