CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

BIT:1CAT • US1491231015

Current stock price

667.8 EUR
+56.8 (+9.3%)
Last:

This 1CAT.MI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. 1CAT.MI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year 1CAT was profitable.
  • 1CAT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years 1CAT has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years 1CAT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1CAT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1CAT.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • 1CAT has a Return On Assets of 9.01%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1CAT outperforms 89.72% of its industry peers.
  • 1CAT's Return On Equity of 41.67% is amongst the best of the industry. 1CAT outperforms 97.20% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of 1CAT (14.63%) is better than 93.46% of its industry peers.
  • 1CAT had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 17.94%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.58%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.01%
ROE 41.67%
ROIC 14.63%
ROA(3y)11.04%
ROA(5y)9.83%
ROE(3y)50.02%
ROE(5y)46.34%
ROIC(3y)17.94%
ROIC(5y)15.44%
1CAT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1CAT.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • 1CAT has a Profit Margin of 13.14%. This is amongst the best in the industry. 1CAT outperforms 93.46% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of 1CAT has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of 1CAT (18.70%) is better than 93.46% of its industry peers.
  • 1CAT's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • 1CAT has a Gross Margin (33.87%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1CAT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 18.7%
PM (TTM) 13.14%
GM 33.87%
OM growth 3Y4.3%
OM growth 5Y7.05%
PM growth 3Y5.22%
PM growth 5Y12.85%
GM growth 3Y3.16%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
1CAT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1CAT.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

4

2. 1CAT.MI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), 1CAT is creating some value.
  • 1CAT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, 1CAT has less shares outstanding
  • 1CAT has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
1CAT.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1CAT.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
1CAT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1CAT.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • 1CAT has an Altman-Z score of 4.69. This indicates that 1CAT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • 1CAT's Altman-Z score of 4.69 is amongst the best of the industry. 1CAT outperforms 92.52% of its industry peers.
  • 1CAT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.81. This is a neutral value as 1CAT would need 5.81 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • 1CAT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1CAT outperforms 52.34% of its industry peers.
  • 1CAT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.70. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of 1CAT (1.70) is worse than 85.98% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.7
Debt/FCF 5.81
Altman-Z 4.69
ROIC/WACC1.46
WACC10%
1CAT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1CAT.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.3 Liquidity

  • 1CAT has a Current Ratio of 1.44. This is a normal value and indicates that 1CAT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • 1CAT has a Current ratio (1.44) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • 1CAT has a Quick Ratio of 1.44. This is a bad value and indicates that 1CAT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.94, 1CAT is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.94
1CAT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1CAT.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. 1CAT.MI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for 1CAT have decreased strongly by -12.88% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 25.66% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • Looking at the last year, 1CAT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.29% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, 1CAT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 10.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.88%
EPS 3Y10.14%
EPS 5Y25.66%
EPS Q2Q%0.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.38%
Revenue growth 5Y10.12%
Sales Q2Q%18%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 19.90% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, 1CAT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.51% on average per year.
EPS Next Y20.46%
EPS Next 2Y20.74%
EPS Next 3Y19.31%
EPS Next 5Y19.9%
Revenue Next Year11.77%
Revenue Next 2Y10.2%
Revenue Next 3Y9%
Revenue Next 5Y7.51%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
1CAT.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1CAT.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
1CAT.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1CAT.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 10 20 30 40

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1

4. 1CAT.MI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 40.30, which means the current valuation is very expensive for 1CAT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1CAT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.62% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.78. 1CAT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 33.46, which means the current valuation is very expensive for 1CAT.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, 1CAT is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 76.64% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • 1CAT is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.54, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.3
Fwd PE 33.46
1CAT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1CAT.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 77.57% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than 1CAT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • 1CAT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. 1CAT is more expensive than 64.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 48.02
EV/EBITDA 23.12
1CAT.MI Per share data1CAT.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates 1CAT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The excellent profitability rating of 1CAT may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as 1CAT's earnings are expected to grow with 19.31% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.57
EPS Next 2Y20.74%
EPS Next 3Y19.31%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

4

5. 1CAT.MI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • 1CAT has a yearly dividend return of 0.86%, which is pretty low.
  • 1CAT's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 1.64.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.86, 1CAT pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.86%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of 1CAT grows each year by 7.25%, which is quite nice.
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.25%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

