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FORD MOTOR CO (1F.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1F - Euronext Milan - US3453708600 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

8.646  -0.53 (-5.77%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 1F. 1F was compared to 32 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. There are concerns on the financial health of 1F while its profitability can be described as average. 1F is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. Finally 1F also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1F was profitable.
1F had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years 1F reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years 1F had a positive operating cash flow.
1F.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1F.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

1F has a Return On Assets (2.06%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of 1F (13.11%) is better than 70.59% of its industry peers.
1F has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.17%. This is in the lower half of the industry: 1F underperforms 76.47% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1F is significantly below the industry average of 9.20%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 2.17%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1F.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1F.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

1F's Profit Margin of 3.18% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1F is outperformed by 61.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1F has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of 1F (2.82%) is worse than 76.47% of its industry peers.
1F's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1F has a Gross Margin of 8.38%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: 1F underperforms 85.29% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1F has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.82%
PM (TTM) 3.18%
GM 8.38%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
1F.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1F.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 10 15

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1F is destroying value.
1F has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1F has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for 1F is higher compared to a year ago.
1F.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1F.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B 4B
1F.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1F.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.04, we must say that 1F is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 1.04, 1F is not doing good in the industry: 70.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1F is 23.52, which is on the high side as it means it would take 1F, 23.52 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1F's Debt to FCF ratio of 23.52 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1F outperforms 55.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.71 is on the high side and indicates that 1F has dependencies on debt financing.
1F's Debt to Equity ratio of 2.71 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1F is outperformed by 82.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.71
Debt/FCF 23.52
Altman-Z 1.04
ROIC/WACC0.33
WACC6.55%
1F.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1F.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.16 indicates that 1F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
1F has a Current ratio of 1.16. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1F outperforms 58.82% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.02 indicates that 1F should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
1F has a Quick ratio of 1.02. This is in the better half of the industry: 1F outperforms 79.41% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 1.02
1F.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1F.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for 1F have decreased by -9.36% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, 1F shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 9.29% on average per year.
1F shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.00%.
Measured over the past years, 1F shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1F will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.62% on average per year.
1F is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y-26.5%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue Next Year-2.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.79%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
1F.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1F.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 50B 100B 150B
1F.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1F.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 5.12 indicates a rather cheap valuation of 1F.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1F indicates a rather cheap valuation: 1F is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
1F is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 29.35, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.94, the valuation of 1F can be described as very cheap.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1F is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. 1F is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.12
Fwd PE 6.94
1F.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1F.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

1F's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
88.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than 1F, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.52
EV/EBITDA 9.69
1F.MI Per share data1F.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.24%, 1F is a good candidate for dividend investing.
1F's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 6.74.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, 1F pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.24%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1F has a limited annual growth rate of 5.56%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

53.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1F. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
1F's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP53.04%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
1F.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1F.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B
1F.MI Dividend Payout.1F.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1F.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

FORD MOTOR CO

BIT:1F (3/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

8.646

-0.53 (-5.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)02-05 2025-02-05/amc
Earnings (Next)04-22 2025-04-22/amc
Inst Owners59.16%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.26%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap34.27B
Analysts55.48
Price Target10.31 (19.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.24%
Yearly Dividend0.71
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.56%
DP53.04%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.5%
Min EPS beat(2)2.21%
Max EPS beat(2)14.79%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.48%
Min EPS beat(4)-32.5%
Max EPS beat(4)14.79%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)21.36%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)17.43%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)66.6%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.82%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.41%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.41%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)4.02%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)5.75%
Revenue beat(16)14
Avg Revenue beat(16)6.18%
PT rev (1m)-9.06%
PT rev (3m)-9.06%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-105.23%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-105.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)-23.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.26%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.91%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.91%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.12
Fwd PE 6.94
P/S 0.2
P/FCF 5.52
P/OCF 2.41
P/B 0.83
P/tB 0.84
EV/EBITDA 9.69
EPS(TTM)1.69
EY19.55%
EPS(NY)1.25
Fwd EY14.41%
FCF(TTM)1.57
FCFY18.11%
OCF(TTM)3.58
OCFY41.45%
SpS42.99
BVpS10.42
TBVpS10.27
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.55
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.06%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 2.93%
ROIC 2.17%
ROICexc 2.69%
ROICexgc 2.7%
OM 2.82%
PM (TTM) 3.18%
GM 8.38%
FCFM 3.64%
ROA(3y)0.96%
ROA(5y)1.88%
ROE(3y)6.23%
ROE(5y)10.3%
ROIC(3y)2.46%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)3.15%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)3.17%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)3.36%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.3%
ROICexcg growth 5Y28.22%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.27%
ROICexc growth 5Y28.18%
OM growth 3Y-5.26%
OM growth 5Y26.95%
PM growth 3Y-37.72%
PM growth 5Y153.85%
GM growth 3Y-11.41%
GM growth 5Y0.9%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.65
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.71
Debt/FCF 23.52
Debt/EBITDA 9.51
Cap/Depr 114.76%
Cap/Sales 4.69%
Interest Coverage 0.64
Cash Conversion 120.62%
Profit Quality 114.63%
Current Ratio 1.16
Quick Ratio 1.02
Altman-Z 1.04
F-Score7
WACC6.55%
ROIC/WACC0.33
Cap/Depr(3y)103.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)92.48%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.57%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.56%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.36%
EPS 3Y0.92%
EPS 5Y9.29%
EPS Q2Q%34.48%
EPS Next Y-26.5%
EPS Next 2Y-4.64%
EPS Next 3Y-1.24%
EPS Next 5Y11.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5%
Revenue growth 3Y10.71%
Revenue growth 5Y3.48%
Sales Q2Q%3.99%
Revenue Next Year-2.57%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.41%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.79%
EBIT growth 1Y-4.38%
EBIT growth 3Y4.89%
EBIT growth 5Y31.37%
EBIT Next Year39.13%
EBIT Next 3Y20.03%
EBIT Next 5Y14.93%
FCF growth 1Y0.85%
FCF growth 3Y-11%
FCF growth 5Y-7.6%
OCF growth 1Y3.39%
OCF growth 3Y-0.77%
OCF growth 5Y-2.65%