Logo image of 1DHL.MI

DHL GROUP (1DHL.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1DHL - Euronext Milan - DE0005552004 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

43.89  +8.46 (+23.88%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to 1DHL. 1DHL was compared to 15 industry peers in the Air Freight & Logistics industry. 1DHL has an average financial health and profitability rating. 1DHL is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1DHL was profitable.
1DHL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years 1DHL has been profitable.
In the past 5 years 1DHL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1DHL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1DHL.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.81%, 1DHL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.92% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1DHL (14.46%) is worse than 61.54% of its industry peers.
1DHL has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for 1DHL is above the industry average of 7.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 14.46%
ROIC 8.56%
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
1DHL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1DHL.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20 25

1.3 Margins

1DHL's Profit Margin of 3.89% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1DHL outperforms 46.15% of its industry peers.
1DHL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1DHL has a Operating Margin of 6.63%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
1DHL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1DHL has a Gross Margin of 49.28%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1DHL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.63%
PM (TTM) 3.89%
GM 49.28%
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
1DHL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1DHL.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1DHL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
1DHL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for 1DHL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, 1DHL has a worse debt to assets ratio.
1DHL.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1DHL.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
1DHL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1DHL.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.50 indicates that 1DHL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
1DHL has a Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is in the better half of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of 1DHL is 4.45, which is a neutral value as it means it would take 1DHL, 4.45 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
1DHL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.45. This is in the better half of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 69.23% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.80 indicates that 1DHL is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
1DHL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.80) than 69.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.8
Debt/FCF 4.45
Altman-Z 2.5
ROIC/WACC1.57
WACC5.47%
1DHL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1DHL.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

2.3 Liquidity

1DHL has a Current Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that 1DHL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1DHL's Current ratio of 0.91 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1DHL outperforms 46.15% of its industry peers.
1DHL has a Quick Ratio of 0.91. This is a bad value and indicates that 1DHL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1DHL has a Quick ratio of 0.86. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1DHL outperforms 53.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.86
1DHL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1DHL.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

1DHL shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.60%.
1DHL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 12.73% yearly.
1DHL shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.61%.
1DHL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.84% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.6%
EPS 3Y8.5%
EPS 5Y12.73%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y7.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.84%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1DHL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.41% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.59% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-6%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue Next Year2.02%
Revenue Next 2Y2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.06%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1DHL.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1DHL.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
1DHL.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1DHL.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 16.50 indicates a correct valuation of 1DHL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1DHL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.35, 1DHL is valued a bit cheaper.
1DHL is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.69.
1DHL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. 1DHL is cheaper than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 1DHL to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.10), we can say 1DHL is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.5
Fwd PE 13.69
1DHL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1DHL.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of 1DHL is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as 1DHL.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10
EV/EBITDA 6.14
1DHL.MI Per share data1DHL.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1DHL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.3
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.94%, 1DHL is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.94, 1DHL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, 1DHL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.94%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1DHL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 10.07%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

1DHL pays out 67.38% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
1DHL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP67.38%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
1DHL.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1DHL.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B
1DHL.MI Dividend Payout.1DHL.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1DHL.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

DHL GROUP

BIT:1DHL (3/6/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

43.89

+8.46 (+23.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryAir Freight & Logistics
Earnings (Last)11-05 2024-11-05/dmh
Earnings (Next)03-06 2025-03-06/amc
Inst Owners35.55%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap52.67B
Analysts72.8
Price Target43.2 (-1.57%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.94%
Yearly Dividend1.85
Dividend Growth(5Y)10.07%
DP67.38%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.84%
Min EPS beat(2)-5.63%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.04%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-6.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-13.95%
Max EPS beat(4)-4.04%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.08%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.43%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.49%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.16%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.45%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.16%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.62%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.75%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)1.38%
PT rev (1m)-1.09%
PT rev (3m)-5.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-5.04%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.31%
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.92%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.5
Fwd PE 13.69
P/S 0.64
P/FCF 10
P/OCF 6.47
P/B 2.37
P/tB 6.84
EV/EBITDA 6.14
EPS(TTM)2.66
EY6.06%
EPS(NY)3.21
Fwd EY7.3%
FCF(TTM)4.39
FCFY10%
OCF(TTM)6.78
OCFY15.45%
SpS69.03
BVpS18.55
TBVpS6.42
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.3
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.81%
ROE 14.46%
ROCE 11.92%
ROIC 8.56%
ROICexc 9.28%
ROICexgc 14.13%
OM 6.63%
PM (TTM) 3.89%
GM 49.28%
FCFM 6.36%
ROA(3y)7.09%
ROA(5y)6.34%
ROE(3y)21.99%
ROE(5y)21.23%
ROIC(3y)11.96%
ROIC(5y)10.58%
ROICexc(3y)13.72%
ROICexc(5y)12.13%
ROICexgc(3y)20.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.68%
ROCE(3y)16.66%
ROCE(5y)14.73%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-3.1%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.4%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.29%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.01%
OM growth 3Y-0.15%
OM growth 5Y8.11%
PM growth 3Y0.24%
PM growth 5Y5.93%
GM growth 3Y-0.34%
GM growth 5Y0.17%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.8
Debt/FCF 4.45
Debt/EBITDA 1.75
Cap/Depr 61.37%
Cap/Sales 3.47%
Interest Coverage 6.22
Cash Conversion 80.02%
Profit Quality 163.56%
Current Ratio 0.91
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 2.5
F-Score6
WACC5.47%
ROIC/WACC1.57
Cap/Depr(3y)89.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)88.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.59%
Profit Quality(3y)138.37%
Profit Quality(5y)133.95%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.6%
EPS 3Y8.5%
EPS 5Y12.73%
EPS Q2Q%-7.35%
EPS Next Y-6%
EPS Next 2Y2.69%
EPS Next 3Y5.13%
EPS Next 5Y6.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.61%
Revenue growth 3Y7.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.84%
Sales Q2Q%6.16%
Revenue Next Year2.02%
Revenue Next 2Y2.63%
Revenue Next 3Y3.06%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.04%
EBIT growth 3Y6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y14.43%
EBIT Next Year65.45%
EBIT Next 3Y23.5%
EBIT Next 5Y15.55%
FCF growth 1Y-20.32%
FCF growth 3Y7.13%
FCF growth 5Y13.54%
OCF growth 1Y-22.28%
OCF growth 3Y6.33%
OCF growth 5Y9.94%