Logo image of 1KDP.MI

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC (1KDP.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Europe - BIT:1KDP - US49271V1008 - Common Stock

21.83 EUR
-0.43 (-1.91%)
Last: 10/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to 1KDP. 1KDP was compared to 29 industry peers in the Beverages industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 1KDP while its profitability can be described as average. 1KDP has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1KDP was profitable.
In the past year 1KDP had a positive cash flow from operations.
1KDP had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years 1KDP always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.83%, 1KDP is doing worse than 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP has a Return On Equity of 6.15%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of 1KDP (5.48%) is worse than 75.86% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1KDP is below the industry average of 8.16%.
The 3 year average ROIC (5.40%) for 1KDP is below the current ROIC(5.48%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROIC 5.48%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1KDP.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1KDP (9.75%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1KDP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1KDP's Operating Margin of 21.90% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1KDP outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
1KDP has a Gross Margin of 54.93%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 55.17% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1KDP has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1KDP.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1KDP is destroying value.
1KDP has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1KDP has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1KDP is higher compared to a year ago.
1KDP.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1KDP.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B
1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1KDP.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.28, we must say that 1KDP is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.28, 1KDP is not doing good in the industry: 86.21% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1KDP is 10.64, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1KDP, 10.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1KDP has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.64) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1KDP has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64. This is a neutral value indicating 1KDP is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
1KDP has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.64. This is in the better half of the industry: 1KDP outperforms 65.52% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Altman-Z 1.28
ROIC/WACC0.83
WACC6.57%
1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1KDP.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.64 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.64, 1KDP is not doing good in the industry: 96.55% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.38 indicates that 1KDP may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1KDP has a Quick ratio of 0.38. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1KDP underperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1KDP.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1KDP shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.53%.
1KDP shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 9.49% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.63% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1KDP shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.66% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.53%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%8.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%6.14%

3.2 Future

1KDP is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 4.06% yearly.
1KDP is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5B 10B 15B 20B
1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1KDP.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1KDP is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 12.77.
1KDP's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1KDP is cheaper than 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
1KDP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 27.40.
1KDP is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.60.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1KDP is valued cheaper than 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.94. 1KDP is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.77
Fwd PE 11.6
1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1KDP.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1KDP is on the same level as its industry peers.
1KDP's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 21.99
EV/EBITDA 12.29
1KDP.MI Per share data1KDP.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1KDP's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)1.34
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1KDP has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.32%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.78, 1KDP pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, 1KDP pays a bit more dividend than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1KDP is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 7.69%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

79.95% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1KDP. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1KDP is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP79.95%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1KDP.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1KDP.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

KEURIG DR PEPPER INC

BIT:1KDP (10/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

21.83

-0.43 (-1.91%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryBeverages
Earnings (Last)07-24 2025-07-24/bmo
Earnings (Next)10-27 2025-10-27/bmo
Inst Owners95.21%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.62%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap29.65B
Analysts75
Price Target30.9 (41.55%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.32%
Yearly Dividend0.74
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.69%
DP79.95%
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)4.27%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.22%
Max EPS beat(2)8.75%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.06%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.55%
Max EPS beat(4)8.75%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.3%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.66%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)1%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.86%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.86%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.42%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.23%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.37%
PT rev (1m)-16.96%
PT rev (3m)-16.96%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.58%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.65%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.65%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.94%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.74%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.74%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.77
Fwd PE 11.6
P/S 2.2
P/FCF 21.99
P/OCF 16.36
P/B 1.39
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.29
EPS(TTM)1.71
EY7.83%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY8.62%
FCF(TTM)0.99
FCFY4.55%
OCF(TTM)1.33
OCFY6.11%
SpS9.93
BVpS15.75
TBVpS-12.03
PEG (NY)1.7
PEG (5Y)1.34
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.83%
ROE 6.15%
ROCE 7.32%
ROIC 5.48%
ROICexc 5.53%
ROICexgc 65.34%
OM 21.9%
PM (TTM) 9.75%
GM 54.93%
FCFM 9.99%
ROA(3y)3.22%
ROA(5y)3.31%
ROE(3y)6.72%
ROE(5y)6.86%
ROIC(3y)5.4%
ROIC(5y)5.42%
ROICexc(3y)5.46%
ROICexc(5y)5.47%
ROICexgc(3y)231.8%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)7.24%
ROCE(5y)7.17%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-33.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y0.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.63%
OM growth 3Y-3.77%
OM growth 5Y0.83%
PM growth 3Y-17.83%
PM growth 5Y-3.6%
GM growth 3Y0.21%
GM growth 5Y-0.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.29
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.64
Debt/FCF 10.64
Debt/EBITDA 4.01
Cap/Depr 95.76%
Cap/Sales 3.44%
Interest Coverage 6.16
Cash Conversion 52.7%
Profit Quality 102.54%
Current Ratio 0.64
Quick Ratio 0.38
Altman-Z 1.28
F-Score6
WACC6.57%
ROIC/WACC0.83
Cap/Depr(3y)90.63%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.99%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.61%
Profit Quality(3y)106.96%
Profit Quality(5y)115.99%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.53%
EPS 3Y6.27%
EPS 5Y9.49%
EPS Q2Q%8.89%
EPS Next Y7.51%
EPS Next 2Y7%
EPS Next 3Y6.92%
EPS Next 5Y4.06%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.63%
Revenue growth 3Y6.57%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%6.14%
Revenue Next Year6.25%
Revenue Next 2Y5.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.84%
Revenue Next 5Y4.48%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y2.56%
EBIT growth 5Y7.55%
EBIT Next Year22.18%
EBIT Next 3Y10.39%
EBIT Next 5Y5%
FCF growth 1Y0.77%
FCF growth 3Y-12.93%
FCF growth 5Y-5.41%
OCF growth 1Y8.56%
OCF growth 3Y-8.26%
OCF growth 5Y-2.15%