  • 30.94% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1CAT. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of 1CAT is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP30.94%
EPS Next 2Y20.74%
EPS Next 3Y19.31%
1CAT.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1CAT.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B
1CAT.MI Dividend Payout.1CAT.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1CAT.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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1CAT.MI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

CATERPILLAR INC

BIT:1CAT (4/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

667.8

+56.8 (+9.3%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)01-29
Earnings (Next)04-23
Inst Owners72.31%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap310.72B
Revenue(TTM)67.59B
Net Income(TTM)8.88B
Analysts74.12
Price Target606.07 (-9.24%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.86%
Yearly Dividend5.05
Dividend Growth(5Y)7.25%
DP30.94%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.81%
Min EPS beat(2)8.35%
Max EPS beat(2)9.27%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)2.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.57%
Max EPS beat(4)9.27%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.78%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)7.81%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)8.55%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)5.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)4.11%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.84%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.77%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.12%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.14%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.6%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.75%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)15.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.46%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.24%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.97%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.34%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.47%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 40.3
Fwd PE 33.46
P/S 5.29
P/FCF 48.02
P/OCF 30.48
P/B 16.79
P/tB 22.71
EV/EBITDA 23.12
EPS(TTM)16.57
EY2.48%
EPS(NY)19.96
Fwd EY2.99%
FCF(TTM)13.91
FCFY2.08%
OCF(TTM)21.91
OCFY3.28%
SpS126.13
BVpS39.78
TBVpS29.4
PEG (NY)1.97
PEG (5Y)1.57
Graham Number121.79
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.01%
ROE 41.67%
ROCE 20.38%
ROIC 14.63%
ROICexc 17.17%
ROICexgc 19%
OM 18.7%
PM (TTM) 13.14%
GM 33.87%
FCFM 11.03%
ROA(3y)11.04%
ROA(5y)9.83%
ROE(3y)50.02%
ROE(5y)46.34%
ROIC(3y)17.94%
ROIC(5y)15.44%
ROICexc(3y)20.54%
ROICexc(5y)17.76%
ROICexgc(3y)23.01%
ROICexgc(5y)20.09%
ROCE(3y)24.9%
ROCE(5y)21.59%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.45%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.46%
ROICexc growth 3Y3.44%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.35%
OM growth 3Y4.3%
OM growth 5Y7.05%
PM growth 3Y5.22%
PM growth 5Y12.85%
GM growth 3Y3.16%
GM growth 5Y2.11%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.7
Debt/FCF 5.81
Debt/EBITDA 2.43
Cap/Depr 189.48%
Cap/Sales 6.34%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 78.78%
Profit Quality 83.89%
Current Ratio 1.44
Quick Ratio 0.94
Altman-Z 4.69
F-Score6
WACC10%
ROIC/WACC1.46
Cap/Depr(3y)161.01%
Cap/Depr(5y)141.05%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.3%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.03%
Profit Quality(3y)86.79%
Profit Quality(5y)82.05%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.88%
EPS 3Y10.14%
EPS 5Y25.66%
EPS Q2Q%0.39%
EPS Next Y20.46%
EPS Next 2Y20.74%
EPS Next 3Y19.31%
EPS Next 5Y19.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.29%
Revenue growth 3Y4.38%
Revenue growth 5Y10.12%
Sales Q2Q%18%
Revenue Next Year11.77%
Revenue Next 2Y10.2%
Revenue Next 3Y9%
Revenue Next 5Y7.51%
EBIT growth 1Y-14.12%
EBIT growth 3Y8.88%
EBIT growth 5Y17.88%
EBIT Next Year32.81%
EBIT Next 3Y20.79%
EBIT Next 5Y19.31%
FCF growth 1Y-15.5%
FCF growth 3Y12.99%
FCF growth 5Y12.09%
OCF growth 1Y-2.46%
OCF growth 3Y14.77%
OCF growth 5Y13.16%

CATERPILLAR INC / 1CAT.MI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for CATERPILLAR INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to 1CAT.MI.


What is the valuation status of CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of 1CAT stock?

CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for 1CAT stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI) is expected to grow by 20.46% in the next year.


Is the dividend of CATERPILLAR INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of CATERPILLAR INC (1CAT.MI) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 30.94%.