EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1EXPE • US30212P3038

Current stock price

199.88 EUR
-57.52 (-22.35%)
Last:

This 1EXPE.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. 1EXPE.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • 1EXPE had positive earnings in the past year.
  • 1EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In multiple years 1EXPE reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
  • 1EXPE had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1EXPE.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1EXPE has a better Return On Assets (5.53%) than 63.49% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of 1EXPE (103.81%) is better than 98.41% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 18.46%, 1EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1EXPE had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 11.43%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (18.46%) for 1EXPE is above the 3 year average (10.99%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.53%
ROE 103.81%
ROIC 18.46%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1EXPE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1EXPE.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • 1EXPE has a Profit Margin of 9.66%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1EXPE outperforms 68.25% of its industry peers.
  • 1EXPE's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of 1EXPE (13.72%) is better than 63.49% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of 1EXPE has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 89.94%, 1EXPE belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 1EXPE's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.72%
PM (TTM) 9.66%
GM 89.94%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
1EXPE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1EXPE.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50

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4

2. 1EXPE.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1EXPE is creating value.
  • 1EXPE has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1EXPE.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
1EXPE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1EXPE.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.44, we must say that 1EXPE is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • 1EXPE's Altman-Z score of 1.44 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1EXPE outperforms 49.21% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of 1EXPE is 2.07, which is a good value as it means it would take 1EXPE, 2.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.07, 1EXPE is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.34 is on the high side and indicates that 1EXPE has dependencies on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of 1EXPE (3.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Although 1EXPE's pure debt/equity ratio does not look good, it has limited outstanding debt compared to the Free Cash Flow. We will not put too much weight on the debt/equity number as it may be because of low equity, which could be a consequence of a share buyback program for instance. This needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.34
Debt/FCF 2.07
Altman-Z 1.44
ROIC/WACC2.47
WACC7.47%
1EXPE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1EXPE.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.74 indicates that 1EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1EXPE has a Current ratio of 0.74. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1EXPE outperforms 46.03% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that 1EXPE may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • 1EXPE's Quick ratio of 0.74 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1EXPE outperforms 46.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.74
1EXPE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1EXPE.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. 1EXPE.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 30.64% over the past year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 32.98% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.4%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.31% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.67% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y15.85%
EPS Next 2Y17.69%
EPS Next 3Y14.71%
EPS Next 5Y13.31%
Revenue Next Year7.3%
Revenue Next 2Y7.21%
Revenue Next 3Y7.05%
Revenue Next 5Y6.67%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
1EXPE.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1EXPE.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5B 10B 15B 20B
1EXPE.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1EXPE.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 0 10 20 30 40

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6

4. 1EXPE.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • 1EXPE is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.83.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1EXPE is valued cheaply inside the industry as 80.95% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.61. 1EXPE is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 12.80, which indicates a correct valuation of 1EXPE.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1EXPE indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: 1EXPE is cheaper than 79.37% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 1EXPE's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.79.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.83
Fwd PE 12.8
1EXPE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1EXPE.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 1EXPE's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1EXPE is cheaper than 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, 1EXPE is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.37% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.69
EV/EBITDA 10.09
1EXPE.MI Per share data1EXPE.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of 1EXPE may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as 1EXPE's earnings are expected to grow with 14.71% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.69%
EPS Next 3Y14.71%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

1

5. 1EXPE.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1EXPE has a yearly dividend return of 0.70%, which is pretty low.
  • 1EXPE's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.52.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, 1EXPE's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%

5.2 History

Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y17.69%
EPS Next 3Y14.71%
1EXPE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1EXPE.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B -4B

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1EXPE.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

EXPEDIA GROUP INC

BIT:1EXPE (2/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

199.88

-57.52 (-22.35%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners103.43%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.52%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap24.49B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)1.39B
Analysts72.73
Price Target235.09 (17.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.7%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)4.37%
Min EPS beat(2)1.46%
Max EPS beat(2)7.27%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.2%
Min EPS beat(4)1.46%
Max EPS beat(4)20.96%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)30.46%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-11.57%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.63%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.58%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.83%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.66%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.66%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.2%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.96%
PT rev (1m)21.99%
PT rev (3m)21.99%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.97%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.49%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.03%
EPS NY rev (3m)7.98%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.94%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.83
Fwd PE 12.8
P/S 2.02
P/FCF 9.69
P/OCF 7.7
P/B 21.73
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 10.09
EPS(TTM)13.48
EY6.74%
EPS(NY)15.62
Fwd EY7.81%
FCF(TTM)20.63
FCFY10.32%
OCF(TTM)25.97
OCFY12.99%
SpS98.87
BVpS9.2
TBVpS-43.58
PEG (NY)0.94
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number52.82
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.53%
ROE 103.81%
ROCE 25.12%
ROIC 18.46%
ROICexc 86.41%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 13.72%
PM (TTM) 9.66%
GM 89.94%
FCFM 20.86%
ROA(3y)3.61%
ROA(5y)-0.96%
ROE(3y)48.88%
ROE(5y)5.49%
ROIC(3y)10.99%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)20.29%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.96%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y125.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y22.57%
OM growth 3Y58.59%
OM growth 5Y8.82%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y14%
GM growth 3Y2.82%
GM growth 5Y1.74%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.34
Debt/FCF 2.07
Debt/EBITDA 1.57
Cap/Depr 88.28%
Cap/Sales 5.4%
Interest Coverage 8.04
Cash Conversion 132.42%
Profit Quality 215.99%
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 1.44
F-Score9
WACC7.47%
ROIC/WACC2.47
Cap/Depr(3y)92.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)87.19%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.93%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.19%
Profit Quality(3y)403.1%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)30.64%
EPS 3Y32.98%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%58.16%
EPS Next Y15.85%
EPS Next 2Y17.69%
EPS Next 3Y14.71%
EPS Next 5Y13.31%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%11.4%
Revenue Next Year7.3%
Revenue Next 2Y7.21%
Revenue Next 3Y7.05%
Revenue Next 5Y6.67%
EBIT growth 1Y28.99%
EBIT growth 3Y85.19%
EBIT growth 5Y11.61%
EBIT Next Year151.63%
EBIT Next 3Y45.49%
EBIT Next 5Y29.82%
FCF growth 1Y57.79%
FCF growth 3Y-8.85%
FCF growth 5Y7.7%
OCF growth 1Y37.44%
OCF growth 3Y-6.28%
OCF growth 5Y2.2%

EXPEDIA GROUP INC / 1EXPE.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for EXPEDIA GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to 1EXPE.MI.


What is the valuation status of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of 1EXPE stock?

EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for 1EXPE stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) is 14.83 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 21.73.


What is the expected EPS growth for EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of EXPEDIA GROUP INC (1EXPE.MI) is expected to grow by 15.85% in the next year.