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HELLOFRESH SE (1HFG.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1HFG - Euronext Milan - DE000A161408 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

10.6  +2.38 (+28.95%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, 1HFG scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1HFG was compared to 26 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. 1HFG scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. 1HFG is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1HFG has reported negative net income.
1HFG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years 1HFG 4 years were profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years 1HFG had a positive operating cash flow.
1HFG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1HFG.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of 1HFG (-4.88%) is worse than 79.31% of its industry peers.
1HFG's Return On Equity of -13.17% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1HFG is outperformed by 79.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.88%
ROE -13.17%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)5.58%
ROA(5y)7.83%
ROE(3y)14.07%
ROE(5y)18.86%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1HFG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1HFG.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

1HFG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1HFG has declined.
1HFG's Gross Margin of 62.74% is amongst the best of the industry. 1HFG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1HFG has remained more or less at the same level.
1HFG does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.74%
OM growth 3Y-49.29%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-70.39%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
1HFG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1HFG.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 60

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1HFG does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for 1HFG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1HFG has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
1HFG has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1HFG.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1HFG.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
1HFG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1HFG.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

1HFG has an Altman-Z score of 4.01. This indicates that 1HFG is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
1HFG has a better Altman-Z score (4.01) than 72.41% of its industry peers.
1HFG has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.74. This is a neutral value as 1HFG would need 4.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
1HFG has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.74. This is in the better half of the industry: 1HFG outperforms 72.41% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates that 1HFG is not too dependend on debt financing.
1HFG has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.21) than 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 4.74
Altman-Z 4.01
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC5.99%
1HFG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1HFG.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

1HFG has a Current Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that 1HFG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1HFG has a worse Current ratio (0.72) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
1HFG has a Quick Ratio of 0.72. This is a bad value and indicates that 1HFG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.50, 1HFG is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.5
1HFG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1HFG.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1HFG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -302.27%.
Measured over the past years, 1HFG shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -62.43% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.31% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1HFG shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 42.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-302.27%
EPS 3Y-62.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y26.53%
Revenue growth 5Y42.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.35%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.18% on average over the next years.
1HFG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.19% yearly.
EPS Next Y-93.51%
EPS Next 2Y-10.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.91%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y3.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.19%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1HFG.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1HFG.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
1HFG.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1HFG.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 0.5 -0.5 1 1.5 2

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for 1HFG. In the last year negative earnings were reported.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.51, the valuation of 1HFG can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1HFG is valued a bit more expensive than 68.97% of the companies in the same industry.
1HFG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.10.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 19.51
1HFG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1HFG.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 -20 -40

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as 1HFG.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1HFG is valued a bit more expensive than 62.07% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.96
EV/EBITDA 7.57
1HFG.MI Per share data1HFG.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-10.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1HFG does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

HELLOFRESH SE

BIT:1HFG (3/5/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

10.6

+2.38 (+28.95%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)10-29 2024-10-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners84.88%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners5.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.84B
Analysts70.43
Price Target11.21 (5.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.94%
Min EPS beat(2)-79.62%
Max EPS beat(2)83.5%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-23.75%
Min EPS beat(4)-97.32%
Max EPS beat(4)83.5%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.8%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.33%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.62%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)1%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.12%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)34.28%
PT rev (3m)34.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)86.61%
EPS NQ rev (3m)86.61%
EPS NY rev (1m)-19.75%
EPS NY rev (3m)-19.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-5.68%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.68%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.36%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.36%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE 19.51
P/S 0.24
P/FCF 28.96
P/OCF 6.93
P/B 2.03
P/tB 3.64
EV/EBITDA 7.57
EPS(TTM)-0.26
EYN/A
EPS(NY)0.54
Fwd EY5.12%
FCF(TTM)0.37
FCFY3.45%
OCF(TTM)1.53
OCFY14.44%
SpS44.53
BVpS5.22
TBVpS2.91
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.88%
ROE -13.17%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 62.74%
FCFM 0.82%
ROA(3y)5.58%
ROA(5y)7.83%
ROE(3y)14.07%
ROE(5y)18.86%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-49.29%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-70.39%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.6%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover3.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 4.74
Debt/EBITDA 0.76
Cap/Depr 63.64%
Cap/Sales 2.61%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion 108.25%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.72
Quick Ratio 0.5
Altman-Z 4.01
F-Score5
WACC5.99%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)214.75%
Cap/Depr(5y)184.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.62%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-302.27%
EPS 3Y-62.43%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.67%
EPS Next Y-93.51%
EPS Next 2Y-10.33%
EPS Next 3Y5.18%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.31%
Revenue growth 3Y26.53%
Revenue growth 5Y42.8%
Sales Q2Q%1.35%
Revenue Next Year1.91%
Revenue Next 2Y2.62%
Revenue Next 3Y3.2%
Revenue Next 5Y2.19%
EBIT growth 1Y-143.8%
EBIT growth 3Y-35.84%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year86.73%
EBIT Next 3Y37.31%
EBIT Next 5Y26.36%
FCF growth 1Y159.2%
FCF growth 3Y-46.76%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.08%
OCF growth 3Y-13.91%
OCF growth 5YN/A