KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
Europe - BIT:1KDP - US49271V1008 - Common Stock
32.435 EUR
+32.44 (+Infinity%)
Overall 1KDP gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated 1KDP against 27 industry peers in the Beverages industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 1KDP while its profitability can be described as average. 1KDP is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
1KDP had positive earnings in the past year.
1KDP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
1KDP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
1KDP had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
1KDP's Return On Assets of 2.70% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP is outperformed by 64.00% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of 5.94%, 1KDP is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1KDP (5.58%) is worse than 76.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1KDP is below the industry average of 8.63%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.40%) for 1KDP is below the current ROIC(5.58%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.94% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% |
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
1.3 Margins
1KDP has a Profit Margin of 9.39%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 48.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1KDP has declined.
1KDP has a Operating Margin (22.12%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1KDP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 55.56%, 1KDP is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.39% | ||
| GM | 55.56% |
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1KDP is destroying value.
1KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1KDP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1KDP is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
1KDP has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that 1KDP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of 1KDP (1.52) is worse than 76.00% of its industry peers.
1KDP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.27. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1KDP would need 10.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 10.27, 1KDP perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.63. This is a neutral value indicating 1KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
1KDP has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.63) than 76.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC7.4%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1KDP has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 88.00% of its industry peers.
1KDP has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that 1KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.32, 1KDP is doing worse than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
1KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.26%.
1KDP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.49% yearly.
1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.62%.
1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.26%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.45%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%5.25%
3.2 Future
1KDP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.06% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1KDP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.48% on average per year.
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue Next Year5.48%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.43, 1KDP is valued on the expensive side.
1KDP's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
1KDP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.20.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.22, 1KDP is valued on the expensive side.
1KDP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
1KDP's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.71.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.22 |
4.2 Price Multiples
1KDP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1KDP is more expensive than 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 30.01 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.73 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1KDP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)1.94
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.78%, 1KDP has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.85, 1KDP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
1KDP's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of 1KDP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.69%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
5.3 Sustainability
82.86% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1KDP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP82.86%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
BIT:1KDP (3/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
32.435
+32.44 (+Infinity%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners80.71%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners1.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap44.01B
Analysts74.17
Price Target37.21 (14.72%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP82.86%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.15%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.55%
Max EPS beat(2)0.25%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.9%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.91%
Max EPS beat(4)8.8%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.72%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.81%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)0.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.83%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.22%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.78%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.19%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.18%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.78%
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.22 | ||
| P/S | 3.12 | ||
| P/FCF | 30.01 | ||
| P/OCF | 21.59 | ||
| P/B | 1.98 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 15.73 |
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY5.43%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY5.81%
FCF(TTM)1.08
FCFY3.33%
OCF(TTM)1.5
OCFY4.63%
SpS10.39
BVpS16.41
TBVpS-13.16
PEG (NY)2.7
PEG (5Y)1.94
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.94% | ||
| ROCE | 7.49% | ||
| ROIC | 5.58% | ||
| ROICexc | 5.64% | ||
| ROICexgc | 93.53% | ||
| OM | 22.12% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.39% | ||
| GM | 55.56% | ||
| FCFM | 10.4% |
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 112.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.05% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 56.16% | ||
| Profit Quality | 110.83% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score7
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.26%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.45%
EPS Next Y6.81%
EPS Next 2Y6.9%
EPS Next 3Y7.03%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%5.25%
Revenue Next Year5.48%
Revenue Next 2Y4.72%
Revenue Next 3Y4.43%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
EBIT growth 1Y6.09%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year19.33%
EBIT Next 3Y9.07%
EBIT Next 5Y4.99%
FCF growth 1Y88.33%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y66.97%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%