DHL GROUP (1DHL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
BIT:1DHL - Borsa Italiana Milan - DE0005552004 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR
Overall 1DHL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated 1DHL against 13 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. 1DHL has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. 1DHL has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
1DHL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year 1DHL had a positive cash flow from operations.
1DHL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
1DHL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of 1DHL (4.81%) is better than 66.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 14.46%, 1DHL is doing worse than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
1DHL has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1DHL is above the industry average of 7.26%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.81% | ||
| ROE | 14.46% | ||
| ROIC | 8.56% |
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
1.3 Margins
1DHL's Profit Margin of 3.89% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1DHL is outperformed by 66.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1DHL has grown nicely.
With a Operating Margin value of 6.63%, 1DHL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
1DHL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1DHL has a Gross Margin (49.28%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
1DHL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.89% | ||
| GM | 49.28% |
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1DHL is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for 1DHL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1DHL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1DHL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.50 indicates that 1DHL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
1DHL has a Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is in the better half of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1DHL is 4.45, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1DHL, 4.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1DHL's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.45 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1DHL outperforms 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.80 indicates that 1DHL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of 1DHL (0.80) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.45 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.5 |
ROIC/WACC1.63
WACC5.26%
2.3 Liquidity
1DHL has a Current Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that 1DHL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1DHL has a worse Current ratio (0.91) than 66.67% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that 1DHL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1DHL has a Quick ratio (0.86) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
1DHL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.60%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 12.73% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has decreased by -1.61% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.6%
EPS 3Y8.5%
EPS 5Y12.73%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y7.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.84%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.41% on average over the next years.
Based on estimates for the next years, 1DHL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.59% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-6.07%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue Next Year2.03%
Revenue Next 2Y2.69%
Revenue Next 3Y3.11%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.50, 1DHL is valued correctly.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as 1DHL.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1DHL to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.47), we can say 1DHL is valued rather cheaply.
1DHL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.20.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as 1DHL.
1DHL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 92.74.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.2 |
4.2 Price Multiples
1DHL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1DHL.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.18 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
1DHL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
1DHL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 5.28%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.02, 1DHL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
1DHL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.28% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of 1DHL grows each year by 10.07%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
67.38% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1DHL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
1DHL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP67.38%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
DHL GROUP
BIT:1DHL (1/27/2025, 7:00:00 PM)
35.91
-0.23 (-0.64%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners35.1%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap43.09B
Analysts72.8
Price Target43.27 (20.5%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 5.28% |
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
DP67.38%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.63%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.04%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-4.04%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.16%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.75%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.38%
PT rev (1m)-0.95%
PT rev (3m)-4.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.99%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.59%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.2 | ||
| P/S | 0.52 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.18 | ||
| P/OCF | 5.3 | ||
| P/B | 1.94 | ||
| P/tB | 5.59 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.1 |
EPS(TTM)2.66
EY7.41%
EPS(NY)3.21
Fwd EY8.93%
FCF(TTM)4.39
FCFY12.22%
OCF(TTM)6.78
OCFY18.88%
SpS69.03
BVpS18.55
TBVpS6.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 4.81% | ||
| ROE | 14.46% | ||
| ROCE | 11.92% | ||
| ROIC | 8.56% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.28% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.13% | ||
| OM | 6.63% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.89% | ||
| GM | 49.28% | ||
| FCFM | 6.36% |
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
ROICexc(3y)13.72%
ROICexc(5y)12.13%
ROICexgc(3y)20.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.68%
ROCE(3y)16.66%
ROCE(5y)14.73%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-3.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.01%
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.8 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.45 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.75 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 6.22 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.02% | ||
| Profit Quality | 163.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.91 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.86 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.5 |
F-Score6
WACC5.26%
ROIC/WACC1.63
Cap/Depr(3y)89.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)138.37%
Profit Quality(5y)133.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.6%
EPS 3Y8.5%
EPS 5Y12.73%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
EPS Next Y-6.07%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y7.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.84%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
Revenue Next Year2.03%
Revenue Next 2Y2.69%
Revenue Next 3Y3.11%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.04%
EBIT growth 3Y6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y14.43%
EBIT Next Year65.45%
EBIT Next 3Y23.5%
EBIT Next 5Y15.55%
FCF growth 1Y-20.32%
FCF growth 3Y7.13%
FCF growth 5Y13.54%
OCF growth 1Y-22.28%
OCF growth 3Y6.33%
OCF growth 5Y9.94%