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COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP (1COST.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1COST - Borsa Italiana Milan - US22160K1051 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

923.8  -19.1 (-2.03%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, 1COST scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. 1COST was compared to 27 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making 1COST a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. 1COST is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate. These ratings would make 1COST suitable for quality investing!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year 1COST was profitable.
1COST had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years 1COST has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years 1COST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1COST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1COST.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 10.32%, 1COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 30.98%, 1COST belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.31% of the companies in the same industry.
1COST has a Return On Invested Capital of 20.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1COST outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1COST is significantly above the industry average of 9.71%.
The 3 year average ROIC (18.60%) for 1COST is below the current ROIC(20.26%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.32%
ROE 30.98%
ROIC 20.26%
ROA(3y)9.59%
ROA(5y)8.89%
ROE(3y)28.2%
ROE(5y)27%
ROIC(3y)18.6%
ROIC(5y)17.81%
1COST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1COST.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

1COST has a better Profit Margin (2.93%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
1COST's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1COST's Operating Margin of 3.67% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. 1COST outperforms 65.38% of its industry peers.
1COST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
1COST's Gross Margin of 12.67% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1COST is outperformed by 80.77% of its industry peers.
1COST's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.67%
PM (TTM) 2.93%
GM 12.67%
OM growth 3Y-0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.3%
PM growth 3Y4.25%
PM growth 5Y3.86%
GM growth 3Y-0.71%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
1COST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1COST.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

1COST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
1COST has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1COST has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, 1COST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
1COST.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1COST.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
1COST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1COST.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 9.49 indicates that 1COST is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 9.49, 1COST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
1COST has a debt to FCF ratio of 1.15. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 1.15 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.15, 1COST belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.15% of the companies in the same industry.
1COST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
1COST has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.23) than 96.15% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 1.15
Altman-Z 9.49
ROIC/WACC2.24
WACC9.04%
1COST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1COST.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.98 indicates that 1COST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
1COST has a better Current ratio (0.98) than 69.23% of its industry peers.
1COST has a Quick Ratio of 0.98. This is a bad value and indicates that 1COST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1COST has a Quick ratio of 0.43. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1COST outperforms 42.31% of its industry peers.
1COST does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.43
1COST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1COST.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 14.59% over the past year.
1COST shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.11% yearly.
1COST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.35%.
Measured over the past years, 1COST shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.75% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.59%
EPS 3Y14.32%
EPS 5Y15.11%
EPS Q2Q%6.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y10.75%
Sales Q2Q%7.53%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1COST will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.82% on average per year.
1COST is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.21% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.52%
EPS Next 2Y10.72%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%
EPS Next 5Y12.82%
Revenue Next Year6.77%
Revenue Next 2Y6.89%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.21%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1COST.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1COST.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 100B 200B 300B 400B
1COST.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1COST.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 10 20 30

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1COST is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 56.78.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of 1COST indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 1COST is more expensive than 65.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.47, 1COST is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 47.00, the valuation of 1COST can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1COST is valued more expensive than 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
1COST is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 92.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 56.78
Fwd PE 47
1COST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1COST.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, 1COST is valued a bit more expensive than 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of 1COST indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: 1COST is more expensive than 73.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 84.53
EV/EBITDA 35.38
1COST.MI Per share data1COST.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 100 200 300 400 500

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
1COST has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)4.93
PEG (5Y)3.76
EPS Next 2Y10.72%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%

1

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.49%, 1COST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
1COST's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.91.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.49, 1COST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1COST is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 53.89%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)53.89%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

114.19% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1COST. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
1COST's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP114.19%
EPS Next 2Y10.72%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%
1COST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1COST.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B
1COST.MI Dividend Payout.1COST.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1COST.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

COSTCO WHOLESALE CORP

BIT:1COST (1/29/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

923.8

-19.1 (-2.03%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)12-12 2024-12-12/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners71.85%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap410.11B
Analysts78.67
Price Target1017.36 (10.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.49%
Yearly Dividend20.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)53.89%
DP114.19%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.56%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.18%
Max EPS beat(2)2.31%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)1.84%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.18%
Max EPS beat(4)6.12%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.31%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.07%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)1.23%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.43%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.61%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.25%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.14%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.21%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.22%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.95%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.35%
PT rev (1m)12.33%
PT rev (3m)25.11%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-0.35%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.37%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.89%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.5%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 56.78
Fwd PE 47
P/S 1.64
P/FCF 84.53
P/OCF 42.61
P/B 17.33
P/tB 17.33
EV/EBITDA 35.38
EPS(TTM)16.27
EY1.76%
EPS(NY)19.65
Fwd EY2.13%
FCF(TTM)10.93
FCFY1.18%
OCF(TTM)21.68
OCFY2.35%
SpS564.08
BVpS53.29
TBVpS53.29
PEG (NY)4.93
PEG (5Y)3.76
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.32%
ROE 30.98%
ROCE 27.06%
ROIC 20.26%
ROICexc 30.56%
ROICexgc 30.56%
OM 3.67%
PM (TTM) 2.93%
GM 12.67%
FCFM 1.94%
ROA(3y)9.59%
ROA(5y)8.89%
ROE(3y)28.2%
ROE(5y)27%
ROIC(3y)18.6%
ROIC(5y)17.81%
ROICexc(3y)29.37%
ROICexc(5y)29.08%
ROICexgc(3y)30.8%
ROICexgc(5y)30.84%
ROCE(3y)24.84%
ROCE(5y)23.78%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.2%
ROICexcg growth 5Y2.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.15%
ROICexc growth 5Y1.43%
OM growth 3Y-0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.3%
PM growth 3Y4.25%
PM growth 5Y3.86%
GM growth 3Y-0.71%
GM growth 5Y-0.57%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover3.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 1.15
Debt/EBITDA 0.49
Cap/Depr 216.03%
Cap/Sales 1.91%
Interest Coverage 78.49
Cash Conversion 84.44%
Profit Quality 66.18%
Current Ratio 0.98
Quick Ratio 0.43
Altman-Z 9.49
F-Score8
WACC9.04%
ROIC/WACC2.24
Cap/Depr(3y)207.83%
Cap/Depr(5y)199.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.78%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.77%
Profit Quality(3y)85.7%
Profit Quality(5y)103.11%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)14.59%
EPS 3Y14.32%
EPS 5Y15.11%
EPS Q2Q%6.7%
EPS Next Y11.52%
EPS Next 2Y10.72%
EPS Next 3Y11.05%
EPS Next 5Y12.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.35%
Revenue growth 3Y9.1%
Revenue growth 5Y10.75%
Sales Q2Q%7.53%
Revenue Next Year6.77%
Revenue Next 2Y6.89%
Revenue Next 3Y6.71%
Revenue Next 5Y6.21%
EBIT growth 1Y13.78%
EBIT growth 3Y8.31%
EBIT growth 5Y14.41%
EBIT Next Year39.4%
EBIT Next 3Y19.53%
EBIT Next 5Y18.95%
FCF growth 1Y75.87%
FCF growth 3Y7.27%
FCF growth 5Y14.57%
OCF growth 1Y47.51%
OCF growth 3Y8.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.27%