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BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG (1BMW.MI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

BIT:1BMW - Borsa Italiana Milan - DE0005190003 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

76.5  -2.24 (-2.84%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to 1BMW. 1BMW was compared to 29 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. While 1BMW is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. 1BMW has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

1BMW had positive earnings in the past year.
1BMW had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years 1BMW has been profitable.
1BMW had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1BMW.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF1BMW.MI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B 20B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.12%, 1BMW is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.15% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of 1BMW (9.02%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.14%, 1BMW is in line with its industry, outperforming 48.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for 1BMW is in line with the industry average of 8.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.12%
ROE 9.02%
ROIC 6.14%
ROA(3y)5.72%
ROA(5y)4.21%
ROE(3y)16.61%
ROE(5y)12.87%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)5.52%
1BMW.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROIC1BMW.MI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

1BMW has a Profit Margin of 5.49%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: 1BMW outperforms 51.85% of its industry peers.
1BMW's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 9.43%, 1BMW is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
1BMW's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
The Gross Margin of 1BMW (17.01%) is worse than 81.48% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of 1BMW has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 9.43%
PM (TTM) 5.49%
GM 17.01%
OM growth 3Y34.07%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y23.94%
PM growth 5Y0.17%
GM growth 3Y11.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
1BMW.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins1BMW.MI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5 10 15 20

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3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so 1BMW is still creating some value.
1BMW has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, 1BMW has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, 1BMW has about the same debt to assets ratio.
1BMW.MI Yearly Shares Outstanding1BMW.MI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
1BMW.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total Assets1BMW.MI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.45, we must say that 1BMW is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
1BMW's Altman-Z score of 1.45 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. 1BMW outperforms 51.85% of its industry peers.
1BMW has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67. This is a neutral value indicating 1BMW is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
1BMW has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.67) than 62.96% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.45
ROIC/WACC1.37
WACC4.48%
1BMW.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF1BMW.MI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.3 Liquidity

1BMW has a Current Ratio of 1.10. This is a normal value and indicates that 1BMW is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
1BMW's Current ratio of 1.10 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. 1BMW is outperformed by 70.37% of its industry peers.
1BMW has a Quick Ratio of 1.10. This is a bad value and indicates that 1BMW is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.78, 1BMW is not doing good in the industry: 77.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.1
Quick Ratio 0.78
1BMW.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites1BMW.MI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

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3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for 1BMW have decreased strongly by -25.10% in the last year.
1BMW shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.53% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -2.05% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, 1BMW shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 9.93% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.1%
EPS 3Y45.56%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-84.76%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y16.25%
Revenue growth 5Y9.93%
Sales Q2Q%-15.74%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, 1BMW will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -0.84% on average per year.
1BMW is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 1.29% yearly.
EPS Next Y-27.88%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
EPS Next 5Y-0.84%
Revenue Next Year-3.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
1BMW.MI Yearly Revenue VS Estimates1BMW.MI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 50B 100B 150B
1BMW.MI Yearly EPS VS Estimates1BMW.MI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5 10 15 20 25

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

1BMW is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 5.89.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, 1BMW is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.96% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of 1BMW to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.47), we can say 1BMW is valued rather cheaply.
1BMW is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.79.
1BMW's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 92.74. 1BMW is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.89
Fwd PE 5.79
1BMW.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings1BMW.MI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

1BMW's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.79
1BMW.MI Per share data1BMW.MI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

1BMW's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.83% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%

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6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

1BMW has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 7.51%, which is a nice return.
1BMW's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.70.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.28, 1BMW pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.51%

5.2 History

The dividend of 1BMW is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 22.01%!
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

84.53% of the earnings are spent on dividend by 1BMW. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The Dividend Rate of 1BMW has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP84.53%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
1BMW.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend1BMW.MI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B
1BMW.MI Dividend Payout.1BMW.MI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.1BMW.MI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG

BIT:1BMW (2/3/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

76.5

-2.24 (-2.84%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners21.73%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners48.56%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap48.86B
Analysts72.26
Price Target88.32 (15.45%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 7.51%
Yearly Dividend10.81
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.01%
DP84.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.79%
Min EPS beat(2)-57.28%
Max EPS beat(2)-2.31%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-17.57%
Min EPS beat(4)-57.28%
Max EPS beat(4)2.37%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-9.92%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.11%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)2.8%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-6.16%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.87%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.71%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.18%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.39%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.08%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.59%
PT rev (1m)-0.52%
PT rev (3m)-2.74%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-32.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-5.95%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.68%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 5.89
Fwd PE 5.79
P/S 0.33
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 8.83
P/B 0.54
P/tB 0.69
EV/EBITDA 5.79
EPS(TTM)12.98
EY16.97%
EPS(NY)13.21
Fwd EY17.26%
FCF(TTM)-11.04
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)8.66
OCFY11.33%
SpS233.17
BVpS142.04
TBVpS111.18
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.12%
ROE 9.02%
ROCE 8.17%
ROIC 6.14%
ROICexc 6.98%
ROICexgc 8.03%
OM 9.43%
PM (TTM) 5.49%
GM 17.01%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)5.72%
ROA(5y)4.21%
ROE(3y)16.61%
ROE(5y)12.87%
ROIC(3y)7.08%
ROIC(5y)5.52%
ROICexc(3y)8.18%
ROICexc(5y)6.36%
ROICexgc(3y)9.41%
ROICexgc(5y)7.25%
ROCE(3y)9.56%
ROCE(5y)7.46%
ROICexcg growth 3Y50.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y48.71%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.39%
OM growth 3Y34.07%
OM growth 5Y4.93%
PM growth 3Y23.94%
PM growth 5Y0.17%
GM growth 3Y11.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.11%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.67
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.65
Cap/Depr 144.06%
Cap/Sales 8.45%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 24.3%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.1
Quick Ratio 0.78
Altman-Z 1.45
F-Score2
WACC4.48%
ROIC/WACC1.37
Cap/Depr(3y)109.6%
Cap/Depr(5y)108.74%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.43%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.43%
Profit Quality(3y)71.64%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.1%
EPS 3Y45.56%
EPS 5Y10.53%
EPS Q2Q%-84.76%
EPS Next Y-27.88%
EPS Next 2Y-13.55%
EPS Next 3Y-7.83%
EPS Next 5Y-0.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y16.25%
Revenue growth 5Y9.93%
Sales Q2Q%-15.74%
Revenue Next Year-3.6%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.04%
Revenue Next 5Y1.29%
EBIT growth 1Y-20.1%
EBIT growth 3Y55.85%
EBIT growth 5Y15.36%
EBIT Next Year24.63%
EBIT Next 3Y11.64%
EBIT Next 5Y4.85%
FCF growth 1Y-154.63%
FCF growth 3Y-1.79%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-73.29%
OCF growth 3Y9.97%
OCF growth 5Y28.44%