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INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP (1IBM.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1IBM - Borsa Italiana Milan - US4592001014 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

247.25  +35.5 (+16.77%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Overall 1IBM gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated 1IBM against 71 industry peers in the IT Services industry. While 1IBM is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, 1IBM is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1IBM had positive earnings in the past year.
1IBM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years 1IBM has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years 1IBM had a positive operating cash flow.
1IBM.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1IBM.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

1IBM has a Return On Assets (4.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 22.06%, 1IBM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 7.56%, 1IBM perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.69% of the companies in the same industry.
1IBM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.26%. This is below the industry average of 10.97%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.56%) for 1IBM is above the 3 year average (7.26%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.39%
ROE 22.06%
ROIC 7.56%
ROA(3y)3.74%
ROA(5y)3.83%
ROE(3y)20.94%
ROE(5y)24.07%
ROIC(3y)7.26%
ROIC(5y)6.26%
1IBM.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1IBM.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60 80

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of 1IBM (9.60%) is better than 90.77% of its industry peers.
1IBM's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
1IBM has a better Operating Margin (14.68%) than 92.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1IBM has grown nicely.
With a Gross Margin value of 56.65%, 1IBM is not doing good in the industry: 63.08% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1IBM's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 9.6%
GM 56.65%
OM growth 3Y13.36%
OM growth 5Y1.77%
PM growth 3Y-1.4%
PM growth 5Y-10.1%
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
1IBM.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1IBM.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30 40 50

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1IBM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1IBM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1IBM has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
1IBM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
1IBM.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1IBM.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
1IBM.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1IBM.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B

2.2 Solvency

1IBM has an Altman-Z score of 3.52. This indicates that 1IBM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 3.52, 1IBM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1IBM is 4.46, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1IBM, 4.46 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 4.46, 1IBM is not doing good in the industry: 60.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
1IBM has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.83. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of 1IBM (1.83) is worse than 87.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 4.46
Altman-Z 3.52
ROIC/WACC0.67
WACC11.31%
1IBM.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1IBM.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.3 Liquidity

1IBM has a Current Ratio of 1.04. This is a normal value and indicates that 1IBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1IBM has a Current ratio of 1.04. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1IBM underperforms 66.15% of its industry peers.
1IBM has a Quick Ratio of 1.00. This is a normal value and indicates that 1IBM is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.00, 1IBM is doing worse than 66.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1
1IBM.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1IBM.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 7.49% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -4.21% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.44% in the past year.
1IBM shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.69% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y1.19%
EPS 5Y-4.21%
EPS Q2Q%1.29%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.44%
Revenue growth 3Y3.05%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%0.99%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1IBM will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.23% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1IBM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.97% on average per year.
EPS Next Y4.45%
EPS Next 2Y4.5%
EPS Next 3Y4.23%
EPS Next 5Y5.23%
Revenue Next Year4.54%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y4.65%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
1IBM.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1IBM.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 20B 40B 60B 80B
1IBM.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1IBM.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5 10 15

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.73 indicates a rather expensive valuation of 1IBM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1IBM.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.47. 1IBM is around the same levels.
1IBM is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.68.
66.15% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1IBM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
1IBM is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 92.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.73
Fwd PE 23.68
1IBM.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1IBM.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1IBM is valued a bit more expensive than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1IBM is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.62% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.18
EV/EBITDA 19.89
1IBM.MI Per share data1IBM.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of 1IBM may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y4.5%
EPS Next 3Y4.23%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.59%, 1IBM has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
1IBM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.29.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, 1IBM has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1IBM has a limited annual growth rate of 0.83%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.83%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

1IBM pays out 102.04% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of 1IBM is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP102.04%
EPS Next 2Y4.5%
EPS Next 3Y4.23%
1IBM.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1IBM.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B
1IBM.MI Dividend Payout.1IBM.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1IBM.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

INTL BUSINESS MACHINES CORP

BIT:1IBM (1/30/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

247.25

+35.5 (+16.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners61.42%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap228.62B
Analysts69.23
Price Target211.04 (-14.65%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%
Yearly Dividend6.68
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.83%
DP102.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.88%
Min EPS beat(2)2.27%
Max EPS beat(2)3.49%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)4.84%
Min EPS beat(4)2.27%
Max EPS beat(4)9.54%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)4.72%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)3.23%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)2.96%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.93%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.04%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.01%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.1%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.15%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.51%
PT rev (1m)-0.66%
PT rev (3m)4.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.64%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.73
Fwd PE 23.68
P/S 3.77
P/FCF 19.18
P/OCF 17.57
P/B 8.65
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 19.89
EPS(TTM)10
EY4.04%
EPS(NY)10.44
Fwd EY4.22%
FCF(TTM)12.89
FCFY5.21%
OCF(TTM)14.07
OCFY5.69%
SpS65.67
BVpS28.57
TBVpS-46.1
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.39%
ROE 22.06%
ROCE 8.85%
ROIC 7.56%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 43.5%
OM 14.68%
PM (TTM) 9.6%
GM 56.65%
FCFM 19.63%
ROA(3y)3.74%
ROA(5y)3.83%
ROE(3y)20.94%
ROE(5y)24.07%
ROIC(3y)7.26%
ROIC(5y)6.26%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)7.07%
ROICexgc(3y)40.75%
ROICexgc(5y)31.79%
ROCE(3y)8.5%
ROCE(5y)7.33%
ROICexcg growth 3Y26.58%
ROICexcg growth 5Y17.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.55%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.25%
OM growth 3Y13.36%
OM growth 5Y1.77%
PM growth 3Y-1.4%
PM growth 5Y-10.1%
GM growth 3Y1.05%
GM growth 5Y0.73%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.46
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.83
Debt/FCF 4.46
Debt/EBITDA 3.59
Cap/Depr 24.15%
Cap/Sales 1.8%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 96.89%
Profit Quality 204.5%
Current Ratio 1.04
Quick Ratio 1
Altman-Z 3.52
F-Score7
WACC11.31%
ROIC/WACC0.67
Cap/Depr(3y)35.46%
Cap/Depr(5y)39.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.66%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.73%
Profit Quality(3y)294.17%
Profit Quality(5y)264.98%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.49%
EPS 3Y1.19%
EPS 5Y-4.21%
EPS Q2Q%1.29%
EPS Next Y4.45%
EPS Next 2Y4.5%
EPS Next 3Y4.23%
EPS Next 5Y5.23%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.44%
Revenue growth 3Y3.05%
Revenue growth 5Y1.69%
Sales Q2Q%0.99%
Revenue Next Year4.54%
Revenue Next 2Y4.31%
Revenue Next 3Y4.65%
Revenue Next 5Y4.97%
EBIT growth 1Y4.79%
EBIT growth 3Y16.81%
EBIT growth 5Y3.49%
EBIT Next Year50.63%
EBIT Next 3Y14.39%
EBIT Next 5Y11.03%
FCF growth 1Y1.63%
FCF growth 3Y7.1%
FCF growth 5Y0.76%
OCF growth 1Y-3.48%
OCF growth 3Y1.67%
OCF growth 5Y-1.86%