KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1KDP • US49271V1008

Current stock price

23.655 EUR
+1.83 (+8.36%)
Last:

This 1KDP.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. 1KDP.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1KDP had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year 1KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1KDP has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years 1KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1KDP has a Return On Assets of 2.83%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1KDP has a worse Return On Equity (6.15%) than 64.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1KDP has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.48%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 76.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1KDP is in line with the industry average of 7.03%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (5.48%) for 1KDP is above the 3 year average (5.40%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROIC 5.48%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

  • 1KDP has a Profit Margin of 9.75%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1KDP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • 1KDP has a better Operating Margin (21.90%) than 68.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1KDP's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • 1KDP has a Gross Margin (54.93%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

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2

2. 1KDP.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1KDP is destroying value.
  • 1KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, 1KDP has less shares outstanding
  • 1KDP has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1KDP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1KDP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.33, we must say that 1KDP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • 1KDP's Altman-Z score of 1.33 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
  • 1KDP has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.64. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1KDP would need 10.64 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1KDP has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (10.64) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 indicates that 1KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.64, 1KDP is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Altman-Z 1.33
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC6.74%
1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1KDP has a Current Ratio of 0.64. This is a bad value and indicates that 1KDP is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1KDP's Current ratio of 0.64 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP is outperformed by 96.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.38, 1KDP is doing worse than 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. 1KDP.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.41% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 9.49% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • 1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.62%.
  • 1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.66% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 4.06% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1KDP will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.48% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.45%
EPS Next 2Y7.07%
EPS Next 3Y7%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 1 2 3 4

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4

4. 1KDP.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.44 indicates a correct valuation of 1KDP.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1KDP is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 80.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. 1KDP is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.42, the valuation of 1KDP can be described as correct.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1KDP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1KDP is cheaper than 72.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1KDP to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.68), we can say 1KDP is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.44
Fwd PE 12.42
1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 1KDP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1KDP.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 23.57
EV/EBITDA 12.91
1KDP.MI Per share data1KDP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1KDP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)1.8
PEG (5Y)1.42
EPS Next 2Y7.07%
EPS Next 3Y7%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. 1KDP.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • 1KDP's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 2.89.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, 1KDP pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of 1KDP grows each year by 7.69%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

  • 79.95% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1KDP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of 1KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP79.95%
EPS Next 2Y7.07%
EPS Next 3Y7%
1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1KDP.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

BIT:1KDP (10/23/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

23.655

+1.83 (+8.36%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)10-27
Earnings (Next)02-23
Inst Owners95.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap32.13B
Revenue(TTM)15.35B
Net Income(TTM)1.54B
Analysts75
Price Target29.83 (26.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%
Yearly Dividend0.75
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP79.95%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.22%
Max EPS beat(2)8.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.55%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.3%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.66%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.42%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)-19.83%
PT rev (3m)-19.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.84%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.44
Fwd PE 12.42
P/S 2.36
P/FCF 23.57
P/OCF 17.54
P/B 1.49
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.91
EPS(TTM)1.76
EY7.44%
EPS(NY)1.91
Fwd EY8.05%
FCF(TTM)1
FCFY4.24%
OCF(TTM)1.35
OCFY5.7%
SpS10.04
BVpS15.92
TBVpS-12.16
PEG (NY)1.8
PEG (5Y)1.42
Graham Number25.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROCE 7.32%
ROIC 5.48%
ROICexc 5.53%
ROICexgc 65.34%
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
FCFM 9.99%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Debt/EBITDA 4.01
Cap/Depr 95.76%
Cap/Sales 3.44%
Interest Coverage 6.16
Cash Conversion 52.7%
Profit Quality 102.54%
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.33
F-Score6
WACC6.74%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.41%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%5.88%
EPS Next Y7.45%
EPS Next 2Y7.07%
EPS Next 3Y7%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.62%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%10.67%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.83%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year22.18%
EBIT Next 3Y10.39%
EBIT Next 5Y5%
FCF growth 1Y0.77%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y8.56%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC / 1KDP.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for 1KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to 1KDP.MI.


What is the valuation status for 1KDP stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of 1KDP stock?

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) is expected to grow by 7.45% in the next year.


Is the dividend of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 79.95%.