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FORVIA (1FRVIA.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1FRVIA - Euronext Milan - FR0000121147 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

9.442  +0.74 (+8.45%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to 1FRVIA. 1FRVIA was compared to 30 industry peers in the Automobile Components industry. Both the profitability and financial health of 1FRVIA have multiple concerns. 1FRVIA may be a bit undervalued, certainly considering the very reasonable score on growth


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1FRVIA had positive earnings in the past year.
1FRVIA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years 1FRVIA reported 4 times negative net income.
1FRVIA had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1FRVIA.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

1FRVIA has a Return On Assets (-0.61%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of 1FRVIA (-4.32%) is worse than 66.67% of its industry peers.
1FRVIA has a Return On Invested Capital of 5.22%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1FRVIA outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1FRVIA is in line with the industry average of 6.39%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (5.22%) for 1FRVIA is above the 3 year average (4.76%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.61%
ROE -4.32%
ROIC 5.22%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-0.69%
ROE(3y)-2.6%
ROE(5y)-4.25%
ROIC(3y)4.76%
ROIC(5y)4.27%
1FRVIA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1FRVIA.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

1FRVIA's Operating Margin of 4.56% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1FRVIA outperforms 46.67% of its industry peers.
1FRVIA's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 13.36%, 1FRVIA is doing worse than 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1FRVIA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.36%
OM growth 3Y-1.94%
OM growth 5Y-8.01%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.47%
GM growth 5Y-0.92%
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1FRVIA.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1FRVIA is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1FRVIA has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
1FRVIA has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for 1FRVIA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1FRVIA.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1FRVIA.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

1FRVIA has an Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that 1FRVIA is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
1FRVIA has a Altman-Z score of 1.14. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1FRVIA underperforms 76.67% of its industry peers.
1FRVIA has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.80. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as 1FRVIA would need 17.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
1FRVIA has a worse Debt to FCF ratio (17.80) than 60.00% of its industry peers.
1FRVIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.46. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 2.46, 1FRVIA is not doing good in the industry: 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.46
Debt/FCF 17.8
Altman-Z 1.14
ROIC/WACC1.09
WACC4.79%
1FRVIA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1FRVIA.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.99 indicates that 1FRVIA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1FRVIA's Current ratio of 0.99 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1FRVIA is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
1FRVIA has a Quick Ratio of 0.99. This is a bad value and indicates that 1FRVIA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.80, 1FRVIA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.8
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1FRVIA.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.55% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1FRVIA shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -20.18% on average per year.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.01% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 8.71% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.18%
EPS Q2Q%29.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.01%
Revenue growth 3Y19.98%
Revenue growth 5Y8.71%
Sales Q2Q%-1.37%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1FRVIA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 39.77% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.96% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y113.11%
EPS Next 2Y63.4%
EPS Next 3Y39.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.24%
Revenue Next 2Y1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.96%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1FRVIA.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1FRVIA.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B
1FRVIA.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1FRVIA.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 2 -2 4

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.49, the valuation of 1FRVIA can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1FRVIA is valued a bit cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
1FRVIA is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 3.52, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1FRVIA.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1FRVIA is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.90. 1FRVIA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.49
Fwd PE 3.52
1FRVIA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1FRVIA.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

83.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1FRVIA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1FRVIA, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3
EV/EBITDA 2.48
1FRVIA.MI Per share data1FRVIA.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1FRVIA's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
1FRVIA's earnings are expected to grow with 39.77% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y63.4%
EPS Next 3Y39.77%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for 1FRVIA!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

FORVIA

BIT:1FRVIA (7/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

9.442

+0.74 (+8.45%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobile Components
Earnings (Last)02-28 2025-02-28/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-28 2025-07-28
Inst Owners35.67%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.11%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap1.86B
Analysts72.38
Price Target11.56 (22.43%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)-15.05%
DP-53.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0.19%
PT rev (3m)-20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.29%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.02%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.49
Fwd PE 3.52
P/S 0.07
P/FCF 3
P/OCF 0.71
P/B 0.43
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 2.48
EPS(TTM)1.26
EY13.34%
EPS(NY)2.69
Fwd EY28.44%
FCF(TTM)3.14
FCFY33.28%
OCF(TTM)13.35
OCFY141.38%
SpS136.86
BVpS21.78
TBVpS-27.64
PEG (NY)0.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -0.61%
ROE -4.32%
ROCE 7.16%
ROIC 5.22%
ROICexc 7.01%
ROICexgc 26.86%
OM 4.56%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 13.36%
FCFM 2.3%
ROA(3y)-0.36%
ROA(5y)-0.69%
ROE(3y)-2.6%
ROE(5y)-4.25%
ROIC(3y)4.76%
ROIC(5y)4.27%
ROICexc(3y)6.32%
ROICexc(5y)6.02%
ROICexgc(3y)23.07%
ROICexgc(5y)20.71%
ROCE(3y)6.59%
ROCE(5y)6%
ROICexcg growth 3Y4.68%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-6.21%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.4%
OM growth 3Y-1.94%
OM growth 5Y-8.01%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.47%
GM growth 5Y-0.92%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.89
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.46
Debt/FCF 17.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.32
Cap/Depr 102.92%
Cap/Sales 7.46%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 82.58%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.99
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 1.14
F-Score4
WACC4.79%
ROIC/WACC1.09
Cap/Depr(3y)110.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)102.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)7.82%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.55%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-20.18%
EPS Q2Q%29.17%
EPS Next Y113.11%
EPS Next 2Y63.4%
EPS Next 3Y39.77%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.01%
Revenue growth 3Y19.98%
Revenue growth 5Y8.71%
Sales Q2Q%-1.37%
Revenue Next Year-1.24%
Revenue Next 2Y1.04%
Revenue Next 3Y1.96%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-3.18%
EBIT growth 3Y17.66%
EBIT growth 5Y0%
EBIT Next Year170.61%
EBIT Next 3Y46.67%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y35.95%
FCF growth 3Y46.28%
FCF growth 5Y8.26%
OCF growth 1Y-0.3%
OCF growth 3Y23.48%
OCF growth 5Y8.09%