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DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA-REG (1LHA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1LHA - Euronext Milan - DE0008232125 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

6.44  +0.11 (+1.71%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 1LHA. 1LHA was compared to 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. Both the profitability and financial health of 1LHA have multiple concerns. 1LHA is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. Finally 1LHA also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1LHA was profitable.
1LHA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years 1LHA reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
1LHA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1LHA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1LHA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B -4B -6B

1.2 Ratios

1LHA's Return On Assets of 2.93% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1LHA outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 11.96%, 1LHA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 4.07%, 1LHA is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1LHA is below the industry average of 8.02%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.93%
ROE 11.96%
ROIC 4.07%
ROA(3y)2.82%
ROA(5y)-2.75%
ROE(3y)12.9%
ROE(5y)-101.96%
ROIC(3y)5.36%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1LHA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1LHA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

1LHA has a Profit Margin of 3.67%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1LHA outperforms 41.67% of its industry peers.
1LHA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of 1LHA (3.45%) is worse than 83.33% of its industry peers.
1LHA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of 1LHA (42.95%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1LHA's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 3.67%
GM 42.95%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.97%
GM growth 3Y-3.25%
GM growth 5Y-1.97%
1LHA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1LHA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1LHA is destroying value.
1LHA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1LHA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1LHA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1LHA.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1LHA.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
1LHA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1LHA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.2 Solvency

1LHA has an Altman-Z score of 1.11. This is a bad value and indicates that 1LHA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of 1LHA (1.11) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1LHA is 60.52, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1LHA, 60.52 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1LHA has a Debt to FCF ratio (60.52) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99 indicates that 1LHA is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.99, 1LHA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 60.52
Altman-Z 1.11
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC6.38%
1LHA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1LHA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

1LHA has a Current Ratio of 0.83. This is a bad value and indicates that 1LHA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of 1LHA (0.83) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
1LHA has a Quick Ratio of 0.83. This is a bad value and indicates that 1LHA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1LHA has a Quick ratio (0.75) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.83
Quick Ratio 0.75
1LHA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1LHA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for 1LHA have decreased strongly by -12.78% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, 1LHA shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.68% on average per year.
1LHA shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.04%.
Measured over the past years, 1LHA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.63% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-8.68%
EPS Q2Q%666.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.04%
Revenue growth 3Y30.76%
Revenue growth 5Y0.63%
Sales Q2Q%7.8%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.59% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1LHA will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.63% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-5.59%
EPS Next 2Y8.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.32%
EPS Next 5Y4.59%
Revenue Next Year5.04%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.47%
Revenue Next 5Y2.63%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
1LHA.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1LHA.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10B 20B 30B 40B
1LHA.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1LHA.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 -2 -4 -6 -8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 5.55, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1LHA.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1LHA is valued cheaper than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
1LHA is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.88, the valuation of 1LHA can be described as very cheap.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1LHA.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.38. 1LHA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.55
Fwd PE 5.88
1LHA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1LHA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1LHA is valued cheaper than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1LHA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 32.84
EV/EBITDA 1.8
1LHA.MI Per share data1LHA.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y8.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.32%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1LHA has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.72%, which is a nice return.
1LHA's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.86. 1LHA pays more dividend than 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.51, 1LHA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.72%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1LHA decreases each year by -12.90%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.9%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

26.96% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1LHA. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP26.96%
EPS Next 2Y8.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.32%
1LHA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1LHA.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B -6B
1LHA.MI Dividend Payout.1LHA.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1LHA.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA-REG

BIT:1LHA (4/25/2025, 5:26:25 PM)

6.44

+0.11 (+1.71%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)03-06 2025-03-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2025-04-29
Inst Owners16.58%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners15.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap7.72B
Analysts65.38
Price Target7.22 (12.11%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.72%
Yearly Dividend0.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)-12.9%
DP26.96%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)74.12%
Min EPS beat(2)22.99%
Max EPS beat(2)125.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)27.79%
Min EPS beat(4)-22.86%
Max EPS beat(4)125.25%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)6.26%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.89%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.26%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.04%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.59%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.02%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.76%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.81%
PT rev (1m)4.14%
PT rev (3m)-0.58%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-72.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.58%
EPS NY rev (3m)-15.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.64%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.24%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.55
Fwd PE 5.88
P/S 0.21
P/FCF 32.84
P/OCF 1.98
P/B 0.67
P/tB 0.76
EV/EBITDA 1.8
EPS(TTM)1.16
EY18.01%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY17.01%
FCF(TTM)0.2
FCFY3.05%
OCF(TTM)3.25
OCFY50.43%
SpS31.36
BVpS9.63
TBVpS8.52
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.93%
ROE 11.96%
ROCE 4.72%
ROIC 4.07%
ROICexc 5.89%
ROICexgc 6.34%
OM 3.45%
PM (TTM) 3.67%
GM 42.95%
FCFM 0.63%
ROA(3y)2.82%
ROA(5y)-2.75%
ROE(3y)12.9%
ROE(5y)-101.96%
ROIC(3y)5.36%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)7.89%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)8.55%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)6.22%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.79%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.51%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-5.09%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.97%
GM growth 3Y-3.25%
GM growth 5Y-1.97%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 60.52
Debt/EBITDA 3.1
Cap/Depr 153.46%
Cap/Sales 9.73%
Interest Coverage 2.32
Cash Conversion 105.76%
Profit Quality 17.03%
Current Ratio 0.83
Quick Ratio 0.75
Altman-Z 1.11
F-Score6
WACC6.38%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)134.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.88%
Profit Quality(3y)150.91%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-8.68%
EPS Q2Q%666.67%
EPS Next Y-5.59%
EPS Next 2Y8.19%
EPS Next 3Y10.32%
EPS Next 5Y4.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.04%
Revenue growth 3Y30.76%
Revenue growth 5Y0.63%
Sales Q2Q%7.8%
Revenue Next Year5.04%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.47%
Revenue Next 5Y2.63%
EBIT growth 1Y-47.53%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-4.5%
EBIT Next Year180.44%
EBIT Next 3Y50.25%
EBIT Next 5Y27.79%
FCF growth 1Y-82.73%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-14.95%
OCF growth 1Y-20.65%
OCF growth 3Y113.67%
OCF growth 5Y-0.62%